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NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
Analysis of Moving average stock (26/Nov/2024)Analysis of Moving average stock (25/Nov/2024) follow for more updates and information Understanding and analysing moving averages is vital when executing technical analysis on stocks and finding ideal stocks to invest in that match the investment strategy. However, finding stocks that fulfil the set moving average criteria is difficult as it requires taking stocks individually and determining if their moving average matches the criteria included in the investment strategy. The process is highly time-consuming and may lead to manual errors, forcing investors to make the wrong investment decisions. A moving average screener is an ideal tool that assists investors in filtering thousands of stocks based on their moving averages to produce a list of stocks that have the same moving averages as the criteria set by the user. Investors can customise moving average stock screeners to meet specific criteria based on the trader's or investor's preferences. For example, some traders may use moving average crossovers to identify entry and exit points in a trade, while others may use moving average trends to identify long-term investment opportunities. However, investors must use the screeners along with other technical indicators and tools to make informed investment decisions.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by ARROWINDEX
PAIN REFORM Breakout Trade in Action!PAIN REFORM Trade Details: A breakout in Pain Reform on the daily timeframe offers a promising long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Entry levels have been clearly identified, and the stock shows strong bullish momentum as it heads towards its profit targets. Key Levels: Entry: 1.32 Stop Loss (SL): 0.88 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.88 TP2: 2.77 TP3: 3.66 TP4: 4.21 PAIN REFORM Analysis: The chart signals a strong trend reversal, with the breakout confirming bullish sentiment. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable for this trade setup, and the stock is poised for further gains as it moves towards higher targets. Outlook: Monitor closely for momentum follow-through. With a robust breakout, the targets look achievable given sustained market interest and volume spikes. Stay disciplined with stops to lock in profits!
NASDAQ:PRFXLong
by ProfitsNinja
Aclaris Rockets 300%, Smashes Targets!ACRIS (1D TF): Targets Smashed with 300% Gains! Trade Details: The long trade setup on the daily timeframe has exceeded expectations, blasting past all profit targets using the Risological Trading Indicator . The stock has delivered an impressive 300% gain, outperforming initial forecasts. Key Levels: Entry: 1.20 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.25 ✅ TP2: 1.32 ✅ TP3: 1.40 ✅ TP4: 1.45 ✅ Analysis: This massive rally showcases strong bullish momentum, driven by high market interest. With such a breakout, Aclaris demonstrates its potential as a high-performing asset. Outlook: Momentum traders can consider monitoring for retracements or further bullish setups. A stellar move like this reinforces the power of spotting trends early!
NASDAQ:ACRSLong
by ProfitsNinja
MTARTECH Surges! Long Trade Hits All TargetsMTAR Technologies (15-Minute Timeframe): All Targets Hit! Trade Details: A textbook long trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe, perfectly executed using the Risological Trading Indicator . The trade delivered outstanding results with all targets achieved. Key Levels: Entry: 1583.90 Stop Loss (SL): 1570.45 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1600.50 TP2: 1627.35 TP3: 1654.25 TP4: 1670.85 Performance Analysis: The strong uptrend, confirmed by moving averages and consistent bullish momentum, aligned with the indicator’s signals. The precise entry point and systematic target levels ensured maximum profit extraction. Trade Outcome: Every profit target was hit, reflecting the robustness of the strategy. Traders capitalized on a swift and powerful move, making this trade a standout performer. Stay tuned for more opportunities like this with the Risological Indicator!
NSE:MTARTECHLong
by ProfitsNinja
JINDAL WORLDWIDE - Massive Intraday LONG TradeJINDAL WORLDWIDE (15-Minute Timeframe) - Massive Long Trade Secured Trade Setup: A powerful bullish breakout captured on the 15-minute timeframe using the Risological Trading Indicator. This trade highlights an impressive rally with all targets hit. Key Levels: Entry: 282.75 Stop Loss (SL): 278.30 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 288.20 TP2: 297.00 TP3: 305.85 TP4: 311.30 Technical Overview: The price action reflects strong bullish momentum, supported by upward-trending moving averages and consistent buying pressure. The Risological Indicator provided a timely entry signal, capitalizing on this rapid uptrend. Results: The trade successfully achieved all profit targets, delivering substantial gains for intraday traders. The well-defined stop-loss ensured controlled risk, allowing traders to maximize their returns. Insight: This trade underscores the effectiveness of the Risological Indicator in identifying high-probability entries and exits in dynamic market conditions. Keep monitoring for further setups!
NSE:JINDWORLDLong
by ProfitsNinja
GARWARE New Short Trade OpportunityGARWARE TECH (15-Minute Timeframe) - Short Trade Opportunity Trade Setup: A clear short trade setup has emerged on the 15-minute timeframe for Garware Tech using the Risological swing trading indicator . The entry signal indicates a strong bearish move, supported by the break below key support levels. Key Levels: Entry: 4419.05 Stop Loss (SL): 4602.05 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 4192.90 TP2: 3827.00 TP3: 3461.05 TP4: 3234.90 Technical Indicators: The bearish crossover and the downward trajectory of the moving averages highlight the weakening momentum. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirms a high-confidence short entry with well-defined targets. Strategy Note: Traders are advised to monitor price action near TP1 and TP2 for potential retracements. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically as the trade progresses to protect profits. This short trade setup offers a promising risk-reward ratio for intraday traders! Stay disciplined and let the technicals lead the way.
NSE:GARFIBRESShort
by ProfitsNinja
ARIES AGRO: 50% Profit in Intraday TradeARIES AGRO (15-Minute Timeframe) - Intraday Sensation! Trade Overview: Aries Agro delivers a phenomenal intraday performance, achieving a 50% gain with 5x margin trading. All targets are marked with clear progression on the chart using the Risological trading indicator. Key Levels: Entry: 283.40 Stop Loss (SL): 281.75 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 285.35 TP2: 288.60 TP3: 291.80 TP4: 293.80 Technical Insight: The price rallied sharply, riding strong bullish momentum, with each target systematically achieved. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirmed the long trade setup early, providing a low-risk, high-reward opportunity. The upward slope of the moving averages added further confidence to the bullish scenario. Strategy Tip: Intraday traders using margin positions are advised to monitor momentum near TP4 for potential reversals or consolidation. Always ensure disciplined stop-loss placement. A true powerhouse intraday trade — Aries Agro showcases the magic of leveraged trading!
NSE:ARIESLong
by ProfitsNinja
NTDOY | NINTENDO & Nintendo Switch 2 🍄The next Nintendo console might arrive in 2024 Nintendo has reportedly demonstrated the Nintendo Switch 2 behind closed doors at Gamescom last month.some trusted developers got an early look at the Switch 2 and some tech demos of how games run on the unannounced system. There was reportedly a demo of an improved version of Zelda: Breath of the Wild that’s designed to run on the more advanced hardware inside the Nintendo Switch 2, VGC corroborated the claims and revealed that Nintendo also showcased Epic Games’ The Matrix Awakens Unreal Engine 5 tech demo running on the type of hardware Nintendo is targeting for its next console. The demo reportedly used Nvidia’s DLSS upscaling technology with ray tracing enabled, suggesting Nintendo and Nvidia are working on a significant chip upgrade for this next-gen console. in July that a new Nintendo Switch is being planned for a 2024 release. With 43 years of making immensely popular video games under its belt, you'd think that the video game pioneers at Nintendo probably have the business of success fully figured out. But companies must change with the times and, according to Nintendo of America president Doug Bowser, that means finding a way to engage people with the legacy brand that might never pick up a video game controller. Bowser spoke about what the company learned this year during the Nintendo Live event in Seattle, Wa. on Sept 1, referencing the enormous box office success of the "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" as one of its key indicators that Nintendo has the ability to reach an audience beyond those that naturally reach for a controller. "We launched The Super Mario Bros. Movie, which very quickly became the second-largest box office grossing animated film of all time at $1.3 billion," Bowser said. "We launched The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom, which, 18 million units later after a very brief period of time, it's one of our fastest launch titles ever, and then the event today. So it's really this drumbeat of activities, entertainment-based activities where we're trying to find ways to continue to introduce more and more people, not just players, but people to Nintendo IP… So that's what we're excited about." Bowser also spoke about the launch of Super Nintendo World at Universal Hollywood, which delivered an impressive 25% bump to Comcast's Q1 earnings this year. "And if I think about folding into the bigger strategy, this year has really been a very unique, and I dare say banner year for Nintendo in a lot of ways," Bowser said.Nintendo also continues to benefit from the sales of its aging Nintendo Switch console, with 129.53 million units sold worldwide. That makes it the company's second best-selling console of all time, right behind the handheld Nintendo DS, which sold 154.2 million units before it was discontinued in 2014. The success of "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" drove rumors that another big feature film based on Nintendo's flagship Legend of Zelda series was coming as well, but Nintendo hasn't made a formal announcement about that ... yet. Gaming is in the midst of an M&A arms race. The protracted pandemic has made sure of that. Companies from all sides of the market, Microsoft, Take Two, Sony to name a few, are cutting deals to secure content. The volume and scale of those deals point to where gaming is heading - the precipice of major shake-ups across its core commercial and distribution models. Microsoft's eye bulging $69 billion deal for Activision is a testament to that shift. Costly as the deal is, it's arguably a small price to pay to secure some of the biggest franchises in gaming: Call of Duty, Warcraft, Candy Crush and Overwatch. Even more so, considering those titles span a community of 400 million active monthly players. In other words, the deal is the boldest sign yet that content is the future of gaming, not consoles. Should you invest in Nintendo? The question comes down to whether you are willing to pay about SGX:40B for Nintendo's IP and potential earnings powers. To me, a company that continues to produce in-demand and profitable content is worth that price tag, especially after having generated a net profit of 432.7B yen, or $2.97B in FY2023. That's a P/E of about 13.5 after subtracting out Nintendo's current assets - not a hefty sum given everything Nintendo has going for it. Nintendo's strategy seems to be working, with The Super Mario Bros. Movie not only performing well on its own but also providing a boost to other Nintendo offerings. While there are concerns, there are also plenty of catalysts moving ahead. I am excited to see new Nintendo initiatives including more theatrical releases of their IP and their (positive) effects on the rest of the company's products.
OTC:NTDOYLong
by moonypto
Key Observations on Xero's Journey🔰 ASX:XRO Key Observations on Xero's Journey 1. The Big Rally: June 2018 to February 2021 Growth: Xero experienced a significant rally, climbing 243% from around $46 to $158. Timeframe: The rally spanned 126 weeks (882 days). Volume: Total trading volume during this period was 361.303 million. Key Insight: This rally followed a long consolidation phase, a typical setup for strong upward momentum in stocks. 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: The $100–$110 range acted as a strong support level, with the stock bouncing multiple times before moving higher. Resistance Zones: The $171 level became a key area of resistance during its historical highs. Key Insight: Understanding historical support and resistance levels can help identify areas where stocks may reverse or consolidate. 🔰 Lessons from Xero's Stock Performance Patterns Repeat, But Not Predictably Historical performance offers valuable insights but does not guarantee future results. Always focus on the bigger picture. Volume Confirms Strength Rising volume during rallies can be a strong signal of market confidence, while declining volume might indicate weakening momentum. Support and Resistance Matter Understanding key price levels can help identify potential turning points in stock movement. Earnings Drive Volatility Always pay attention to earnings seasons as they historically trigger significant price movements. 🔰 Conclusion: What Can We Learn? Xero’s historical data tells a story of growth, retracement, and strong investor interest during key phases. By analysing these patterns, investors can better understand how price, volume, and market cycles interact. However, it’s crucial to remember that past performance is not a predictor of future results. ✅ Join the Discussion What trends or insights do you observe from Xero’s historical performance? Share your thoughts in the comments below Disc: no holding , no recommendation to buy or sell - may buy or sell without any notification , treat this post as learning only. consult with your financial advisor before taking any financial decision
ASX:XRO
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Cava I Proven to be a steady performer - continued growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** Cava Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NYSE:CAVALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
WAAREE ENERGIES - Bullish Momentum in ActionTrade Overview: The bullish setup is unfolding well with TP1 already achieved at 2955.75. Price action is showing strong signs of continuation toward the remaining targets. Key Levels: Entry: 2881.85 Stop Loss (SL): 2822.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 3075.35 TP3: 3194.90 TP4: 3268.80 Technical Insight: The price is trending above the 15-minute moving averages, with a GREEN signal from the Risological Indicator, confirming bullish intent. The breakout beyond TP1 suggests sustained upward pressure. Traders should watch for any resistance near TP2. Strategy Tip: Trail stop loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A pullback toward the entry zone could offer an additional opportunity to strengthen long positions. Stay tuned for further target hits as Waaree Energies powers through!
WLong
by ProfitsNinja
POLICYBAZAAR (POLICYBZR) Trade UpdateTrade Overview: A strong bullish momentum is evident, with TP1 already achieved at 1709.20. The remaining targets are well within reach, given the current trend. Key Levels: Entry: 1677.05 Stop Loss (SL): 1651.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 1761.20 TP3: 1813.20 TP4: 1845.30 Technical Insight: The price is holding above the critical support levels, with the GREEN trend line from the Risological Indicator signaling continued upward movement. Traders are advised to trail the stop loss to lock in profits as the trade progresses. Keep monitoring for trend continuity!
NSE:POLICYBZRLong
by ProfitsNinja
Why Bioceres Crop Solutions is the Top Stock to Buy in 2024As the world grapples with increasing food demands and the urgent need for sustainable agricultural practices, one company stands at the forefront of this vital transformation: Bioceres Crop Solutions. With its innovative approach to crop enhancement and a robust portfolio of groundbreaking agricultural technologies, Bioceres is not just reshaping how we grow our food—it’s also poised to deliver impressive returns for savvy investors in 2024. in this supply and demand and price action analysis, I will explore why Bioceres Crop Solutions is more than just a stock; it’s a beacon of hope for sustainable farming and an investment opportunity you can’t miss! With a strong foundation built on years of experience, impressive financial performance and a very strong demand imbalance at $6.20 per share, which took control in November 2024, we expect a decent reaction. The stock could rally more than 70% in the following weeks.
NASDAQ:BIOXLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
ALB & GPN's Reversal Breakout Could Spark Significant GainsAlbemarle Corporation NYSE:ALB ● On the monthly chart, the stock is bouncing back from a long-standing trendline support that has held firm over the years. ● The daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern following a significant decline. ● With a recent breakout, the stock appears poised for a potential trend reversal. ● Traders should keep a close eye on this stock for potential buying opportunities. Global Payments NYSE:GPN ● The stock has formed a Double Bottom pattern after a brief period of consolidation. ● Recently, the price broke out from this formation and has been maintaining its position above the breakout point. ● The price movement suggests a short-term buying opportunity, as the resistance level is quite distant from the current price.
NYSE:ALBLong
by NaranjCapital
1
Meta's Q3 Financial Results | Growth and the Future of AI & AR Meta's Q3 Earnings: AI Investments Shape the Future of Engagement and Monetization Last week, Meta shared its Q3 earnings, revealing a familiar trend: while the results were strong, rising AI investments cast a shadow. With over 3.2 billion daily users across Meta’s apps, the company alongside Google and YouTube is in a prime position to bring AI into the mainstream. However, this shift could potentially disrupt the creator economy as we know it So, how will this affect the future of Meta’s apps? Did you know META is 222% up since our first analysis ? Let’s break down the quarter and explore the latest updates Today’s Highlights - Overview of Meta Q3 FY24 - Recent business highlights - Key quotes from the earnings call - The potential decline of the creator economy 1. Meta Q3 FY24 Overview Meta operates within two main segments FoA: Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp) RL: Reality Labs (virtual reality hardware and software) Daily Active People in FoA grew by 5% year over year, reaching 3.29 billion. However, user growth has slowed, with Meta adding 20 million daily users in Q3 2024 down from 50 million earlier in 2024. Meta’s reach now extends to over half of the global population aged 15 to 80, meaning future growth will hinge more on engagement and ad efficiency than adding new users. Key Insights from Zuckerberg: -Facebook: Positive engagement trends among Gen Z in the U.S. -Instagram: Sustains “strong” growth globally. -WhatsApp: Now surpasses 2 billion calls daily. -Meta AI: 500 million monthly active users. -Threads: 275 million monthly active users, up from 200 million in Q2, with notable growth in regions like the U.S., Taiwan, and Japan (currently not monetized and unlikely to drive significant revenue by 2025). Advertising Performance: - Ad impressions grew 7% year-over-year (compared to 10% in Q2). - Average ad price increased by 11% year-over-year (10% in Q2). - Average revenue per user grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching $12.29 (compared to Snap at $3.10 and Reddit at $3.58). - Despite some critics suggesting potential inflation due to bot activity, ARPU growth points to real ad value; fake users can’t generate revenue. Financials - Revenue rose 19% year-over-year to $40.6 billion. - FoA saw a 19% increase, reaching $40.3 billion. - RL grew by 29% to $0.3 billion. - Gross margin was 82% (-1pp Y/Y, +1pp Q/Q). - Operating margin stood at 43% (+2pp Y/Y, +5pp Q/Q). - FoA operating profit was $21.8 billion (54% margin, +2pp Y/Y). - RL reported an operating loss of $4.4 billion (down slightly from $4.5 billion in Q2). - EPS rose by 37% year-over-year to $6.03. Cash Flow - Operating cash flow was $24.7 billion (61% margin, +1pp Y/Y). - Free cash flow was $15.5 billion (38% margin, -2pp Y/Y). Balance Sheet - Cash and marketable securities totaled $71 billion - Long-term debt was $29 billion Guidance: - Q4 FY24 revenue is forecasted at $46.5 billion in the mid-range - FY24 expenses estimated at $96-$98 billion (previously $96-$99 billion) - FY24 Capex is expected to be $38-40 billion (previously $37-$40 billion) Summary Analysis Revenue growth was 20% in constant currency (compared to 23% in Q2), with ad revenue growth driven by increased ad prices. Strong demand for ads continued, largely due to higher ad performance, especially in online commerce, healthcare, and entertainment. Geographically, North America and Europe led growth at 21%, while Asia slowed from 28% to 15%. Reality Labs’ revenue rose 29%, mainly from hardware sales, though the division continues to post significant losses. As shown in the visuals, FoA operating profit reached an all-time high, while RL’s losses remain around $4 billion quarterly. Headcount increased by 9% year-over-year to 72,404, signaling a return to hiring, particularly in priority areas such as monetization, infrastructure, Reality Labs, and generative AI. Stock buybacks amounted to nearly $9 billion in Q3, up from $6 billion in Q2, though lower than the $15 billion in Q1. Management’s confidence in Meta’s stock remains strong, with an additional $1.3 billion paid in dividends. Capital expenditures climbed by 36% to $9.2 billion compared to $8.5 billion in Q2, with guidance staying on track. Management anticipates “significant acceleration in infrastructure expenses” for 2025, which will affect both the cost of revenue and R&D expenses. Despite heavy AI spending, Meta remains highly profitable, generating nearly $52 billion in free cash flow over the past 12 months—just shy of Alphabet’s $56 billion over the same period. Q4 FY24 revenue guidance points to deceleration, with mid-range growth forecasted at 16%. Let’s examine Meta’s investments and market position further. 2. Recent Business Highlights Meta Orion Meta's Orion AR glasses mark an ambitious step towards a future beyond smartphones, showcasing the potential of augmented reality (AR): -Prototype Status: Orion is a high-tech AR prototype, equipped with advanced features, but high production costs keep it out of reach for consumers. -Advanced AR Display: Using Micro LED projectors and silicon carbide lenses, Orion offers a broad field of view with sharper visuals than most current AR devices. -Interactive AI Integration: With Meta's generative AI, Orion enables users to interact with virtual elements, identify real-world objects, and create immediate solutions, such as recipes. -Complex Hardware: Orion relies on a neural wristband for control and a wireless compute puck, creating a multi-part system. -High Cost & Limited Production: With a price tag estimated at $10,000, Orion isn’t ready for mass production. Meta has produced around 1,000 units for demonstrations and internal testing. - Future Vision: Meta aims to release a consumer-friendly AR device within a few years, working toward a slimmer, more affordable model that could rival smartphone prices. Orion reflects Meta's goal to lead the next wave of computing, though significant technological and cost hurdles remain. Timing and Competitive Landscape**: Zuckerberg’s reveal of Orion may aim to justify Reality Labs' annual $16-20 billion operating loss to shareholders and gather feedback. Meanwhile, Apple has initiated its “Atlas” project to explore the smart glasses market, indicating potential plans to shift focus from the high-end $3,500 Vision Pro VR headset. How AI Is Already Impacting Meta Beyond future-oriented projects like Orion, Meta’s AI advancements are actively enhancing its core business in two strategic areas: engagement and monetization. -Engagement: Meta's recommendation engine uses AI to tailor feeds with highly relevant video content, keeping users engaged. AI-driven prediction systems further increase app usage by showing content that maximizes interaction. -Monetization: AI boosts ad efficiency across the entire lifecycle—from creation to performance tracking. Generative AI assists with ad copy, images, and video, while advanced models analyze user behavior to serve targeted ads, improving conversion rates incrementally. -Meta AI Studio: This platform allows developers to create, train, and deploy custom AI models within Meta’s ecosystem. By enabling personalized assistants, interactive AI, and AR applications, Meta seeks to drive new consumer apps and maximize ad potential across its platforms. Market Share Meta’s advertising revenue hit $39.9 billion in Q3, reaching 81% of Google’s search revenue, up from 76% last year. Meta’s ad revenue is expanding at the same rate as Amazon’s, despite Meta’s larger base, signaling regained market share and effective adaptation to the post-ATT environment. 3. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call CEO Mark Zuckerberg - On AI and the Family of Apps: “Improvements to our AI-driven feed and video recommendations have led to an 8% increase in time spent on Facebook and a 6% increase on Instagram this year alone. More than a million advertisers used our GenAI tools to create over 15 million ads last month, and we estimate businesses using Image Generation are seeing a 7% conversion lift.” -On Llama 4: “We're training the Llama 4 models on a cluster larger than 100,000 H100s, more extensive than anything reported elsewhere.” -On RayBan Meta Glasses: “Glasses are the ideal AI form factor as they let your AI see, hear, and communicate with you. Demand remains strong, with the new clear edition selling out quickly.” -On Meta AI: “We’re on track for Meta AI to become the world’s most used AI assistant by year-end, with popular uses including information gathering, task assistance, and content exploration.” CFO Susan Li -On Recommendations: “Inspired by scaling laws observed in large language models, we’ve developed new ranking architectures for Facebook video that enhance relevance and increase watch time” -On Capital Allocation: “We’re optimistic about our opportunities and believe that investing now in infrastructure and talent will accelerate progress and returns.” 4. The Potential Decline of the Creator Economy Facebook and Instagram have evolved from social networks to content networks, benefiting creators with wide-reaching platforms. However, this era may be coming to a close. -AI-Generated Content: Zuckerberg shared plans to introduce AI-generated and AI-summarized content on Facebook, Instagram, and potentially Threads, gradually shifting away from creator-generated content as the primary engagement driver. -Impact on Creators: As AI learns to identify and generate engaging content, creators could struggle to compete, with algorithms delivering exactly what audiences want. Over time, creators may face a landscape where AI determines the most engaging posts, relegating them to the sidelines in a world increasingly powered by self-generating content. -Why It Matters: Platforms like YouTube share 55% of ad revenue with creators, but Meta does not, meaning that an AI-driven shift isn’t primarily about cost-cutting. Instead, it allows for more integrated ad placements within algorithmic feeds, potentially boosting impressions and conversions. Although AI generated feeds may sound dystopian, current high engagement accounts already use tactics to maximize engagement, meaning the shift to AI might go largely unnoticed by audiences.
NASDAQ:META
by moonypto
2
Linde plc | LIN Linde, Timeless Excellence Linde is a timeless business with even better stability than other basic materials businesses. The company works in gases and has a near-unbroken EPS growth record of 8% annually Linde is a market leader, and if you invest in the company, you're investing in the world's largest company for industrial gases. The company was originally a result of a takeover of British BOC in 2006, and again the 2018 merger of Linde and Praxair, a US company. On the macro upside, there was a 1) supportive regulatory framework in the USA and in the EU on green opportunities and hydrogen, 2) the Ukraine invasion was also a key catalyst towards the energy transition, 3) the EU chip acts with €43 billion in supporting funds as well as the United States Chips and Science Act development for a value of approximately $52 billion, and 4) higher needs of specialty gas in EV car. Related to the micro upside, the company is more diversified on a GEO revenue basis and sells different product solutions starting from cylinders to bulk liquid. In addition with a follow-up note titled "Positive News Ahead", we reported Linde's lower cost structure with the Frankfort delisting. Aside from removing the dual listing expenses, we positively view this development because US companies' P/E multiple are usually higher compared to the EU one. To support our MACRO buy case recap, in the second quarter, Linde announced two new projects with Evonik and Heidelberg Materials (both companies covered by our internal team). The company signed a long-term agreement to produce green hydrogen for Evonik in a 9-megawatt alkaline electrolyzer plant in Singapore. With Heidelberg, Linde will build a large-scale carbon capture close to the Lengfurt plant in Germany. As a reminder, cement production is estimated to be responsible for around 7% of global in 2022, APD's earnings per share were at $8.38, and Linde's earnings per share were fairly similar at $8.23. For 2023, Air Products and Chemical EPS guide a midpoint at $11.40 while Linde's EPS is forecasted at $13.65. Looking at the ROCE, in Q4 2022, APD stood at 11.7% and Linde at 13.4%. In the last quarter, APD’s ROCE was flat on the two-year comparison, while Linde’s after-tax ROCE reached 24.0%. While there are some business & regional nuances between the two leading companies (for instance, APD is lacking U.S. packaged gas business), here at the Lab, we believe are more inclined toward Linde, particularly when organic growth has been fairly similar. Cross-checking APD and Linde's last quarter results, we should recall that on a comparable basis, the German player volumes were flat with an average selling price up by 8%. On the other hand, APD increased its volume by 6% with an increase in the average selling price of 8% too. APD adj EBITDA grew by 13% while Linde achieved a plus 11%. However, Linde's EU exposure is greater than APD. Therefore, this is supportive of Linde's bottom line. In numbers, excluding the Engineering divisional performance, Linde's EMEA sales reached $2,177 million and represented 29.72% of the company's total sales. Compared to Q1 2022 number, turnover grew by 10% and was driven by a 13% of cost pass-through increase.
LLong
by moonypto
6