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S&P 500 (SPX500)

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-9 : Inside Breakaway VolatilityToday's Inside Breakaway pattern requires price to open within the body of yesterday's candle. Therefore, we need to see price move below $530.65 before the 930 opening bell in NY. If this happens, then the Inside Breakaway pattern is ready to play out, and I believe we have a much stronger chance (about 75%) for the price to rally higher today (leaving only about a 25% chance for a broader market pullback). The Current Flag formation on the SPY (and other major symbols) may present an extended range of volatility today and on Monday. I'm suggesting today's Inside Breakaway pattern will resolve to the upside. But I'm also warning there is about a 30% chance the markets will FLUSH-OUT to the downside today before resolving back into a Bullish price trend. The reason I'm making this suggestion/warning is because of the Flag pattern that is currently playing out. The closer we move toward the Flag Apex, the more likely we will see broader price volatility and bigger price swings. It is very common for price to become extremely volatile near Flag Apexes. This happens because the price has been coiling into the Flag Apex range for many hours/days and potentially weeks. That energy, when released, usually prompts a fairly large volatility range. Today, I warn that the $524-525 should act like a make-or-break level for Bullish or Bearish trending. I cover the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more in today's video. Remember, I'm trying to teach you techniques you can use for the rest of your life while showing you what I see on these charts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BradMatheny
2
Continue To Monitor 5390 For Bulls and BearsWe are currently 1.5 trading days away from our original market top call, but this analysis will cover any new developments. Wave A appeared to have a good 5 wave structure with wave 3 having an extension. Wave B retraced 73% of wave A's movement quicker than expected. Wave C has most likely completed at least the first two waves and possibly as much as 4 waves. Wave 2 retraced around 64% of wave 1 and as wave 3 is currently marked, it extended 304% of wave 1. I have marked wave 3 based on my wave 3 indicator at the bottom. The shorter arrow pointing down depicts a wave 3 of 3 and the larger arrow depicts the end of a wave 3. The gap in the blue painted backgrounds at the bottom is the distinguishing feature of two separate wave 3s being signaled instead of just one wave 3. The retracement off of the signaled wave 3 was very quick although it was a 20% retracement and quite possibly the end of wave 4. If these four waves have concluded, wave 5 and the market could top as early as Friday. I will walkthrough the levels on the far right first to determine a possible top. The furthest right values are retracements from the original market top from mid-July. If the index moves back to the all-time high, it would have retraced 100%. A common retracement could be between 38.2%-61.8%. The next column left of this is the movement extension of C from wave A which topped at 5336.20. Basically, wave C should finish somewhere above 5336.20 which the index has now surpassed and therefore is capable of topping at any time. The next leftmost column are movement extensions from wave 3's movement inside of wave C. Once again, we are already above wave 3's top (5333.70) and capable of ending at any time. I try to find common levels among these three columns and monitor the index as it approaches. A 50% retracement of the macro wave 1 would occur at 5387.30, while an extension of wave A would of 123.6% is at 5393.31, coincides with a 138.2% extension of wave 3 at 5392.57. This very tight zone is certainly one to monitor for a top and it is not far away at the time of this analysis. I try to make similar identifications in other symbols to get a better read of the S&P500 index. Japan is moving the same, although it is unclear if they have completed wave 3 of C yet. They will most likely see more movement as their trading day gets in full swing during the overnight hours for North America. They may continue the momentum observed from America's Thursday session. Without marking their completed wave 3 with certainty, their area of commonality is between 37705-37782. JP Morgan Chase makes things more interesting because it is not clear if we are still in macro wave 1 or macro wave 2. The case for macro wave 1 has it in a micro wave 3 of C albeit in wave 4 of macro wave 1 here: If this holds true, the S&P 500 may not be in the correct place. If JPM is actually inline with the current wave structure as the index, waves 4 and 5 were very abbreviated based on the location of the wave 3 of 3 signals from early August. This alignment would slightly alter the retracement lines to the far right as seen here: The area of commonality is around 211.30 which is almost too much of a movement over the next 1-2 days for this stock. Amazon appears to fall inline with the theory of ending macro wave 2 soon. It has a target area around 170.5-171.32 and another much higher at 175.52-176.35. Based on the lack of obvious agreement, it is difficult to determine where the market is. I will continue to monitor the initial theory that the market topped in mid-July and has completed a five wave structure down and is about to finish a three wave structure up in the coming days. If the levels pointed out here are significantly surpassed, the market could continue upward to new all-time highs once again. Another downward reversal on or before Monday likely points to a new index low between 4100-4700 within the next month.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by StockSignaler
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-8 : Harami Means IndecisionThis update to my morning video was created to help you understand why a Harami pattern will likely prompt fairly large price rotation today. The Harami pattern is an indecision type of pattern. It suggests price is struggling to find direction and may attempt to test upper and lower boundaries. The purpose of the Harami pattern is to flush out weaker trading positions while, essentially, completing a minor Flag formation. The Harami pattern is an Inside Bar. By structure, this Inside Bar is a Flag setup (very short-term). The end of a Flag Formation means price will attempt to move into a new trending mode - or move back into a new Flag formation. Pay attention to how price constructs this Harami/Flag pattern today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-8 : A Volatile Harami PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Harami/Inside. Because of the recent price volatility and the current price FLAG setup, I expect today's Harami pattern to include a fairly large high/low price range. That means we may see very solid price trending (up/down) throughout the day - whereas today's open/close range should stay within yesterday's open/close range. If you've been following my research, I expect the SPY to attempt to mount a fairly strong rally over the next 10+ days (possibly longer). After the recent bout of volatility (the Kamala-Crush), I believe the US markets will attempt to move into what I'm calling a Vortex Rally based on simple fundamentals. In order for this to happen, we need to see a few things happen: - the US dollar continues to strengthen - crude oil should continue to slide downward (possibly targeting $65) - IYT (TRAN) should stay somewhat muted into the end of this year - Gold/Silver should continue to move upward - Global markets should continue to struggle If this happens, it will strengthen my Vortex Rally expectations into 2025 and beyond. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not always 100% accurate. But they can provide a very clear context for expectations, and when used with other TA techniques and proper risk management - they can be incredibly helpful. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
S&P 500 Faces Deep Retracement Amid Global TensionsThe S&P 500, after reaching an almost all-time high of $5670, has begun a notable retracement. This decline follows a "Red Monday" and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflicts in the Middle East and the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. These factors have contributed to the current downward trend, triggering a deeper correction. From a seasonal analysis perspective, this type of correction is both expected and well-documented. Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a tendency to experience retracements between July and the end of October, regardless of its preceding bullish trend. This pattern suggests that the current decline may not be an anomaly but rather part of a predictable cycle. Investor fears and potential misinterpretations of the broader economic scenario could exacerbate this retracement. The psychological impact of global conflicts and economic uncertainty often leads to heightened market volatility and increased selling pressure. Technically, we have identified key demand areas around $5000 and lower at $4900. These levels could serve as potential support zones where buyers may re-enter the market, providing a possible halt to the decline. Given the current market dynamics and seasonal patterns, we are strategically looking to open a short position, anticipating further downward movement in the S&P 500. In summary, the S&P 500 is undergoing a significant correction influenced by global geopolitical tensions and historical seasonal patterns. While this retracement aligns with expected trends, it underscores the importance of careful market analysis and strategic positioning in response to evolving economic and geopolitical factors. ✅ Please share your thoughts about S&P500 in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:SPXShort
by FOREXN1
1
#VIX fear index and what it means with all its dates#VIX 1M chart; The VIX (Volatility Index) is an indicator that measures the expected volatility of the market and is often referred to as the " fear index ". In short, low values indicate a calm market, while high values indicate a tense market with higher stress levels. By the way, this chart is mainly used by those who trade in the options market. So what's it going to do for us? Let's see. The VIX is usually inversely correlated with the S&P 500 index. In other words, it is negatively correlated. When is the VIX chart triggered? * Financial crises and economic uncertainty. * Major corporate bankruptcies or scandals. * Geopolitical tensions and war threats. * Large-scale events such as natural disasters or pandemics. * Major central bank decisions and interest rate changes. The dates and events I have indicated in the chart; * October 1998 : Russian debt crisis and the collapse of the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) hedge fund. * July 2002 : Dot-com bubble burst and accounting scandals (Enron, WorldCom). * October 2008 : Global financial crisis, bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. * May 2010 : Flash Crash - a sudden and massive drop in the US stock market. * August 2011 : US credit rating downgraded. * August 2015 : China's economic slowdown and market volatility. * February 2018 : Inflation fears in the US and a sudden drop in stocks. * March 2020 : The shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on global markets. * August 2024 : Bank of Japan's first rate hike in many years. Here are the details of what two of the above terms mean and why they may have an impact on the markets; What is a Flash Crash? On May 6, 2010, an extraordinary event occurred on the US stock markets that lasted only minutes, but caused severe price fluctuations and sudden drops in market values. During this event, the Dow Jones Index fell by about 1000 points in a few minutes and recovered shortly afterwards. It became clear how unprepared the markets were for such an extraordinary event. This continued the domino effect. Who is Lehman Brothers? Why would its bankruptcy have an impact on the markets? Lehman Brothers was considered one of the most prestigious investment banks on Wall Street, with a huge influence around the world. Therefore, we can say that such a bankruptcy during the 2008 real estate crisis had the effect of throwing fire on the global markets. If you have read this far, you can like and share to support us.
TVC:VIX
by ugurtash
S&P500 / Continued Volatility in the MarketsContinued Volatility in the Markets Investors should brace themselves for continued market whiplash, as Thursday's trading session indicates that volatility remains a significant concern. The S&P 500 (SPX) has stabilized within a bearish trend, targeting 4923 soon. The current volatility and technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. Bullish Scenario: For a shift to a bullish trend, the price needs to stabilize above 5260, potentially reaching 5291 and 5327. Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 5214, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 5130 and 5040. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5214 - Resistance Levels: 5260, 5281, 5327 - Support Levels: 5130, 5040, 4925 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 5215 and 5130. Direction: Downward
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Will the Stock Market Crash Continue? My Trading ideasOn the macro level, the Bank of Japan says it won't raise rates when the market's unstable, which helped calm the market this morning. But rising tensions in the Middle East are making investors nervous. I think in these shaky times, it's smart to spread out your investments and focus on safer bets like healthcare, consumer goods, and utilities. You might also consider using options to protect against short-term losses. Now let's check s&p 500 from technical aspect. The price is moving in an overall bearish market, but recently, it be supported by previous high volume candle area. Now the point we may need to pay attention is the yesterday's bearish engulfing pattern, since the price started to drop after this pattern of previous callback. Therefore, the price may continue to go bearish later. And traders who are interested in short trading, like me, may be a good timing to watch now.
SP:SPXShort
by xugina78
#ES #SP500 (Y24.P2.E1). A few scenariosHi traders, I did short the rising wedge and now took profit. This can play out in a few scenarios in my opinion and its difficult to say. Scenario 1) We have our selling climax that go the AR and this could be looking for our ST test phase B as part of the accumulation structure OR Scenario 2) its creating a macro bear flag of some sort and we are saying here, a channel in orange for now, Part of a 5 wave count rather than a 3 wave count. We have our ABC count confirmed as C hits our 1.618 fib extension but is it a 5 wave count. Bitcoin is in the same scenario in this perspective. Difficult for anyone to say. So I will just trade the range until the puzzle is clearer. All the best, S.SARI CUP and HANDLE Target hit - profit taking ABC correction Is it a wave 5 to the downside Potential reversal scenario
OANDA:SPX500USD
by ssari
2024-08-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bear flag broke and we on our way to retest the lows. After hours sold off another 22 points so far. If the Globex session is bad enough, we can make new lows but for now I expect them to hold. We are in a very volatile environment and it’s hard to forecast anything. The daily chart shows a clear picture imo. Huge rejections on anything above 5250 but also below 5200. Bears had a climactic sell off and bulls are trying to find the bottom. I think more sideways inside the given range is the most reasonable outlook and everything else a surprise. current market cycle: Bear trend key levels: 5000 - 5300 bull case: Bulls had two very decent legs up today to make 120 points, just to see another huge sell off into the close down to 5200. 5240 is the mid point of the recent trading range at these lows and a magnet for the next pullback. I do think most bulls got reasonably disappointed by the bull trap today and want to look for longs at the lows again, so probably not until we get around 5150. Invalidation is below 5090. bear case: Bears trapped the bulls as my subtitle stated yesterday. They want a retest of 5119 and maybe 5100. I expect the lows to hold but you always have to calculate with market surprises. Only if something broke badly will we see more sellers than buyers below 5120. More reasonable is that we move sideways and get another pullback to > 5300 before another leg down. Bears want the market to stay below the bull wedge breakout 5280 or they risk another test of 5300 and or above. Invalidation is above 5280. short term: Bearish until we retest 5120, then neutral and waiting for bulls to come around for another pullback. medium-long term: Bearish. I gave the 5000 target 3 months ago and we almost got there way earlier than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will see an event unfolding over the next days/weeks. Something breaks during these violent moves and this time will not be different.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by priceactiontds
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 8-7 : Perfect Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat/Down pattern played out perfectly. Now, as price nears support, we should be looking to position our trading for the next big move higher over the next 5+ trading days. If my research is accurate, the SPY/QQQ should begin to setup a base mid/late tomorrow and start to rally into Friday - carrying into early next week. Watch the video I created this morning to learn more. This short follow-up video will help you understand how my SPY Cycle Patterns work and how you can benefit from their interpretive capabilities. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
S&P 500 LongUS 500 CFD The target projection for the S&P results in a target of 5428, which is in the area of ​​the 70% Fibonci retracement. It would be quite possible for the price to test the low again in the 5090 area. But for this trade I assume that a good premium area will be reached first. I open a long trade with 2 entry points. A market order and a second limit order. The risk is distributed across both positions. Target 1 = 61.8 Retracement Target 2 = 70.0 Retracement Risk Reward Trade 1 = 1/1 Risk Reward Trade 2 = 1/2.07
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by Edgezone
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : SPY Settles - Gold RalliesThis video highlights what I believe will be the best opportunities for the SPY/QQQ over the next 7+ trading days while highlighting how Gold is setup for a dual-leg rally phase (possibly moving up above $2550) over the next 7+ days. My continued efforts to deliver pertinent and actionable trade data to my followers are based on the concept that "I do the research—you make all the decisions." I'm not trying to tell you what to do or when to trade. I'm just showing you what I see on the charts using my skills and understanding of advanced price theories and technical analysis. If it helps you out - perfect. If not, then forget about my research and move on to something/someone else. Overall, my real objective is to provide very high-quality content (it doesn't matter if I'm right or wrong—I'll stand by my research/data every day). Today's video is very important. Please understand there are two or three big setups taking place in the SPY/QQQ and Gold over the next 7 to 10+ days. If my research is correct, this is a wonderful time to plan/prepare for these big moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPX500USD ( TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL(1) ) ( 4H )SPX500USD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 5,206 . Upward Zone : until the price trading above 5,206 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading above turning level at 5,267 , to rising inside resistance zone between 5,344 & 5,411 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 5,344 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 5,411 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before . Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level at 5,267 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 5,206 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 5,267 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 5,124 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 5,267 & 5,206 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,344 , 5,411 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,206 , 5,124 .
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
The doomsday retracementWow, what a week it has been. SPX down 3.5% and up 2.5% the day after. My thought is this backtrack is going to be the biggest retracement for the drop, just like we saw on bitcoin. APPL seems to have DOJ issues, NVIDIA chip issues in Taiwan... all seems to be lining up for potential lower for longer. My only buy this year will be TSLA. More on that. Goldilocks is not going to bring us back to pre-pandemic levels, rate cuts are not going to save the market. The narrative has already changed on July 17th when Trump said he didn't want to invade Taiwan, good luck buying after august.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Short
by Osmanomics
1
SPX500 H4 | Bullish retracement to continue?SPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,214.93 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 5,080.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 5,403.46 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM