Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 24, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for April 24, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇪🇺 European Banks Brace for Tariff Impact: European banks are facing a challenging outlook as U.S. tariff hikes raise recession fears. Analysts anticipate slower revenue growth and increased loan loss provisions, with institutions like BNP Paribas expected to report earnings reflecting these pressures.
✈️ Airline Industry Faces Booking Declines: European airlines report a 3% drop in planned summer trips, with leisure travel down 8% compared to 2024. Economic concerns and rising travel costs, particularly among Gen Z travelers, are contributing factors. Airlines like Ryanair and Air France-KLM are considering fare adjustments to maintain demand.
👗 Kering's Revenue Drops Amid Gucci Struggles: Luxury group Kering reported a 14% decline in Q1 revenue, with flagship brand Gucci experiencing a 25% drop. The company attributes the downturn to ongoing brand challenges and macroeconomic factors affecting consumer spending in key markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, April 24:
📦 Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +2.1%
Previous: +0.9%
Measures new orders for manufactured durable goods, indicating manufacturing sector health.
📈 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 222,000
Previous: 215,000
Reflects the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, signaling labor market trends.
🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 4.14 million
Previous: 4.26 million
Indicates the annualized number of existing residential buildings sold, providing insight into housing market conditions.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Technical Analysis
Thu 24th Apr 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAU/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Thu 24th Apr 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold: Correction Before Another ATH?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3220 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SBFC FINANCE Breakout from Long Consolidation | Strong Volume✅ Recommendation: Buy (Post-Breakout Strategy)
CMP: ₹108
Buy Zone: ₹106–₹108 (current price is still within a safe buying range after breakout)
Target 1: ₹120
Target 2: ₹135
Stop-Loss: ₹98 (just below breakout zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 (ideal)
⚠️ Caution
Don’t chase if the price shoots up quickly from here. Wait for minor dips toward ₹106 to enter.
If price closes below ₹98 with volume, the breakout may fail — consider exiting.
for educational purposes only
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason?
A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
AUD/USD IS BEARISH STRUCTUREHowdy Traders,
AUD/USD has experienced a bearish rally for the past nine days, during which it found strong support at 0.65735 . This support level has proven reliable in the past, as it successfully held the market. Furthermore, a subsequent bullish rally was observed.
In terms of the target, the market has confirmed a bearish outlook by breaking the 100-day EMA. This indicates that the market is likely to continue selling.
If the market sustained its support level so good movement is seen on the upside.
The target is- 0.66220 , 0.66047
XAU/USD: New ATH ~ $3500, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the 15-minute gold chart, we can see that the price once again reached a new high today, rallying up to the key psychological level of $3500. Following this move, gold has experienced a pullback down to $3423 so far. If the price stabilizes below $3442, we will likely see a further correction toward the next target at $3411. (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough?
Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:US100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 189.100 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
AUDNZD: Bearish Trend Continuation 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD violated a significant support cluster on a daily.
Because the pair is trading in a long-term bearish trend,
such a violation signifies a highly probable bearish continuation.
Next support - 1.06
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD is Bullish: More Gains AheadFenzoFx—The AUD/USD pair rebounded from the $0.6363 support level, aided by the 50-period simple moving average, and is currently trading near $0.6413.
Resistance stands at $0.6444. A close above this level may extend the bullish move toward $0.6940 and $0.7200.
Bearish Scenario : A drop below $0.6363 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially triggering a decline toward $0.6322.
USDCAD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed below a key intraday/daily horizontal support cluster.
I expect a bearish trend continuation after its retest.
Next goal - 1.376
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 23/04/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 24250 level then upside rally upto 24500+ level expected in index. Upside 24500 level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any further strong rally only expected after breakout of this level. Any downside movement only expected if nifty starts trading below 24200 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(23/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in index near 55950 level. After opening expected banknifty will trade in between level of 55550 to 55950 zone in starting session. Strong upside rally expected if banknifty gives breakout of 56000 level and starts trading above 56050. This upside rally can goes upto 56450+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected below 55450 level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict.
📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May.
🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 23:
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 675,000
Previous: 662,000
Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.
📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET):
Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5
Services Forecast: 51.0
Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET):
Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
GBPUSD - NEXT STOP @1.34343?1. MARKET OVERVIEW
GU has been on a very strong uptrend since January so i'm expecting that momentum to continue this week aiming for the old high @1.34343 which is also the Previous Year's High (PYH) and a Key Level.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Draw On Liquidity(DOL): 1.34343
* Point Of Interest(POI): 1.32411 - 1.32500
3. TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'll stick on being bullish for the rest of the week until price gets to my target which is the PYH(Previous Year High). I'll execute on my buys only if price trades to my POI before trading to my target, on the condition that price trades higher early in the week and gets to my target(without first trading to my POI) i'll cancel my trade order and switch neutral on my BIAS.
4. FINAL NOTE
Patience is key, i'll wait for price to come to me and not chase price.
Tell me what you guys think about this in the comment.
Bitcoin Potential DownsidesBINANCE:BTCUSDT Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSD for a selling opportunity around 89,500 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89,500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup”🟢 VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup”
📅 Date: April 22, 2025
⏰ Multi-Timeframe Analysis (12h, 1D, 1h, 30m, 5m)
🔎 Global Context:
The Volatility Index (VIX) is reacting to a clear institutional liquidity zone (blue area) across multiple timeframes (12h, 1D, 1h), aligning with a mean reversion move following the explosive rally earlier this month. We’re seeing multiple signs of a potential bullish reversal:
Previous lows + demand zone confluence
Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) events on lower timeframes
Implied divergence from equities (not shown here, but inferred)
Strong rejection from the institutional block (26.345–26.600)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Justification:
📌 Wyckoff & Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
On 30m and 1h charts, we observe several CHoCH and BOS events suggesting a transition from redistribution into accumulation.
The latest bearish move failed to break the weak low zone (26.345), indicating a liquidity grab trap.
📌 Fibonacci & Moving Averages:
Price touched the 78.6%–88.6% retracement from the previous bullish leg.
EMAs 8/21 (Orange/Blue) are about to cross bullish on 5m and 30m – a typical trigger for a new impulsive move.
EMA200 (White) still hovers above – likely target of the first bullish push.
📌 Volume Profile (implicit):
Most of the recent consolidation occurred in the 27.00–27.40 imbalance zone, which now acts as a magnet for price during retracement.
📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Concepts:
The 26.345–26.600 range served as a Weak Low and was swept clean – classic liquidity trap behavior.
📈 Trade Parameters:
🟢 Entry (Buy): 26.795
🔒 Stop-Loss (SL): 26.345 (below last liquidity sweep)
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 27.390 (inefficiency zone + EMA200)
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 28.150 (1h/30m order block)
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio (RR):
TP1: ~1.6
TP2: ~3.0
📊 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High-probability setup)
🧠 Strategic Summary:
This is a classic reversal play based on liquidity absorption and structural shift (CHoCH), supported by multi-timeframe alignment. A bullish engulfing or strong reaction inside the blue zone confirms the entry bias. If price breaks above 27.00 with volume, momentum may carry it towards 28.00+ swiftly.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always manage your exposure wisely.
💬 What do you think of this setup? Do you see confluence with your strategy? Let’s discuss below! 👇
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 141.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 141.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.