target reached I analyzed this trade during the weekend following how price moved previous week intermarket analysis gives broad idea of the pair you trading , its easy to show fter effect but it is always nice to see it beforehand now how do you take advantage ? wait wait wait patience and risk management is next your bias is correct now the real part begins patience and proper risk management mondays are not my trading days but now target reached it has given me a hint of what it can possibly do #remember it is a industry of probabilities
Seasonality
Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits?
On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points.
Current Situation
🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements.
🔸 Historical correction analysis:
For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal:
- The first correction resulted in a 25% drop.
- The second correction saw a 65% drop.
- Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward?
Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop?
My Decision
Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside.
Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
NzdUsd could rise to 0.58 (swing trade)The final quarter of 2024 was particularly challenging for the NZD, with the currency declining by 800 pips from its peak to its lowest point. More significantly, this drop represents a devaluation of over 12%, which is substantial for a major currency pair.
As 2025 begins, however, OANDA:NZDUSD has entered a consolidation phase, holding above the critical support zone near 0.5550. This level is noteworthy and deserves attention as a potential turning point.
While the overall trend remains bearish, a rebound from this key support area is likely. If this occurs, the pair could move higher toward the 0.58 resistance level.
In summary, dips near the support zone present buying opportunities with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a return of at least 1:2.
EUR USD - the battle of parityG'day traders,
Welcome back to a new trading year.
First up, i'll be taking a look at the EURO/USD as it is still in a strong downward to the right pattern respecting the strong curve of the weekly trendline.
Please see below the Daily and weekly charts marked up.
Follow along the video and hope it assists with your trading.
I'll be looking for sells upon daily closes, weekly set and forget supply limits. Demand limits.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Previous charts
Daily Chart
Weekly Chart
Updated in line with the video:
Daily
Weekly
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
LVPA
MMXXV
Bitcoin Cash golden cross and January 20thBitcoin Cash golden cross is a buy signal before January 20th. When a 100-day moving average crosses above a 200-day moving average, it's commonly referred to as a "golden cross". Indicating a potential bullish signal, suggesting a possible shift from a bearish trend to a bullish trend in the market. In 2023 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 214%. In 2024 BCH went from a low on January 20th to a high of + 207%. Is the 3rd time a charm? If BCH can go +200% from January 20th 2025 the high would be around 1300 per Bitcoin Cash!
Trade idea:
Long = sma100
stop = sma200
profit = 1300
I've got some wisdom to share. Take some notes #BitcoinHey members, apologies for being offline for a while...I'm back (kinda)
Tradingview is happy to ban me from speaking to you and for these reasons I might not be making videos on here for much longer
Today I want to share with you some truths that others dont speak about. It's beyond trading mentality, which is why it works
Please learn from my pain (or don't, but do)
"Energy" runs the you and it runs the markets, focus on respecting market energy and your managing your emotions within it
Know the game you're in
Humans have emotions, and if can't manage them those then you're not playing the game right
The market has energy, if you can't identify the energy of the market then you're not playing the game right
Hopefully I'll be catching up with you soon
Ciao for now.
Blayno
Traeger | COOK | Long at $2.50Traeger NYSE:COOK is in an accumulation zone and approaching a change in the downward trend based on my selected simple moving average. Insiders have shown confidence in future price improvement by buying shares and being awarded options in the low $2s. With a 58M float and anticipated earnings improvement through 2027, this ticker may be poised for a run soon. There is a tiny gap in the daily chart between $2.19 and $2.20 that may get filled before then, but Traeger has a strong brand name and can be found in multiple big box stores. A slowing economy may dampen this move in the near-term, but NYSE:COOK is in a personal buy zone at $2.50.
Target #1 - $4.15
Target #2 - $5.00
Target #3 - $8.50
Target #4 - $19.00 (very long-term...)
$CHILLGUY How to Spot Euphoria LessonHere's a good lesson on spotting EUPHORIA.
I was over a friend's house who is a retail crypto trader on Thanksgiving.
He was telling that I had to buy $CHILLGUY because its the biggest meme ever.
I didn't even bother looking at the chart because of my past experience knowing how to gauge market sentiment,
but I replied, "you telling me this should be an instant sell signal for you".
From that day on, it was DOWN-ONLY 80% for the next 1.5 months 🤓
DOGE | BTC | ATH Still Coming Like ETH and SOL, DOGE hasn't exactly made the dramatic ATH that Bitcoin has made - and we're still waiting for the glorious Altseason.
Like I explained in the previous idea, this isn't a bad thing and neither does it indicate the end of the bullish season - instead, it likely points towards a multi-month playout that eventually leads the Alts to new highs.
______________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
$COOKIE vs $???????: Same Total Supply, Same MomentumWhen comparing MEXC:VIRTUALUSDT and BYBIT:COOKIEUSDT , an exciting dynamic is unfolding that demands attention. Both cryptocurrencies have identical total supplies, providing a clear framework for evaluating their relative potential. On the technical side, both are displaying strong bullish momentum, suggesting the market is optimistic about both projects.
But here’s the key difference:
COOKIE boasts stronger fundamentals. Whether it’s its real-world use case, adoption metrics, or team backing, COOKIE clearly has an edge over $VIRTUAL.
Despite this, COOKIE remains 10 times cheaper than $VIRTUAL.
Looking ahead, $COOKIE not only has the potential to catch up to VIRTUAL valuation but, given its fundamentals, could even surpass VIRTUAL all-time high. If this momentum continues, $COOKIE might emerge as the stronger performer over the coming weeks or months.
Do you believe $COOKIE has what it takes to surpass VIRTUAL previous top price, or will VIRTUAL continue to dominate? What’s your take on the potential rebalancing between these two assets? Let’s discuss!
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap and US10YIn our ‘Daily dose of Chart’ today we are looking into Crypto and US10Y rates. We are plotting Total 3 Crypto market Cap vs US 10 Y. Total 3 Crypto Market Cap which is the sum of all the total Crypto market cap except BTC and ETH. The Total 3 was in a bearish pattern throughout 2022 and 2024 when the US10Y was making a head and shoulder pattern. After completing the head and shoulder pattern, the yields fell which gave Total 3 to break out of a 2 year base. But with the recent breakout in US10Y rates, the Total 3 is suffering a short term bearish market. We see a cup and handle forming on the weekly chart for the Total 3. But my assessment is that the handle formation will not complete until the beginning of Q2 2025 on the weekly chart. We will revisit the chart in April 2025.
Potential Wyckoff reversal pattern BTCUSDHi everybody.
I want to pick your brain about my swing trade / position trade entry idea on BTC.
Investment thesis:
FUNDAMENTALS:
Long Term: Liquidity expanding + China Stimulus / Raoul Paul GMI concepts.
Time based: End of quarter rally + cycle stage should come with a rally.
TECHNICALS
Weekly: FVG in Support tested several times.
Daily: Daily wicks and Bullish FVG
Hourly: Wyckoff (sort of) strucutre: Sell climax + penetration + BOut Res + retest
RR: 3:1 approx.
Bitcoin potential reset with Head and Shoulders / WyckoffEven though I am long BTC, GETTEX:92K (target of daily brekout) has been used as liquidity (support). As a antithesis to my long bias, if the HnS / Wyckoff formation breaksdown, the target could be $75K. More realistically I thiknk it will go and test the $81K - $84K zone. Until $85K ish I am bullish.
Bullish bias on DXY THIS WEEKLooking at how DXY has been trading
1. The weekly and daily looks bullish
2. Seasonal tendacies suggests bullish momentum
3. It's PPI and CPI week . Volatility will kick in on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some retail sales m/m and unemployment claims might continue the up move
EURUSD D1 BEARISH, RETURN TO PARITY ?Lot of confluence factors indicate that EUR is going to give way to USD
COT Delta = black line dropping hard, Institutions are heavily short
YIELD Differential = green/red line, nosedive lower
LIQUIDITY Differential = orange line = FED more restrictive than ECB ?
GAPS = Next Weekly gap is 150 pips lower @ 1.01 = Yearly S1
PIVOTS = Price below Yearly PP, heading for Yearly S1 @ 1.0050 = GAP Low
FUNDAMENTALS = USD beats EUR on pretty much all metrics
ECONOMICS = Germany, the EU-powerhouse, in multi-year recession
POLITICS = Trust is fading, most EU-countries (will) vote for change
Looking for a drop in price to 1.01, probably return to parity before spring