Three Drives
XAG/USD - Three DrivesHello traders :) I'm back with a market insight on XAG/USD. Price seems to be forming a valid bullish three drives pattern and I plan to capitalise on its premature formation.
Price completed the 2nd price drive at 15.18 and we may be starting the 3rd price drive once we confirm the 0.618 retracement level.
You will need to pay close attention to price action and candlestick formations in the current area for the perfect entry point.
A clear break and close above the trendline would indicate a move higher, therefor invalidating the pattern.
The maximum level for an entry point would be a 0.786 retracement, ideally I would prefer a 0.618 retracement to keep a symmetrical pattern.
This is a great trading opportunity with over 1:3 risk to reward.
Thank you all for your continued support, don't forget to add me on social media :)
Silver/USD ShortHere on the 4 hour chart we have what some would see as a bullish 3-drive pattern. However, in recent times, I have had more success trading the third wave (as suggested by my friend @LewisGlasgow ).
In this pattern the first retracement hit the 0.618 level, thus I will look for the second to do the same at the top of the channel. Should price hit the zone, I will look for a short candlestick formation. That said, should the minor support area highlighted above be broken, I will likely take a short position. This entry would mostly based on the urgency with which the level is broken- a dominant engulfing candle, long day candle etc.
Either way, I will hold my position until price is on par with support of the first drive- then leave half of the position until price hits the bottom of the channel. When this adjustment is made, I will also bring my stop-loss level to align with my entry price to bulletproof the trade. At Six Figure Capital, we're all about risk management! Risk is currently sitting at 1:3- should I decide to enter early, I am convinced that the lower entry will not require the same stop loss. The adjustment should allow for the risk/reward level to remain relatively unchanged.
See my AUDUSD short below where I took this exact same position and price turned TO THE PIP!
Three Drives ratios:
Retraements: 61.8%-78.6%
Extensions: 127.2%-161.8%
Three drives to the bottom in SILVER (XAGUSD)The end of the 5 waves down that started in 2011 seem eminent.
The ABCD target from 2016 top 13.155 with the first 2 legs been completed - the last leg looks like to be a three drives down pattern.
The ABCD target from the top is 11.69
Shoot up to my friend WallStScalper for the ABCD idea
AUDUSD On my radar as it reaches potential reversal zone #forexWatching few pairs closely next week for potential trades, one of them is the AUDUSD as the price forms a bearish three drives pattern(symmetrical waves). The potential reversal zone of the three drives is also near the main long term falling trend line. Slightly above that there is a cluster of horizontal resistance area. Finally, there is a clear bearish divergence on Fisher indicator.
My process is to spot these areas of interest where i will be looking for the trade. But as a trader, i know that patterns will fail, so i prefer to always wait for a final trigger confirmation which in my view increase the chances of setup success dramatically.
Keep posted and have a great weekend and new week.
Technician
Bitcoin - Three DrivesHello traders, due to numerous requests for the future direction of Bitcoin here is my current view for BTC/USD on the 4h chart.
I'm expecting a similar move to the one we experienced 2 months ago (chart is shown below).
The prediction above was used as an indication of future price direction from $890, rather than waiting to short upon completion of the pattern at $1600.
I will be treating the present setup in the exact same way.
The 0.886 retracement for point B aligns with a bullish bat pattern and bullish reciprocal AB=CD (chart is shown below).
This provides additional validation for a reversal at 0.886 rather than the 0.786 retracement level.
There is a lot of speculation that BTC will drop to $1,000 due to it losing a further 13% in the last 24 hours, however, bitcoin has proved many credible analysts wrong time and time again, it will be interesting to see how this trade develops over the next month.
Connect with me below for more training inspiration :)
NOT A LOT UPSIDE FOR GOLD'S BULLS!BEARISH 3 DRIVE PATTERN!As we correctly predict the rising triangle broke upwards and hit the projected targets as mention at the previous article attached below.
The question is what Gold 1.05% is going to do now?
The current price action is bullish but with bearish signs.
First of all the triangle did not broke with high volume .Second sign is the RSI divergence that it is obvious.
The RSI divergence can be explained bu the fact that when price had reached those levels again it had done it with bigger volume ,we reached that level of 1,296$ per ounce but with less ''momentum''.
The previous time we reached that price level Gold 1.05% couldn't break this resistance and pulled back.
If nothing that will increase the demand on the safe haven asset occurs until the next week such as geopolitical tensions or military conflicts e.t.c, Gold 1.05% propably will not break this resistance area again.
The Stochastics are also at the overbought area.
TECHNICALLY
At the chart we can see the 200EMA becoming flat and slightly bullish and this a level to watch for a retrace as is pretty close with the bottom channel line and the 50% Fib retracement level from the initial downward move.
Price is near the top channel line and upper Bb band.
We can also notice the mid-long term descending channel and the short term ascending channel .
Currently price is at the 78,6% Fib retracement level trying to change mid-term trend to bullish .
The resistance area is created by previous highs and the area between the 88,6% and the 78,6% area of initial downward move.
As i already published a longer term view we are in correction of ABC leg before we change the mid-long term trnd of Gold 1.05% to bullish .
So be careful on the longs at these levels.
We can also see the bearish 3 drive pattern that is a possible formation.We have almost equal construction time to the rallies and to the retarcements the rallies are alligned with the 1.27% Fib extensions of the rallies and retracements are at the 61,8%-78,6% Fib retracements of the rallies.
Plus the last rally we are currently now the 1,27% Fib extensions coincides with the top of resistance area and the 88.6% Fib retracement of the initial downward move.
You can look for a short at 1,310$ level per ounce with targets at 1,260$ per ounce and 1,240$ per ounce.
POSSIBLE TRADE:
FIRST TARGET AT 1,260-1,255$ PER OUNCE AT PREVIOUS RESISTANCE,BOTTOM CHANNEL LINE AND 61.8% FIB RETRACEMENT AND 61,8% FIB RETRACEMENT OF THIRD RALLY.
SECOND TARGET AT 1,240$ PER OUNCE AT 200EMA,50% FIB RETRACEMENT AND PREVIOUS RESISTANCE
BUY STOP AT 1,345$ ABOVE PERVIOUS HIGHS
THANKS FOR SUPPORT!
HAPPY TRADING GUYS!
[EURUSD] SIMPLE SETUP IN DEVELOPMENT (3D)Same strategy published earlier (see chart below), we go looking for a SELL OPPORTUNITY on the second bearish leg. Here, we see a potential bearish 3D PATTERN in development, but the risk of trading it, is very high, so we look forward to seeing the completion of the first bearish leg (if it will happen), before take short position on the second Leg.
The trend is bullish, but from these levels we can not absolutely think about taking long positions! (better stay flat)
Thank you for your support and trade with care!
Stellar - Pressure is BuildingHello traders, following up from my price structure post for STR/BTC (chart is shown below), I have now spotted a bearish three drives pattern indicating a move up to 3670.
Price completed the 2nd price drive at 1.56 and we're now in the middle of the 3rd price drive which I am currently capitalising on.
As shown below price is currently consolidating between 2900 and the trendline, the maximum length of time we can stay in this area is 3 days.
A clear break and close above 2900 will see price heading towards the high at 3100, from there we will analyse further for a move up to 3670.
I don't expect to short this pattern, this is just additional analysis to back up the price move to 5000.
Thank you all for your continued support, feel free to connect with me on social media :)
Don't forget to join the Stellar Telegram group: @StellarLumens
DXY: Just Some Random Analysis In my opinion, finding a good trading opportunity is like a detective gathers clues and seeing what they all add up to. There are lots of tools that we can use in our technical analysis, but in my opinion no single one is great. Rather it's the combination of those tools & tactics that allow us to dial down on the best areas in the markets.
EURUSD - Short OpportunityThe Forex market never ceases to amaze me. Price floats like a butterfly but stings like a bee if one doesn't apply an edge with a solid risk management method.
The chart speaks for itself...
I am short bias, although a break and test to the upside of 1.1000 will present a long opportunity. You have to be quick like the jaguar in order to reap the rewards of price movement.
IGNORE THE FEAR!
Rodrigo Antonio
EURUSD short position! Daily time frame. In this chart we gave a look at the eurusd. After the election in France of Macron the euro may be stronger but the conflict with Angela Merkel will be hard for France. France will accept deflation wages and a correction of accounting.
On the chart we see a 3drive pattern, the target area si 1.7130 and yes we're already in this trade.
AUDUSD Long - 3D retracement/counter-trend3 Drive on Daily; The last few legs have been 786 retracements of previous leg.
Price action currently at Bullish Trend Line and Previous structure and Support confluence.
beginning possible Harmonic move to 786 target of previous leg
and HNS on 1H TF , possible trend reversal on lower time frames.
If rules are met, will go long for 50p (1R) for Target 1