Morning folks, So, the pullback, based on 3-Drive is done. Long-term upside target is 42K. But, now market stands on tricky background. It has to keep going higher to new top to confirm bullish context. Until it stands around the top - maybe nominal, but chances exist for downside deeper retracement. That's why, if you plan to go long - don't place too far...
Morning folks, So, 3-Drive "Sell" has reached potential reversal point. What do we have now? DXY shows bullish weekly grabber, suggesting return back to 107.5 top, yields are raising. On daily BTC we have bearish grabbers, suggesting downside action, and here - 3-Drive "Sell". This combination tells, that if even you want to buy BTC - it would be better to...
Morning folks, BTC is exploiting the same ETF topic, coming to the target of our 3-Drive "Sell" pattern. Major context remains bullish, so we do not consider taking any shorts. Although scalp traders, could start watching for bearish patterns on 30 min and below around 37K area, if reaction on 3-Drive starts. If 3-Drive works properly, we could get some deep...
Morning folks, So, BTC keeps positive mood. Environment also stands friendly - DXY collapsed and yields are going down. We sill consider market reaction on strong weekly resistance area of 36K, but change the pattern that could put the start for this reaction. Last week we've considered possible H&S. Recent price action now makes us to change our view in favor...
Morning folks, So, our intraday butterfly is done. Market now officially hits weekly strong resistance area around 36K and completed weekly XOP target. Next nearest level is 38.08K, which is Yearly Pivot Resistance 1. Since current place is not good for taking new longs, we suggest to see some response of strong area. Once of the possible ways is appearing of...
Morning folks, Last time we've said that BTC is near strong weekly resistance of 35.5-36K area, and agreed to wait for response to consider next step. Now, week just has started, so, no response is formed yet. Still, we suggest that this is not good point for new long entry, at least from technical point of view, if you trade on daily/weekly time frames. On...
Morning folks, BTC has hit our weekly target of 36K. Now price stands at rock hard resistance of upside XOP target, Fib K-resistance and daily overbought. It makes sense to wait for the pullback.
Morning folks, Not occasionally last time we've said - let's wait until the close of the week. And right on Friday situation has changed drastically. We haven't got any of potentially bearish patterns. Although we keep watching for weekly H&S pattern, but since there is no bearish signs yet on lower time frames - we do not consider taking any shorts by far. If...
Morning folks, So, reaction on fake ETF news makes evident that this even is highly overpriced. Jump just for 3K discovers that this is purely speculative reaction and no real money stands behind. Mostly I would say that this news is already worked out and no multiple raising of BTC capitalization will happen. Today we suggest to wait for the weekly close. We...
Morning folks, So, BTC is moving by some reasons, known only to itself. Market is very thin and it seems that investors just are searching for something to make some moves. The connection to performance as safe haven as risky assets is lost. Now it was reported that some short liquidation has happened and long-term hodlers have accumulated $3.2Mln positions in...
Well-well... We see downside AB-CD action that we've planned last week, but it has not started. Market right now is very difficult to analyse, because it is rather thin, trading volumes have dropped dramatically. And any single transaction could trigger big moves. Besides, recent drop is difficult to explain from external factors - US yields are dropping,...
Morning folks, Technically we could say that situation remains bullish, as market is coiling right around daily resistance area and stubbornly doesn't want to show deeper retracement that we've discussed last time, so we haven't got better entry levels by far. From the fundamental background - we do not clearly understand reasons for euphoria. The sentiment is...
Morning folks, So, based on some recent news, which we think definitely are overpriced, BTC was able to show upside bounce. Our view that the major events are still ahead and 30K level should show whether the major rally starts or not. But, first - BTC has to get there. Now we have short-term bullish context and consider position accumulation around 27 and...
Morning folks, Any rally are rejecting fast due to overall fundamental background. And this is not surprising when you have 10-year yield around 4.6% (which will be 5% within a month, we think) and collapse on stock market. As you could see recent rally has been rejected fast. Now we have few targets, but nearest one is based on bearish engulfing pattern, which...
Morning folks, As we've said emotional reactions never stands for long and fundamentals sooner rather than later will take the domination again. BTC not just has reached our 26.4K target but also has broken the K-support area that was around. Now we're turning to the next one - 25.6-25.8K and do not exclude return back to 25K lows in perspective of 1-2 weeks
Morning folks, BTC has completed our target of 27.4K. Since current background is not friendly for any rally on BTC, we expect normal market reaction on completion target and strong daily resistance level, watching first for 26.4-26.5K support area.
Morning folks, Situation has not changed significantly since Thu update. We still keep our short-term upside target around 27.4K. Now price is coiling around 4H K-resistance after completion of COP target (0.618 AB-CD extension). Here we have two bullish signs. First is - tight standing right under the level suggests attempt of breakout. Second - we have...
Morning folks, BTC now is living from one news to another, with record low trading volume and no interest to the market from investors. Despite any short-term spikes, BTC has nothing to offer when Fed rate is around 5.5 and forward stock market yield is already lower than short-term T-Bills one. It makes us think that long-term bearish tendency is intact. In...