Stellar XLM inverse H&S, Part 4 TriangleSo we overreached the first target slightly and since dropped just as fast again, but we are still above a support level. No we do NOT want to see that green support get broken because that could trigger more selling pressure. If some were wise enough to take some profit at the yellow circle and still believe in the bullish version, this would be the spot to add again. Make sure you have your game plan ready (stops and targets). I am waiting though with adding because Bitcoin' is still in a very dangerous spot at the moment. Above 6350ish would be much safer level.
Whatever happens, we have to stay above the red zone, that is a key level. So there are two stop levels to use now, the green box or the first entry zone at the red box.
Read my previous analysis to understand the whole game plan better. Always keep track of my Bitcoin' analysis because i update there much more about the market conditions. Sometimes giving warning signals or bullish signals.
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Previous analysis:
Stellarlumens
Stellar Lumens / XLM Ascending Channel (Bullish)BINANCE:XLMBTC
Technical Analysis
Ascending Channel - Bullish / Upward Trend
CM Williams VixFix Indicator - Predicting a Bottom
Price is in 50 MA Support / Price on support in Ascending Channel
Elliot Wave Theory (Looking for Wave 5)
Fundamental Analysis
Strong Sentiment being added first on Coinbase.
#Coinbase
#Stellar
#StellarLumens
$XLM
Factors affecting Stellar (XLM/USD) priceThe news
There are many interesting news surrounding the Stellar, that in combination, should affect the price. It is just the matter of interpretation, and understanding the market reaction to all that is happening. Let's get into it and see what is really going on.
1. Recently, Coinbase has accounted the listing of several coins. Which are ADA, BAT, ZEC, 0X and Stellar.
2. Stellar Development Foundation is getting ready for the biggest airdrop in the history of cryptocurrency. The amount to be released for the airdrop is simply huge to say the least, in total $125 will be given away. It emphasizes marketing intentions of Stellar, which are likely to show positive result by the end of this or beginning of next year.
3. On the 28 September 2018, Stellar has launched the zero-fee cryptocurrency exchange StellarX, which was announced by StellarX co-founder Christian in his Medium post. We talked about these news here: ()
Market reaction
Analyzing above mentioned news, they all are very positive in nature, although market takes time to digest and really understand as to what is happening behind the scenes. Nonetheless, Stellar already showing a steady rise since the beginning of the month. Market reaction is clearly positive, but the question is whether this tendency will continue?
Resistance holding
Technically, price has been trading within the triangle pattern. Although, in November, XLM/USD has increased by 33%, it failed to break above the $0.29 resistance. It's the level that many investors are watching right now as it could be the trigger for the upside breakout. Why this level is so important? - Not only this is where downtrend trendline has been rejected, less than a month ago, Stellar already bounced off the very same level (38.2% Fibonacci). And finally, the RSI is in overbought condition, trading within the triangle pattern and rejecting the downtrend trendline.
Ongoing consolidation
All-in-all, there is not enough bull strength at the moment to break higher, and XSM remains in a consolidation phase. While the resistance is holding, range trading between $0.29 resistance and $0.22 support will continue.
Breakout probability
However, considering all the positive news around Stellar lately, the probability of the upside breakout remains higher. The $0.3 psychological resistance could be the number to watch this month. Break above could invite buyers and/or trigger the buy limit orders, thus pumping the price as high as $0.4 - next key physiological resistance.
Downside risk remains
On a downside, range trading is still ongoing. As long as resistance is holding, it is reasonable to expect price drop, either to the 200 Moving Average or down to the $0.24 or even $0.2 psychological support (88.6% Fibs).
Important levels to watch
Support: $0.238, $0.227, $0.207, $0.194, $0.174
Resistance: $0.289, $0.318, $0.353, $0.400
XLMBTC Stellar Lumens point of Re-EntryLast post about XLMBTC:
Disclaimer:
Sold half at 4193, another half at 4336
Now it becomes quite clear that it enters into another downward cycle after the boost
(MACD DIFF downtrend, %K %D reversal, RSI falls after peak)
(Of course it could go up again but seems less likely)
And we will have to find the next re-entry point, as XLMBTC is still bullish to me:
1. 9EMA holding above and supported by 50EMA for quite awhile
2. RSI / MADD / KDJ still no bearish divergence shown
To predict the next re-entry point, we try to intersect:
1. The trendline (troughs)
2. The 50EMA
Where we get somewhere between 0.000037 and 0.000038.
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Stellar. Rocket PUMPGreetings from Benice team!
Stellar coin has recently attracted much attention. It is very interesting that they have announced the possibility of adding it to Coinbase pro and of distributing coins for free on the blockchain wallet at the same time. Anyway, they are whetting our appetite. The news about the free distribution of coins has even appeared on RBC channel! Having in mind that the price is on the border of the wedge at the moment, its breakout can forward the price to the level of 0.2943; 0.3212; 0.3423 and finally 0.4431.
Recommendation: Long position from the current level (0.256647).
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Stellar XLM inverse H&S, Part 3 TriangleXLM' has been on of the strongest Altcoins of 2018, it's maybe the only that never got below the April low, not even Bitcoin' was able to do this. The past few days have been a confirmation of this (hidden) strength. Why? Just look at the movement of the past few days, the whole market broke the bullish patterns and dropped while XLM' simply made a big bull flag while the rest has been dropping. This shows there is a lot of interest in this alt coin and i assume there is a lot of smart money in this one. Volume picture is good as well, not great but good. So only Bitcoin' could throw this idea in the toilet.
Short term, we should ideally stay above that green support zone from now on. Whatever happens, we should not break that neckline anymore of that ugly inverse H&S, the former red resistance zone. That still gives us a target in that green circle. The yellow circle is the target of that triangle, assuming it is not a bull flag. So that could mean a turn around level if volume on XLM' drops AND Bitcoin' starts to drop. The red resistance zone on the left is the level to break for the mid/long term.
We have moved the stops towards the entry zone around the neckline, so we still have a free trade on this one. Planning to expand this if Bitcoin' starts breaks real levels like 6800/7000.
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Previous analysis: If you want to be more up to date, read the previous ones as well.
Follow up on the XLMBTC price, and strategies of hodling and selYesterday after this post:
The price of XLM increases abit
From 0.00004071 (at the time of the post), to 0.00004231 (now)
Reasons to hodl?:
1. Stochastic still K>>D
2. Bullish divergence at all indicators as shown (RSI, stochastic, MACD)
When to sell? (when it does not reach last highest price):
1. Not being able to get through the last highest price (around 0.000045) and goes back
2. And then from the RSI / Stochastic / MACD it shows bearish divergence
3. And the stochastic indicator reversed (i.e. K<D)
And if it breaks 0.000045 we will have to analyse again.
Indicators point to XLM falling but overall trend is bullishQuick simple chart for you here. Overall news has been great for Stellar and it seems as though XLM is great for a long term hold. Indicators suggest we may fall a little more although I would be very wary about shorting. Personally I believe the smart money would be buying once this dip is over and holding until the 4100 mark.
Yours Truly,
Tragic Shit