EUR-GBP Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 0.8370 and we are
Already seeing a bullish
Reaction so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
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Signals
Gold long-time analysis, bull run is coming.The possibility of a global recession
Successive increase in interest rates in all economies of the world and imposing costs on economies.
Political tensions (Ukraine/Taiwan/Iran)
Printing money without backing(just see USM2 chart).
Inefficiency of the crypto market.
US10Y Strong sell signal below the 1D MA50.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 23 2023 High. In the past 2 months it has been on a downtrend, which is the technical Bearish Leg of the pattern.
The 1D MACD is on its 2nd Bullish Cross on a decline, very similar with the previous Bearish Leg of the Channel Down. We are again on the 0.5 Fibonacci level and as long as any rebound gets rejected below or on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the long-term bearish pattern remains intact.
We expect a similar Bearish Leg of -24% overall to target 3.685%.
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BITCOIN Is this a Falling Wedge bottom formation?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading since the February 28 Low within a Falling Wedge pattern, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the same time supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Throughout its dominant Bull Cycle pattern, the +2 year Channel Up, it has formed another 6 such Falling Wedges, all below the 1D MA50 and all turned out to be market bottom formations, which paved the way for an immediate bullish break-out. On all occasions, the 1D CCI has been almost as low as on the February Low.
The shortest rebound it made before another break below the 1D MA50, was +26.68% and the highest was +106.96%. As a result this gives us a minimum immediate potential Target of $96800 and a maximum of a little more than $150000. Given that the price has touched the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, like the bottom formations of September 06 2024 and September 11 2023, it is quite likely to see the stronger rebound probability taking place.
But what do you think would be the case? Is this a classical Falling Wedge bottom break-out formation and if so what may be the Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | USDCHF Corrective MOVEMENT and TREND ContinuationFX:USDCHF market is consolidating after the bearish momentum. We can see the price making lower lows and lower closes showing bearish dominance. The market bounced off the support level and is forming a corrective leg against the major bearish trend. I think the market may retest the resistance zone at 0.88700, which is a range zone that often acts as both support and resistance. If we see a rejection at this area, we can anticipate the continuation of the current trend toward the previous week low. My goal is support zone around 0.87750
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.085.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.077 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.293.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.284 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCAD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.865.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.822.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Lingrid | GOLD channel BREAKOUT: All-Time HIGH on the Horizon?The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target zone. The price of OANDA:XAUUSD is currently at a critical level, as it faces resistance near the weekly high and the February high, where it may struggle to break above. However, the price broke and closed above the upward channel, which is a bullish sign. Overall, the price action is forming an ABC move, with point C expected to complete around the 2975 level. Additionally, the price has broken above a bullish flag pattern on the 1H timeframe. Given the high-impact today, there is a possibility that the price could make a false breakout above the February high before pulling back after the news release, so caution is warranted. I expect the market to complete the ABC move, although there is also a chance that the price may take liquidity above the key resistance before rolling back. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 2975
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GOLD nears $3,000 as trade tensions escalateOANDA:XAUUSD have surged to an all-time high, just shy of the key $3,000-an-ounce mark as global trade tensions and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut push them closer to a record high. They have risen nearly 14% this year, following a 27% gain in 2024.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Thursday threatened to impose 200% tariffs on wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages from France and the rest of the European Union, marking a further escalation in global trade tensions.
Trump tweeted Thursday that he would impose import tariffs if the European Union continues to impose duties on U.S. whiskey exports. The EU's move is in retaliation for Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs that took effect on Wednesday.
Trump also had harsher words for the European Union. The EU has been one of the United States' closest allies for decades. Trump posted on his Truth Social platform: "The European Union is one of the most hostile and abusive tax and tariff organizations in the world, and their sole purpose is to take advantage of the United States. They just put a disgusting 50% tariff on whiskey. If this tariff is not removed immediately, the United States will soon put a 200% tariff on all wine, champagne and spirits coming from France and other EU member states. This will be a tremendous boon to the American wine and champagne industry."
Trump’s trade policy changes have boosted the price of gold, an asset favored by investors during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
In addition, the Wall Street Journal reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin had rejected plans for an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, which also contributed to the safe-haven buying of gold.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that Russia will not agree to an immediate end to fighting in Ukraine and called for further discussions on ending the war permanently, The Wall Street Journal reported. Moscow’s military is now advancing rapidly, aiming to push Ukrainian troops out of the Kursk region. Putin said any ceasefire at this stage would be in Ukraine’s interests because Russia is winning on the battlefield and there are many issues that need to be resolved before a ceasefire can be reached.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, said its holdings rose to 907.82 tonnes on February 25, the highest since August 2023. Meanwhile, data from China's central bank showed China bought gold for a fourth straight month in February.
Over the weekend, data on US consumer confidence and inflation expectations will be less in the spotlight than tariffs and geopolitical headlines.
For economic data, readers can find more details in the signature section through brief comments during the day.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down slightly year-to-date after approaching the important raw price level of $3,000.
The current correction is also not significant as the uptrend will still dominate the chart with the price channel as the nearest support at present, the main support is noted by the EMA21 and the other support is the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet risen above the overbought zone, indicating that there is still room for upside.
Intraday, as long as gold remains above the price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level, its main short-term outlook remains bullish. Even if gold falls below the aforementioned support area, it remains in an overall bullish trend, so the current declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
Next, the target will be the full price point of $3,000 in the short term and more at the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level.
The notable positions for the day are listed as follows.
Support: $2,977 – $2,956
Resistance: $3,000 – $3,021
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2957
↨
→Take Profit 2 2963
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday.
Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments.
Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility.
The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond.
What are your thoughts on gold?
Best regards, Bentradegold!
USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart.
Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement.
I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level!
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here!
Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further.
Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment.
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
GOLD Strong Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2949$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Up after the potential pullback
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AVAXUSD: Could target $125 by the end of this CycleAvalanche is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.910, MACD = -2.280, ADX = 35.079) but the bullish dynamics should start accelerating now as the price hit the HL trendline of December 2020. This is the bottom of the multi year Triangle pattern and with the 1W RSI as low as the August 5th 2024 bottom, we expect the final rally of this Bull Cycle to start. Technically it should break above the LH trendline as all Bull Cycle rallies hit (or came close to) their 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Buy and aim for slightly below it (TP = 125.000).
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GOLD hits Bullish targets, heading for all-time highAs tariff uncertainty pushed money into safe havens, cooling US inflation kept market expectations of a Fed rate cut intact and optimism over a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine cooled, OANDA:XAUUSD surged and broke out of its recent sideways consolidation trading range.
OANDA:XAUUSD surged past the $2,942/oz target on safe-haven demand. Weaker US CPI data also supported expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, pushing gold higher.
The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.8% year-on-year in February, slightly below the 2.9% expected and down from January's 3.0%. The year-on-year increase in the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, eased to 3.1% from January's 3.3%.
Recent news of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine also cooled earlier optimism.
British news agency Reuters reported on Wednesday that Russian officials were skeptical about the U.S. proposal for a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday that the Kremlin was still waiting for the United States to announce its proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine. The Kremlin needs to hear the results of the U.S.-Ukraine talks before commenting on whether Russia can accept the ceasefire.
Commenting on a ceasefire proposal that has been accepted by both U.S. and Ukrainian officials, an influential Russian lawmaker insisted on Wednesday that any deal must be reached on Russian terms, not U.S.
A senior Russian source said President Vladimir Putin would be unlikely to agree to a ceasefire proposal without finalizing the terms and receiving some guarantees.
Ukraine accepted a US proposal for a 30-day ceasefire with Russia on Tuesday in exchange for the Trump administration resuming suspended military aid and intelligence sharing. The deal was announced by US and Ukrainian officials after eight hours of talks in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday.
Trump said US officials would meet with their Russian counterparts on Wednesday and he could meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin this week.
The World Gold Council (WGC) revealed that central banks continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China and the National Bank of Poland added 10 tonnes and 29 tonnes of gold, respectively, in the first two months of 2025.
Traders will next keep a close eye on the release of the US producer price index (PPI) for February, initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment data.
OANDA:XAUUSD technical outlook analysis
On the daily chart, as of the time of writing, gold has achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in the weekly publication, along with all the conditions for the possibility of a price increase when there is no more resistance ahead other than the all-time high.
The short-term price channel is noted as the trend at the moment, along with the Relative Strength Index RSI maintaining above 50, surpassing 61, showing that the bullish momentum dominates the market and there is still a lot of room for price increase ahead because it is still quite far from reaching the overbought area.
The most notable supports now are the $2,929 level in the short term, followed by the EMA21 area.
Overall, the uptrend is dominating on the daily chart, with notable price levels listed below.
Support: $2,929 – $2,915
Resistance: $2,956
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2761 - 2974⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
→Take Profit 1 2968
↨
→Take Profit 2 2962
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2904 - 2906⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2912
↨
→Take Profit 2 2918
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