NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD went down from
The rising resistance just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis now the pair has
Reached the horizontal support
Of 0.5690 from where we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Reaction and we will be
Expecting a further bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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Signals
USD/JPY: Liquidity Grab Below Weekly LowThe chart shows that the price has grabbed liquidity below the weekly low, potentially triggering a bullish reaction. Analyzing the current USD/JPY situation, recent economic data highlights bearish pressure on the dollar due to declining consumer confidence in the U.S. and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while the yen is strengthening on the back of more solid economic indicators. Technically, the price has rejected a key demand zone and remains below the psychological threshold of 150.00, which acts as a crucial resistance. If the price confirms a bullish structure on lower timeframes, we could see an upward move towards the 152.00-152.50 area, aligning with a supply zone and moving average confluence. However, a close below recent lows could invalidate this outlook, paving the way for a further drop toward the next support at 146.00.
S&P 500: Rejection at Resistance and Potential Downside RisksThe chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone around 6,150 points, highlighted by the red area. After an attempt to break through, the price faced strong bearish pressure, falling back below the 6,100 level. The current retracement has led the price to test the 50-day moving average (yellow), which has so far provided temporary support. However, breaking this structure could increase the risk of a sharper decline toward the intermediate support at 5,924, marked by the dashed yellow line.
Recent macroeconomic releases, such as the decline in retail sales and weakening consumer confidence, are weighing on market sentiment, increasing pressure on stock indices. Additionally, uncertainty related to tariffs proposed by the U.S. administration is adding volatility, with investors showing signs of risk aversion. If the price fails to quickly recover the 6,100-6,150 area, the next bearish target could be the more structured support zone at 5,850-5,800, identified by the lower blue area.
In summary, the technical structure reflects a moment of uncertainty with a clear rejection from the weekly resistance. A recovery above 6,100 could bring buyers back in control, while further weakness would open the door to new declines toward lower support levels.
#Tesla $TSLA is approaching key levels. NASDAQ:TSLA D1
Key levels:
$300: 1 Year demand zone.
$280: 200 SMA + a significant lower channel wedge extending since April 2024.
A bounce from these levels will fuel more momentum to $375 or more.
A weekly close below $270 will unlock a new zone extended down to $230
#TSLA #TESLA #STOCKS #AHMEDMESBAH
GBPNOK at Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 14.0670FOREXCOM:GBPNOK has reached a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see a bearish move. A successful rejection could push the pair toward the 14.06700 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPAUD - Short Setup at Key Resistance LevelOANDA:GBPAUD is approaching a major resistance zone, an area where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable reversals in the past. This level is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control.
The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward the 1.99200 level. However, if the price breaks above this zone, the bearish outlook could be invalidated, opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
META priced the new Channel Up bottom. Eyes $800 next.Meta Platforms (META) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 02, while reaching the bottom of the short-term (dashed) Channel Up and the 1D RSI the November 15 2024 Low.
Since the 2-year pattern is also a Channel Up, this pull-back is a natural technical correction before the next Bullish Leg. Both previous rallies that started after long-term Accumulation Phases, then rallied by at least +45.10%.
As a result, we treat this correction as the most optimal medium-term buy opportunity to target $800 (top of dashed Channel Up and +45.10% from the Accumulation Phase bottom).
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DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week.
All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400.
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EURJPY Strong oversold buy opportunity.The EURJPY pair broke again below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of its Rectangle pattern and is consolidating. Every time this break-out occurred, the price was a buy opportunity.
This time, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which makes the opportunity even stronger. We are expecting a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test below the Lower Highs trend-line at 162.250.
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GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next?
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery.
While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942
Support: 2,905 – 2,888
At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios:
A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound.
A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend.
If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum.
Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
SPX500USD Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5,987.7.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,125.2 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,912.567.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,929.572 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDUSD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.632.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.640.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPNZD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2.217.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2.209 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAUUSD strong down opportunity to big falling 1. Resistance Zone Validity – The marked resistance zone appears strong due to multiple rejections. However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong bullish momentum, a further rally may occur instead of the expected drop.
2. Support Strength – The lower support around 2,890 is a key level. However, if buyers aggressively step in before reaching it, the price could consolidate or reverse prematurely, invalidating the expected bearish move.
3. Market Context – Fundamental factors like economic data, interest rates, or geopolitical events could impact gold prices, overriding this technical setup.
4. False Breakdown Risk – Price could briefly dip below intermediate support and then reverse sharply, trapping sellers in a bear trap
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias
The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance.
However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning:
A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move.
2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend
There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid.
Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout.
A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation.
3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels
The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection.
The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move
Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely.
4. Resistance Might Hold Strong
The resistance area is broad, meaning:
A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback.
The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line.
Alternative Scenario:
Instead of assuming an instant bullish move:
1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop.
2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout.
3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market.
Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low.
That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline.
As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib.
The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000.
So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USDCHF Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.896.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.891 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Lingrid | GBPUSD Divergence at Critical RESISTANCE LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. FX:GBPUSD market is currently making higher highs; however, it appears to be losing momentum as the price approaches the key level at 1.27000. Additionally, a bearish divergence suggests that a pullback may be imminent. The price has been moving sideways in a range zone since Friday, reflecting indecision at this level. Thus, I think the market might form a spike to take liquidity above the recent highs before pushing lower. The last weekly candle is a small doji-like candle, which often indicates a potential reversal, especially as the price is nearing a key resistance zone. My goal is support zone around 1.25075
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Lingrid | XRPUSDT Retest the RESISTANCE Zone and Potential DROPThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It reached the target. BINANCE:XRPUSDT market is currently making lower lows and lower closes, indicating a bearish pressure. After consolidating below the 3.00 psychological level, the price has dropped lower towards the support zone at 2.00. The market also broke and close below the upward trendline triggering sell offs. Since the 2.00 level has not yet been tested, I expect the price may continue to push lower. It seems likely that the price will seek liquidity below this psychological level. I expect a small pullback before the market resumes the bearish momentum. My goal is support zone around 2.00
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NZDUSD at Key Support - Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
After making a new high, price has now pulled back for another retest of this support zone, presenting a potential continuation setup.
If buyers step in at this level, the price could resume its upward momentum toward 0.57610 as the next key target. A strong rejection from this zone would further confirm bullish strength.
However, a deeper breakdown below the support area could indicate a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action for bullish confirmation will be key before entering long positions.
What’s your outlook on this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
AUDJPY at Key Support Level – Potential Rebound to 95.900OANDA:AUDJPY has reached a significant demand zone, where past price action shows strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key support, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers re-enter the market.
If the support holds, a bullish reversal could push the pair toward 95.900, a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. Confirmation signals to watch for include bullish engulfing candles, long lower wicks, or increased buying volume, which would strengthen the case for an upside move.
However, if the price breaches this zone and sustains below it, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, increasing the likelihood of further downside. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical level is crucial for identifying potential trade opportunities.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
USD/JPY Correction Could Offer Shelling OpportunityIn my USD/JPY analysis last week, I mentioned a high probability of the pair breaking support and continuing its decline.
That scenario has played out, with USD/JPY dropping below the key 151 support zone and now trading around 149.50.
An upside correction may be next, potentially providing traders with an opportunity to enter short and ride the downtrend.
Conclusion:
Rallies around 150.50 should be seen as selling opportunities, and as previously stated, I expect a further drop to 146. 📉
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.