easy play on ASMLI’ve been closely monitoring the monthly chart of ASML Holding (Euronext) and have identified a compelling setup that aligns with my long-term strategy. Previously, I shared an idea on TradingView with an ambitious $1200 price target, based on the stock’s strong long-term uptrend and solid fundamentals. However, upon further analysis, I’ve identified an internal trendline, which provides additional clarity and reinforces my bullish outlook. Interestingly, a similar internal trendline has been observed in other stocks like Super Micro Computer, further validating this structure.
Technical Analysis:
Primary Uptrend:
ASML is in a well-established long-term uptrend, confirmed by the primary ascending trendline connecting historical lows since 2012. This line showcases the structural strength of the stock and consistent investor confidence.
Internal Trendline Confirmation:
The recently identified internal trendline connects intermediate lows formed during price retracements, indicating a temporary slowdown in growth while maintaining an overall bullish structure.
This internal trendline has previously acted as dynamic support, suggesting it may serve as a critical reference point for future price action.
Key Price Levels:
The current price (631.5 EUR) sits near a confluence zone between horizontal support and the internal trendline. This presents a strong entry point for a long position with an attractive risk/reward ratio.
Significant support has been identified around the 600 EUR level, reinforcing my confidence in a potential price rebound.
Long-Term Price Target:
My long-term price target remains at $1200, which I believe is achievable as the stock continues to respect its bullish trend. This target aligns with ASML’s historical growth trajectory and the robust potential of the tech sector.
Entry Timing:
The recent bounce off the internal trendline and the +1.66% daily gain signal positive accumulation and increased buying interest. I plan to go long now, taking advantage of the dynamic support, with a stop loss set just below 590 EUR to manage risk effectively.
ASML Holding offers a compelling investment opportunity, supported by a solid technical structure and clear bullish potential. The internal trendline, combined with horizontal support and the broader long-term uptrend, strengthens my confidence in entering a long position. With a $1200 target and a well-defined risk management plan, I believe this is the right time to position for the next leg up in this stock.
TERM
[Short-Term] Cameco is bouncing right now.. Pre-Recession?Good day, welcome to my analysis on GETTEX:CJ6 current standpoint from a technical view.
Please be informed that this is just a short-term analysis, my long term analyses and fundamental analyses can be found here:
Bullish on Cameco - Show will go on
From Fibonacci retracement, we can see Cameco is bouncing around at fib 0 from November 15th indicating a possible movement of direction.
A Fibonacci retracement from Nov. 19th to yesterday's high wick shows the current movement is between fib 0.2 and fib 0.6 (open to close) with today's wick (as of now) laying just above fib 0.7.
Yes, these are pretty short term Fibonacci's, but considering Cameco is at its all-time high, no longer term analysis seems fitting for me.
Now, here are the possibilities:
Recession:
Cameco may go into a short-term recession. I would put the maximum low at around fib 0.2 or the higher low / demand zone from November 20th, which would be €54 or €53 retrospectively.
Uptrend:
Cameco may continue its uptrend until it settles at a new All-Time High. No expected numbers from me.
Update:
While writing this, MT Newswire posted an article called “RBC Raises Price Target on Cameco to CA$90 From CA$75, ”. The possibility of a short-term recession is getting lower, through the uptrend Cameco had while I'm writing this. Anyway, I don't want to have such short term prognoses, therefore I will still be listing this as a neutral.
I hope you've enjoyed this analysis, please read my longer term analyses on Cameco listed below.
Have a pleasant day and may you never exit before the bull run begins.
-- Henrik B.
NATGAS Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level -2.837
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.760
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC arriving at BIG resistance, early! but....I am bearish BUT, with bullish optimism and a possibility of big a big bull, based on current market momentum. This is actually a great place and likely place for it to pull back based on its prior pattern, but this momentum could prove otherwise. I am marking this neutral and no one wants to review neutral reviews they want to see bull or bear. The thing is we are at a pivotal point that will make the case for either a prolonged bull or bear market. I am not sure if we will break out or break down but I have painted the picture of how we are at that point right now. I will post again bull or bear once it seems to have committed to one or the other but otherwise just keep your eye on the trend lines.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here we are around $1000 less of $82.5k and we got here early. We are likely to have resistance here but breaking this line would be really significant and likely signal a parabolic crypto market to come, massive. The odds would put it at pulling back here as it has already twice in the past 4 years, and at minimum some resistance where it can consolidate potentially all the way up until late Dec before making a decision. It may still be December, but really the market feels like it might have enough fire to push through it real soon.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Order books have actually been fairly range bound all year, we are at the high end but its nothing that screams some large increase in participation of day trading. Per CoinMarketFlow, global order books are around a -10% ratio on a 1d candle average at above 10% depth of market. This is actually ideal as it represents day traders with limit orders that expect the price to rise and less that expect it to fall. This is bullish ATM.
I have been seeing lots of alts breaking resistance and converting it to support, lots of chance for jumps. Right now seems like a day traders paradise with 25%-50% sometimes 100% runs in a single day, from lower liquidity, low circulation coins especially. Right now the fire of the market makes me think we may break the resistance and truly fly to the moon. But the fact that order books have only grown by about 10%-15% or so over the last year, does make me question the durability of the run without more gas for the fire so to speak.
If BTC breaks that 82.5k and proves it as support, it is as bullish as it gets, like hyperbolic potential. On the other hand, if we resist here again, as usual, then it could be a lot of prolonged pullback with a potential absolute low between $30k-$40k probably - based on this chart you are looking at now and considering a pullback like it did the last two times.
So its more of a bearish layup that looks like it has the possibility to convert bullish. I would caution to be vigilant at or near this line and let it choose first before taking any real action.
As usual DYOR but consider this trendline as one of your many things to watch to help you make more informed decisions.
From Dips to Highs: Unveiling a Bullish TurnaroundKROSS LTD newly listed company that had a rough start, now shifting from an initial downward trend to a positive trajectory. Investors are loving the positive shift, and the stock's looking solid again. It's a good sign for the future, showing they've got what it takes to bounce back. 🌟📈
Setting up for a potential 1:2 RR trade.
Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses.
GBPAUD - Now We Wait!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPAUD has been bearish trading within the falling channel.
Currently, GBPAUD is approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone marked in green is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the support zone and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Can 128% be soon?Cardano (ADA) is one of my favourite coins which I choose to invest in. This is trade (investment) setup on larger timeframe. If you never bought ADA before it is still not late. I am not looking to reach targets 2,3,4 very soon, that could be year(s). I will sell most of my capital on targets 2,3. Small portion will be sold on Target 1 and hopefully on Target 4.
Entry Zone: 0.50 – 0.57
Buy Zone 1: 0.30 – 0.37
Buy Zone 2: 0.13 – 0.16
Target 1: 1.33 – 1.44 (128%)
Target 2: 2.83 – 2.93 (390%)
Target 3: 4.35 – 4.89 (651%)
Target 4: 5.73 – 5.84 (891%)
Trade Setup: GFT/USDT (1D)Trade Setup: GFT/USDT (1D)
Chart Overview: GFT is currently respecting a long-term ascending trendline (green line) after a period of consolidation. The price recently bounced from this trendline, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Entry: Consider entering around the current price level ($0.0196), especially if the price continues to hold above the trendline.
Targets:
Target 1: $0.0260 (First major resistance)
Target 2: $0.0320 (Prior high area)
Target 3: $0.0460 (Potential breakout level)
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the trendline at $0.0170 to protect against a downside break.
Risk/Reward: Favorable with a potential 2:1 or 3:1 ratio, depending on entry and target levels.
DYOR NFA
NAHO (Naeem, Egypt) is seen on a long-term uptrendWeekly chart,
The stock (in USD) has a long term uptrend opportunity - targeting 0.200 and 0.220, provided that the price stabilizes above 0.165 for 2 weeks.
MACD indicator is supporting this positive view.
Note: For the next week, consider the stop loss (SL) level below 0.148 for 2 weeks. Then, raise the SL level as the price goes up.
Note: Heikin Ashi chart is used to give a better trend indicator.
Positive Outlook for Polkadot (DOT) PriceDespite the drop in Polkadot (DOT) price earlier this month, investors remain optimistic about this cryptocurrency and continue to invest in it.
The steady increase in capital inflows since mid-month indicates growing interest and confidence in the Polkadot project. These factors suggest a strong belief in the project's potential, which could lead to sustainable price growth in the future.
To confirm a real upward trend, Polkadot needs to break out of the current range between $5.5 and $6.5. If this happens, the price could reach $7.2 and $8.3. The current range is suitable for entry, with a stop-loss for this analysis being a daily candle closing below $5.5.
NSE: TATAMOTORS / NYSE:TTM - Tata Motors - Tesla Love affair ⚡Will electric mobility wave will take Tata motors to next level? Time will tell - Can we do some crystal gazing with Chart patterns ...:)
NSE: TATAMOTORS / NYSE:TTM - Tata Motors - Tesla Love affair ⚡
Tata Motors Limited is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturing company headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India. It is a part of Tata Group, an Indian conglomerate. Its products include passenger cars, trucks, vans, coaches, buses, sports cars, construction equipment and military vehicles.
Formerly it was known as Tata Engineering and Locomotive Company (TELCO). Tata Motors has auto manufacturing and assembly plants in Jamshedpur, Pantnagar, Lucknow, Sanand, Dharwad, and Pune in India, as well as in Argentina, South Africa, Great Britain, and Thailand. It has research and development centres in Pune, Jamshedpur, Lucknow, and Dharwad, India and South Korea, Great Britain, and Spain. Tata Motors' principal subsidiaries purchased the English premium car maker Jaguar Land Rover (the maker of Jaguar and Land Rover cars) and the South Korean commercial vehicle manufacturer Tata Daewoo. Tata Motors has a bus-manufacturing joint venture with Marcopolo S.A. (Tata Marcopolo), a construction-equipment manufacturing joint venture with Hitachi (Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery), and a joint venture with Fiat Chrysler which manufactures automotive components and Fiat Chrysler and Tata branded vehicles.
Founded in 1945 as a manufacturer of locomotives, the company manufactured its first commercial vehicle in 1954 in a collaboration with Daimler-Benz AG, which ended in 1969. Tata Motors entered the passenger vehicle market in 1988 with the launch of the TataMobile followed by the Tata Sierra in 1991, becoming the first Indian manufacturer to achieve the capability of developing a competitive indigenous automobile. In 1998, Tata launched the first fully indigenous Indian passenger car, the Indica, and in 2008 launched the Tata Nano, the world's cheapest car. Tata Motors acquired the South Korean truck manufacturer Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company in 2004 and purchased Jaguar Land Rover from Ford in 2008.
Tata Motors is listed on the BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange), where it is a constituent of the BSE SENSEX index, the National Stock Exchange of India, and the New York Stock Exchange. The company is ranked 265th on the Fortune Global 500 list of the world's biggest corporations as of 2019
BTC/USDT IS BITCOIN READY FOR A NEW HIGH TO 68KBTC did a great increase from the bottom trend to around 65K as we also made an update about it from the bottom.
57K is the activation trend.
BTC should hold the 62K for a healthy trend. if the trends get confirmed we could see soon
67-68K
New updates will come by this chart link.
NIKKEI 225 (BANKSTER CALL)I'm loving the way this chart is looking. But I also love the fundamentals here. US Govt. is working overtime to satisfy our allies here in South East Asia, and in the Norther 'Emerging Markets' Zone (S.Korea). However, with all that's going in the South China Sea, Japan has stepped as an ally to help us buffer some of the regions tensions. Nikkei 225 contains some of the worlds hardest hitting corporate players. So a purchase from Warren Buffett isn't a 'scratch your back, i'll scratch yours until...' but a sizable investment into the future of one of the worlds most productive societies.
With this being said, I
decided to place 25% of my portfolio into this play, with a hedge nearby in the event we retest levels seen on the Monthly chart.
Going forward, we will build out plays that will cover the risk until we are risk neutral. Then I will expose our portfolio some more to this play.
Walking the streets Fukuoka just a few years ago, during what was seen as tough economic times, it was hard to tell with how packed the shopping malls in the prefecture were.
*A consumer based economy with tons of potential.
Now, based in Bangkok, I will add the Chinese are controlling the regions most valuable retail assets with their 'unlimited' purchasing power, but the Japanese are strategically in lock-step in the more quieter ways and in economies were the value of their assets can see a larger blast north from foreign investment.
This is not investment advice. I'm not responsible for any decisions that you make after reviewing this information. Trade Responsibly.
The American Bankster
Boring Stock, Getting Close to a Potential Long-Term BreakoutWaiting for a monthly close above the 8-year downtrend line to get in. The chart is pretty messy but many other signals are converging around that area (200-month EMA, 50-month EMA, .382 Fib). Price had a false breakout early in the downtrend based on the trendline I drew but I drew it where it is because it had many hits along this line. If price breaks out here I think it's significant because it would also be breaking above the 200-month EMA after dipping below temporarily (which it hadn't done for a really long time). I'm waiting for a monthly close above the 200-month EMA to start a position, and will plan on adding more if it can get about the 50-month EMA. I don't have a stop loss, this is a long-term buy and hold and collect the dividends if it can breakout. If it has a false breakout and goes down, I'll just buy up more at certain intervals and will update this idea. I think from looking at this chart and reading/listening to some of the other ideas about this stock that it can surpass the highs it made about 8 years ago and my price target is $270-$300 where I would start to think about using a stop loss and protecting profit. I like using stop losses eventually because it can let a stock potentially run rather than just selling when it hits the target. Anyway, waiting for another week to make a decision. If price ends up failing here, I think I will probably be able to get in down around $100 or maybe even a bit lower and I would consider starting a position there but I like buying on breakouts rather than trying to catch a "falling knife". One more thing on this stock, it hasn't participated much in the market recovery since the March lows from the covid panic selloff and that makes me like it also (just look at a long-term chart of Microsoft after the tech bubble, for a long time it pretty much traded sideways and now look at it, I'm not saying IBM will do the same but it could, I'm not one to limit the potential of the stock market long-term, over long periods of time it goes up on average).
**These are just notes about what I am personally considering doing and are not recommendations to trade. If you decide to follow any of this, trade at your own risk and keep a long-term perspective, I'm talking this trade could take the better part of a decade to play out (not weeks or months, that would be a short-term trade which is usually not for me).**
NSE:NESCO - Long term uptrend - slow mover👍
✅ Long term uptrend
✅ Averaging up
✅Key levels ( blue line) monthly closing basis
✅Company is debt-free K
✅Office, exhibition and food ( cloud kitchen) and Mumbai Real Estate play
👎
❎ Post COVID-19 office rental space to watch out
❎ Slow mover
❎ Missing growth is the Indabrator engineering business
Disc: Invested , do you own research
Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: Diverging Paths of Long-Term HoldersThe behavior of long-term holders is a key indicator for understanding where we are in the market cycle. Here’s why : As prices rise, long-term holders start selling the assets they’ve accumulated over time. Historical data shows that this profit-taking usually begins in the early stages of a bull market and continues past the cycle peak. Monitoring this activity can help estimate market peaks with greater accuracy.
Given Bitcoin's significant influence over the rest of the market, it is often the most straightforward asset to use for measuring these cycles, as other cryptocurrencies tend to follow Bitcoin’s lead.
However, examining this data for Ethereum reveals an intriguing divergence. While long-term Bitcoin holders began selling in January, long-term Ethereum holders have continued to accumulate. This contrasts sharply with their behavior in the last cycle, where it closely mirrored that of Bitcoin holders.
The reason for this shift? Numerous yield opportunities have emerged for Ethereum, making it more profitable to hold. Currently, 27.5% of the total CRYPTOCAP:ETH supply is staked, with 16.3% of this staked ETH being restaked through protocols like Eigenlayer. This highlights the strong appetite for native yield among ETH holders.
Additionally, long-term holders may be waiting for the Ethereum ETF approval and new all-time highs before deciding to sell.