USDJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is moving to the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The volatility of the movement has decreased.
The price has reached the resistance level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Signals
Doubts are confirmed. Watching for 100.5KMorning folks,
Last time we decided to take a pause, because too weak performance on supposedly bearish market has confused us. Now our doubts are confirmed, indeed the action that we see now is not typical and natural for bearish market. It is too wobble and slow. This is not the way how bearish market normally moves.
It doesn't mean that potentially bearish scenario and deeper retracement are cancelled totally. It means that they could start with different patterns. Thus, on daily we're watching for something like this, although do not exclude that it might be Double Top later as well:
Since the shoulder stands around ~100.5K, we do not consider any shorts until it will be reached. 1H chart shows upside AB-CD with the same extension target. We consider no longs.
GOLD maintains a narrow recovery rangeOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a recovery trend and narrow range during the day. As of the time of writing, gold price is currently trading at about 2,633 USD/ounce. On this trading day, investors will pay attention to many important data such as the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, PMI and the housing market, which are expected to stimulate activate market conditions and create market volatility.
Today (Thursday), seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week of December 28 will be released, expected to be 224,000, compared to 219,000 the previous week.
If the latest initial unemployment claims are lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and affect the price of gold and major non-US currencies.
On the same day, the final value of the US Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December will be announced, expected to be 48.3.
US construction spending in November will be released, with the monthly rate expected to increase 0.3%.
On the daily chart it's OANDA:XAUUSD is still trading in a very narrow operating range, with temporary short-term rallies still limited by pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. Note to readers in digital publications out first.
Temporarily, gold's trend is quite neutral with the possibility of accumulation depicted by the purple triangle. However, based on the current position, gold has more conditions to decrease in price with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still below level 50, level 50 is considered resistance or support for RSI depending on conditions. RSI's lawsuit.
On the other hand, gold could open a new bearish cycle once it is sold below the 0.786% Fibonacci level and the subsequent target of $2,538 in the short term. Even if gold recovers above EMA21, it is still unable to create a concrete uptrend, with pressure from the upper edge of the purple price triangle.
Using the POC Volume Profile we will also see that the area around 2,634 – 2,640USD is an area where a lot of trading occurs, this should be considered a pressure area given gold's current position.
During the day, gold's trend is neutral with technical conditions tilted to the downside and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,640USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2595
→Take Profit 1 2606
↨
→Take Profit 2 2611
World gold price todayOver the past 10 years, January has typically been the best month for gold. However, Low said that is not necessarily true in the post-pandemic era when countries are still struggling. He pointed out that while recent data shows that Chinese gold demand has been strong over the past 12 months, some US factors could hold back gold prices this month. Investors are still looking at the hawkish factors at the US central bank’s final policy meeting of the year, he said. The revelation that the Fed will slow its pace of rate cuts this year has put the US dollar in a good position, which is not very positive for the precious metal.
Another issue Low noted was that the technical outlook for the yellow metal had deteriorated somewhat over the past week. He observed that prices had fallen below the 100-day moving average for the first time in more than a year. Although prices have rebounded in subsequent sessions on the back of buying from investors, he noted that this is also a negative sign for gold.
Gold price today 1/2/2025Safe haven demand and central bank rate cuts are the catalysts for gold’s rise in 2024, with the precious metal likely to rise more than 26% in the year, its best performance since 2010. Experts say these factors will continue to drive the precious metal in the new year. However, sentiment is likely to turn more cautious given the policy shift under US President Donald Trump.
Geopolitical tensions are expected to remain elevated next year, as central banks continue to buy gold, while the US debt problem could return. Donald Trump. All of this will provide safe haven demand for the precious metal...
This expert commented that this year will be a bit difficult for gold as the price of this precious metal has increased by nearly 27% in 2024. Prices cooled down in November and December but mainly due to the US election results as it somewhat affected the outlook of the US Federal Reserve (FED) this year.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2636 - 2638🔥
💵 TP1: 2615
💵 TP2: 2605
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2645
EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD stabilizes around 1.0400, with low volumes and a cautious market favoring a resilient US Dollar. The technical setup remains bearish: the 20-period moving average acts as dynamic resistance at 1.0470, while the 100 and 200-period moving averages confirm the downward trend. Technical indicators are weak and lack clear direction, highlighting the absence of bullish momentum. Key support is at 1.0370, with immediate resistance levels at 1.0440 and 1.0470.
Fundamentally, the Dollar benefits from a stronger US economy and expectations of less accommodative monetary policies, while the Euro faces pressure from weak sentiment and uncertain economic prospects in the Eurozone. Key events, such as the Global Outlook Report and the FOMC meeting in January, could increase volatility.
In the short term, the outlook remains bearish with the risk of approaching parity. However, the medium and long term could offer buying opportunities, supported by potential economic recovery in Europe and a weaker Dollar after the peak in US interest rates.
Lingrid | GOLD channel BREAKOUT. Short from RESISTANCE zoneOANDA:XAUUSD market dipped below the 2600 support level before bouncing back to test the resistance zone. It also broke and closed below the upward channel. Now, the price is near a swap zone where it has changed direction multiple times. I think the market will keep pushing down from here and will likely retest the recent support level. Since the price has fallen from this level before, there's a good chance it will do so again. I expect the price to continue consolidating and retest the support level following the rebound. My goal is support level ay 2600
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USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends!
As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend.
Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios
This analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Key Levels:
Critical Zone: 155.47–154.75
This zone acts as a pivotal level for the continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the daily candle does not close below this range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Upside Targets:
The first resistance level is identified at 160.099.
A breakout above this level could lead to further gains, with the next target at 161.753.
Indicator Insights:
DTOsc (DT Oscillator):
The oscillator is moving toward the oversold region.
This could align with a price reaction from the key support zone, aiding the potential resumption of the uptrend.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios
This analysis focuses on the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current setup reflects the importance of a key range for maintaining the bullish outlook.
Key Levels:
Critical Zone: 155.47–154.75
This zone acts as a pivotal level for the continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the daily candle does not close below this range, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Upside Targets:
The first resistance level is identified at 160.099.
A breakout above this level could lead to further gains, with the next target at 161.753.
Indicator Insights:
DTOsc (DT Oscillator):
The oscillator is moving toward the oversold region.
This could align with a price reaction from the key support zone, aiding the potential resumption of the uptrend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the 155.47–154.75 support zone holds and the daily candle closes above this range, the pair is likely to resume its uptrend toward the 160.099 and 161.753 targets.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 154.75 would invalidate the bullish outlook and may lead to increased selling pressure.
Conclusion:
USD/JPY is trading within a critical range, with the 155.47–154.75 level serving as a decisive zone for the continuation of the uptrend. As long as this level holds on a daily closing basis, the pair is expected to climb toward its higher targets.
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COINBASE approaching the 1W MA50 and turns into a Buy again.Coinbase (COIN) has gone a long way since our September 09 buy signal (see chart below):
Even though it marginally missed the $360 Target, the pattern served in an excellent way those investors who bought at the bottom of its dominant 2-year Channel Up. The September - December Bullish Leg was by a narrow margin, the shortest (+141.45%) of Coinbase's total 5 major rallies within this pattern.
As the price is yet again approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it is gradually turning into a Buy opportunity again. Even though the shortest Bearish Leg has been -38.74% and that currently places the projected bottom level a little over $215, the 1W RSI has already broken below its MA (yellow trend-line), which has been the ultimate buy signal on all previous technical corrections with the exception of last April.
As a result, there are more probabilities to see COIN resume the 2-year bullish trend, with the Risk/ Reward Ratio (RRR) turning favorable again. A Dollar-cost-averaging strategy is also suited for those seeking less risk.
Our Target from now on is $500, which represents a +141.45% rise (as mentioned above, the shortest within the Channel Up).
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Lingrid | EURUSD Intraday Selling OPPORTUNITY The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:EURUSD made a downward impulse move, creating a large bearish candle. The market is currently consolidating, providing an opportunity to take advantage of its sideways movement. It is rolling back towards a resistance zone and an upward trendline. Looking left, we see that the price has bounced off this area twice before, so it could potentially rebound again given the current sideways trend. I expect the price to reject the resistance zone, leading to a decline. My goal is support zone around 1.03800
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | SUIUSDT possible Sell-Off at the Dawn of 2025BINANCE:SUIUSDT is currently consolidating after reaching the psychological level at 5.00. It’s been moving back and forth, forming lower highs while bouncing off the trendline. The last two weeks of December and the first two weeks of January were characterized by sideways movement last year, and it appears we may be experiencing a similar situation now. It’s important to note that there was a strong bullish impulse leg before, but the price failed to continue moving higher, indicating a lack of bullish momentum to sustain that upward movement. This suggests that we might see some bearish action in the near term, potentially setting the stage for a stronger bullish move later on. I expect the market to retest at least channel border. My goal is support zone around 3.61
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Lingrid | EURUSD continues to SEE ConsolidationLast week, FX:EURUSD bounced off the resistance zone at 1.04400 and moved lower, but it didn’t have enough bearish momentum to keep going down. Instead, it returned to the level it was at the previous Monday, creating an equal high. I believe the market will push a little higher before pulling back and continuing its bearish move. However, since many markets are in consolidation due to the holidays, there's a chance this week could be another sideways week. Nevertheless, I expect the price to rise above the EQHs before eventually falling. My goal is support zone around 1.03830
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GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallHello, my wonderful friends, Ben here!
Gold prices are currently testing key levels of interest during a corrective phase against the trend, following a breakout from a significant level. The fundamental backdrop is not particularly favorable, with the market under consistent downward pressure.
The bearish sentiment around gold is intensifying as U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, and the USD strengthens toward the end of the week, reducing the appeal of the precious metal. Notably, the US Dollar Index has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains near its highest level since early May.
Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and the potential impact of his inflationary policies, which could have significant implications for the Federal Reserve's outlook in 2025. Stay cautious!
From a technical perspective, the price is currently trading within a short-term descending channel, formed after the termination of a rising wedge pattern. The outlook suggests a higher probability of further declines. The 2622 level is a critical threshold—if sellers maintain pressure below this zone, the downtrend could extend further, with potential targets at 2605 and 2596, among others.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
Gold Prices Today (December 31): Broad Decline Across the BoardHello, dear friends! Ben here!
Spot gold has successfully climbed past the $2,600 mark during the U.S. trading session, continuing its retreat from Friday's peak of $2,638.
Driving the current sentiment is the U.S. dollar (USD), which gained strength as Wall Street opened amidst lackluster performance in local indices. Weak trading volumes further intensified the drop in equities, fueling a short-term rally in the USD. Yet, despite these temporary setbacks, the three major indices are on track to close another year with impressive gains.
Meanwhile, market participants are shedding high-yield assets as uncertainty looms over what 2025 may bring. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has signaled its intent to slow the pace of rate cuts, given that inflation remains stubbornly high. Adding to the tension, former President Donald Trump is set to return to the White House on January 20, with his anticipated protectionist policies likely to exacerbate inflationary pressures in the years ahead.
Given these dynamics, a bearish outlook on gold remains dominant in the short and medium term. Attention is centered around the 2,610 resistance level—so long as sellers defend this zone, gold appears poised to decline further, with potential targets in the 2,596–2,587 range.
What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
NASDAQ headed into a volatile January but uptrend remains intactNasdaq (NDX) is yet again testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the direct hit of December 20. Despite the pull-back, it is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
Until we get a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern remains intact and the strategy is to continue buying into the current Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg has been trading above its 1D MA50 since September 12, it is not unlikely to see a correction below it.
Technically, it could be similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), as we are trading within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. This means that one more rise above the 0.382 Fib is to be expected in the first week of January but it is likely to then see a correction for the rest of the month below the 1D MA50 into the first 2 weeks of February.
If after that, the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA200 levels hold, we expect the Bullish Leg to resume the uptrend and target 25300. That would be a rise of around +48%, which is the % rise of both previous Bullish Legs.
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