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TESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downsideTESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downside
TESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downside after the big rise from March 2013,
Previous bottom of the first phase correction was at 140.15, price could return back down to that level for a double bottom before another up trend.
Price much jump back and above previous high at 269.45 to continues the up trend to the upper side and reach for higher goal which could be like Apple stock, sky is the limit.
Trade the short term correction to the down side, wait for candle action when price reach every support zone and see is there a possibility of the reverse trend.
TESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downsideTESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downside
TESLA-US - In a Large Correction to the downside after the big rise from March 2013,
Previous bottom of the first phase correction was at 140.15, price could return back down to that level for a double bottom before another up trend.
Price much jump back and above previous high at 269.45 to continues the up trend to the upper side and reach for higher goal which could be like Apple stock, sky is the limit.
Trade the short term correction to the down side, wait for candle action when price reach every support zone and see is there a possibility of the reverse trend.
Tesla Takes Flight: Is China's Approval Enough to Go Long?
Tesla's stock price recently soared after receiving "in-principle" approval from Chinese authorities to deploy its driver-assistance system in the world's largest auto market. This news undoubtedly fueled investor optimism, but is it enough justification to take a long position on Tesla stock (TSLA)? Let's delve deeper into the implications and weigh the risks before making a call.
China's Green Light: A Major Tailwind
China's tentative approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is a significant development. China represents a crucial battleground for electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, and Tesla has faced stiff competition from domestic players like BYD. Gaining official sanction for its advanced driving system removes a potential hurdle and paves the way for increased sales in China. This could significantly boost Tesla's revenue and profitability in the long run.
Beyond China: A Broader Growth Story
Tesla's appeal extends far beyond China. The company remains a leader in the EV revolution, continuously innovating and expanding its product line. With the Cybertruck launch and the ongoing success of Model 3 and Model Y, Tesla is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for EVs. Additionally, Tesla's focus on autonomous driving technology positions it at the forefront of a potentially transformative industry shift.
Risks to Consider: Not All Sunshine and Self-Driving Cars
While the China news is positive, there are factors to consider before going all-in on Tesla. Regulatory hurdles remain, with the final details and limitations of the driver-assistance system approval in China still unknown. Additionally, competition in the EV space is fierce and constantly evolving. Established automakers are rapidly entering the fray, and new startups are nipping at Tesla's heels.
Furthermore, Tesla faces ongoing challenges related to production issues, battery supply chain constraints, and potential safety concerns surrounding its Autopilot technology. These factors can lead to stock price volatility and production delays.
Beyond the Headlines: Look at the Fundamentals
Making a sound investment decision requires looking beyond just the latest headlines. Here are some key metrics to consider for Tesla:
• Valuation: Tesla currently trades at a high valuation compared to traditional automakers. This implies that the market has already priced in a lot of future growth potential.
• Overall Market Conditions: The broader stock market can significantly impact Tesla's share price. Investors should be aware of potential economic downturns that could affect growth stocks like Tesla disproportionately.
The Verdict: A Calculated Approach, Not a Blind Leap
China's approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is undoubtedly positive news. However, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Investors considering a long position on Tesla should conduct thorough research, understand the inherent risks involved, and carefully evaluate their risk tolerance. A diversified portfolio with exposure to other EV players and established automakers might be a prudent strategy.
Tesla is a company with immense potential, but its future success is not guaranteed. A well-informed and measured approach is crucial before taking a long position on TSLA.
Tesla finds intraday support at 222.00Tesla loooked to be heading way lower yesterday, trading all the way down to an intraday low of $221.95, but the buyers swooped in and pushed the stock back up to $226.75 to close the day.
Looking at the chart above, yesterday's candle (highlighted in oval) has a long bottom wick, showing us that the bulls refused to let Tesla go lower.
We would have loved to see a close above the high from Wednesday ($228.00), but are still looking for more upside from Tesla, with price targets at $235.71 and $250.87.
Technical Indicators for Tesla:
Moving Averages - The 8-day, 21-day and 55-day EMAs are trending up and the 21 crossed above the 200-day yesterday, showing a shift in momentum towards the upside. The slower moving averages are still moving sideways and we would like to see them start trending upwards to confirm a long-term trend for Tesla.
RSI - Overbought at 74.04. This is something to keep an eye on if you are long Tesla. We have seen it stay in overbought territory for a long time before, so its nothing to make you exit a position, but something to keep on your radar.
MACD - Bullish. Trending up and above the '0' line.
TESLA COMPLETING A TOP, FAILING AT THE 200DAY MATesla stock lost the 50day moving average on Friday and is testing the 200day moving average support today. At current levels the stock would also clear a clean 'lower high' top. On a close below $217 (200d ma, horizontal support) could see a deeper selloff starting with next better support at $199 (gap) and at $188 (summer low)
Tesla Motors long term valuation multiples are declining fastTesla is difficult to value and the opinions are very strong on both sides of the argument of how TSLA is valued.
The valuation is dropping fast, that is for sure. Given how sales have skyrocketed from nearly zero to $3 billion has dropped the PSR from over 20 on a few occasions to under 10 for this year 2015.
Tesla is losing money as they invest in their business, grow infrastructure, build supercharger stations and provide unparalleled customer service, and build capacity to keep driving down the cost of building a Tesla.
If you look at the long term, in this case 57+ months (since that's how much data we have on Tesla so far), and if we assume sales can keep growing at the rate they are growing, then TSLA will be very cheap in 4.6 years. We could give Tesla a PSR of 2 after 4.6 years, then the stock would easily be a double from it's current levels, which is a 15%+ return per year.
I added the "half-speed" trend line for TSLA to now because it encompasses when TSLA first started selling the Model S up to the peak price for TSLA shares over $290 last summer. If we look at the pace of the trend from the mid-point of that advance, then TSLA is still on track and that level was tested in the recent pullback earlier this year.
The current news about guiding down production from 55,000 units per year to 50,000 together with the recent "hacking success" into Tesla cars, should provide another buying opportunity over the next weeks and months.
Cheers.
Tesla - Call End of Day/WeekTesla Motors Co Chief Executive Elon Musk said on Sunday the automaker was updating its semi-autonomous driving system Autopilot with new limits on hands-off driving and other improvements that likely would have prevented a fatality in May.
Sentiment is positive. End of last week (daily chart) ended on S2 (support). Tesla breaks $200 (since thursday).
Call end of day.
If Tesla keeps breaking support and reaches $187, Call end of that week.
TESLA Motors Inc.: A strong Buy above 230.48...Tesla Motors Inc. took some rebound last week, around the 211.13 support level, which is a critical level. It has been a month it is falling. Breaking out 211.13 will send the equity south to 202.35, with 207.96 as a primary objective.
Should the equity breaks out 230.48, a rally will be unleashed with 244.43 as an objective, with 236.19 as a primary objective. Tesla Motors Inc. will have 217.37 as a support level, in this case.
TESLA Motors Inc.'s Pivot Point is around 227.87. TESLA Motors Inc's support levels are around 215.26 and 203.52. TESLA Motors Inc's resistance levels are around 234.61 and 242.22.
TESLA - long, but not for long...Tesla probably finished this Friday a leading diagonal. Because it made a new low, one has to consider a new impuls down has just started. Personally expecting bounce in April to 200-210 levels with consecutive sharp reversal until June 2015. Wave 4 could unfold during July with some 38.2% retracement of wave (3). A final low of this 1 year corrective move could occur in October 2015 as a traditionally weakest month for stock market.
My strategy:
1. Will sell Tesla around 200 with stop 218. I will do it ONLY, if we have end of April and SPX 500 makes new highs (possible around 2140-2170).
2. Will close my shorts around 137.5 (expecting 161.8% extension of a leading diagonal move).
3. Will reshort once wave (4) retraces 38.2% of wave (3).
4. Will close my 2nd short trade by 120 and will go long with stop by 110.
5. Will close my first long position on Tesla by 560-570 (expecting at least 161.8% extension of ((1))).
INVALIDATION: Move in Tesla above 225.
10th April 2015: entry short Tesla at 211.16, stop 215