Burberry may turn around soon? EW sequenceBurberry (ticker: BRBY) reaching ~14 years lows, where the risk /reward ratio for the mid/long term starting to be favourable. I have two scenarios sketched out on the weekly, white being a 5 wave up, in which we finished 3, followed by a yet unfinished irregular flat structure as a wave 4. Yellow suggests a 3 count move up as an (A) wave, working now on the (B) wave, and later (likely several years) a (C) would follow in 5 subwaves.
In yellow I would primarly expect a deeper cut in the (B) wave also as an ABC structure, where we likely nearing the A wave bottom in the foreseable future.
In both scenario a move-up should be imminent, white to start the wave (5) to the upside, and for the yellow it would be the B wave. For the yellow I put there the resistance levels, but be aware, as price cuts deeper (IF), then we need to adjust that red resistance fib box.
Now, the movedown already consist 5 waves, so technicly we could be near to the local lows, and also in support already (hence the post). Next levels to watch: 951, 885, and 834 and 768 as bigger fib support levels.
Weekly RSI is oversold despite MACD is weakening, On the daily we are building divergence already, so far all the meaningful MA's (9/21/50-52) currently rejecting price action, and far below the 200day MA.
Supportandresistancezones
Sell EURUSD Wedge BreaoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0895, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0847
2nd Support – 1.0809
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0925. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
SBER 5M Long Daytrade Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
Calculated affordable stop limit loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context:
'"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume transitional extremum / T1
+ support leve
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect:
Risk Management Techniques
Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover:
Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ.
Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach.
The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability.
Market Perception in Key Zones
I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes:
Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472).
How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points.
Time Frame for Trade Execution
Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss:
Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames.
Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context.
Trading Sessions Participation
Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share:
My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities.
The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns.
Chart Analysis Overview
We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include:
Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ).
Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ).
Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower
levels.
Potential Trade Setup
Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ.
Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk.
Key Takeaways
Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades.
Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones.
Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution.
Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
20% Incoming?!? It looks like it!If we manage to hold this level, there's no doubt in my mind that the next target will be the daily level above which is around 20% away.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Gold Set for Explosive Breakout! Key Levels & Patterns to Watch!Daily Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: Daily
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart indicates a strong uptrend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. This suggests that the market is in a bullish phase.
Flag Pattern: The price action has formed a flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern. The
breakout from this pattern could lead to further upward movement.
Channels:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating sustained upward momentum. A descending channel breakout in the past led to the current ascending channel, showing a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with key levels to watch for potential entries and take-profit targets. The flag pattern and ascending channel support the bullish outlook.
4-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: The price action is forming a flag pattern similar to the daily chart. This reinforces the bullish continuation expectation.
Channels:
Descending Channel: A descending channel was broken, leading to the current ascending channel.
Ascending Channels: Multiple ascending channels are observed, indicating strong bullish momentum with higher lows and higher highs.
Conclusion:
The 4-hour chart aligns with the daily chart, showing strong bullish momentum with clear patterns and channels supporting further upward movement. Watching the key levels mentioned can help identify entry points and targets.
1-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: A smaller flag pattern is forming, suggesting a short-term bullish continuation.
Channels:
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong upward momentum.
Holding Channels: The price has respected the ascending channels, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Conclusion:
The 1-hour chart provides a detailed view of the recent price action, confirming the bullish trend seen in higher time frames. The ascending channels and flag pattern suggest continued upward movement with key levels acting as potential targets.
Overall Summary
The analysis across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts shows a consistent bullish trend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Flag patterns and ascending channels indicate strong upward momentum, with key liquidity zones and take-profit targets identified for potential trading opportunities.
ETC/USDT 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC pair to USDT chart on a one-day time frame. Let's start by identifying the downward trend in which the price is moving using the yellow channels. Currently, you can see how we bounced off the lower border of the channel, which resulted in a 23% price rebound.
Going further, we can see how the price reacted in our strong support zone from $21 to $18, when the price dropped to the lower border of the zone, we could see a strong rebound. However, if the price were to break down, the next very strong support is at $15.5.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistances in a similar way, and as you can see, the price is currently struggling with the resistance at $22.5, when we break out of it, the next resistance is at $25.4 and then very strong resistance at the price of 29.8 $.
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how an upward movement does not result in price increases, while a downward movement of the indicator gives a greater reaction, which may lead to another attempt at declines.
Even though the RSI indicator shows room for the price to move up from the current resistance, the STOCH RSI indicator indicates that the upper limit has been exceeded, which in previous situations resulted in price declines.
SWING IDEA - POLYPLEXNSE:POLYPLEX has hit its 3 year low of 800 levels recently. At this zone, it can been that while the Price Action has been making Lower Low Pattern, the MACD however is starting to form a Higher High Pattern.
This MACD Higher Higher Pattern the recent crossover as well indicates a move in the upward direction.
Follow Strict Stop Loss here as any weekly closing below the Swing Low levels can only take the stock further downward.
This could potentially be a High Risk High Reward Trade. Take it only based on your Risk Appetite and Management.
USD/CAD - Triangle Breakout - Weekly ForecastThe USD/CAD pair on the H8 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3650.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3465
2nd Support – 1.3364
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3800. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Uptrend - 2 year breakoutBased on resistance and support levels, price breaking parallel range above 2 year resistance supporting rejection and retracement. further upward move is expected ( if price stays above 2164 ) to 14%-15% price apprx. 2500.
*only checking buying position, no short selling
!!Personal views only. please do your own research!!
Live Gold Trade Analysis: Catching the Breakout! Did I Miss It?Key Levels and Zones:
4hr LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at around 2437.909 - 2440.000.
This is a higher timeframe liquidity zone which often acts as a strong resistance or support level.
1hr TP 4 / LQZ:
Marked at 2419.433.
This level is a target point or liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, indicating a significant level where price may react.
15M LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at 2404.619.
This is a key level on the 15-minute chart, suggesting an area where there is liquidity, and price may find support or resistance.
LQZ 1hr:
Marked at 2396.143.
Another liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, which acts as an important support or resistance area.
Other Levels:
2390.821
2386.644
2379.627
Chart Patterns and Movements:
The price has shown a significant rise recently, breaking through multiple levels of resistance.
There is a noticeable ascending channel marked with blue dashed lines, indicating an overall uptrend on this timeframe.
The highlighted blue zone around 2390.821 - 2396.143 indicates a previous consolidation or support area that has now been broken through.
The most recent price action shows a pullback after hitting the 1hr TP 4 / LQZ level at 2419.433.
Key Observations:
The price is currently hovering around the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, which could act as immediate support.
The significant rise and sharp move up might indicate a bullish momentum in the short term.
The break above the blue highlighted zone suggests that the price might find support here if it pulls back.
Potential Trading Strategies:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, consider looking for buying opportunities with targets at higher liquidity zones such as 2419.433 and beyond.
A break above 2419.433 could further validate the uptrend, aiming for the next liquidity zones.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above 2404.619 and breaks below, consider looking for selling opportunities targeting the next support levels at 2396.143, 2390.821, and lower.
Range Trading:
If the price consolidates between 2404.619 and 2419.433, consider trading within this range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
CVS Long Swing 1H Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long balance
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ volumed bullish bars
+ unvolumed bearish bars
Calculated affordable stop limit
25% 1 to 2 R/R
25% 1/2 of the daily range
25% Daily T1 level
25% Monthly 1/2
Daily context
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ exhaustion volume below"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
ICP/USDT Trading ScenarioAmid the negative news about Bitcoin, the price of ICP significantly declined, falling from a local high of $20.937 to $5.837, a drop of over 71%. The asset's price chart has fallen below the 0.75 Fibonacci level, which is often interpreted as a favorable buying zone.
From the perspective of volume profile, the area of interest for market participants is significantly higher, in the range of $13.041.
Currently, there is a positive reaction from buyers at the $5.837 mark, as evidenced by the formation of a daily pin bar. This signal could indicate a potential trend reversal and the beginning of an upward movement, as a pin bar typically signifies a change in market sentiment.
XrpUsd - The beginning of the end?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is actually attempting to invalidate my long term bullish case scenario.
Trading cryptocurrencies in general is not easy. You always experience two digit moves in single days and drops of -10% are never easy to digest. Looking at the higher timeframes is key though, also on XrpUsd. XrpUsd is still trading in the triangle formation and retesting the last bullish inflection point. My general optimism tells me that we will see a bullish rejection here.
Levels to watch: $0.42
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
TM Daytrade M5 Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed transition extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- no trading signal (last M5 of the day)
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit $205.59
Hourly context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed transitory extremum / T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Daily context:
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on top
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation
- 1/2 correction?"
Monthly context:
" + long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ weak approach
+ volumed manipulation"
OCO 4A: Sell Shares of TM Limit at $205.99 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 4B: Sell Shares of TM Stop at $201.58 Limit at $201.70 (Good 'til Canceled)
Trade idea - EURNZD Long4H
Market was moving in Bull Flag formation.
3rd touch of trend line was aligning perfectly with the -68 Fibonacci.
Missed the early entry on this trade.
New opportunity now to get involved.
Bullish impulse: indication .
Pattern within pattern: confirmation.
Inverse Head & Shoulders, Bullish M.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
1% risk
Gbp/Usd (Wedge) Intraday Analysis The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2806, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2763
2nd Support – 1.2735
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2850. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Meta Platforms - Flying under the radar...NASDAQ:META just rallied +500% without any correction and might create a top formation soon.
Sometimes the trading gods are sending us gifts from heaven. We received such a gift back in 2022 when Meta Platforms - out of nowhere - corrected -70% and perfectly retested the lower support of the reverse triangle formation. After the +500% rally from there, it is quite likely that we will see a short term retracement. But the overall trend is still clearly towards the upside!
Levels to watch: $530
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
MSFT: Potential Top SignalThe daily chart of MSFT highlights a potential top signal characterized by a bearish candlestick pattern following a strong uptrend. This signal indicates a possible reversal or at least a significant pullback. The bearish candlestick pattern near the top suggests that sellers are gaining control after a strong bullish run.
A key level to watch on the daily chart is the bullish rejection support line at $458.97, which is the low of the previous bullish candlestick. The 21-day EMA is another critical support level that can provide additional confirmation of the trend direction.
The hourly chart provides a more granular view of the recent price action, showing a bearish pivot point around $464.47. This level marks the point where the price has shown a significant rejection, forming a lower high and a subsequent lower low, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. The red arrows on the chart highlight the direction of the recent downward movement, suggesting continued bearish pressure.
The potential top signal on the daily chart and the bearish pivot point on the hourly chart indicate a possible continuation of the downward movement. If the price breaks below the $458.97 support line with increased volume, the 21 EMA (D) will be its next technical target.
If the price manages to hold above the $458.97 support line and shows signs of reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns, it could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. It all depends on how it’ll react now that it is approaching its key support level.
In summary, MSFT is showing potential bearish signals with a top signal on the daily chart and a bearish pivot point on the hourly chart. However, key support levels need to be monitored for any signs of reversal.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
NZD/JPY H1 Channel BreakoutThe NZD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 98.50, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 98.03
2nd Support – 97.80
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 98.90. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you