SUIUSD: 1W MA50 holding. Excellent long term buy opportunity.SUI is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.481, MACD = -0.255, ADX = 17.753) as it is on a decline since the early January top. This is technically the bearish wave of the cyclical Channel Up and the Jan top was its HH. This is so far a -58% decline that almost tested the 1W MA50. This is same kind of decline after the previous HH of late March 2024. The July break under the Channel Up was a market overreaction but now since we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle, it is very unlikely to see another one. Quite possibly, as long as the 1W MA50 holds, it is more probable to gradually initiate the 3rd bullish wave of the Channel Up. Aim for a similar +500% rise, TP = 12.000.
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Trend Analysis
EURUSD: Another Buying Opportunity Emerging!Dear Traders,
Price of EURUSD is approaching a key level where we can expect it to reverse and continue the bullish move where it will likely to create another record high of 2025. Please use proper risk management while trading.
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DXY Starts the Bearish Trend!DXY Starts the Bearish Trend!
Yesterday, the DXY made a clear breakout on the daily chart from a strong structure zone located near 106.20. Since that moment, the DXY hasn't paused, leading to a weakening USD. Even if the DXY corrects, it is expected to be short-term. The DXY may test the 105.7 - 106.20 range as a maximum before a more significant bearish wave occurs.
The U.S. dollar dropped to a near three-month low against major peers on Wednesday, following the latest round of U.S. tariffs and countermeasures from Canada and China, which stoked fears of an escalating trade war.
Fears about weaker U.S. and global economic activity are driving the sell-off.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish.
It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend.
Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom):
Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise.
There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising.
There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows.
Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run.
It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow.
We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth.
We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
When Bitcoin Goes Up, Tether Dominance Goes Down!I was wondering, does the Tether Dominance (USDT.D) index chart supports a bullish Bitcoin and a bullish Altcoins market? It does. Let's look at this chart together.
Bullish volume has been dropping steadily. Bearish volume is very high.
Tether Dominance has been in a downtrend, lower highs, since August 2024. Obviously, when Bitcoin hit bottom, USDT.D peaked. This index has been producing lower highs since. There is a clear downtrend on the chart.
A bearish hammer came on the 28-Feb. session. This is followed by another bearish signal 4-March. A continuation. Lower highs long-term and lower highs short-term.
The chart is pointing lower, has been going lower and will continue lower. This means that Bitcoin is going up.
Thank you for reading.
The signals are everywhere.
Namaste.
USDCHF Short at 0.89099 w Technical analyis;Fundamental,..Trade Idea: Short USD/CHF
Entry: 0.89118
Stop Loss: 0.89293
Take Profit: 0.88528
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.25:1
Risk per Trade: 1,8%
Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF
• Technical Setup: Price is rejecting the MR50 and pivot point, showing bearish signals.
Long wicks suggest a potential reversal.
• Indicators: Williams %R shows overbought conditions, supporting the short setup.
• Timeframe: Entering on the 50-minute chart after confirmation of price rejection or
lower highs.
Fundamentals:
• Swiss CPI: 0.6% (actual) vs 0.5% (forecast) indicates a stronger Swiss Franc,
supporting the short trade on USD/CHF.
• COT Data: Positions are bearish on USD and bullish on CHF, aligning with the setup.
Market Sentiment:
• DXY: A bearish USD supports the downside in USD/CHF.
• Overall Sentiment: Bearish sentiment towards USD in March suggests continued
weakness for USD/CHF.
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss at 0.89313 and take profit at 0.88528, offering a 2.97:1 risk-to-reward
ratio.
This is a high-probability short setup with solid technical, fundamental, and sentiment alignment. Always use proper risk management. (70-75% Probability of Winning this Trade)
OFFICIAL TRUMP: Bullish Potential Invalidated? Back To 1,000%+As can be seen here, price action moved below our defined support (now resistance). The question naturally arises, is the previous analysis now invalid? Quick answer, no! We are still bullish and I will explain why.
It is true that the break above resistance makes this chart ultra-bullish, so moving back below can be considered an invalidation. The truth is that the low yesterday is still a higher low compared to 28-Feb. when the All-Time Low was hit. We have both a higher low and also a green close, the session yesterday ended green as a hammer which is bullish.
The bullish case is weaker now in the short-term but the bullish bias and potential remains intact. TRUMPUSDT is set to grow; patience is key.
The low is in and this low was followed by a high volume bullish breakout. This breakout is followed by a retrace, which is a classic and this retrace ends as a higher low. This is standard price action. From this higher low TRUMPUSDT can and will grow.
Even if the market decides to shakeout more people out, we are bullish long-term. You know what I love to say; once we hit bottom, the only place left to go is up.
Notice in early 2025 there is a clear downtrend on the chart. Now, instead of a downtrend the action is sideways. This is the transition period. First down, then sideways and then up.
We are going up next. It can take a few months, a few weeks or simple just a few days.
The potential for growth here is as good as with any other pair.
Thanks a lot for your continued support. It is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
Nat Gas midweek Recap: 3/5/25 Trump trumps the fundamentals!
Wow!!! What a week. I stayed up late Sunday night to see the early model runs print, which printed back to the colder, Weekend model ideas, to close my puts. I woke up seven hours later to a rally in NG back to the 3900 level from 3770! But knowing that the Trump tariffs were to take place yesterday, my belief was that there would be a great deal of speculative panic in the market. Which can go either way! I did sit out Monday to gauge the market to see what could possibly be moving such a move. After the midday models printed back to a bit of a warmer solution, I knew that a short squeeze was on after price spiked for the day. I did take a short position after the run up Tuesday after the price had spiked and was beginning the first of many rollercoaster rides! I did not close any of my positions out due to the price not hitting my 4150-418 target today, but my belief is that this is a short covering rally due to overall uncertainty. My belief is still that the third week of this month will begin to consistently print cold into mid-April. Knowing that there is now a new upper price target above 4500, this looks very, very promising. But this has been a great trading week if you are able to get on the right side of the trades, but for me, I can wait until the big speculators take some big profits this week. I am still waiting for my target back down to below the 4150-4180 to exit my short and renter a long for the coming cold.
Heating demand had little to do with buying this week, as the 15-day U.S. and European outlooks trended warmer Sunday night and a bit cooler today. Both with a large jump in daily prices. This week’s large price swings reflect an uncertainty among investors about as they contemplate many inputs, including tariffs, geopolitical tensions, uncertain weather forecasts, consistent storage deficits. The large gains earlier in the week and in the mid-day New York today have primarily been due to short coverage, from the remaining shorts in the market. Coming into this week, natural gas speculators were less short than they have been in almost a year. This tells me that we are probably short-squeezing the remaining positions. There was news on the online industry forum Enelyst that today’s giant spike was due to a large fund liquidation due to a margin call from Monday and Tuesday’s large price move. The curse of the margin!
U.S. markets appear to be shocked by the real enactment of tariffs, as many investors had priced in some amount of skepticism due to Trump’s delay of tariffs earlier in February. Trump did follow through with his 10% tax on Canadian oil and gas, with Canada stating it intends to enact retaliatory tariffs in 21 days if they are not removed. Despite an estimated 1.3 Bcf/d drop in Lower 48 gas production due largely to pipeline maintenance events, Wood Mackenzie estimated that pipeline imports from Canada plunged to 4.5 Bcf/d Tuesday from 6.2 Bcf/d Monday as the import levies took effect. Since Canadian imports account for a relatively minor share of the larger U.S. market, Industry experts posted “tariffs alone are unlikely to cause significant increases in price, especially at the Henry Hub,” the G&A team said. “We expect natural gas’s price movement for today and the past couple of days to be based on non-fundamental dynamics in large funds covering short positions after initial movement on trade war fears.”
However, “the near-term situation only tells part of the story,” said Pinebrook Energy Advisors’ Andy Huenefeld, managing partner. “The market appears to be shifting to panic mode due to the massive storage deficit against a backdrop of underlying fundamental market risks.
“With inventories set to exit the winter at a deficit of more than 700 Bcf to year-ago levels, the market is staring at an uphill battle to bring stocks back to healthy levels heading into next winter.” He added, “If inventories were to grow at the same rate as last summer, from an expected bottom near 1.5 Tcf, stocks would top out in October at less than 3.2 Tcf. This would be dangerously low heading into an uncertain winter and an extremely bullish development for the U.S. market.” Huenefeld also noted that “demand for LNG could easily be as much as 2.5 Bcf/d higher than year-ago levels throughout the summer.” Higher gas prices should coax producers to increase output. However, a shrinking coal-fired power fleet and growing intermittent renewable generation could limit the potential for price-induced demand destruction in the power sector, he said.
As for the heating demand outlook in North America, midday weather data “maintained a couple chilly weather systems sweeping across the northern and eastern U.S. late this week through early next week with lows of 0s to 20s for stronger national demand,” NatGasWeather said. “This includes the southern U.S. cooling several degrees as well.” Models showed the March 11-16 period as “not nearly cold enough to intimidate,” the forecaster added. The data favored “a closer to seasonal U.S. pattern March 17-20 as temperatures become near normal over most of the U.S., although quite far out in time and where changes are likely.”
Wood Mackenzie estimated U.S. LNG feed gas flows at 15.3 Bcf/d Wednesday, versus the recent seven-day average of 15.3 Bcf/d. Dutch Title Transfer Facility prompt month futures fell 13% this week. After the European benchmark surged on Monday in the wake of a contentious meeting between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Wow this all makes no sense!!!! Bullish new, bearish news, what to do!!!!!
The overall market trend is in a bullish state. But do not let the emotional side of the past few days let you forget that the fundamental picture will come back into view eventually. Tomorrow’s EIA report should come in somewhere around normal for the time period. Trump again is back peddling on his tariff threats, look at the second 30 day hold on the car companies and now ag sector announced later today. Continue to enjoy these wild daily swings and hop onboard the price swings. But remember Friday is coming and there are profits to close out for the week on the 70 cent move this week. I am committed to holding my puts entered at the peak Monday until the price settles down to the 4150-4180 level. I will stay disciplined and follow my path and not let others emotional appeals and move sway my plan. Reenter and let the weather turn, where there will be no talk of any warming in the models, or a possibility of the withdrawal season being over. We are almost there, then it is time for Round two, the shoulder season.
Keep it burning!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
In the long term, gold remains in an uptrend. However, in the short term, after the break of the support zone, we expect a pullback to the broken level, followed by a potential decline at least to the identified support area.
What are your thoughts on this analysis? Do you agree, or do you see a different scenario playing out?
Share your insights in the comments!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR USD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE.This is a 1-hour chart of EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) from TradingView, showing a potential short (sell) setup. Here’s what it indicates:
1. Uptrend Channel – The price has been moving in a strong bullish trend within the blue ascending channel.
2. Potential Reversal Zone – The price has reached a key resistance level near 1.08730, marked by the red zone (potential stop-loss area).
3. Short Setup – The trader expects a bearish move, as shown by the blue arrows, targeting a drop toward 1.04812 (marked by the black horizontal line).
4. Risk-Reward Balance – The red area represents the stop-loss zone, while the green area is the expected profit target.
This suggests the trader is anticipating a trend reversal or pullback after an extended bullish run. Do you want to share this setup on your channel?
What About The RSI? BitcoinDaily MA200 has been working as support; support confirmed, for Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. This is a good signal, a strong one and all is good.
I also looked at the trading volume and this is also good. Clearly rising for a while now. A bullish bias.
I was wondering about the RSI.
How is Bitcoin's daily RSI looking like?
Great news.
Bitcoin's daily RSI hit its lowest level in February 2025 since August 2023. That's a strong one.
The low in February on this oscillator ended up being higher than August 2024. This produces the hidden bullish divergence signal. Very interesting.
MA200 sits perfectly between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. retracement level support. This level now sits at $83,000. Bitcoin will never trade again below 80K. The bottom is in.
Hold on, I have more. Let's revisit an update that I shared in a previous publications (5 days ago) related to the correction dynamics.
🅱️ Bitcoin's Correction Is Over
An advance from $74,000 to 110K is not the same as an advance from $20,000 to 74K.
The correction from 74 to 49K, -33%, took five months because of the prolonged consolidation between 20,000 and 74,000.
The correction from 110 to 78K totals a nice -28%. Support is found at 0.5 Fib. retracement in relation to the previous bullish phase. This is the exact same level that was hit in the previous correction from 74 to 49K in July/August 2024. The current correction does not need to extend any longer.
The rise from 49 to 110K amounts to 124%.
The rise from 20 to 74K amounts to 270%.
It is logical for the previous correction to be stronger than the current one because of the size of the bullish wave. Since this bullish wave was smaller, the correction also becomes small.
We are now in 2025 and everybody knows that Bitcoin is going up.
If the market couldn't push Bitcoin past 49K last year when doubt was the norm, remember the evil tendencies of the SEC, why would the market produce a stronger correction now when the SEC has been transformed to reasonable and conscious? Instead of a weapon this institution is now doing the job that it was supposed to do in the first place; guidance and support. The SEC is now offering strong support to the Cryptocurrency market and this is great.
Conditions are better now and fundamentals continue to improve.
There is reason to believe that the bottom is in, not only based on the correction size but also based on the fact that Altcoins are turning strongly green.
The correction is over. This is great news.
We are going up.
Once the market hits bottom... The new All-Time High will happen in late 2025.
Bitcoin can easily hit $180,000, $200,000 or more (can be $500,000 to $1,000,000). The Altcoins portion of the market will blow up. Not everything will grow, but most of the market will.
All those projects without a real base will lose momentum and the real Cryptocurrencies will shine the most.
There are lots of choices; choose wisely.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Celousdt trading ideaCELOUSDT initially broke out bullish from a falling wedge but faced strong rejection at the critical $1.67 resistance level, triggering a significant sell-off that retraced the entire breakout move.
Price has now retested the initial bottom, positioning the market for a potential double-bottom formation, contingent on the $0.3352 support holding firm. If confirmed, the projected upside target extends towards the $4 region, aligning with key structural levels.
However, a breakdown below this crucial support would invalidate the bullish scenario, exposing the asset to deeper losses and amplifying downside risks.
Market reaction at this zone will dictate the next major move.
DeGRAM | DXY retest of channel boundaryThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price has approached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level coinciding with the 62% retracement level, but has not yet reached the lower trend line.
On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators are in the oversold zone and on the 1H they have formed a bullish convergence.
We expect a rebound.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
2941 ! Expected price range today ! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade with an upward bias during Thursday’s Asian session, holding near the one-week high reached the previous day, though follow-through buying remains limited.
Market concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies continue to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, growing expectations of an earlier-than-anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut, coupled with bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, further support gold’s appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has strong growth momentum, after clearing liquidity, there will be great momentum in the near future.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2953 - $2955 SL $2960
TP1: $2945
TP2: $2930
TP3: $2920
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2941 - $2943 SL $2948
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USDMXN at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupFOREXCOM:USDMXN has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 20.49000 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
NASDAQ: 4H Death Cross always signals a rally.Nasdaq in bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.073, MACD = -289.260, ADX = 41.209) as the mid February bearish wave hit the bottom of the September Channel Up. The formation of a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe has favored buying inside this pattern. In the meantime, the 4H RSI has been rising while the price was correcting, indicating the presence of a Bullish Divergence. Buy and aim for another +16% rise (TP = 23,200).
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Lido DAO: Long-Term Support—Long-Term Sideways—Long-Term BullishSome charts just make technical analysis easy. The same support level that worked in late 2022 worked again in late 2024. The present correction is ending as a higher low in relation to this same long-term support, the black line on the chart.
Since the market bottom, June/July 2022, LDOUSDT has been sideways with a wide range. The last bullish breakout was really small and the present retrace is also small, the market always seeks balance, so a small breakout leads to a small retrace.
There is more.
The consolidation phase is very long, years of sideways action. The market always seeks balance. A long consolidation phase will lead to a very strong bull-market. The bull-market is now, it is happening now, starting this month —March, this year (2025) and it will extend for a long-term.
So we have long-term support, long-term sideways and a long-term bullish market.
Thanks you for reading.
Namaste.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Markets are on edge yet they're giving trades if you're able to get in at the right moments. Yesterday we had completed nearly all of our bias above target levels apart from 2900 and 2910 which was the final target. We did get a minor pull back from the region we wanted but it was short lived before the move upside resumed.
Support now stands at the 2895-90 region while resistance is standing at 2920. We would say as long as 2920 holds we should see a move downside into the support region. Break of 29020 and we're on for 2930-35 which is the level that needs to be watched carefully if it gets there.
There is a dip into 2885, but that is the bias above level, so above that we remain bullish.
Price: 2919
KOG’s Bias of the day: (today)
Bullish above 2895 with targets above 2925✅, 2930 and 2933 above that
Bearish on break of 2895 with targets below 2878
RED BOXES:
Break above 2925 for 2930✅, 2937 and 2941 in extension of the move
Break below 2916 for 2910 and 2907 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG