The Sweet Truth: Sugar’s Bullish Code UnlockedThe Sweet Truth: Sugar’s Bullish Code Unlocked
Not everyone gets to see the market for what it truly is. Most remain trapped, chasing shadows and noise. But you—you're here. You're ready to decode the signals hidden in plain sight.
This week, the COT strategy has unveiled a powerful truth: Sugar is setting up for a bullish move.
But let me be clear—this isn’t a call to recklessly jump into a trade. The market whispers, and we must wait until it speaks clearly. A daily bullish trend change is the signal we need to confirm the move. Until then, we stand ready, armed with knowledge.
Let’s break down the codes that have revealed this opportunity:
Code #1: Extremes in Positioning
Commercials are heavily long, while small speculators are positioned at historic extremes relative to the 26-week lookback index. This is a classic fingerprint of a market ready to shift.
Code #2: Undervaluation
Sugar is undervalued relative to Treasuries and the DXY. The market is quietly signaling that its current price doesn’t reflect its true worth.
Code #3: Supercharged Seasonality
The True Seasonal tendency supports a rally into April. But here’s the kicker—current price action is diverging bullishly from its seasonal trend, creating what Larry Williams calls a "Supercharged Seasonal." This is a rare and potent setup.
Code #4: Front Month Premium
The demand for the front month contract is undeniable. Commercials are paying a premium for earlier delivery, signaling the potential ignition of a commercially driven bull market. The spread between the front month and the next is also diverging bullishly—another signal of strong demand.
Additional Indicators
The Insider Accumulation Index shows clear evidence of accumulation.
The Weekly %R is in the buy zone.
The Weekly Stochastic is oversold, hinting at a market ready to pivot.
What Does This Mean for You?
It means you’re ahead of the herd, seeing what they can’t. But knowledge without discipline is dangerous. We wait for the market to confirm. A daily trend change is our signal to act. Until then, we remain patient, prepared, and poised.
Decode the Market
This is just one piece of the puzzle. Each week, I uncover opportunities like this—markets primed for moves that most won’t see until it’s too late. If you’re ready to step beyond the noise, to decode the hidden messages of the market, follow along.
The question is: Will you act when the market reveals its truth, or will you be left watching from the sidelines?
The choice, as always, is yours.
Sugar
WHITE SUGAR CASH CFD SETUP IDEAWeek setup: Bearish Engulfing bar
Day signal: Retest of Hidden Head & Shoulders neckline.
4HR Signal: Retest of Head & Shoulders neckline + Double Tops downtrend.
1HR Signal: Retest of Double Top downtrend neckline.
IDEA: A strong daily close of price below $549 would suggest a more bearish sentiment.
July 22' Sugar Futures Fibonacci Retracement Technical AnalysisDrawing a Fibonacci Retracement from the low of 17.36 made on Feb 3, to the high of 20.46 made on April 13, we have retraced 61.8% of the up move. 18.54 is that level, which was also the low of the day yesterday, May 4, 2022.
This is the line in the sand for bulls, but considering it held, and we are about to poke our head out above the Ichimoku Cloud, the odds are in their favor. 18.44 was the low of the day Mar 16, and a close below this level can take the market south to the ~18.00 level. Longs have a good risk/reward trade here, with stop levels positioned below 18.44.
Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
SUGAR - CHEAP for coffee! #COMMERCIALS LONGHi traders,
today´s analysis contains information about possible COT trade in the SUGAR. Commercials increased their Long positions, and we are near the extreme SUPPORT level - Edge of the Value area!
Sugar also created a nice REJECTION that confirmed our expectations. Do you remember "Buying tail" from the last videos? Sugar´s tail is one of the most beautiful ones.
Do I enter the trade right now? No!
I am waiting for the 123 pattern that is safer. It´s the last confirmation I am looking for.
Remember - trading is about connecting the dots. And that's what we do in the video.
Good trading,
Jakub
FINEIGHT