WHAT EXACTLY IS A TRADING EDGE?In the world of the forex market, having a trading edge can make all the difference between success and failure. A trading edge refers to a set of unique advantages or strategies that give us an increased probability of making profitable trades. It is the secret weapon that separates the winners from the losers in the highly competitive trading arena. In this post, we will explore some key elements that contribute to a trader's edge and how they can be effectively utilized.
One of the crucial components of a trading edge is the ability to identify and execute high-probability setups. These setups are specific market conditions or patterns that have historically shown a higher likelihood of resulting in profitable trades. Traders with well-defined setups can quickly assess the market and take advantage of favorable opportunities.
However, having a setup alone is not enough; we must develop a comprehensive strategy to guide our decision-making process. A trading strategy encompasses our overall approach to the market, including entry and exit rules, risk management parameters, and trade management techniques. A well-thought-out strategy provides a systematic framework to follow, reducing emotional decision-making and increasing consistency.
To maximize our trading edge, we must pay attention to both pre-market and post-market analysis. Pre-market analysis involves evaluating market conditions and news events before the opening bell. This allows us to anticipate potential price movements and adjust our strategy accordingly. Post-market analysis helps review trades, identify strengths and weaknesses, and make adjustments for future trades.
Keeping a trading journal is another essential tool for enhancing our trading edge. A journal serves as a record of all trades, including entry and exit points, reasons for entering the trade, and lessons learned. By regularly reviewing the journal, we can identify patterns in the decision-making process and refine our strategy accordingly.
The market itself plays a significant role in our trading edge. Understanding the overall market sentiment, trends, and key levels of support and resistance can provide valuable insights for making informed trading decisions. Traders who stay informed about market dynamics are better equipped to adapt their strategies to changing conditions.
The time of day and time frame chosen for trading can also contribute to our trading edge as well. Different trading strategies may work better during specific times of the day (sessions) or on particular time frames. Some traders prefer short-term intraday trades, while others focus on longer-term swing trades. Identifying the most suitable time frames and trading hours can significantly increase our chances of success.
News events are another factor that can impact a trader's edge. Economic releases, corporate earnings announcements (for stock traders), and geopolitical developments can cause significant market volatility. Traders who stay updated on news events and understand their potential impact on the market can adjust their strategies accordingly or even capitalize on these events.
Effective money management and risk management are vital aspects of maintaining a trading edge. Money management involves determining the appropriate position sizing and risk per trade, ensuring that losses are controlled and profits are maximized. Risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and trailing stops, help protect against excessive losses and preserve capital. Our first job is not to make a profit but to preserve our capital.
Establishing a routine and following specific rituals can also contribute to our trading edge. A routine helps to maintain discipline and consistency in trading. Routines, such as reviewing charts, analyzing news events, and mentally preparing before each trading session, can help us get into the right mindset for making sound decisions. What do you do in the morning after waking up? Go straight to the chart? Meditate for 15 minutes? What are you going to do if a family incident occurs or if the power goes out?
Creating a watchlist and trade plan is the final piece of the puzzle for enhancing our edge in the markets. A watchlist consists of potential trade opportunities that meet our setup criteria. By having a pre-defined list of stocks or forex pairs to focus on, we can avoid being overwhelmed by numerous options. A trade plan outlines the specific steps to be taken for each trade, including entry and exit points, risk management parameters, and profit targets.
In conclusion, a trading edge is a combination of various elements that contribute to our success in the financial markets. By developing a set of high-probability setups, implementing a well-defined strategy, staying informed about market dynamics and news events, and effectively managing money and risks, we can gain a significant advantage in the markets. Maintaining a routine, following rituals, and having a watchlist—all of these become part of the trade plan that gives us an edge in the markets. And if we apply discipline and consistency to it, we have a much higher chance of being successful in trading.
Traders, if you liked this educational post, give it a boost and write in the comments.
Trading!
A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action.
Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens.
This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups.
You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions.
Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't.
Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills.
Hope you enjoy this first video.
Learn To Trade Breakout/Flags More Efficiently - Part IIn my first tutorial, I tried to show how price channels can be used to identify and validate strong trade setups. Additionally, I attempted to show you how to identify better trade setups from what I consider invalid trade setups.
Understanding and maintaining at least a 2:1 Reward-to-risk factor for any trade you consider taking is essential. Secondly, it is essential to understand and use proper allocation levels for trades.
The simple way to understand allocation levels is to focus on the RISK amount. If your trade risks $5 per share and you can't afford to risk $500 on this trade, then you should NOT attempt to trade 100 shares of this stock.
Set your risk level based on how much you intend to risk for the trade - nothing more.
If you can only risk $250, then you would only trade 50 shares.
If you can only risk $125, then you would only trade 25 shares.
Learning to find and identify proper trade setups on Daily and Weekly charts is critical for success in the long run. I firmly believe price tells us everything we need to know about a chart, and indicators reflect price.
As you continue to learn some of the techniques I use in various price chart setups, I hope you can refine your techniques to become better traders.
I will likely create a PART II and PART III version of these types of advanced trade setups.
Hope you enjoy.
Trading 101: The benefits of hard closesIntroduction:
In the world of technical analysis, traders are constantly searching for new and innovative methods to gain an edge in the market. One such technique that has gained popularity in recent years is the use of "hard closes." In this idea, we will delve into what hard closes are, why they are considered superior to conventional crossover methods, and the benefits and practical applications of incorporating hard closes into your trading strategy.
Understanding Hard Closes:
A "hard close" is a unique approach to analyzing price movements in financial markets. Unlike traditional moving average crossovers, which rely on the intersection of two moving averages, hard closes focus on the closing price of an asset. In essence, a hard close is an inflexible criterion that triggers a signal when the closing and opening price of an asset meets specific predetermined conditions.
How to Spot Hard Closes:
Let's say we have a level of resistance, and we are waiting for the price to break out so that we can long it, an up candle must open above the level of resistance, as well as close above it (because it also has to be an up candle). Similarly, if we are looking for a support breakout, we need a down candle to open below the level of support and close as a down candle. Hard closes can be used on both horizontal levels and trendlines.
Why Hard Closes Are Better:
Reduced Noise: Hard closes eliminate a significant amount of noise present in conventional crossover methods. By focusing solely on opening and closing prices, they filter out intra-period fluctuations as well as fakeouts and provide a cleaner and more precise signal.
Benefits of Hard Closes:
Risk Management: By reducing false signals, hard closes help traders make more informed decisions. This, in turn, enhances risk management strategies, preventing traders from entering ill-timed trades.
Versatility: Hard closes can be applied to various assets and timeframes as well as different kinds of levels, making them suitable for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike.
Practical Uses of Hard Closes:
Trend Confirmation: Hard closes can be used to confirm the strength and direction of an existing trend. A bullish hard close, for example, can reinforce the conviction of a bullish trend.
Entry and Exit Points: Traders can employ hard closes to identify precise entry and exit points for their trades. This approach minimizes the guesswork involved in trading decisions.
Filtering Signals: Hard closes can be integrated into existing trading strategies to filter out less reliable signals, enhancing the overall effectiveness of the strategy.
In conclusion, hard closes represent a powerful and innovative approach to technical analysis that offers several advantages over conventional crossover methods. Their ability to reduce noise, improve accuracy, and adapt to different trading styles makes them a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. Whether you are a seasoned professional or a novice trader, consider exploring the potential of hard closes to enhance your trading strategy and gain a competitive edge in the financial markets.
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 8; +8% Return.04 Sep to 08 Sep 2023
TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $800 (around +800%) for the 1st week of September 2023.
Total 8 trades, 6 wins & 2 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
I'm truly thankful for yet another successful week employing my mechanical consistency strategy. My retracement trades are consistently delivering the expected results, while any losses I've incurred can be attributed solely to my mean reversion trades on Tuesday. Let's review every day.
Monday (04 September 2023)
1x Win Trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
I was only able to trigger a retracement trade on Monday, but it turned out to be a highly profitable one. Despite the slowing down at night, I was fortunate that the price continued its downtrend the following day, reaching my desired profit level.
Tuesday (05 September 2023)
2x Lose trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
The only losing days I've had this week were both due to my mean reversion trades. These trades carry significant risk since they go against the prevailing trend, relying on a rebound to reach my 21 SMA+EMA level. Unfortunately, the downward trend proved to be stronger, resulting in losses.
Wednesday (06 September 2023)
1x Partial win & 1x full win trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
Contrastingly, I managed to secure a profit with my two mean reversion trades on Wednesday. Fortunately, the price did rebound successfully in both cases, albeit with the first trade yielding a partial profit and the second trade lasting until Friday morning. Nonetheless, I'm quite satisfied with the overall outcome.
Thursday (07 September 2023)
0x trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
There were no trades on Thursday as my mechanical consistency strategy did not trigger any of my limit orders. It was yet another stress-free day for me.
Friday (08 September 2023)
1x partial win 2x solid win trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
Friday turned out to be quite a rollercoaster day for me, with three consecutive trades triggering throughout the day. Fortunately, all of these trades ended in profit. The first mean reversion trade yielded a partial win, the second mean reversion trade was an immediate victory with zero drawdowns, and the third retracement trade delivered a profit by Monday morning.
Endnote
While I encountered some losses with my mean reversion trades due to their inherent risk of going against the trend, I also enjoyed significant profits from retracement and mean reversion trades that went as planned. Despite the fluctuations, my mechanical consistency strategy helped maintain a stress-free approach to trading, and I ended the week on a positive note, with successful trades on Friday. This experience reinforces the importance of a well-rounded trading strategy and the need to adapt to market conditions while remaining disciplined and focused on long-term goals.
Learn My Strategy For Free
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
CHECKLIST AS PART OF THE TRADING PLANHello, friends! We all know that it is important to have a trading plan and a profitable strategy, and, of course, to follow them. Now, the issue of discipline and following your own trading rules is where most of the problems start. However, there is one simple tool, literally a piece of paper, that can help you significantly improve your discipline in trading and, as a result, your key performance indicators and profits.
With that simple tool being the checklist. In this article we will talk about why it is important, why it is important for a trader and how to properly compile and apply it.
Why do traders plan their trades?
Great traders and world-famous investors plan how, when and why they are investing. They realize that to achieve their ultimate goal, they need a map outlining the route of their trading plan that will help guide them to make the right decisions at the right time.
A trading plan will provide you with structure and help you develop discipline in your trading actions. It will help you track your trading process, assign responsibility and measure your success. It will provide you with a framework to clearly visualize your current situation at any given time, and will help you identify your goals, outline your strategy, and determine your risks and returns.
Whether you are an experienced trader or just a beginner, a well thought out trading plan is sort of the vehicle you need to get to your destination. Not only is it important to have your trading plan, but it is equally important to stick to it. Some of us easily stick to it, while others are in a constant struggle with their concept and the reality of carefully following the rules, they have defined in their strict trading plan.
Do you really have a trading plan that you would follow by properly executing your market entries and exits? I'm a big advocate that we should all have a clear system to support our decision making that will help us remain objective and unbiased about when to buy and sell. However, should any good system that you should follow be so unambiguous? Should you trust it or doubt it?
Your discipline and commitment to your trading plan can be measured, reviewed and improved. You can incorporate key performance indicators into your trading strategy and determine how closely you follow your rules and trading plan. The number of mistakes you make based on aspects such as noise, emotion or oversights can be counted and questioned - as a result, you can improve your trading plan. Identify your mistakes by comparing when your system gives you a buy or sell signal, when and why you actually executed it. If most of your trades are not executed according to your system or rules, you may be managing your positions intuitively rather than following the rules. This approach to trading lacks consistency and will negatively impact your returns in the long run.
At the same time, there are cases where trading based on emotion will minimize losses and lock in profits, but only a narrow range of professional traders have intuitively mastered this ability on a consistent basis. In the end, for the remaining traders, emotion-based trading does not work because it cannot be replicated, and it only leads to insolvency and frustration. What may work today will not work tomorrow and always. In addition, this kind of trading increases stress and creates bad habits for repeated indecision.
If your trading plan is solid most of the time, then it is worth sticking to it. Thus, it is important to make an effort to check the reliability and stability of your trading plan before you start trading or increase your risks. Traders often abandon their plans when they do not have enough personal experience to follow the plans and thus naturally lack confidence.
What would make it easier to follow your plan?
So how do you follow your plan? One of the things that gets in our way is, oddly enough, our brain. We think and guess too much. From this we can assume that if we reduce the activity of our wandering mind and leave only logic, efficiency will increase. A good way to accomplish this is to make and print out a checklist for entering and exiting trades.
What is a checklist? A checklist contains a number of necessary items for any work. In our case for trading. The checklist is used to check if all the conditions are in line with your market entry strategy. You tick each of the conditions, if at least one of them is not fulfilled, do not enter the market.
Everything is very simple. Suppose your strategy is based on two indicators combined with support/resistance levels, you trade intraday, one of these indicators is a trend indicator and the other is an oscillator. Then your checklist could look like this:
1) Now American / London session? - Yes/No
2) Is there an entry signal on the X indicator? - Yes/No
3) Is the Y indicator in agreement with the signal of the X indicator? - Yes/No
4) Does the signal have a level support? - Yes / No
4) Isn't there another level in the way of the proposed trade, which will prevent it from reaching the target? - Yes / No
5) Is there no important news coming out in the next half an hour? - Yes / No
6) Am I feeling well right now (i.e. I am not sick, depressed, tired)? - Yes / No
You run through this list and mark the items with a pencil. If the answer to all questions is YES then enter the trade. If there is at least one NO do not enter.
Everything is so simple and you do not need to think. By thinking I mean the wandering mind mode, which leads to unnecessary trades, early entries/exits, etc. The checklist removes these mental "what ifs", "I guess", "it seems", etc. All items on the checklist match - enter. If at least one item doesn't match - don't enter.
How to Make a Checklist for Your Strategy
How to make a checklist? Very simple. Take the rules of your strategy and reduce them to a list of items so that against each item you can put a check mark, if the conditions on the chart correspond to it, or answer one-word Yes / No. I also advise you to include a point about your current moral state, because it is not worth trading when you are tired, sick, depressed, etc.
Conclusion
A checklist is essentially a checklist of items from your trading strategy and trading plan. Its purpose is to reduce the influence of a "wandering mind" on your trading. Also, the checklist helps you not to forget about anything. Every time, before opening a trade, run through each point on your list: if even one item does not correspond to the current situation - do not enter the market. And may the profit be with you!
Introduction to Behavioral FinanceIntroduction
Behavioral finance is a captivating field that explores how human psychology affects financial decision-making. Traditional finance models assume investors are rational beings, making logical choices to maximize wealth. However, behavioral finance acknowledges that emotions, cognitive biases, and herd mentality often lead individuals to deviate from rationality. In this article, we delve into the intriguing world of behavioral finance, investigating the psychological factors that influence investors and traders and how these elements impact their decision-making processes.
Cognitive Biases: The Subconscious Pitfalls
Cognitive biases are ingrained mental shortcuts that our brains use to simplify information processing. Although helpful in everyday life, these biases can lead to significant errors in investment decisions. Common cognitive biases include:
a. Confirmation Bias: Investors tend to seek and favor information that supports their existing beliefs or opinions, ignoring contradictory evidence. This leads to a skewed perception of market trends and an unwillingness to challenge preconceived notions.
b. Overconfidence Bias: Many investors overestimate their ability to predict market movements, leading to excessive risk-taking and potentially significant losses.
c. Anchoring Bias: This bias occurs when investors fixate on a particular piece of information (e.g., the purchase price of a stock) and use it as a reference point for future decisions, disregarding changing circumstances.
d. Loss Aversion: Investors often fear losses more than they value gains, causing them to hold onto losing positions for too long in the hope of a turnaround, leading to missed opportunities.
Emotional Influences on Decision-Making
a. Fear and Greed: Fear and greed are potent emotions that profoundly impact investment decisions. Fear can trigger panic selling during market downturns, while greed may fuel excessive risk-taking in pursuit of high returns.
b. Regret Aversion: Investors tend to avoid making decisions that might result in regret, such as realizing losses on investments. This reluctance may lead to inaction and failure to rebalance portfolios as needed.
c. Herding Behavior: Humans are social creatures, and this extends to financial markets. Herding behavior occurs when investors follow the actions of others, even when it may not be in their best interest, potentially exacerbating market trends.
d. Availability Heuristic: Investors often rely on easily accessible information or recent events to make decisions, leading to an overemphasis on recent market trends and news.
Conclusion
Behavioral finance sheds light on the critical role psychology plays in investment decision-making. Cognitive biases, emotions, and herd mentality can lead investors astray, affecting their financial well-being and market stability. Recognizing these psychological factors is essential for investors and traders seeking to make more informed and rational choices. As financial professionals continue to explore behavioral finance, the integration of psychology with traditional finance models promises to enhance our understanding of market dynamics and human behavior in the world of finance. By embracing the insights offered by behavioral finance, investors can take steps to minimize biases and make more objective and strategic investment decisions for long-term success.
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 7; +3% Return.I avoided trading on Non-Farm Payroll Day! 28 August to 01 Sep 2023
TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $300 (around +3%) for the 4th week of August 2023.
Total 5 trades, 3 wins & 2 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
What an exhilarating week it’s been with the Non-farm payroll report dominating the market’s volatility! The intense fluctuations led to rapid outcomes in some of my trades, with some resulting in quick wins and others in losses. Let’s dive into a review of this action-packed week!
Monday (28 August 2023)
0x Trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
Thanks to the market movements of the previous week, we didn’t initiate any new trades this time around. It turned out to be a stress-free day for me!
Tuesday (29 August 2023)
1x Win & 2 Lose trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
This week kicked off positively with a substantial profit from the first retracement trade. However, the intense volatility pushed past both my mean reversion trades, causing them both to end up in losses.
Wednesday (30 August 2023)
1x Partial win trade
Daily bias: Uptrend
After a significant bout of volatility the day before, the price settled into a narrow range, a pattern that became evident during the first half of Wednesday’s trading session. It wasn’t until later in the day that the price triggered my mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I was able to secure partial profits at Take Profit 1 before it resumed its upward trend.
Thursday (31 August 2023)
1x Solid win trade
Daily bias: Uptrend
The price remained confined within the narrow range, which worked in our favour as it triggered a retracement trade. I held onto the trade overnight, and by Friday, I successfully closed it with both take profit levels reached!
Friday (01 September 2023)
0 trade taken
Daily bias: Downtrend
Non-Farm Payroll typically takes place on the first Friday of each month, and it’s a known fact that the market becomes extremely volatile when this economic data is released. Traders often face significantly widened spreads, which can be detrimental to their trading strategies. Personally, I steer clear of trading on Non-Farm Payroll days, even if the setup aligns perfectly with my usual trade conditions. The heightened spread can trigger my stop-loss even when the price is far from my actual stop-loss level, making it a risk I’d rather avoid.
Endnote
In summary, the trading week was marked by the Non-Farm Payroll report’s influence, resulting in a mix of wins and losses. The previous week provided a break from stress, while trading saw a profitable retracement trade and losses in mean reversion trades. A narrow price range on Wednesday allowed for partial profits, and the week ended positively with a successful retracement trade reaching both take profit levels. I will avoid trading on Non-Farm Payroll days due to heightened volatility and widened spreads, mitigating risks from unpredictable market reactions to economic data releases.
Learn My Strategy! (FREE)
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the “perfect” trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - IIIMore examples of trade setups and how I use my custom algos to help identify stronger trade opportunities from other symbols.
In this example, near the end of this video, I review the QLD chart (Daily) which provides a very clear example of major trend vs. intermediate trend. It is very important trader learn to see these opportunities from all aspects.
Please pay very close attention to the details I'm sharing related to trading concepts and theory. I'm trying to teach all of you to see charts in a different way. See PRICE as the driver of trends, and counter-trends, as Fibonacci Price Theory describes.
Basic Rules of Fibonacci Price Theory:
1. Price is ALWAYS seeking new highs or new lows - ALWAYS.
2. Failure to establish a new high means price will attempt to retest/break recent/new lows.
3. Ultimate HIGH/LOW levels are critical to understanding major trends vs. intermediate trends.
4. If you have trouble identifying a clear trend on a Daily chart, try Weekly or 240 min as an alternative.
5. If you still can't identify trend clearly, wait it out. Price will ALWAYS attempt to make new highs/lows. Sometimes, you have to be patient and wait for consolidation trends to work themselves out.
My objective is to show you how I look at charts and identify trade opportunities. Simply put, I just trying to help you see and understand simple TA theories and to help you learn to identify great trade opportunities.
Hope you enjoy.
A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - IIThis second video reinforces the concepts supporting my simple method of validating or invalidating trade setups using price channels, Fibonacci price theory, Stochastics, RSI, and simple price metrics.
Anyone can do this - it just takes a little patience and learning.
The trick to the ENTRY is to WAIT to see how price reacts near support/resistance.
REJECTION is very important in terms of seeing price REJECT near the price channels and near support/resistance.
Learn to use these techniques to help you learn to become a better trader.
Hope you enjoy.
UNDERSTANDING DIVERGENCEWhat is divergence?
Divergence in trading is one of the key tools used by us traders to analyze the market and make decisions about entering or exiting trades. It is based on observing differences between two different indicators such as price and oscillator. The advantage of using divergence in trading is that it allows us to identify possible market reversals in advance and take measures to protect positions. It can also be used to confirm other signals such as support and resistance levels or trend lines.
However, it should be noted that divergence is not always a sufficient signal to enter or exit a trade. It should be confirmed by other tools and market analysis. It is also important to remember that divergence can be false and signal of a temporary deviation from the main market movement. We’ll explain it later below.
How can we identify a divergence?
We will use a bearish divergence as shown above as an example. A bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a new high, but the oscillator does not confirm this movement and makes a higher high. This indicates that the strength of buyers is weakening and a bearish trend is possible.
We can use various oscillators such as RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) or stochastic oscillator to identify bearish divergence. We have to observe the price movement and the oscillator values. If the price forms a new high but the oscillator forms a lower high, this could be a bearish divergence signal.
However, for the divergence to work it must be at significant levels as mentioned earlier. We use market analysis techniques such as support and resistance, trend lines or trading volume if you trade stocks. This will help us to make sure the signal is reliable and make an informed trading decision.
Types of divergences
There are usually 2 types of divergence that can be used by traders to analyze the market: Trend Reversal Divergence and Trend Continuation Divergence .
1. Trend Reversal Divergence. This is the most common type of divergence that occurs when the price of an asset forms a new high or low and the oscillator does not confirm this movement and forms a lower high or higher low. That is, the price moves in one direction, but for example RSI in another direction as if hinting that this price movement does not have the strength that it had before.
2. Trend Continuation Divergence. This type of divergence occurs during a correction in a major trend. It can indicate that the primary trend may continue after the pullback is complete. If we have a market in moving against the main trend, this pullback should also have the strength/momentum that it should end. For example, if the price makes LL then HL, and RSI makes LL then another LL, it is a sign that the bearish movement (pullback) has no strength to move lower.
There are several forms of divergence that can indicate different trend strength. Let's look at bearish divergence as an example:
1. Strong Divergence. In this case, the price forms a new high and the oscillator forms a much lower high. This is considered the most reliable bearish divergence signal and can indicate strong buyer weakness and the possible onset of a bearish trend.
2. Medium Divergence. Here the price barely makes a new high or turns into a double top and the oscillator on another hand makes a lower high. There is no super strong divergence in this case, it may indicate a less strong and weakening of the buyers and a possible trend shift.
3. Weak Divergence. In this case, the asset price forms a new high and the oscillator also forms a lower high, but the difference between the two is minimal. This can be a less reliable signal of a bearish divergence and in many cases, it can be a signal of trend strength. That is, we can expect a possible small pullback. Below you can see that UKOIL has made new highs but the RSI barely made lower high which confirms the strength of the trend.
Example of hidden divergence
In conclusion, divergence in trading is a powerful tool for analyzing the market. It allows traders to detect possible market reversals and make appropriate trading decisions. it is important to note that divergence can be a warning signal of a possible trend change, but it does not guarantee it. We should use additional tools and analysis methods to confirm the signal and make an informed trading decision.
PRICE ACTION: DOJI PATTERNWhat to do with Doji?
Beginning forex traders, having come across the candlestick pattern Doji, get lost and start making rash actions. They close and open positions, change stop-loss, etc. Naturally, such rush leads to losses. So how to be with doji, what to do when such a candlestick appears on the chart?
What is Doji?
A doji is a candlestick that has equal or almost equal opening and closing prices. There should also be shadows on both sides of the candlestick that are about the same size.
A doji indicates an agreement between buyers and sellers, or the absence of players, or a testing of a level. This formation can either be a reversal formation or it can lead to a continuation of the trend. We can say that the Doji is the yellow color of a traffic light.
How to trade the Doji?
The Doji candlestick pattern can be taken as a reversal signal only in one case. If the following conditions are met (simultaneously):
• Doji was preceded by a strong, and clearly visible extended trend.
• Before the doji there was a full-body candlestick of medium or large size (relative to the current chart) in the direction of the trend.
• There is a confirmation, i.e. after the doji there was a candle opposite to the dominant trend.
• Only if these three conditions are present, we can consider an entry against the trend after the doji appears. In all other cases, the doji is simply ignored.
Stop Loss is placed behind the doji's extreme point, Take Profit at the nearest support/resistance level. Since the doji pattern is not strong, we do not take big targets.
Important Points
• It is highly desirable to have a support/resistance level as well as for any Price Action setup.
• The doji maximum is a level, the break of which will mean that the trend is still in force.
• Other timeframes should not be overlooked
• On timeframes less than H1 the doji means NOTHING.
• Always wait for confirmation
• If the market is moving sideways, just ignore the doji.
• Only the FIRST doji is important
• Short shadows are desirable for a reversal
UKOIL
EURUSD
Conclusion
The Doji pattern is mostly just a confusing trading pattern. In 95% of cases, it should simply be ignored. You can only trade the Doji if you fulfill 3 conditions at the same time: a clear trend, a full-body, non-small candlestick in the direction of the trend before the Doji, and a confirming candlestick against the trend after the Doji.
How to avoid the risk of futures trading and increase the winninI sorted out the principles of this long BTC trading strategy.
This is a trading system with a high winning rate that I often use. It is very simple and practical. I will share it with you now, hoping to help you.
As we all know, the risk of futures trading is very high. If you are a novice, then you are prone to failure. Liquidation and asset zeroing are common things. In severe cases, you may even screw up your life. This is very common for most novices.
So how do we change this state of affairs?
First of all, we must improve our trading capabilities by working hard to learn various professional knowledge.
The second is to use small funds to start to practice and accumulate experience slowly.
Of course, this is a very long process. We need to maintain enough patience, not give up because of one or more failures, and not affect our mentality because of market fluctuations. We must always maintain a stable state of mind to learn and practice.
Then someone will ask, what if I don’t have enough patience?
What if I don’t have much time to keep learning and practicing to improve myself?
If you belong to this situation, without your own trading system, then failure will often accompany you until you leave the futures trading market forever as a loser.
Or you choose to strictly implement the trading strategies of professionals.
miro.medium.com
Instructions for the entire trading process, you only need to execute
The first thing we think of when doing futures trading is not to make money, but how to keep the principal!
This is very important. Only under the premise of keeping the principal can we be qualified to seize more opportunities.
Can’t have too much FOMO
If you follow the trading strategy of the wolf king, then you have to choose to believe and reduce hesitation to improve efficiency.
In the process of following, your trading ability will definitely be improved.
Below is my RSI trading system:
RSI 4 times cycle contrarian principle
In a down (up) trend
Only when the RSI reaches the overbought (sell) zone
And retrace the 50 position (sometimes it will retrace to the opposite oversold area)
Only when it breaks through overbought (sell) again will it consider doing a counter-trend Reversal.
You can look for the inverse principle
Open long positions, but don’t be too greedy to hold them for a long time. The reverse principle can only obtain short-term profits.
There are many people who are good at opening positions, but few are good at closing positions.
Because people are greedy, this requires us to act against our inner thoughts, which is undoubtedly very difficult.
RSI trend-following strategy
In a downtrend, the k-line must be below ema50
When the first time the oversold area is touched, it means that the trend has started, and then go short at each retracement support resistance position
As mentioned above, we will find that the success rate of going long against the trend is much lower than the success rate of shorting following the trend, so only when we successfully form an N-shape against the trend and stand above ema50 will we consider doing long.
This is also the reason why I drew the N-type path when simulating the trajectory of BTC.
Note that the RSI contrarian trading strategy is suitable for shock range trading and harmonic trading.
If you think this article can help you, please like and share it.👍💕
If you want to find Wolf King to help you improve your trading ability, please click on the profile of Wolf King.👀
Learn the 4 Best Strategies to Maximize Your Profits Today
In the today's article, we will discuss 4 classic yet profitable forex and gold trading strategies.
1️⃣Pullback Trading
Pullback trading is a trend-following strategy where you open the positions after pullbacks.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, your goal as a pullback trader is to wait for a completion of a bullish impulse and then let the market correct itself. Your entry should be the assumed completion point of a correctional movement. You expect a trend-following movement from there.
In a bearish trend, you wait for a completion of the bearish impulse, let the market retrace, and you look for short-entry after a completion of the retracement leg.
Here is the example of pullback trading.
On the left chart, we see the market that is trading in a bearish trend.
A pullback trader would short the market upon completion of the correctional moves.
On the right chart, I underlined the buy entry points of a pullback trader.
That strategy is considered to be one of the simplest and profitable and appropriate for newbie traders.
2️⃣Breakout Trading
Breakout trading implies buying or selling the breakout of a horizontal structure or a trend line.
If the price breaks a key support, it signifies a strong bearish pressure.
Such a violation will trigger a bearish continuation with a high probability.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of a key resistance is a sign of strength of the buyers and indicates a highly probable bullish continuation.
Take a look, how the price broke a key daily resistance on a daily time frame. After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure that turned into a support. A strong bullish rally initiated from that.
With the breakout trading, the best entries are always on a retest of a broken structure.
3️⃣Range Trading
Range trading signifies trading the market that is consolidating.
Most of the time, the market consolidates within the horizontal ranges.
The boundaries of the range may provide safe points to buy and sell the market from.
The upper boundary of the range is usually a strong resistance and one may look for shorting opportunities from there,
while the lower boundary of the range is a safe place to buy the market from.
EURCAD pair is trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
The support of the range is a safe zone to buy the market from.
A bullish movement is anticipated to the resistance of the range from there.
Taking into considerations, that the financial instruments may consolidate for days, weeks and even months, range trading may provide substantial gains.
4️⃣Counter Trend Trading
Counter trend trading signifies trading against the trend.
No matter how strong is the trend, the markets always trade in zig-zags. After impulses follow the corrections, and after the corrections follow the impulses.
Counter trend traders looks for a completion of the bullish impulses in a bullish trend to short the market;
and for a completion of bearish impulses in a downtrend to buy it.
Here is the example of a counter trend trade.
EURJPY is trading in a bullish trend. However, the last 3 bearish moves initiated from a rising trend line. For a trader, shorting the trend line was a perfect entry to catch a bearish move.
Such trading strategy is considered to be one of the most complicated, because one goes against the crowd and overall sentiment.
With the experience, traders may combine these strategies.
Try them all, and find the one that suites you the most.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
MYFXBOOK TRADER VERIFICATIONIn the world of forex trading, Myfxbook has become a popular platform for traders to share and analyze their trading results. However, as with any online platform, there is a risk of encountering fake or fraudulent accounts that mislead users. It is crucial to be able to spot these fake Myfxbook accounts to ensure credibility and make informed decisions when following or investing in traders' strategies. In this article, we will discuss how to identify potential fake accounts and ensure the validity and reliability of Myfxbook traders.
1. Unrealistic returns
One of the first signs of a fake Myfxbook account is consistently high and unrealistic returns. While it is possible to achieve high profits in forex trading, one must be cautious when faced with accounts that consistently generate unrealistically high returns without any significant losses or drawdowns. Without a capital growth chart of a trader on Myfxbook, it is impossible to draw clear conclusions about his trading results. A capital growth chart allows you to see how a trader manages his trades and how his account rises or falls over time. Also look at the difference between gains and absolute gains, as these two parameters, can be confusing to most traders. It can be used by scammers to trick traders. Scammers can increase a small account by 100% and then deposit an additional $20,000 to make it appear as if all profits were made in a larger trading account. The main difference between the two is that: gains show growth from initial deposits, while absolute gains show growth from current and subsequent deposits.
2. Absence of fluctuations and drawdowns
Genuine trading accounts usually show ups and downs, periods of profit and drawdowns. If a Myfxbook account shows a steady uptrend without any significant fluctuations or drawdowns, this may be an indication of a fake account. Real traders experience moments of losses and corrections that are reflected in their trading history. No trader, no matter how experienced, can completely avoid losing trades. A red flag is an account at Myfxbook that does not have a single losing trade or negative pips. Realistically, losses are part of trading and a true account should reflect both winning and losing trades. If the chart shows constant growth without natural drawdowns, it may indicate that the trader may be using for example a martingale system (or other martingale variants), which will eventually lead to a capital loss. It is important to pay attention to the stability of capital growth, the absence of sharp jumps or declines, as well as the general trend of growth.
3. Abnormal trading duration
Pay attention to the duration of trades displayed on your Myfxbook account. If trades consistently last only a few seconds or minutes, this may indicate a scalping technique that can be difficult to execute profitably. Although some traders specialize in scalping, it is important to check the consistency and effectiveness of such strategies. Also note whether the Myfxbook account has been recently updated and whether there are signs of active trading. If the account is not active for a long time, it may indicate that most of the open trades were losing or the strategy is no longer working. But the trader can all show a graph of the yield curve before and deceive newbies.
4. Suspicious trading history
Carefully examine the trading history presented on the Myfxbook account. Look for any irregular patterns or actions that seem too good to be true. Several winning trades in a row without a loss or a high volume of trades made within a short period can be potential signs of a fake account. A trader with a long history and consistent profits may be more reliable than someone with limited data. But since trading is about probability rather than certainty, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Note whether a backtest or a real trading strategy has been downloaded. Many traders may upload a backtest to show the amazing results of a trading strategy in order to lure new traders.
5. Verification through Myfxbook
If strategies are to be made public or used for business and advisory purposes, they must be verified. Without verification, the user may not know if the strategy is reliable or if it is a scam. One of the most reliable ways to verify the reliability of a Myfxbook account is through the Verified Track Record feature. It requires account verification with partner brokers and adds an extra layer of verification of the account and trading results. If most of the information is hidden it is 100% scam, as a common method used by scammers is the martingale trading strategy. It involves taking a risk with a huge transaction size that covers all costs and losses for a certain period of time, that is, if it succeeds. And scammers have to hide it.
As forex trading continues to gain popularity, it's important to be careful and vigilant when encountering traders on platforms like Myfxbook. Identifying fake or fraudulent accounts is necessary to protect yourself from potential fraudulent activities and misrepresentation. By looking for signs of unrealistic returns, analyzing fluctuations and drawdowns, verifying them with Myfxbook's verification feature and being cautious about suspicious trading histories, you can make sure that the Myfxbook accounts you follow or invest in are reliable and trustworthy. Remember, doing thorough research and due diligence is key to making informed decisions in the forex market.
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 5; +9% Return.TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $900 (around +9%) for the 2nd week of August 2023.
Total 9 trades, 8 wins & 1 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
We had a beautiful trading week for 2nd week of August. Most of my predetermined parameters got triggered and reached my take profit without much drawdown. Let’s break it down.
Monday (14 August 2023)
I encountered my first loss of the week when the initial mean reversion trade didn’t go as planned. The price swiftly plummeted, triggering my stop loss and prompting me to initiate my second mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I managed to bounce back and secure some profit from take profit 1 before the price continued its downward trend.
Tuesday (15 August 2023)
My daily bias, determined by the 21 EMA, indicated a clear downtrend. I executed both trades flawlessly. The first mean reversion trade unfolded precisely as anticipated, allowing me to capture profits at each stage. The second trade, a retracement play, experienced an immediate reversal shortly after entry, with almost no drawdown. It was the ideal trade setup I had been hoping for!
Wednesday (16 August 2023)
The daily bias continued to favor a downtrend. While Tuesday’s trade remained open, my parameters signaled another retracement trade, and both trades successfully reached all of my predetermined take profit levels. As the trading day neared its end, I was triggered into a mean reversion trade at 127%. Fortunately, I managed to secure some profits before ultimately closing the trade on Thursday.
Thursday (17 August 2023)
The daily bias remained in a downtrend. Most of my attention on Wednesday was dedicated to managing the ongoing trade from that day. However, once I closed out the Wednesday trade, I was able to initiate a standard retracement trade that successfully reached both of my pre-set take profit levels, resulting in a substantial profit. Later that same night, my mean reversion trade was triggered, and I had to manage it until Friday.
Friday (18 August 2023)
Even though market sentiment began to show signs of shifting towards the upside, my daily bias remained in a downtrend. I successfully closed my Thursday’s trade with a profit and promptly initiated a standard retracement trade, reaching the first take profit level and securing a breakeven point at the entry price, just before the market began its upward momentum.
Endnote
As I navigated a market with a prevailing downtrend, while also observing hints of a shift in market sentiment towards the upside. Despite these challenges, I executed my trades with precision, closing out profitable positions and making the most of favourable retracement opportunities without any market analysis + zero guesswork, purely using a mechanical system that I developed, backtest and forward testing. Same strategy, same system day in and day out!
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
HIGHER HIGH AND LOWER LOW STRATEGYHello, fellow forex traders! Today we are going to learn about a strategy called HIGHER HIGH AND LOWER LOW. It is quite possible that the strategy is known to you under a different name, as it belongs to the classic ones. The strategy is based on Price Action, i.e. on the price movement and no indicators are required. Nevertheless, indicators can be used for better clarity and to simplify the search for setups.
What is the essence of this strategy?
In any strategy there must be some basis on which it should work. When creating your own strategy, you also need such a foundation, for example, some inefficiency of the market, or its regularity, and on this basis, you can build points for entry-exit and correction of the position. First of all, let's remember the classical definition of a trend. An uptrend is a series of successively rising highs and rising lows. That is, each high (H) is higher than the previous one and each low (L) is higher than the previous one.
The opposite is true with a downtrend. In a downtrend, the highs consecutively decline and the lows also decline. Perhaps you have already guessed what kind of structure we will be looking for on the chart. That is, what is the very first sign that will allow us to understand when we should pay attention to the market and wait for a possible entry point.
Let's assume that we have an uptrend. We have point H, followed by a correction at point L. This is followed by a higher high, labeled in this strategy as HH (Higher High). Then, as soon as we see a break in the trend structure, i.e. a lower low LL (Lower Low), we get ready to look for a sell point.
Similarly, with the downtrend. First, we determine the low L, then the high on the correction H, the lower low LL and finally the higher high HH. This means that the structure of the downtrend is broken. We pay attention to this situation and wait for a possible entry point to buy.
Let's start by considering a sell entry. We enter on the pullback to point H. This structure works because there are big players in the market, and big players need liquidity. That is, in order to make a large sale they need a large number of buy orders to " dump" the currency. The zone between H and HH is a zone of high liquidity. Accordingly, there are many people willing to buy here, as they hope for the continuation of the uptrend. You can enter with a pending order; in which case the sequence is as follows. We wait for the formation of the LL point (trend break). Then set Sell Limit at level H.
As in the case of selling, in the reverse pattern we have a zone of increased liquidity between points L and LL. There are many people who want to sell here, those who hope for the continuation of the downtrend. Someone bought too early, someone panics and closes positions, also many people may have stop-losses in this zone. Accordingly, it is a good opportunity for a big player to buy, and we enter the market together with it. We are waiting for the formation of the HH point. Then set Buy Limit at the level of L.
Risk management
We place the stop loss behind the extreme point of the high liquidity zone. HH - in case of sells, LL - in case of buys. Stop-loss is placed at the points where we can say for sure that we are wrong. We have two targets. For sells, the first target is at the L level, the second at LL. For buying, on the contrary, we take the first profit from H, the second from HH. If the distance between the target 1 and 2 is too small, it makes sense to take only the first target. In other cases, you can take the average value between the two points to set take profit.
Some examples
Let's look at an example. Here we see the formation of a low, correction H and a lower low - LL. Then the price draws a zigzag without going beyond the boundaries of the points we have marked. For clarity, don't forget to draw levels. You can ignore the zigzags inside the levels.
When there is a higher maximum - HH, that is, the structure of the downtrend is broken, we start looking for buys. In this case, we need a pullback to the L point. After the formation of the HH point, we set Buy Limit at the L level and wait. In this case, the price reached our order and then went up.
The entry point can be quite far away from the set-up that was formed. In this case, we had an upward trend. First we mark the first high, then the low and the higher high - HH. Then, following the ZigZag clues, we find the lower low LL, which is quite far away. The entry point for selling will be located at the H level. At this level we are looking to sell. At first glance, the distance is large. Accordingly, the price subsequently bounces from the level marked by us. We place the stop-loss slightly above the extreme point - HH. In this case, the take/stop ratio is very good.
As you may have already guessed, this strategy combines the theory of support/resistance levels. Candlesticks with large shadows in the rebound zone show how the big players gained positions by destroying the buys. Accordingly, the price then went down, reaching our take profit.
Summary
Try not to look for setups in price chaos that are not there. Trade only the right setups with a good ratio of profit to risk. This method I find great for reversal at supply and demand zones. Also, this strategy can be used in combination with other strategies. In general, it is a good foundation for your development as a trader.
HOW TO Overcome the CYBERFOMO. Life as a Chart.Hello Friends!
In the midst of volatile market periods like the present, I pen these words with a deep understanding of their significance. Today, numerous coins have soared by +100%, leaving many behind in their meteoric rise. Perhaps you were among those who went "short" and faced losses. The emotional turmoil in such situations is palpable, and I wish to address it.
Maybe I will be able to help you get over the FOMO or the stress of a loss. At the end of this article, I'll share specific methods for interacting with your psyche, but for now - I'll break down how it works.
---------------------
Part 1. Intro
---------------------
Every trader is familiar with the chart that constantly flickers before them. But have you ever pondered its deeper meaning? What if this chart was more than just numbers and trends? What if it mirrored life itself?
Before we delve deeper, I invite you to watch this video . It beautifully encapsulates an individual's growth journey. We all aim for the pinnacle, but the path is rarely straightforward. A swift ascent demands immense strength, critical mass and momentum. Without these, the rise is short-lived, much like an airplane without the necessary thrust. Don't get me wrong, you can jump out with a parachute during the plane crash, if you have time. And if you have your parachute ready. But you'll still land. Just softer.
Anyways. What's my point?
---------------------
Part 2. The Chart of Life
---------------------
You can witness life by looking at a trading chart. I won't go into the details of the fundamentals of market relationships and how it relates to evolution today. Just think of a chart as the ascent of a person.
A birth. All of us have different initial conditions. Somebody's born into a famous family. A lot of people know about you instantly. You get a lot of attention. You feel loved, cared for. Large sums of money are deposited for your future, university, etc. Everyone gives you gifts. Others are born into ordinary families, or poor families. And not many people worry about these children. Mostly only their parents believe in them. And even that, not always.
Then the child grows up. At first he can not take responsibility for himself, so adults support him so far. From time to time he faces difficulties, but he is helped and supported. Or not. In this case, the child falls, and less and less believes in himself, forming complexes.
Passing such life lessons, he becomes an adult. He already knows how to deduce his own lessons and decide in which direction he will go. He makes friends, is noticed at work, paid money, trusted.
But a crisis happens inevitably, sometimes without a single visible hint. Difficult relationships, family problems, loss of loved ones, loss of money. He falls into darkness. Sometimes he manages to get out, briefly feeling better for a while, but soon the realization comes that it was not yet the end of the darkness. Falling again. And again. And again. And now he's at his lowest point, Nadir. Almost no one believes in him. Except..
Except those who have seen in him something that lies beyond his appearance. Those who have seen the light within him. Still dim, but so pure. Those who have seen his very essence. Sometimes they can help him see his light. Sometimes they just watch, entrusting him with the burden, knowing he can handle it.
Only by turning his mule into a foundation he is now able to push off.
They begin to talk about him. About what they actually see in him. Other people begin to show their interest too. Stories start to be told about him, turn into legends, he grows in stature, they re-invest in him. From now on, they have seen how he has met his challenges on his own. From now on, no matter where he falls in future, no matter what will happen in the world - they will believe in him, believe that he can and he will do his best to get up again and again until his last hour comes.
---------------------
Part 3. Spotting Potential
---------------------
If you've overlooked an opportunity or been deceived, Rejoice. Just be glad that it succeeded! After all, it's an indicator that anything is possible! All you have to do is watch others more closely. There are tons of such personalities, i.e. projects in the world – from offline businesses to the realms of web3, blockchain, NFTs, games. Learn to discern the genuine from the counterfeit. Learn to see the light, the hidden potential. Understand how projects navigate failures, and you'll begin to spot the diamonds amidst the ordinary..
And don't be upset if you missed a diamond or if it turns out to be fake. After all, at that particular moment, you may find YOURSELF entering into the complex game of establishing a personality through a fall. By already knowing the possibilities of rising from the ashes, by keeping it in your mind, you can also rise as a phoenix.
In the grand scheme of life, every setback is a lesson, every challenge an opportunity. Believe in yourself. Find your foundation. Become your support. Turn it into a foundation. And work your way back up by doing your best. And rise, time and again.
---------------------
Part 4. Practice. Stress relief
---------------------
If you ever find yourself at a low point, remember:
Breathe: Engage in breathwork like the Wim Hof method. ˜20 mins
Embrace the Cold: A cold shower or ice bath can rejuvenate you. Don't forget to breath. ˜5-10 mins
Meditate: Focuse on your body, your emotions, and then your psycho-emotional background. Observe it all without judgment.
Practice Hatha Yoga: Delve into its spiritual depths.
Educate Yourself: Listen to enlightening lectures, such as those by Jordan Peterson. (Personality series as well as his Bible lecture series. You will discover many new things).
Seek Therapy: Discuss and understand your emotions.
Empower with Knowledge: Educate yourself. Make informed decisions and act when you're ready.
---------------------
Hope you could find this helpful.
Yours truly,
👁️ A.I.Vision
PRICE ACTION: PIN BARSThe pinbar setup is a popular candlestick pattern that is widely used by traders in the forex market. It consists of a single candlestick with a small body and a long shadow, which resembles a pin. This pattern often indicates a potential reversal or continuation of a trend. In this post, we will discuss the best methods to trade the pinbar setup at key levels, trendlines, moving averages, and Fibonacci levels, accompanied by examples for better understanding.
✴️ 1. Key Levels:
Key levels are certain prices at which strong support or resistance is expected. They can be used to determine entry and exit points for trades. For example, if the price reaches a support level and forms a pinbar, it can be a buy entry signal. On the other hand, if the price reaches a resistance level and forms a pinbar, it could be a signal to enter a sell trade. Psychological levels and open interest levels can also be used to identify key levels.
✴️ 2. Trend Lines:
Trend lines are used to determine the direction of a trend. They can be drawn by connecting two or more high or low points on a chart. An uptrend is characterized by consecutive high and low points, a downtrend is characterized by consecutive low and high points, and a sideways trend is characterized by horizontal lines. Pin bars can be used to confirm or deviate from trend lines. For example, if price reaches a trend line and forms a pinbar, this can be a signal to enter a trade in the direction of the trend.
✴️ 3. Moving averages:
Moving averages are used to determine trend direction and the smoothness of price movements. A simple moving average (SMA) is calculated by summing the prices for a certain period and dividing by the number of periods. An exponential moving average (EMA) pays more attention to more recent data. Pinbars can be used in conjunction with moving averages to confirm or deviate from a trend. For example, if price crosses a moving average from top to bottom and forms a pinbar, this can be a signal to enter a sell.
✴️ 4. Fibonacci Levels:
Fibonacci levels are horizontal lines that are used to determine support and resistance levels. They are calculated based on Fibonacci numerical sequences and can be used to identify possible price reversal points. For example, if the price reaches a Fibonacci level and forms a pinbar, this can be a signal to enter a trade. Different Fibonacci levels such as 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% can be used to identify possible support and resistance levels.
✴️ Conclusion
Pinbar forex trading using key levels, trendlines, moving averages and Fibonacci levels can be an effective method for identifying entry and exit points for trades. It is important to remember that no single indicator or strategy is a guarantee of success, so a strict approach to risk management and the use of additional tools and analysis to confirm pinbar signals is essential. I hope this post will help you develop your own strategy for trading pinbars in the Forex market.
THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENT - WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST Hey Everyone,
Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys with the odd sells for fun. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions.
Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use to achieve a 97% hit rate with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share targets/signals for both buys and sells but choose not to hedge out of choice. Our published results remain consistently profitable month in month out!!
In my experience, in the current market conditions, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort. I am more than capable of hedging effectively but the fact that I do not should tell you something.
Let us look at an example to further answer the question highlighted above. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 20 to 30 or 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down.
You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture.
Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we keep our psychology strong!!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
TRADING IS THE MOST REWARDING BUSINESS WORLDWIDETRADING IS THE MOST REWARDING BUSINESS IN THE WORLD.
But 99% of traders don't know how to win.
6 STEPS TO BECOME A TRADING SNIPER:
1. Develop A+ setups
- Focus on low risk, high reward
- Don't worry if you need time to execute
- You don't need to catch every market's movement to be successful
One setup is enough to kill in the trading arena.
2. Focus on A+ setups
- Execute like a machine when you spot an A+ setup
- Forget anything else. Don't take stupid trades just because you don't have opportunities
Trust your setups. Trust your plans. Trust your execution.
3. Control your emotions
Waiting is the hardest trading skill:
- You need patience to wait for your setups
- You need discipline to execute your setups
- You need confidence to win with your setups
Traders, like snipers, wait 99% of the time.
4. Know your system like a brother
- Know the details. RR, WR, strengths and weaknesses.
- Know what to expect: "If x happens, I'll do this. If y happens, I'll do this."
Always have a plan.
5. Aim for 1%
If average traders practice 1 hour per day, start practicing 2 hours per day.
If average traders review trades once a week, start reviewing trades every day.
If average traders never shapes minds, start meditating every day.
To be the 1%, do what the 99% don't do.
6. Become a trading sniper
- Focus on A+ setups
- Control your emotions
- Always have a plan
Shape your weapons. Shape your trading.
If you enjoyed this insightful post, please share with your friends and invite them to join us. Thanks
ELLIOTT WAVE CORRECTIVE PATTERNS Elliott Wave corrective movements are deviations from the main trend and serve to correct errors or imperfections that occurred during the formation of an impulse movement. These corrective movements are defined by complex wave structures that can be repeated in different variations and combinations.
The wave structure consists of two types of movements - impulsive and corrective. An impulsive movement is directed in the main direction of the trend, while a corrective movement is the opposite of this direction. Correction waves are the inverse of impulse waves, and they are executed as three-type structures. Elliott described 21 correction patterns of ABC type. There are three main types of Elliott Wave corrective movements. All of them are quite simple and consist of only three patterns.
- Zig Zag
- Sideways or flat
- Triangles
1. Zigzag Corrections: This type of corrective movement consists of three waves, with the second wave diverging in the opposite direction from the trend in the first wave and the third wave returning to the main trend. Zigzag corrections can be either upward or downward.
2. Non-wave-like (Flat) Corrections: In this case, the corrective movement is a sideways movement in which the second wave deviates from the main trend and the third wave returns to it. Non-Waveform corrections can be flat or complex, depending on the structure and duration.
3. Triangular (Triangle) Corrections: In this case, the corrective movement is a triangle formation, which consists of five small waves connected to each other by triangle diagonals. Each wave of a triangle correction can be impulsive or corrective in nature.
Elliott Wave corrective movements can be combined and repeated in different ways to form complex and interesting wave structures. Studying and understanding these corrective movements allows traders and investors to predict future price movements and make appropriate market decisions. Corrective movements of Elliot waves are important for analyzing past, current and upcoming market cycles. They allow to determine possible entry and exit points of trades. However, it is worth remembering that financial markets are complex and subject to various factors, so the analysis should be done with caution and taking into account other factors and analysis tools.
IMPORTANCE OF COMBINING TIMEFRAMESA trader usually works on a strategy that is strictly tied to one timeframe. This timeframe is used to determine the trend direction and search for strategy signals. Alexander Elder proposed to perform additional analysis and confirm the trend movement on two more timeframes of higher order. This technique was first described in his work, called "Elder's Three Screens". Combining timeframes was designed to:
• Increase the winrate
• Improve the accuracy of entries
Alexander Elder suggested adding one more chart with a higher timeframe to the trading timeframe to get an overall picture of the trend and determine its direction. And to look for entry points into trades on the third screen with the smallest timeframe.
Theoretically, the trend matching on two higher timeframes increases the percentage of profitable trades. Moving the strategy algorithm to a smaller timeframe reduces the size of stop-loss and recorded losses.
For example, a trader analyzes the general trend on a daily chart and determines its direction. Let's assume that the currency pair is growing the price is above the moving average MA (200).
According to the rules of the strategy, it is necessary to go to the 4-hour chart and wait for the confirmation of the trend on this timeframe. The currency pair price should also rise above the MA (200).
After the combination of trends on D1 and H4, it is necessary to wait for a similar signal on M15 or M5. Then it will be possible to look for an entry point into a trade to buy according to the strategy.
The practical results of combining timeframes according to Elder's strategy are of little value. Even if the general trend on the daily chart is upward, different price movements can occur on a lower timeframe, for example, on a 15-minute or 5-minute chart.
Despite the global trend of the oldest American stock index, only 50% of days over the last 30 years closed above the closing price of the previous day. It turns out that the ever-growing Dow index has an even distribution of positive and negative days. In the Forex market, in general, we can also expect a roughly even distribution, especially if we take into account the range nature of the currency market, i.e. the accuracy of the Elder filter from the higher timeframes works 50/50. Therefore, relying only on the trend of the higher timeframe is not recommended for intraday traders (day traders). However, if this kind of signal filtering gives you psychological confidence, you can use this tactic. Psychology and emotional comfort are an important component of trading.
✴️ How To Reduce Stop-loss And Increase The Efficiency Of Trading Strategy By Combining Timeframes
There is another approach of combining timeframes in trading, which is found in the works of Tom Dante. This tactic is based on Dante's work and allows you to combine several timeframes using structural analysis of price movement. Instead of simply filtering signals, the trader looks for matching patterns on different timeframes, which can indicate more reliable entry points into the trade.
Increasing winrate and reducing stop-losses can be achieved by using a strategy that works equally well on different timeframes. For example, Price Action is ideal for these requirements. As in the classic Elder strategy, everything starts with analyzing the general trend on the D1 chart. Only the trader is busy looking for support/resistance levels, key candlestick formations and other Price Action signals.
In the example below, there is a level breakout on the D1 chart. If the trader decides to go short, the stop loss should be behind the candlestick high or at the nearest resistance level from the broken line.
Then you can move to the 4-hour chart and look for structural support or resistance levels that can confirm the overall trend. And on the H1 chart, you can look for confirmations to enter the trade in the form of candlestick formations or other technical indicators.
This way, you combine information from multiple timeframes to more accurately determine when to enter the market. It is not recommended to go below the hourly chart if D1 has become the starting point for combining timeframes. A trader can also simplify the combination strategy to two timeframes, for example, D1 and H1.
In the example above, the H1 chart shows a bounce from a broken level, which can be used as a signal to open a short. In this case, the stop loss will be just above the local maximum of the hour candles, which is much smaller than the stop loss on D1.
✴️ Combining the D1 timeframe with H1 enables the trader to:
• Reduce stop loss and increase the order lot;
• Increase profit by using take profit to close the position, which is set on the D1 chart.
Stop Loss on H1 allows you to increase the profit/risk ratio by times when trading on D1. Without combining timeframes, risk and profit would be 1 to 1 or at least 2 to 1.
✴️ Let's summarize the simple rules of structural analysis of the strategy of combined timeframes:
1. Find a pattern on the D1 timeframe
2. Move to H4/H1 and wait for a signal using the same strategy
3. Open a trade according to the rules of the strategy on H4/H1
4. Set Stop Loss on H4/H1
5. Set take profit on D1
✴️ Conclusion
It is worth noting that the proposed strategy will require additional Price Action skills. Searching for patterns requires great attention and patience to wait for confirming signals on each timeframe. However, this approach can improve the accuracy of entries and reduce the probability of false signals. Risk management is the most important aspect of timeframe combinations. When using lower timeframes, you can determine more accurate stop loss and take profit levels based on the higher timeframes. This helps to reduce risk and increase potential profits. Like every new strategy, the idea of combining structural market analysis requires practice on a demo account to find more appropriate trading systems and to practice correlating signals.