AUDNZD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1074
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear High, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1051
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1088
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short!!!!
CL1! Scenario 2.1.2025 The price has currently broken through one of the main resistances and we have oil at 73 and then I have two scenarios: either the price does not break through the support at 72.5 and goes up, but I would like to see an sfp below the low, if we were to consider a short, I would like an sfp above the high, then there would be a potential entry.
SMH - What if this Medianline-Set holds evidence?The upward momentum changed when price closed and opened below the white L-MLH.
The rules say, that when price is leaving the Fork, open and close outside, we can expect a test/retest at the L-MLH.
This is exactly what happened.
Shorts got squeezed by a GAPer of the Market Makers move. And I admit, I could imagine a further rise for a third test at the L-MLH.
However, SMH is being observed very closely from now on.
NZDCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.812.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.805 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 1D TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.932 level.
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USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.906.
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Nasdaq under pressure and aims for 18'400NQ is being pushed down, and a rebound doesn’t seem possible at the moment.
There are some fundamental factors supporting this weakness. However, as a chart analyst, I focus on the signals within the chart itself.
What I see is a possible target around 18,400, which aligns with the L-MLH.
With the weakness of the MAG7, the Nasdaq is unlikely to make further gains. The options are sideways or down. The latter is what I trade according to the rulebook.
BTC is looking like more down, but a great buy opportunity Head and shoulders for BTC was invalidated recently leaving a short term play that looks like some more downside than up, for the very short term in any case. It looks like the green trend line was broken of late. Typically when there's a break, the price action comes back down to buffet on it for a short while before taking off agian. Let's see what happens, it looks like a great buying opportunity though. Cycles in green semi circles also pervail to there being more down than up to go. Follow and share for more.
BTC CME Short Model and Long ModelNow Bitcoin is in the Premium zone, where it is better to consider short positions for a short-term movement to the Discount zone. If the Market Maker goes for equal lows, which is a good exit point, or if the Market Maker goes long, then the exact entry will be better in the Discount zone, return to where the accumulation was, and see what candles will be formed at this level.
If we look at TOTAL 1 2 3, we will see that these assets are also in the Premium zone, which can also be good support for short positions.
The Trump DumpCaution to the sensitive bulls, you're not going to like this one...
I know we all like hopium and up-only charts, but this isn't it. Those only exist in fairytales. This is trading and we have to stay grounded if you plan to actually profit outside of the HODL philosophy.
The truth is that elections don't matter, new events doesn't matter. At least not how the majority thinks they do. These events merely mark points in time, they can be catalysts or pivots. But those time points don't care about your philosophy on the actual event.
Let the emotion and philosophy in and you'll lose, guaranteed. Close those out and look only at the charts, using those events to understand important time points to pay attention to and you might see that this one is going to be critical.
On a macro picture, this market structure has been clear, simply a series of expansions and ranges (I know, obvious, this is how all price moves). But recently we had a strong expansion beyond the all-time high, which might seem bullish at first glance but is going to be a liquidity trap in hindsight.
On a more local view, we have our range forming after this larger expansion and that range has already generated a fakeout higher and come back into the range, with the next breakout of the range to be to the downside. I do not trade blind FVGs or other ICT stuff, but there will be a lot of hindsight analysis from people claiming that this daily FVG was obvious.
Combine this with the important time events that has everyone so bullish, like elections or whatever, and you have the perfect recipe to wreck almost everyone.
From here, I am looking for AT LEAST a 30% drop . Targets may get lower as data comes in, but keeping it conservative until more high timeframe candles come in.
You may disagree with the post, but at least it has a clear bias.
GER40 - Short Setup My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.25600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.05000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.05000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
MSTR - Ponzi Loop Will Crash & BurnEvery now and then, I like to say that greed eats brains for breakfast. In the case of MSTR, though, it seems to have state approval to do so. How else could MSTR still be kicking?
There’s nothing to chart here. Nada. Zip. This is pure pump-and-dump economics born out of the "perfect storm" of circumstances.
Fast money? Sure, it's fast—but definitely not sustainable. It’s also a foolproof recipe for losing not just your shirt, but your pants and maybe even your dignity. Remember GME and all the other “get rich quick” lemming programs? Only a microscopic percentage actually "got rich," and an even tinier fraction stayed rich. Most of them? Just cautionary tales with a hefty dose of regret. Sorry, gamblers… err, "investors." §8-)
Instead of betting the farm on people like Michael Saylor, how about this revolutionary idea: use your own brain. Learn chart analysis, develop real skills, and slowly build up a nest egg that’ll still be around when you’re old and gray.
But hey, who am I to judge?
MSTR SHORT until 0.0001
USDCHF Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.902.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.876 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 28.536 level.
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GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/USD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.243 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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06/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,987.05
Last weeks low: $91,544.67
Midpoint: $95,265.86
2024 is over, 2025 has begun...
Bitcoin ending the year at its highest point since its creation after an impressive rally mainly at both ends of the year with a cool off in the middle.
Now that 2025 has started Bitcoin is looking to break $100,000 once more and begin what many believe to be the final year of the bullmarket. With the holidays now over and year open window dressing now done I would expect volume to return to the markets. Last week we saw a steady climb from the $92,000, whipsaw PA at year end and then a move up to just under $100,000. All that on very low volume which does make me a little worried, similar to weekend moves it's hard to know if they are true moves or just the result of a thin orderblock, this week will answer that question.
Some important data releases for this week include:
Tuesday - Euro CPI
Wednesday - US ADP Nonfarm employment, FOMC minutes
Thursday - CNY CPI & PPI, US Jobless claims
Friday - US Unemployment rate
As we get closer to president Trumps inauguration and the shift in the US from an anti crypto approach to a pro crypto approach, this week should be in preparation for that and could be reactive to news of Trumps administration choices and updates on the "Strategic bitcoin reserve" etc. These reactions could be positive or negative so getting a read on the market in the opening few days maybe wise.
The chart shows and early break above weekly high, this opens up the opportunity for a SFP if the weekly high is lost, if that is the case a drawdown towards Midpoint is on the cads, however if the weekly high is held as support a move towards $100,000 once again is the bullish target. Increased volume would cement either move as the weekly bias.
Good luck to all this year!
EUR/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/USD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.032.
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