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JD.com (JD): Key Levels to Watch Amid Potential BreakoutFor the Chinese stock JD.com listed on the Nasdaq, we observe a significant pattern. Initially, we had a prolonged sideways movement that concluded with an initial surge, establishing the current resistance zone. This zone held twice before the price fell through. Starting from point X in our Elliott Wave count in November 2018, we saw a rapid increase of approximately 470% in a short period. However, this was followed by a steep sell-off, leading to the formation of Wave (2) within a trend channel. The correction's time horizon places it in the perfect zone, typically between 2 and 2.618 on the higher time frame, which is a good indicator that this could indeed be Wave (2). To continue the upward movement, it is crucial for JD.com to flip this resistance zone. The current question is whether the price will first return to the High-Volume Node Point of Control (POC) or break out upwards directly. Flipping the support-resistance zone will be key for any significant upward momentum. We'll be closely monitoring these levels to determine the next move. Zooming in on the 12-hour timeframe, we can observe the scenario at the end of the assumed Wave (2). This pattern is characteristic of what we like to see at the conclusion of Wave 2. Initially, we experienced an accumulation phase, which transitioned into a manipulation phase, followed by an expansion phase. This sequence is generally a positive sign. Currently, we are witnessing a pullback after touching the resistance level. Despite this, we maintain our outlook that the price should continue to rise and not retest the $20 mark. There's a breakout gap that partially filled but remains open near the bottom. This gap formed just before we entered the expansion phase, and it's a critical point to consider. Given the ongoing volatility in the Chinese market and the uncertainty among investors, we remain cautious. We are closely watching how JD.com behaves within the $24.50 to $26.80 range. With a drop towards the gap close near $21, we will consider making significant buys. If the price breaks out upwards, we will look for opportunities to enter positions.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Consistent Daily Trading Strategy for NZD/USD with 100% Win RateDescription: In this strategy, I employ a consistent daily trading approach for NZD/USD, focusing on capturing small profit targets while maintaining strict risk management. The strategy has been backtested from the year 2021, demonstrating robust performance with a 100% win rate. Below are the key aspects and performance metrics of the strategy. Strategy Overview: The strategy is designed to open a new long or short position at the start of each trading day based on the previous day's market conditions. Key parameters include: Profit Target: 0.3% Loss Target: 0.2% Initial Capital: $1000 Commission: 0.1% per trade Key Features: Daily Trading: Positions are opened at the start of each day, ensuring regular market participation. Profit and Loss Targets: The strategy aims for a modest profit target of 0.3% and enforces a stop-loss at 0.2% to manage risk effectively. 100% Win Rate: Over 36 closed trades, the strategy achieved a 100% win rate, highlighting its consistent performance. Dynamic Position Management: In case of a short position stop-loss, a new long position is immediately opened to replace it, ensuring continuous market exposure. Performance Summary: Net Profit: $222.05 (22.2%) Gross Profit: $223.26 (22.33%) Gross Loss: $1.22 (0.12%) Max Run-up: $236.99 (19.17%) Max Drawdown: $161.35 (13.75%) Buy & Hold Return: $316.51 (31.65%) Sharpe Ratio: 0.266 Sortino Ratio: 2.298 Profit Factor: 183.136 Total Closed Trades: 36 Number Winning Trades: 36 Percent Profitable: 100% Avg Trade: $6.17 (0.57%) Largest Winning Trade: $21.12 (1.96%) Commission Paid: $80.15 Chart Explanation: The chart plots the entry prices for both long and short positions, along with labels indicating the profit/loss percentages for ongoing trades. The strategy's performance is visually represented, showing the consistency and reliability of the trading approach. Green Lines: Entry prices for long positions. Red Lines: Entry prices for short positions. White Labels: Display current profit/loss percentage for ongoing trades. Conclusion: This NZD/USD trading strategy offers a balanced approach to daily trading with a strong emphasis on risk management and consistent profitability. It is suitable for traders looking for a systematic and disciplined trading methodology. Give this strategy a try and share your feedback! Let's discuss its potential improvements and share insights on its performance.
by alexanderbkl
Trading Psychology: How to trade economic data.As traders, one of the biggest challenges we face is deciding what factors to consider when opening a trade: should we base ourselves on charts, news, macroeconomic data? Many opt for a combination of all these elements, and although all traders go through the same stages, there are different routes to success. The problem with following the crowd is that you end up doing exactly what everyone else is doing. The solution: forge your own path, with all the challenges this entails. Most traders follow the news, analyze the data and then compare them with the charts to try to determine the best entry point. And as if that were not enough, they often seek the opinion of other online traders to confirm their decision. However, consulting the opinions of others can be counterproductive, as they can alter, for better or worse, any personal opinion about the analysis we are conducting. We always tend to think that others know more than us and that if they think differently, it must be for some reason and that we will not be the ones who are right. This is just another example of market psychology and the human tendency to always follow the crowd, regardless of whether it is right or not. I believe that in order to make a living from trading, research must start with yourself, it is essential. And this is necessary to confirm or refute the information with which the market bombards us every minute. You need very intense training and experience to make a living from trading. How many traders trade intraday based on economic calendar data? How many really make money? It’s not worth it. Aware of the multitude of traders who congregate around the platform at key times, market makers have all kinds of tricks. Their favorite; the sweep. Up, down and both sides at the same time. Is a mental stop better? In my case, no. I don’t know how mentally strong you are, but the word says it all: mental-stop. When you expose yourself to letting the mind think, you are entering dangerous psychological terrain and it is very difficult, if you are losing, to close with discipline in each and every operation. Notice that I say in each and every one, because with not respecting a single one and that the price does not return in that operation to the entry point, it will be your elimination as a trader. Therefore, anything that can cause a loss is worth discarding. Greed doesn’t let you, we know that with a data in favor of our position you can make a lot of money but if the data is contrary and also forms a gap, no one will save us. And let’s not talk about if you are leveraged. Being leveraged and having the position run against you is one of the hardest experiences a trader can have. Seeing how your capital is destroyed at forced marches, how losses increase, how you are not able to close because you expect a recovery to do so is dramatic. Realizing that first loss, which at first seemed big to you and now doesn’t seem so much. You would “kill” to lose only that. Then, once you are losing a lot you will no longer be able to close. There comes a time when you assume it and let the losses run as far as they go. You have accepted it. You risk the account in the hope of recovering. This means hours of waiting for the desired recovery. In addition, the market is very rogue. After the fall comes the rebound, usually up to half. You get the idea that it is going to recover completely and instead of closing you hold on to see if the moment comes when you no longer lose anything. The market will make you believe that this is going to happen. You may even average (add more positions) so that the recovery is faster and by the way, if the price goes beyond where you have opened the first operation, you even come out with profits. But, as I say, the market is very cruel and when you start to dream and have hope again, it turns around and falls with even more force if possible, crushing your account and destroying your morale. The result we all know. If the account does not have enough capital to withstand the bleeding, margin call will “come to see us”. And if it does, it will take you days, weeks, months or even years to recover your capital, if you do. Days, weeks, months and even years without liquidity to do what you like the most, trading. In view of this, stoploss, as well as avoiding any situation that makes you lose is more than justified.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
The art of trading: The Power of SpecializationYou’re never going to find a trading technique that is 100% reliable. But you can become a specialist using a single specific technique. The one you have the most affinity with will always work better. It doesn’t matter if it’s the best or the worst, don’t waste your time on that. Just look for one you like and evolve it, perfect it to the beyond… Make it yours! Only yours! Personal and non-transferable. The more you perfect a technique, the more reliable you make it, the higher percentage of reliability you get. Remember Bruce Lee’s saying: “I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.” Try to be good at something and not mediocre at everything. Therefore, choose that strategy that you like the most and develop it. Always operate with it, perfect it, personalize it, get used to it, look for its strengths and weaknesses… Now do a test: Look only for channels in the chart and trade with them for a week using any Time Frame. You’ll tell me the results.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
XAUUSD UPDATE (Risky-ShortTrem Setup) Hey team Hope you are Enjoying our ideas and Analysis, Today in Trading Session we are monitoring XAUUSD Looking for Bearish But there is Alot of Risks in Bearish Because That Breaks all Support levels.... XAUUSD (UPDATE)....!! RISKY SHORT FROM ALL TIME HIGH.. Gold is trading in a Strong Uptrend but the price Failed to reach the Supply Zone 2438-2445, Which is also a Resistance Level which in Turn indicates that the market is likely that we will first see a Bearish reaction on Gold from the Resistance Good luck Guy's.....
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by MagickeyFX
GOTU Gaotu Techedu Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOTU before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOTU Gaotu Techedu prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 9usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-7-19, for a premium of approximately $1.12. The chart looks bearish, but my bet is on a China recovery this year! If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:GOTULong
by TopgOptions
Buy low sell fast strategyThe main idea of ​​the strategy is that in the event of a sharp unexpected drop, coins usually grow back quite quickly. We simply draw a short SMA, and when the price deviates significantly from it, we buy, and when it returns, we sell. We cannot buy every drop; it must be quite strong and sharp. If you buy early, you can buy at the beginning of a downtrend and sit in the position for a long time. Trying to buy very low will result in few trades. However, you can trade several coins at the same time, and if you choose the parameters, you can get a stable profit.
Long
by Althim
Exploring Auction Market Theory in Forex TradingAuction Market Theory (AMT) is a conceptual framework used to understand the dynamics of financial markets, viewing them as auctions where buyers and sellers interact to determine prices. Although the AMT was initially developed to understand & analyse price action movements in the stock market, some of its core concepts can also be applied to any market, including forex. Within the forex market, currency pairs are traded 24/5, with price driven by a multitude of factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Despite this complexity, AMT provides a framework for understanding market dynamics through the concepts of value, balance, and imbalances . Value represents the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of an asset. Market balance occurs when supply and demand are roughly equal, resulting in stable price ranges, while imbalances arise from deviations from this equilibrium due to shifts in market sentiment or unexpected events. These imbalances can create trading opportunities for astute traders who can identify them and act accordingly. Lets now take a look into how this can be visually identified on a line chart using only price action. Example 1 On the left, we can see an area of market balance. This is usually evident when the market is range bound as we can see in this case. The midpoint of the range is the point of equilibrium. Value can be interpreted as the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of a currency pair. This equilibrium is constantly shifting as new information becomes available and market participants reassess their expectations. When these expectations shift as a result of either economic data releases, geopolitical events, and/or market sentiment, price shifts away from the balanced price range and creates an imbalance within the market. Identifying value areas are important because these can act as an area of future support/resistance for price. Notice how in this example, after price displaces from the balanced range, it later came back and found support near the fair value within that range. Practical Application One practical application of AMT in forex trading is through the analysis of price action and market profile. By observing how price behaves at different levels and how volume interacts with price movements, you can gain insights into market sentiment and potential areas of support and resistance. For example, if a currency pair consistently fails to break above a certain resistance level despite multiple attempts, it may indicate strong selling pressure at that level, presenting an opportunity for short trades. Conversely, if a currency pair finds strong support at a particular price level, traders may look for buying opportunities as the market reverts to equilibrium. To conclude, Auction Market Theory offers a valuable framework for understanding the dynamics of the forex market. By analysing price action, volume, and market profile through the lens of AMT, you can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. While no theory can guarantee success in trading, incorporating Auction Market Theory into your analysis can help you make more informed trading decisions. Please leave a comment if you've found this post helpful or if you have any questions. Happy Trading
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by Pips4Breakfastx
6
DCA - is for those who do not like to be nervousIn the fast-paced and often volatile world of cryptocurrency, finding best investment strategy can be a daunting task. While many traders seek quick gains through active trading, a more prudent and less stressful approach exists: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA). What is DCA? DCA is an investment strategy that involves investing a fixed amount of money into a particular asset at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. This approach aims to reduce the impact of market volatility on investment returns by averaging out the purchase price over time. Why is DCA the Sleep-Well Strategy? DCA offers several advantages that make it an ideal strategy for investors seeking long-term growth and peace of mind: Emotional Discipline: DCA eliminates the emotional decision-making that often plagues traders. By investing consistently, regardless of price fluctuations, you avoid the urge to buy high and sell low. Reduced Risk: DCA averages out the purchase price, reducing the overall impact of market volatility. You may buy some coins at higher prices, but you'll also benefit from lower prices, evening out your investment cost. Long-Term Focus: DCA encourages a long-term investment mindset, discouraging impulsive decisions based on short-term price movements. It's about building wealth gradually and consistently over time. DCA vs. Trading: DCA stands in stark contrast to active trading, which involves buying and selling assets frequently to capitalize on short-term price movements. While active trading may appeal to experienced traders with high-risk tolerance, it often leads to emotional decision-making and can be time-consuming and stressful. DCA: A Proven Strategy with Remarkable Returns To illustrate the effectiveness of DCA, let's examine the returns of some prominent cryptocurrencies over the past few years, assuming a monthly DCA investment of $100: Bitcoin (BTC): Investing $100 monthly in BTC since January 2019 would have yielded a staggering 112% return, with a total investment of $12,000 growing to $25,440. Ethereum (ETH): A DCA approach for ETH since January 2019 would have resulted in an impressive 770% return. Solana (SOL): DCA into SOL since January 2021 would have generated a remarkable 304% return Fetch.ai (FET): Investing $100 monthly in FET since January 2019 would have yielded an exceptional 776% return Understanding the Coins: Technology and Applications Bitcoin (BTC): The world's first and most popular cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries. Ethereum (ETH): A decentralized blockchain platform, Ethereum supports a wide range of applications, including smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). Solana (SOL): A high-performance blockchain known for its scalability and speed, Solana aims to provide a faster and more efficient alternative to Ethereum. Fetch.ai (FET): An AI-powered decentralized platform, Fetch.ai facilitates the development of autonomous agents for various applications, including open marketplaces and data monetization. Conclusion: DCA is a powerful investment strategy that allows individuals to build wealth in cryptocurrency while minimizing risk and emotional stress. By consistently investing fixed amounts, regardless of market fluctuations, DCA investors can reap significant rewards over the long term. Embrace DCA, sleep well, and let your investments grow steadily towards a brighter financial future.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Polkadot Tealeaf AugurSwing trade This is a loose plan, trend following with some target levels . I now believe it's almost impossible to predict exact movements like I used to try to in some of my older calls based on classical patterns, waves, Wyckoff etc. The mind kind of sees what it wants to. If it works great, but I've had my biases really distort what's actually on the chart too many times now. I am biased on the long side because of the sector's bullishness overall. There's also an upcoming Polkadot 2.0 upgrade early 2024 that should move prices. Polkadot has somewhat underperformed compared to other alts and that gives us a better risk reward ratio and more room for growth. The pattern playing out looks very similar to what Theta/USDT did recently so this trade could be over rather quickly. I've been accumulating since Oct Nov under $6 without a trading plan, got blindsided by the retracement that started after Christmas and now moved my stop loss to breakeven. Here's how I'm trading this going forward: Strategy / Trading Plan Looking for entries using the 4 hour, look for a pull back to baseline or below using half of your position and using an oscillator to time on a lower time frame. If the direction proves correct start pyramid into pullbacks around the baseline of the Keltner Channel 2,1 ratio or skyscraper in for a more aggressive approach. Risk Management The stop loss is just below the recent double bottom (~7.22), adjust to your risk tolerance, some other places to consider are just below either 7.78 or 8.34. Move stop to break even as soon as it makes sense and adjust a trailing stop loss to taste as the price moves in your favor. Goodluck and happy trading. -Hexxi
by Hexxi
3
Gold Surges as US Jobs Data Sparks Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe price of gold witnessed a reversal in trend during Monday's Asian session, halting a two-day losing streak. Weaker-than-expected US employment reports bolstered the likelihood of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Consequently, the US dollar declined while dollar-denominated gold rose. Upon reviewing the daily chart, I observed sellers rejecting upward moves for two consecutive days around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Technical indicators remain negative, signaling a downside risk. Throughout the week, I noticed a struggle in the financial market to find a clear direction, partly due to uncertainty stemming from Federal Reserve policies. Despite the Fed announcing a reduction in the pace of its securities holdings decline, interest rates remained unchanged. Chairman Powell expressed both hawkish and dovish stances, emphasizing the importance of employment data in shaping future policy moves. Furthermore, I examined recent US employment data, including private sector job additions and the unemployment rate. The labor market appears tight, with indications of increasing wage pressures. Wishing everyone successful trading and a great week ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EUR/USD Finds Stability Amidst Inconclusive Dollar MovementEUR/USD witnessed a significant rebound on Thursday, returning to the upper end of recent consolidation above the 1.0700 level as market sentiment stabilized ahead of another US Nonfarm Payrolls Friday. The pair faces initial resistance at the weekly high of 1.0750, followed by key levels such as the 200-day SMA at 1.0798 and the April peak of 1.0880. On the downside, a break of the 2024 low of 1.060 could indicate a return to the November 2023 low of 1.0510. The uncertain price action of the US dollar led to mixed movements in EUR/USD around the 1.0700 level on Thursday, influenced by investors' reactions to the recent Federal Reserve decision to maintain interest rates stable. The Fed reiterated its stance on the Fed Funds target range and expressed intentions for potential interest rate cuts amid concerns about inflation and economic balance disruptions. Comments from Chairman Jerome Powell also weighed on the dollar, suggesting reluctance towards rate hikes in future monetary policy adjustments. Despite short-term weakness, expectations of a delayed interest rate cut by the Fed could limit the prolonged weakness of the US dollar. Additionally, US yields decreased while the divergence in monetary policies between the Fed and other G10 central banks, particularly the ECB, persisted. The subdued economic fundamentals of the eurozone contrast with the resilience of the US economy, supporting expectations of a stronger dollar in the medium term, especially with the possibility of the ECB cutting rates before the Fed. Consequently, EUR/USD is expected to undergo a more significant decline in the medium term.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
2