$SPY July 20, 2023AMEX:SPY July 20, 2023
15 Minutes
Still in channel. Now made low at 454.37.
456.3 looks like a small double top.
So now probably a chance to get that pull back to moving averages I am waiting last few days.
As i shared earlier the stochastic black bar on top, Elliott oscillator green and CCI at close turned green makes it a difficult probability to larger pull back.
Also AMEX:SPY in daily s also in channel drawn from low 348.
Both daily and 15 minutes at the moment ha a top of channel as 360 +-2 levels.
Both time frames are in clear uptrend.
I went long yesterday at 455.1 levels.
I expect today to be a trending day based on open.
If you consider the rise from July 10th at 438 levels to 456 then 444 is the 61.8% retracement.
And 449 is 38.2% of that move.
Now 200 averages in 15 minutes is at 448 levels ad the average is sloping upwards.
So i expect today 452 to be held being the 61.8 retracement for 450 to 456.4 levels. This number is also 100 averages in 15 minutes.
452 is also 23.6% retracement for the move in daily from 438 levels.
For the day
Bullish above 456. levels
Bearish below 454.3 levels.
Having a position i need to look for big gap downs below 452 levels else I can manage the trade by reversing based on open.
Generally since trend is upwards, if i get a gap down and if it reverses in 15 minutes i will hold my position else i have to close and go reverse.
452.4 is the key today.
Search in ideas for "oscillator"
UBER Bullish Pennants for ContinuationUBER on the 15-minute chart this week has printed a small bullish pennant pattern
then continued into another larger print of the same pattern. The Price Volume
Trend Oscillator went red to green as the initiation of this trend over the past
two days. Trading volumes have pushed prices and are in the range of double the
moving average. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows a pattern of bullish
momentum in the mornings followed by fades at lunch and afternoons.
I believe that this 5-6% trend up has another 1-2 days to go before a profit-taking
session to close out the trading week.
GLD is the high volume EFT that is tracking the gold bullrun which started two weeks ago on July 3rd after
a downtrend for two months starting on May 2nd. This is not a leveraged ETF
as so a bit less volatile than JNUG or GDXU. On the 2H chart, I have added a
VWAP band line setup anchored into the pivot high.
On my analysis:
1. GLD is ascending through VWAP band lines in a VWAP breakout.
2. Volume is steady
3. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went from a diminishing negative/red histogram
into green on July 5th.
4. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines crossed while under the histogram reversing a descent on July 17th and marking the end of a minor correction of the uptrend then confirmed by those
lines crossing the zero-line the following day.
I conclude that GLD is set up for a long trade. While others might simply take a trade of
stocks I will use call options to take a long position. My target is $190 between the
second and third positive standard deviations of the mean VWAP. I will purchase 50
options contracts for about $37 each expiring August 4th. I will hold all of them until
July 27th and liquidate half of them at the high of day on that Thursday expecting
Friday to be a down day. The remaining 25 contracts will be sold at the rate of
6 contracts per day until the overall position is closed. Overall, I expect to realize
200% in profits over the 12-13 trading days in the trade. I plan for a 15% stop loss and
expect the trade to be above break-even with the first stop loss advance which I expect
will be on Friday.
Bitcoin Opportunities: Identifying the Next Entry for PositionAs passionate advocates of Bitcoin's potential, we must stay informed and seize opportunities when they arise. Today, I would like to discuss an essential technical indicator that can help us make informed trading decisions and maximize our Bitcoin positions.
Recently, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been a topic of interest among traders. The RSI is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It provides insights into whether an asset is overbought or oversold, allowing us to identify potential entry points for trading.
Bitcoin's RSI has reached a value of 55, indicating a relatively neutral position. While this may not signify an immediate buying or selling signal, it is a valuable indicator for future movements. As cautious traders, we can leverage this information to our advantage.
Considering the historical patterns and trends observed in Bitcoin's price movements, an RSI of 55 has often preceded significant upward momentum in the past. By strategically adding Bitcoin positions when the RSI hits this level, we can capitalize on upward price movements and maximize our gains.
Therefore, keep a close eye on Bitcoin's RSI and consider adding to your BTC positions when it reaches 55. However, it is essential to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market can be highly volatile, and it is crucial to manage risk effectively.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's RSI of 55 is a potential entry point for trading, allowing us to seize opportunities and maximize our Bitcoin positions. We can make well-informed decisions that align with our long-term goals by employing a cautious approach and conducting a thorough analysis.
Stay vigilant, stay informed, and let's continue to support the growth and adoption of Bitcoin together. If you have any insights or thoughts regarding this topic, please feel free to comment. Let's keep the conversation going!
UNG continues to rise UNG the ETF that tracks natural gas futures has continued on a significant uptrend since June
1st The 2H chart suggests to be that the trend will continue this upcoming week. UNG is now
above the POC line of the long multi-session volume profile. UNG has had support from the
VWAP line representing two standard deviations below the mean. In recent days, price has
crossed that mean VWAP in a sign of bullish momentum. The volatility oscillator indicator
is showing bullish volatility while the RSI is high above 80 and staying there without any fade
to suggest bearish divergence. Overall, I will continue to run my position without any partial
take profit. My target is the VWAP line that is two standard deviations above the mean
anchored VWAP and so presently about 7.85. Any new trade would have the same target
while setting the stop loss just below the POC line.
NRGD a 3X Leveraged ETF that shorts oilNRGD goes up when oil goes down; this ETF tracks the oil futures ; it is leveraged and managed.
Here on the one-hour chart with an Bollinger Bands and EMA bands indicator added, it can be
seen that price had been trending down in two waves beginning June 1st , Upon dropping
outside the BB lower line, price reversed upward to reach the upper BB line and reversed again.
Finally, price dropped outside the BB lower line and reversed this past Thursday. The RSI
oscillator has recently trended between 65 and 40, suggesting healthy price action without
and oversold or overbought conditions. As it is now trending up again. I see it as suitable for a l
long trade. I have plotted horizontal resistance lines in order to plan a tiered exit from a trade
of 4 shares where I will partially close the position by selling a share each time price reaches
one of those lines. At the same time, I will move the stop loss up to midway between its l
location and that line. I will repeat this until all shares are sold. I am expecting a 12% profit
overall for a week-long trade. This will be a free trade without risk after the first move of the
stop loss to above the entry point. If the RSI remains below 80, I may let the last share run
until I am alerted that price has hit the BB upper line by an alert or alternatively set up
a trailing stop loss of 2%.
BOIL Megaphone PatternBOIL on the 15-minute chart is currently in an upward facing megaphone pattern. I have drawn
in the upper and lower trendlines which are a form of static support and resistance. The
megaphone pattern is one of increasing volatility between buyers and sellers and indecision
It is the opposite of consolidation in a narrow channel. The anchored VWAP
shows BOIL to be between the mean VWAP and the first standard deviation band below it.
This is generally considered the lower part of the fair value zone. The volume profile has a
high volume area of in the price range of 3 to 3.7 while the POC line is confluent with the
VWAP. The "better" RSI oscillator/ indicator shows values above 75 at swing highs
and values below 25 at swing lows. My goal in this trade is to buy at the lower ( support )
trendline and sell at the higher ( resistance) trendline. I will be watchful for any fibonnaci
retracements of a prior trend. At present, BOIL is at that lower trendline and RSI is showing
weakness. I will add to my position now as I did in the whipsaw action some hours ago at the
location of the bearish engulfing candles in the premarket and the opening.
Oscillator Switch Prompted Caution, Close Long Position the Oscillator is suggesting a. change in trend here, I would lock in profit on any open trades here
Oscillator Switch Prompted Caution, Bulls Are Back in ControlAttention traders! We recently advised closing positions due to an oscillator switch, suggesting a potential reversal. However, the market has spoken, and the price has now confirmed its upward continuation. The bulls have regained control, and we're back on track for a profitable ride. Stay tuned for further updates and trade recommendations as we closely monitor this exciting market development!
#BTCUSD 4H Detrended Price Osc Analysis - LongThe Detrended Price Oscillator is showing minor bull divergence building and a bear divergence breakout.
Average in over the next few days. If the DPO crosses over 0 value, the bull market will continue.
Use trail stop trend line alert to stop loss or take profit.
#USDJPY Bull Divergence Building - DPO AnalysisBull divergence is building on the Detrended Price Oscillator indicator.
The DPO is a free to use indicator on Tradingview
Use the quick charts to find bottoms and average in over the next few days.
Use trail stop trend line with alert to tell you when to close.
EURUSD Rally Daytrade LONG SCALPEURUSD is now uptrending on the one hour chart,
Support from the underside of the Ichimoku Cloud as well as the
anchored VWAP.
The MACD indicator shows the lines crossed while under the histogram
which is now positive.
The Momentum Squeeze oscillator is firing
US equities will be on sale today. Making some profit on leveraged EURUSD
will help buy them.
2H #DXY Long - Detrended Price Oscillator AnalysisExcellent entry point here for the Dollar Index, because we can place a tight stop loss.
If the DPO crosses under 0, close your position. Bull divergence is forming on the DPO here.
See chart for Take Profits
Note that this will affect all trade pairs that have negative correlation to dollar.
Creating a bearish DOW, SP500, NASDAQ, GOLD, EURUSD, BTC, etc, etc.
Good luck.
It's not about being right or wrong it's about finding the best time to hunt and HOPE for a kill.
Bullish Sign ?Yo Guyzzz..
think this Matrx oscillator is tellng us something !!
In my opinion, this could be a sign of an upswing, wt do u think ??
I think this is a valuable sign even though this is the weekly chart..
It would be great to write me your opinion about BTC coming weeks stats....
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USD/CAD 4 confluences in one tradesince trading is a game of probabilities we fellow traders starve for confluences and we always seek more of it, anyway in this chart exists 4 confluences that i'm going to mention:
1 - bullish volume is fading means that price can go short
2 - divergence in bill's awesome oscillator
3 - ending of WXY correction pattern elliott wave
4 - finally that mystical level known as 618 fib
GALA USDT - Prepare for the massive bull runAs BTC gains momentum, GALA is showing a good long opportunity.
Wave 1 is showing good signs of repeating what it did in November's bull run (Momentum Oscillator and Volume above average).
It has already finished, and is making a retracement to hopefully, a 61.8% Fib Level.
This is a great level to build a long position to catch the start of the Wave II to the end of Wave III, and if you want to hold it, to Wave V.
Buy zones: 0.25 - 0.30
Target Levels: 0.46 / 0.58 / 0.72
FTMUSD signal convergenceFTMUSD telegraphed current market conditions with a convergence of signals.
The black line indicates the day we could safely make a decision with proper risk management, by making sure we wait for patterns and signals to completely mature before making a decisive move.
1. On 17 January 22 FTM was trading above $3.00. That day it reached a local all-time-high, meaning on this particular time frame of a few weeks. The resistance trendline formed by price action (1) shows an uptrend.
However, all of my other indicators signaled an imminent failure.
2. Volume was in decline (2). Old school traders used to say wait for volume confirmation, though I see that less and less now. However, in this context, volume is confirming a weakening of purchasing. You can then see, right of the blackline, an increase in selling to present.
3. The relative strength indicator (RSI) showed two signals. A bearish divergence illustrated in the trendline, which is also a failure swing. RSI has been extremely useful in FTM and SPELL recently and I've watched it very closely.
4. The awesome oscillator (AO) showed a bearish "twin-peaks", which diverged from the price action as well. This demonstrated again a weakening in total momentum.
Using all these indicators to back a theory has become a cornerstone of my charting. Price action alone may not have telegraphed this movement, and if you combine that with good money management principles you could trade this. As an investor (long term holder with staking and farming yields) this tells me when to save cash for discount prices. In addition, in tells me not to rely on yields from liquidity pools that are pegged to this asset. Perhaps, if you were so inclined, this would have been the time to rotate liquidity pools to stablecoin farms, or other strategies.
#GOLD - XAUUSD Retrace InbounbdGold - Expecting retrace from recent bull push. Support trend lines have broken on multiple indicators.
And Bear Divergence is forming on multiple indicators.
See chart for take profits.
You can set up use multiple stop losses with the indicators provided.
Stop Loss or Take Profit If Detrended Price Oscillator crossover 0
or
Stop Loss or Take Profit if Directional Movement Index DI+ crossover DI-