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ISRG - MyMI Option PlaysSaw some worse-than-expected Quarterly Results and we were already looking at some Potential PUTs on the stock. We're looking at a potential $225 Price Target which we actually saw those price levels into today's premarket. We expect to see even lower price levels than $219 on a Double Oversold Bounce to the downside on the lower timeframes just due to the momentum to the downside. Could see some potential 100% gains intraday even, so will buy a few and then sell one to take the initial investment back and look at holding shares on the turnaround at the bottom. Will add lower time frame charts in comments on the trade! Thanks for tuning in! MyMI Wallet
NASDAQ:ISRGShort
by MyMIWallet
Russel 2000 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Russel 2000 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Currently our volatility for Russel is at 4.3%, increasing from 3.76% last week, located on 70th percentile, placing us in a high volatility environment Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 16.7% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below) TOP 1746 BOT 1620 At the same time, based on the previous calculations: - There is a 28% chance that the previous high from last week of 1830 is going to be touched - There is a 70% chance that the previous low from last week 1660 is going to be touched We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish. On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 2.9% for bull candles and 2.95% for the bear candles from the opening price. From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week: - Core Durable release, CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep - Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep - US GDP and Jobless Claims coming on Thursday 29 Sep - Core PCE on Friday 29 Sep Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by exlux
SP500 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September SP500 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Currently our volatility coming from volatility token for SPX is at 4.15%, increasing from 3.41% last week, located on 80th percentile, placing us in a high volatility environment Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 10% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below) TOP 3831 BOT 3578 At the same time, based on the previous calculations: - There is a 35% chance that the previous high from last week of 3933is going to be touched - There is a 65%chance that the previous low from last week of 3660 is going to be touched We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish. On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 2.51% for bull candles and 2.76% for the bear candles from the opening price. From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week: - Core Durable release, CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep - Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep - US GDP and Jobless Claims coming on Thursday 29 Sep - Core PCE on Friday 29 Sep Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by exlux
AAPL Put/Short Swing Idea - jtgladiatorNASDAQ:AAPL Hey fam, The AAPL swing idea is pretty straight forward. There was a decent reversal off 176.15 We had the inside candle on thursday followed by the big red candle down on Friday. Looking at the weekly we have a very long wick on the shooter. I am looking for a break below and hold of 171.31 to grab a 170p for 8/26 or 165p for 9/2 or later. The price action is pushing us down. Look for price aggregation to potentially reverse off this level. If it does, grab calls. Calls 175c > 173.74 or puts if it "rejects" Puts 170p or 165p < 171.31 - calls on the reversal My live chart www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by ApeManDan
$SPY - Switching to a Heavy ShortI've been talking about the market rallying upwards in my previous posts since June/July, and finally it's time for me to go short ( heavy ) in this market. :-) We've had strong #DP prints at these high levels that lead me to believe buyers are scaling out of their positions if not completely out. The flows have been consistent over the past couple of weeks with heavy Put flow today. We've been experiencing hard resistance this week, and re-testing it as the #FOMO fueled market drives upwards. At the most, I'm anticipating for a #bullish fake out if we do see more upside movement in the market. Reiterating my belief that we're far from the 2-2.5% #inflation and events like the spending bills passing will only serve to aggravate inflation. I've been keeping my expectations on where I feel the market will likely trend. This time around, I see us making a new low in the next 6-12 months if not sooner this upcoming fall.
AMEX:SPYShort
by theapearmy
SPY LOOKS LIKE A DUMP COMING - BUT WE KNOW SPY LOVES TO LIEAll, Pretty obvious rising area here which usually results in a dump. Personally I would be split here on calls and puts and wait for conformation. I give it 70/30 odds it drops. However, I think we all know SPY/market loves to give an impression and do the unthinkable. A) can we get positive news on war B) can we get sp500 ER / good news on some ones that are down C) positive fed news of any kind / inflation news A combination of TWO of these would probably breakup and cause a parabolic move up if that I think to 440-450. Either way always make sure to cover yourself in areas like this. You can always sell your call options for a 10-20% loss, which will easily get covered by your PUTS. Don't get greedy.
AMEX:SPYShort
by DigitalData
1
$AAPL for a Swing Put/ShortOn Friday, we saw $AAPL, $AMD, among other tickers like $MSFT, $NVDA, and $TSLA weigh down on the S&P 500. All of these tickers currently weigh on the bearish side and have affected the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. $AAPL has been retesting the blue S/R level at ~$150 and failing to move above it. Definitely a VERY bearish setup, however, anything can happen and there is potential for it to rip above again via an inverse H&S. Until then, I'm leaning bearish on AAPL and the high probability that the entire market will drag lower too. Keep in mind that we have bearish conviction in the form of OTM flow orders hitting the tape for next month on $SPY.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by theapearmy
Short and Long Iron Condor SPX 05 May 2022We can estimate with a 84% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 1.65% For this the market will stay within TOP 4371 BOT 4230 At the same time We can estimate with a 86% confidence that the volatility for today is going move more than 0.4% based on the last 5658 Daily candles. For this the market will stay above the TOP 4306 BOT 4272 From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises. From volume point, we can see that the point of concentration is around 4300-4285 Having said that we have 2 different ways of trading for today IRON CONDOR for the first option, with the 4370sell 4400buy Call / 4230sell 4200buy Put Reverse IRON CONDOR for the second option wiht 4305buy 4330sell Call/ 4275buy 4250sell PUT
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
SPY PRICE TARGET OF 431 - MARCH 3SPY is currently in a larger, but similar pattern to the one it completed about two weeks ago. It appears like a slanted W, and is caused by short sellers taking profit, but bulls not having enough momentum to create a higher high. Just like the previous (yellow) pattern, price did complete a very slight higher high (0.5% both times) and should now reject. The On Balance Volume indicator is also showing the start of a down trend in volume, another possible sign. I will be looking out for put opportunities tomorrow, March 3rd.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SJ_CAP
8
Tesla Major Bubble?Tesla has absolutely exploded in value especially since March 2020, which we believe was the beginning of a massive equity bubble. Tesla began trading around $40-80 range for over 6-years. The vehicles they produce now, they produced in 2017. The Tesla Battery and Tesla Solar Roof were all known back then as they are now. Tesla has not announced anything that should put their stock price at over $900. We know why the stock rallied to $1200, and that was solely the Fed. Perhaps most shocking is Tesla's P/E ratio which is now over 100X their earnings. This is extreme, and it screams asset bubble. Not even Toyota which is the worlds largest car manufacturer which produces both electric and gasoline vehicles has a P/E of less than 10. So where do we stand? We see equities going into a bear market. The FOMC of 1-26-2022 confirmed this when the Fed announced they are continuing their plans for tapering, raising rates, and shrinking their balance sheet. This will adversely affect the stock market and bring equities below a 15% correction, into a bear market. Key Factors Buying Volume Weak MACD Turning Bearish P/E Ratio: Extremely Overvalued. Fed Tapering, Raising Rates, and Shrinking Balance Sheet. 50MA is 1/3rd Current Value 100MA is $180 Range With the biggest buying of equities calling it quits and essentially "selling" this is a stock that I would get out of the way, short but do not expect a continued rally.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by WorldEconomics
6