PALANTiR PLTR: $26.00 | 6 months of Accumulation is over and now the sitting begins for the Digital Fortress of the US of A
should be a nice ride towards $100 only for those who got volume ..
--
this is the only stock i own...
unloaded UBER TWTTR at $30
unloaded FB at $30..
-
time to sit tighter
TECH
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red.
NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon.
The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN.
Good luck!
The only tech stock I’d consider buying right nowThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
We’ve seen the S&P, NASDAQ and every other American index get slammed in the last couple of days. Some people are panicking. A lot of people are panicking. If you go on Twitter (sorry — X dot com) you will find a lot of people who listened to a recommendation from a guy on YouTube about a trash stock like say, IonQ or HIMS, and are now fairly upset said YouTube guy (or Twitch guy, or whatever) got it wrong.
Frankly, a correction is a healthy thing because it allows investors to purchase good companies at more reasonable multiples.
I have no idea where the market goes from here. I can’t see the future. I admit this sell-off has me adding tech stocks (and other American stocks) to my watch-list, and I’ll continue to monitor them.
A lot of tech stocks — the bulk of what has fallen as of late — still aren’t in that zone for me yet. Amazon still trades at a current multiple of 35x earnings and a fwd multiple of 28x — I can’t find much value in that, especially when I consider that Google, a company with +$83 billion in net profit and a 32% operating margin, can be acquired for 16x fwd earnings (I had to check those numbers too just to be sure — when you’ve still got things like Palantir trading “to the moon” (and back), 16x⁴ seems like a reasonable price for the dominant advertising platform in the world).
Here’s Buffett, in his 2008 essay — Buy American, I am:
A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now.
Buffett was right, of course. If you purchased stocks in 2008 and held them you would’ve done pretty well (as long as you didn’t buy Lehman Brothers!). The GFC saw stocks fall 48% from their peak — if we are indeed heading towards that territory there is more room to fall. I have no idea — examining the basket of tech stocks I look at, the only one that presents any value is Google. It’s reasonable at 16x fwd earnings. If it traded at 12x earnings, it would be a bargain - in my opinion. How low can you go?
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all!
I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history.
From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength.
For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind.
Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover.
From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"?
So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008.
- How long do corrections and recoveries last?
- How often do they happen?
- What should investors know?
- Can this help you in any way?
DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more.
Retracement Stats:
- Average drop: -15%
- Median drop: -13%
- Biggest drop: -37.72%
- Smallest drop: -10%
Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom?
- Average: 60 days
- Median: 35 days
- Longest: 325 days
- Shortest: 14 days
Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs.
- Average: 165 days (~5.5 months)
- Median: 119 days (~4 months)
- Longest: 752 days (over 2 years)
- Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months)
Correction Frequency
If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average.
Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets
- Corrections lasted 1016 days
- Recoveries lasted 2801 days
- Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days
- Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years)
Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising!
What Can Investors Learn from This?
1. Accept Volatility
Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns.
2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered
In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem.
3. Make Better Decisions
Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better.
4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats
Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy.
"A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett
Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities.
"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild
Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm!
So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Have great day,
Vaido
💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
$GOOGL .... LETS GET LOUD!!!Within the last month, we have watched NASDAQ:GOOGL get absolutely crushed, most of which has to do with a generally weak earnings report in early February. However, skepticism of this price action and investor sentiment is the only thing that should be on anyone's mind right now. One thing we know for a fact is that Google isn't going anywhere especially considering all the data they collect on their users. So why not apply this reasoning into buying the dip? To answer that, we should Look First/Then Leap ...
Here is the 4 Hour chart refencing back into September of 2024.
Let's start with the circle. The reason I have the area marked is because of the key factors in play that indicate we may possibly be bottoming out on this timeframe. Firstly, there are two lines to keep an eye on, a diagonal trendline and a horizontal price-level line. NASDAQ:GOOGL 's price action seems to obey these two levels (for whatever reason), which are coincidentally in the same area at the same time. Secondly, NASDAQ:GOOGL has just shown a rebound from the 400 EMA which also falls within this area giving a sort of "stars aligning" situation here. But the price action doesn't have to be the only thing we examine to analyze $GOOGL.
This is the MACD indicator on the 4 Hour timeframe referencing back to September of 2024.
This MACD chart shows the comparison between the last regional low for the MACD compared to the recent regional lows. Between these lows there is an interval of 76 to 78 calendar days (just over 2 and a half months) if I am not mistaken, which should strike some traders as very odd considering their similarity in distance. Amazingly, that's not even the weirdest part...
This is the combination of both charts.
How about that? Not only are the lengths between regional MACD lows similar, but NASDAQ:GOOGL 's returns between these periods are only roughly 2/3% in difference to each other. This just shows that there is more that what meets the eye when it comes to charting. Always look where others don't because that's where some keys are found.
In conclusion, I will be taking a long position on NASDAQ:GOOGL for the reasons stated above. When stars align like this, we are given no option but to act upon our rationality instead of our emotions...
$SUI: SUI Blockchain’s Token – Poised for Growth or Overhyped?(1/9)
Good morning, crypto enthusiasts! ☀️ CRYPTOCAP:SUI : SUI Blockchain’s Token – Poised for Growth or Overhyped?
With SUI at $2.70 , is this Layer 1 blockchain’s token set to dominate the crypto market or just another flash in the pan? Let’s dive into the digital realm and find out! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 2.70 as of Mar 7, 2025 💰
• Historical Context: Launched May 3, 2023, with significant growth in 2024 📏
• Sector Trend: Blockchain gaming and NFTs driving demand 🌟
It’s a hot commodity in the crypto space! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $1.2B (based on 1B tokens) 🏆
• Operations: Layer 1 blockchain with focus on speed and scalability ⏰
• Trend: Partnerships with gaming studios, NFT platforms boosting adoption 🎯
Solid, with a clear path to utility and growth! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Recent Partnerships: Collaborations with gaming firms like Mythical Games 🔄
• NFT Sales: Robust growth in NFT transactions on SUI blockchain 🌍
• Market Reaction: Positive sentiment post-launch and recent updates 📋
Thriving, with a focus on real-world applications! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Competition: Strong rivals like Solana, Avalanche in the L1 space 🔍
• Regulatory Challenges: Crypto regulations could impact growth 📉
• Volatility: Crypto market’s inherent swings affect price ❄️
Navigating these choppy waters is key! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Performance: High-speed transactions, ideal for gaming and more 🥇
• Partnerships: Growing ecosystem with gaming and NFT projects 📊
• Scalability: Designed for mass adoption, per developers’ claims 🔧
Got the goods to stand out in the blockchain race! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: New project, unproven in long-term stability 📉
• Opportunities: Expanding into metaverse, AI integration 📈
Can it scale and secure its position or get lost in the noise? 🤔
(8/9) –📢SUI at $2.70—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $5+ by end of 2025, gaming boom drives growth 🐂
• Neutral: Steady growth, risks balanced ⚖️
• Bearish: $0.50 by year-end, competition overtakes 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
SUI’s at $2.70, with a promising future in blockchain gaming and NFTs. Volatility’s a given, but its strengths could lead to significant gains. DCA on dips, ride the wave! Gem or bust?
US30 - Clean and Clear!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last US30 analysis attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the range and has been trading lower.
What's next?
📦We will be trading the range as long as it holds.
🏹As US30 approaches the lower bound of the range around $42,000, I will start looking for bullish reversal setups.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?Good morning, everyone! ☀️ TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?
(1/9)
TSMC’s riding the AI wave with record Q4 2024 profits, but with U.S.-China curbs and fab delays, is this semiconductor king untouchable or at a crossroads? Let’s unpack it! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Q4 2024: Net income up 57% to $11.4B, revenue climbed 39% 💰
• Full Year 2024: Revenue hit $87.1B, up 34% from 2023 📏
• Sector Trend: AI chip demand soaring, per Reuters 🌟
It’s a powerhouse, driven by tech’s hunger! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Share: Over 60% of global foundry market 🏆
• Clients: Apple, Nvidia, AMD—big names rely on ‘em ⏰
• Trend: Expanding fabs in U.S., Japan, Germany 🎯
Firm, holding the throne but not without battles! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 Earnings: Record $11.4B profit, per Jan 16 Reuters 🔄
• Expansion: Arizona fab faces delays, full ops by 2027? 🌍
• Market Reaction: Shares up 81% in 2024, still strong 📋
Adapting, with global eyes on its moves! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Geopolitics: U.S.-China export curbs hit demand 🔍
• Costs: U.S. fab chips 50% pricier than Taiwan 📉
• Talent: Lack of skilled U.S. workers slows growth ❄️
Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Profit Surge: 57% net income jump in Q4 2024 🥇
• Tech Lead: 5nm mass production, 3nm in R&D 📊
• Client Base: Powers Apple, Nvidia, more 🔧
Got silicon in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High U.S. fab costs, talent gaps 📉
• Opportunities: AI chip demand, new fabs in Japan, EU 📈
Can it keep the lead amid global shifts? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢TSMC’s Q4 profit up 57%, AI booming, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Still the king, long-term winner 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, but risks weigh ⚖️
• Bearish: Curbs and costs slow growth 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
TSMC’s record profits signal AI dominance 📈, but U.S.-China curbs and fab delays add caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
$SMCI: Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in!
(1/9)
Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Fiscal 2024: Net sales soared 110.4% to $14,989.2 million 💰
• Server Systems: Up 115.9%, GPU servers leading the charge 📏
• Sector Trend: AI demand’s skyrocketing 🌟
It’s a wild ride, fueled by AI’s hunger! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: $2.4B, based on shares outstanding 🏆
• Holdings: Servers, storage, and AI solutions ⏰
• Trend: International sales steady at 32%, showing global appetite 🎯
Firm, carving a niche in AI infrastructure! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• 10-K Filing: Dropped Feb 25, 20
25, dodged NASDAQ delisting 🔄
• Revenue Driver: GPU servers for AI workloads 🌍
• Market Reaction: Shares jumped 19.8% after-hours 📋
Adapting, with investors cheering the comeback! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Internal Controls: Audit flagged issues, per Feb 25 filing 🔍
• Competition: Big players in AI server space 📉
• Volatility: High-growth sectors swing hard ❄️
Tough, but risks loom! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Revenue Boom: 110% growth, $14,989.2 million in sales 🥇
• AI Focus: GPU servers crushing it 📊
• Global Reach: 32% international sales 🔧
Got rocket fuel in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Internal control concerns, per audit 📉
• Opportunities: AI infrastructure demand keeps soaring 📈
Can it fix the cracks and ride the wave? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢 SMCI’s revenue up 110%, with AI demand exploding, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Shares to $50+ soon, AI’s unstoppable 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️
• Bearish: $35 looms, controls spook 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
SMCI’s revenue surge to $14,989.2 million screams AI potential 📈, but control issues add a pinch of caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
Trump Media ($DJT) – Truth Social’s Latest MovesTrump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) – Truth Social’s Latest Moves
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! 🌞 Trump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) is trending 📈, last at $ 29.23 per Feb 18, 2025, close (Yahoo Finance), down 3.82% that day. Q4 2024 showed a $ 401M loss, yet cash reserves hit $ 777M 🌿. Let’s dive into this social media play! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Feb 18, 2025: $ 29.23, down 3.82% from $ 30.39 💰
• Q4 2024: Revenue at $ 1M, down from $ 1.1M year prior 📏
• Full Year 2024: $ 3.6M sales, $ 401M net loss 🌟
It’s volatile, with cash as a lifeline! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: $ 6.43B as of Feb 18, 2025, per Yahoo 🏆
• User Base: 9M Truth Social sign-ups as of Feb 2024 ⏰
• Trend: Exploring M&A, per Feb 14 filing 🎯
Firm, betting on growth! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 Earnings: $ 401M loss reported Feb 14, 2025 🔄
• Expansion: Plans for Truth.Fi ETFs, per Feb 6 Reuters 🌍
• Market Reaction: Flat post-earnings, per CNBC 📋
Adapting, diversification’s key! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Losses: $ 401M hit in 2024, per Feb 14 filing 🔍
• Competition: Meta, X pressure social media 📉
• Regulation: Legal woes linger, per Feb 14 SEC ❄️
Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Cash Reserves: $ 777M buffer, per Feb 14 filing 🥇
• Brand: Trump loyalty drives interest 📊
• Flexibility: M&A plans in motion 🔧
Got resilience in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Revenue down, losses up 📉
• Opportunities: Crypto ventures, M&A growth 📈
Can NASDAQ:DJT turn cash into wins? 🤔
(8/9) – NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 23.93 , cash-rich but loss-heavy, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $ 35+ soon, M&A pays 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance ⚖️
• Bearish: $ -20 looms, losses weigh 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 29.23 Feb 18 close masks $ 777M cash stash 📈, but $ 401M losses sting 🌿. Volatility bites, yet dips are our DCA gold 💰. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
ARISTA NETWORKS ($ANET) ZAPS Q4—AI & CLOUD FUEL SURGEARISTA NETWORKS ( NYSE:ANET ) ZAPS Q4—AI & CLOUD FUEL SURGE
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! Arista Networks ( NYSE:ANET ) is buzzing—$ 7B in 2024 revenue, up 19.5% 📈🔥. Q4 shines with AI and cloud demand—let’s unpack this tech titan! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• 2024 Haul: $ 7B—19.5% jump from $ 5.86B 💥
• Q4 Take: $ 1.93B—25.3% up, beats $ 1.9B 📊
• EPS: $ 0.65—tops $ 0.57, up 25%
NYSE:ANET ’s humming—cloud’s got juice!
(3/9) – BIG PLAYS
• Q1 ‘25 Guide: 1.93 − 1.97B—above $ 1.907B 🌍
• Stock Split: 4-for-1—shares for all! 🚗
• AI Ties: Meta, NVIDIA deals spark buzz 🌟
NYSE:ANET ’s wiring the future—full throttle!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• P/E: ~54—premium vs. Cisco’s 17 📈
• Growth: 19.5% smokes sector’s 7%
• Edge: 70-80% Microsoft share—kingpin 🌍
NYSE:ANET ’s hot—value or stretch?
(5/9) – RISKS IN VIEW
• Clients: Microsoft, Meta—big eggs, one basket ⚠️
• Comp: Cisco bites back—AI race heats 🏛️
• Economy: Capex cuts could sting 📉
High flyer—can it dodge the turbulence?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• AI Lead: $ 750M ‘25 target—cloud king 🌟
• Margins: 64.6%—profit punch 🔍
• Cash: 95% flow jump, no debt 🚦
NYSE:ANET ’s a lean, mean machine!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Client lean, high P/E 💸
• Opportunities: AI clusters, enterprise zip 🌍
Can NYSE:ANET zap past the risks?
(8/9) – NYSE:ANET ’s Q4 buzz—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s solid, risks linger.
3️⃣ Bearish—Premium fades fast.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NYSE:ANET ’s $ 1.93B Q4 and AI deals spark zing—$ 7B year shines 🌍. Premium P/E, but growth rules—champ or chase?
META’S Q4 2024—$META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORYMETA’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORY
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Meta’s Q4 2024 earnings landed—$48.4B revenue, up 21% YoY, topping estimates 📈🔥. A 16.5% stock rally seals the deal. Let’s unravel NASDAQ:META ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – AD & AI POWER
• Q4 Revenue: $48.4B, 21% jump from last year 💥
• Profits: Nearly $21B—up 49%—efficiency shines 📊
• Ad Surge: Biggest driver, fueling the cash flow
AI’s humming, ads are king—Meta’s on fire!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• AI Spend: $60B+ lined up for ‘25 🌍
• Users: 3.35B daily logins—record crowd 🚗
• Meta AI: 700M monthly fans—AI’s buzzing 🌟
Stock’s tearing up the charts—hot streak alert!
(4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN
• Forward P/E: ~28x, leaner than Amazon’s 33x
• Ad Game: 21% growth beats Google’s 12% 📈
• User Pull: Social king—rivals can’t touch it
NASDAQ:META ’s a growth beast—hidden value or hype? 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE HORIZON
• Regs: EU and U.S. eyeing fines—trouble brews? 🏛️
• AI Bet: $60B spend—payoff’s a question ⚠️
• Saturation: 3.35B users tough to top 📉
High stakes in this tech showdown!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Ad Muscle: $46.8B in Q4—ad king rules 🌟
• AI Edge: 700M Meta AI users—future’s here 🔍
• Cash Pile: $52B free flow in ‘24 🚦
NASDAQ:META ’s flexing serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Metaverse burns SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B , AI costs stack 💸
• Opportunities: Threads hits 100M+, AI ads shine 🌍
Can NASDAQ:META spin risks into wins?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:META ’s Q4 rocks—what’s the vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and ads keep it roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Big spends clip its wings.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Meta’s Q4 dazzles—$48.4B revenue, $21B profit, AI soaring 🌍🪙. 28x P/E vs. peers, but growth’s electric. Regs and AI costs loom—gem or gamble?
APPLOVIN’S Q4 2024—$APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGEAPPLOVIN’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGE
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! AppLovin’s Q4 2024 earnings hit—$1.37B revenue, up 44% YoY, crushing $1.26B estimates 📈🔥. AI-powered AXON drives a 37% stock pop. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:APP ’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.37B, +44% YoY ($953.3M Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Ad Revenue: $999.5M, +73% YoY
• Apps Revenue: $373.3M, -1% YoY 📊
• EPS: $1.73, beats $1.24 est.
• Net Income: $599.2M, +248% YoY
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Stock Surge: +37% post-earnings (Feb 13) 🌍
• Buybacks: $2.1B retired 25.7M shares in ‘24 🚗
• Debt Play: $3.55B notes issued Nov ‘24 💸
• Q1 ‘25 Guide: $1.355-1.385B, tops $1.32B est.
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $175B (Feb 13) 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 116 vs. TTD (50), META (33)
• Growth: 44% YoY beats TTD (26%), META (19%)
• 1Y Stock: +1,000%, 2Y: +3,000%
Premium price, growth screams value!
(5/9) – RISKS TO FLAG
• Valuation: 116 P/E—high stakes, no misses 📉
• Debt: $3.51B vs. $567.6M cash—leverage looms ⚠️
• AI Rivals: Google, Meta eye AXON’s turf 🏛️
• Regs & Economy: Ad spend cuts lurk
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 44% revenue, $599M profit soars 🌟
• Margins: 62% EBITDA, $2.1B FCF in ‘24 🔍
• AXON: 73% ad surge—AI’s the champ 🚦
NASDAQ:APP ’s a profit powerhouse!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Apps dip (-1%), $3.51B debt 💸
• Opportunities: E-commerce ads, AI edge, acquisitions 🌍
Can NASDAQ:APP turn risks into riches?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:APP ’s Q4 stuns—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation bites back.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AppLovin’s Q4 dazzles—$1.37B revenue, $599M profit, stock blazing 🌍🪙. High P/E, but AI growth shines. Debt and rivals loom—gem or peak?
AIRBNB’S Q4 2024—$ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTHAIRBNB’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:ABNB SOARS WITH RECORD GROWTH
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Airbnb’s Q4 2024 earnings dropped—$2.5B revenue, up 12% YoY, topping $2.42B estimates 📈🔥. Nights booked hit 111M, and a $14% stock surge shows the market’s love. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:ABNB ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $2.5B, +12% YoY ($2.2B Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Net Income: $461M vs. -$349M loss last year
• EPS: $0.73, beats $0.61 est. 📊
• Adj. EBITDA: $765M, +4% YoY, 30.8% margin
• GBV: $17.6B, +13% YoY
Travel demand’s fueling the fire!
(3/9) – KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• Stock Surge: +14% post-earnings (Feb 14) 🌍
• Buybacks: $838M in Q4, $3.4B for 2024 🚗
• New Ventures: $200-250M investment in travel services for May ‘25 ✅
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s betting big on growth beyond stays!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: ~$102B, Stock: $161.2 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 48.87 vs. BKNG (23), EXPE (15)
• Outperforms: 12% revenue growth beats BKNG (6%), EXPE (2%)
Premium valuation, but $4.5B free cash flow says it’s earned!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Economy: Retail sales dip hints travel cuts 📉
• Regs: NYC bans, Barcelona threats loom 🏛️
• Competition: BKNG, EXPE, hotels fight back ⚔️
• Costs: $200-250M spend may squeeze Q1 margins ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 12% revenue, $461M profit shines 🌟
• Cash: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B net, $4.5B FCF powers buybacks 🔍
• Tech: 535+ upgrades boost scale 🚦
NASDAQ:ABNB ’s a travel titan with muscle!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E (48.87), Q1 margin dip 💸
• Opportunities: New services ( SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + potential), LatAm/Asia boom 🌍
Can NASDAQ:ABNB turn expansion into gold?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:ABNB ’s Q4 rocks—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps climbing.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation caps it.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Airbnb’s Q4 dazzles—$2.5B revenue, stock soaring, new bets in play 🌍. Premium P/E vs. peers, but growth screams value. Risks lurk—regs, economy. Gem or peak?
$SHOP’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE?NYSE:SHOP ’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE?
(1/9)
Hey Tradingview crew! Shopify’s Q4 2024 is dropping jaws 📈🔥! $2.81B in revenue—31% YoY blast—$94.5B GMV, and a fat cash flow flex. Is NYSE:SHOP the champ or just flexing? Let’s rip it open! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLOWOUT
• Q4 Revenue: $2.81B, +31% YoY—smoked $2.73B est. 💥
• Subscription: $666M, +27%
• Merchant Solutions: $2.15B, +33%
• EPS: $0.44, edged $0.43 est. 📊
• FCF: $611M, 22% margin— GETTEX:25M over est.
NYSE:SHOP ’s cash machine is humming!
(3/9) – BIG WINS
• GMV: $94.5B, +26%—fastest since ‘21 🚗
• Full Year: $8.88B revenue, +25.78% 🌍
• 3-Month Trials: New twist for Q1 ‘25 subs ✅
• Enterprise: 114 deals in 10 quarters—B2B up 132%!
X is buzzing— NYSE:SHOP ’s scaling like a beast!
(4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN
• Market Cap: ~$151.5B, P/E 81, P/S 14.3 🌟
• Vs. NASDAQ:BIGC : Lagging, $CRM/ NASDAQ:ADBE : Broader focus
• NYSE:SHOP ’s 31% growth smokes peers—$94.5B GMV flexes
Pricey, but is it a steal for this hustle? X debates!
(5/9) – RISKS TO DODGE
• Amazon & WooCommerce: Claws out for NYSE:SHOP ’s turf 📉
• Economy: Slowdown could choke GMV ⚠️
• Tariffs: Duty hikes loom— NYSE:SHOP ’s got tools, but ouch!
• Costs: Intern army in ‘25—cash burn risk?
X says watch out—trouble’s lurking!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Revenue: 31% YoY—$2.81B Q4 fury 🌟
• FCF: 22% Q4 margin, 18% ‘24 🔍
• Global: 33% GMV growth, EMEA +37% 🚦
NYSE:SHOP ’s an e-commerce titan—X can’t look away!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E 81, merchant reliance 💸
• Opportunities: Enterprise boom, AI tools, price hikes 🌍
Can NYSE:SHOP turn hype into gold? X wants to know!
(8/9) – NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is fire—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—$151.5B king keeps slaying
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s hot, but risks bite
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation’s a trap, crash incoming
Vote now—let’s brawl it out! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL BLAST
NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is a $2.81B thunderclap—GMV soaring, cash flowing 🌍. But competition and costs lurk. Undervalued rocket or overhyped bubble?
Nasdaq and Next Major SupportThe Nasdaq Composite is about to break above what will be it's next major support. When this happens stocks usually fly quite high. Please remember that it will likely want to hit back into this support at some point. So when you get big gains after this happens, do not enter new positions, just ride them. You also might want to trim some off and wait for the pullback into support before adding new positions.
As always, good luck!
BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD)
• Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥
• Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️
• Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est.
• Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD)
Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY).
(3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH
• Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖
• ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈
• Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗
AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍
• Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊
• Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification
At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so!
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR
• Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉
• AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔
• China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️
• Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth
• U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍
• ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟
• Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦
Baidu’s got serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸
• Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍
Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell!
(8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out.
3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT
(1/8)
Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈
(2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT
• EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06)
• Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥
• Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏
(3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30
• Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔
• Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐
(4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭
• Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡
• Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️
• Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸
(5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base
Growing services revenue (+14%!)
Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks
Weaknesses:
Heavy dependence on iPhone sales
China manufacturing concentration
Opportunities:
AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more)
Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍
Services sector continuing to expand ⚡
Threats:
Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖
Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐
Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors
(6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT
• China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance
• Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾
• Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔
(7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30?
1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍
3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Arista Into EarningsANET is still suffering from the NVDA sell off (I would argue completely irrational panic). It's currently ranging right in the middle of major support and major resistance. So it's tricky because we're so far above support, but also lots of room to recover losses. My bet into earnings is Arista breaks above resistance at $141. Arista is trading just under 20X revenue and they have amazing profit margins and sustained growth. The broader Nasdaq Computer Index IXCO is very close to breaking out of this long range it's been so it seems like a fair bet that ANET jumps to the upside along with everything else.
Good Luck!
FRESHWORKS ($FRSH): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaSFRESHWORKS ( NASDAQ:FRSH ): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaS
1/7
Revenue Growth: Freshworks just posted $194.6M in Q4 2024 (+22% YoY), with full-year revenue hitting $ 720M (+21% YoY)! ⚡️
Growth is fueled by new customer wins and the rising AI demand in customer service, sales, and IT solutions.
2/7 – EARNINGS BEAT
• Non-GAAP EPS: $0.14 (beat by $0.04) 💰
• Operating profit for FY2024 doubled to $ 99M from $ 44.5M in 2023 🔥
• FY2025 guidance: Revenue $ 809M–$ 821M (12–14% YoY growth) 🚀
3/7 – CASH FLOW & PROFITABILITY
• Free Cash Flow margin at 21% in Q4—showing major profitability strides 💸
• Shifting from less profitable past to a more robust, scalable business model 🏆
4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Competes with Salesforce, HubSpot, Zendesk in the SaaS arena 🌐
• Enterprise Value to Revenue ratio is on the lower end—could be undervalued given its growth 📈
• Mid-market & SMB focus → niche advantage vs. pricier enterprise solutions
5/7 – RISK FACTORS
• Market Competition: Big fish (Salesforce) + fresh entrants (Zendesk) 🏦
• Customer Acquisition: High marketing costs, must maintain ROI 🤝
• Economic Sensitivity: Downturn = possible budget cuts on software 💼
• Tech Shifts: Rapid AI innovation—no resting on laurels! 🤖
6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Strong AI-driven revenue growth
• Wide product portfolio (sales, IT, support, etc.)
• Growing customer base & retention ✅
Weaknesses:
• Less profitable historically (though improving)
• Revenue heavily reliant on core products 😬
Opportunities:
• Expand into untapped global markets
• Double down on AI for new revenue streams 🌍
Threats:
• Market saturation & intense competition 🏁
• Data privacy regs could disrupt operations ⚖️
7/7 Freshworks: undervalued gem or just another SaaS player?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI + mid-market niche = unstoppable! 🏅
2️⃣ Neutral—Need more proof of profitability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & economy hold it back 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇