RSI gave the earlier signal with the bearish crossover, MACD did the additional confirmation. It was important to see the price action as well. Recent highs were sold and Yesterday we finished in negative territory. Volume spike suggests that there was profit closing with an attempt to buy the dip. Selling is minimal, though if the picture continues to deteriorate...
My long time followers and readers know two things about the bond/credit markets:
1) They are by far the largest markets in the world even dwarfing the Stock/Equity Markets.
2) If you want to know where the Stock Market is going, look at the 10 Year Bond Yield (TNX).
Of course, some argue that things have changed due to central bank money printing propping...
As the chart explains, US people made a historic dash for cash in November.
Foreign investors didn't gobble up US assets.
US bond prices trended down too, tracking the declines in USD.
So, who is buying stocks, and when do they run out of money?
Thoughts?
There is much speculation across the investor universe about what influences Gold prices and vice versa. Today I will be focusing on the false theory that Gold prices lead treasury yields and that by extension, Gold signals market crashes.
The Financial Solar System
Taking a look at the chart it is clear that sometimes Gold prices parallel and slightly lead...
hello Millennials,
As we predicted on our youtube channel,
Time for US BONDS just started, Fed manipulation lost power and:
as bonds go UP,
Big Banks and Big Funds
will sell stocks and Buy Bonds, because it is safer than this crazy moment in the market.
So, Stock market incoming Sell pressure.
Good Luck and Good Profit
Moving Water
TLDR: USD⬇️/ BONDS ⬇️ / SPY ⬆️ / Inflation ⬆️
Eurodollars are USD holdings by banks outside of the US (ie. outside of the reach of the Fed). They're the evolution of banker's acceptance notes, & used for interbank transactions. Think of it like 'electroninc banker dollars'. Eurodollars make up 90% of all international loans. $GE1! (their futures) are the...
50 period MA on the weekly is being heavily tested, and we've been in a beastly uptrend since August. If you look at the longer-term behaviour of rates, you see a beautifullly defined channel, with consistent breakouts above the 50 period MA. Time for a bond market correction, and a reassessment (and repricing) of the risk-free rate. Cheers!
Hello traders and investors!
As we all know the stock market has recovered very sharply and fast since March when we saw a strong drop following coronavirus lockdowns.
The monetary policy has quickly changed and caused a rebound on financial assets after QE, stimulus packages, and lower rates.
Stock indexes are higher, some even beyond March levels even though...
Historically, USDJPY has had a positive correlation with interest rates. This implies that whenever rates go down, USDJPY follows lower. However, since September this year, rates as seen on the US 10 YEAR YIELD have been rising. USDJPY was falling on USD weakness.
Interest rates are rising as the US Federal Reserve has been providing massive QE and financial help...
Updates
US Dollar
Old trendline is still in play and might lead to more chop sideways, possibly forming a pennant.
The dark blue 200 week EMA is likely as far as it goes if it breaks out.
Keep in mind this dollar index is more about the Euro and Yen rather than the actual broad dollar index which is still where it was in the beginning of the year....
