Shortsignal
USDC & SVBIn the past 24 hours, the trading volume of the Bybit USDC/USDT perpetual contract pair exceeded an astonishing $380 million, and the annualized funding rate was as high as 740%
After Friday's stunning collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions swirled around the exposure of one of crypto's top firms, Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC.
In its March attestation, Circle had revealed that part of its $9.88 billion in cash reserves was held at SVB, although it did not disclose the total amount. Following the collapse of SVB, withdrawals from USDC mounted, with the crypto intelligence platform Nansen showing over $1 billion in redemptions from the stablecoin since SVB's shutdown. USDC has a market cap just north of $40 billion.
As USDC lost its $1 peg across different crypto exchanges amid withdrawals, Circle sought to instill confidence, with the company tweeting at 6:50 pm ET that it would continue to operate normally, sharing that SVB was one of the six banking partners it uses for the 25% of its reserves that it keeps in cash, although still not disclosing the amount held at SVB.
As investors continued to move out of USDC, Binance announced it would be temporarily suspending its auto-conversion policy of USDC to its BUSD stablecoin, citing "market conditions" and describing the action as a "normal risk-management procedural step." At 10:11 PM ET, Circle offered more clarity, tweeting that $3.3 billion—or around 8%—of its reserves remained at SVB, revealing that wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances from the bank had not been processed. Dante Disparte, Circle's chief strategy officer, tweeted soon after that Circle was protecting USDC "from a black swan failure in the banking system."
Meanwhile, USDC's peg continued to weaken, with the token trading at $0.92 against tether on Kraken as of 10:40 pm ET. Coinbase announced it would be temporarily pausing conversions from USDC to USD over the weekend while banks are closed, adding that during periods of heightened activity, conversions rely on USD transfers from banks that clear during normal banking hours. Coinbase worked with Circle to create USDC, launching the token in 2018.
After the FDIC placed SVB into receivership on Friday, the weekend will prove an uncertain time as the financial world waits to see if the U.S. government is able to find a buyer for the failed bank or will otherwise backstop losses, with insured deposits only backed up to $250,000. Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers called for depositors to be paid back in full.
While the crypto industry seems to be safe from SVB contagion for now, with much of the sector moving to Signature Bank and other partners in the wake of Wednesday's voluntary liquidation of Silvergate, Circle could prove the exception. The firm is a fundamental cog in the crypto ecosystem, with USDC serving as a crucial on-ramp into crypto for investors globally.
Some onlookers expressed confidence that Circle would be able to weather the storm. The investor Adam Cochran tweeted that Circle could cover a possible $3.3 billion gap from the interest it collects from reserves, a sale share, or other venture debt. "This is a non-issue in my mind," he wrote.
The hedge fund North Rock Digital CEO Hal Press said that they has continued to buy more USDC at $0.88, having previously bought at $0.935; he believes that USDC will end up fully repegging, a worst case 70% of the cash via asset sales USDC would still be worth 93c.
Resistance Ahead | Chance to ShortChart 3D TF
BINANCE:OPUSDT is in the Ascending Channel and moving up to the resistance around 1.86x
We define confluence zone at that level by the Descending Trend Line + Key Level + Golden Ratio 0.618 Fibo Re
So I expect OP will retrace to 1.5, it's a chance for Short Order
Wait a next move
Doji, Hammer, Pinbar and 7 Divergences ; Right after anotherSeems like there is a short-term dump incoming;
Weekly timeframe RSI divergence made exactly
under the '"May 2022"' resistance and the 0.5% Fib level ,
And there is 3 confirmative candles. Pinbar candle had made last week ,
a Hammer and a Doji candle had made 2 and 3 weeks ago.
If we make a daily candle closed under 30K ,
28K would be the next major support for BTC ,Even 25K after that . (my opinion)
Also all of the 3day ,daily ,12H ,8h ,6H ,even 4H had made RSI divergence.
I'm Bearish on BTC
A Great R/R on GBP/USD Short...A risky play here as GBP/USD rejects and falls back under 1.2667. There are two important highlights about taking a short here:
1) Price is still in an uptrend, so sizing must be small because it is risky to go short without confirmation.
2) That said, the potential reward is MASSIVE - considering a final TP around 1.07 you have a R/R of 17:1
A $100 risk would net you $1,700
EURJPY H4 - Short SignalEURJPY H4
Here is a comparitive, both eurozone base currencies, typically move very similarly due to correlation, the only factors being the length of the rally and the spikes caused from recent interest rate hikes and economic outlooks from central banks. That being said, both following suit to some degree.
I think we are starting to hit the pivot points for correction as mentioned last week, we have just yet to have seen it. An inkling of downside volume last week, can we see this resume again going forward?
TOMO moving downTOMO reached the supply zone in daily timeframe and now is moving downward to break the trend line; a bearish market, which is probable, can give a giant profit on short position
MA is seems to be weak.MA is showing weakness on 1W chart.
There is a big sell zone near 382$ where buyers have tried to win sellers, but all 6 attempts (mentioned on chart) were losing.
I expect two signals of weakness that will give confirmation of closing long position/ opening short position.
First signal is closing 1W candle under ema50 (about 357$ at mom). (This signal will be very strong, because it will be multiplied it strength with closing 1D candle under ema200, that is a confirmation for closing long position).
Second signal is closing 1W under critical level 347$ - that will be confirmation of opening short position.
Main targets are shown on chart and now are
320$, 250$, 215$.
You need to be very patient and wait until confirmation of next bullish market on this stock, big bounce (about +20%) I expect on 215$ (-45% from high 2023). Big bullish trend will be later, when chart will build again a structure: Price>ema30>ema50>ema200.