Semiconductor Index May Be Starting to MoveSemiconductors have outperformed by a wide margin since late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect the uptrend to continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the series of higher lows and lower highs since the summer. Prices began the year escaping to the upside and are now approaching their October peak. Clearing that level could be viewed as a potential breakout.
Second, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are essentially on top of each other after months of sideways movement. Could that convergence open the door to expansion?
Speaking of sideways movement, Rate of Change (set to 21 bars) in the lower study illustrates how SOX has more or less stopped moving over the last month.
Finally, the news flow may help chips after Broadcom (No. 2 in the index) and Taiwan Semiconductor (No. 3 in the index) rallied on strong earnings. Expectations could remain positive as industry leader Nvidia ramps Blackwell production.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Triangle
FIL/USDT on the Verge of a Bullish Breakout $6+ Target FIL/USDT forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, typically a continuation or breakout pattern.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The price is consolidating within a narrowing range, forming higher lows and lower highs, indicative of a symmetrical triangle. This is often seen as a neutral pattern, but given the previous uptrend, it leans bullish.
Potential Breakout Zone
A breakout is expected once a 4-hour candle closes above the upper trendline. This would signal bullish momentum and provide an entry opportunity for a long position.
Key Levels
Current price is $5.107.
The immediate target after the breakout is set around $6+ based on the pattern's height and prior resistance levels.
Confirmation
Wait for a confirmed close above the trendline with strong volume before entering the trade. This minimizes the risk of a fake breakout.
Risk Management
Set stop-losses below the triangle's lower trendline or near recent lows to manage risk effectively.
Keep a close watch on the breakout level. If the price closes above the triangle with momentum, a move toward $6+ becomes a likely target.
EURUSD → An attempt to change the trend could be successfulFX:EURUSD gets a chance for a bullish run. The currency pair breaks the prolonged downtrend and consolidates for a chance to continue the upward movement
The global trend is downtrend and at the moment it is too early to talk about a change of trend, as the price is under pressure from the strong resistance at 1.044. BUT! A pre-breakout base is forming around this area, so if the dollar continues its corrective course, EURUSD will have a chance to confirm the trend change. If the bulls are able to overcome 1.0448 and consolidate above this level, we will have a chance to rise to 1.06 and possibly higher....
Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.0607
Support levels: 1.033, 1.0222
Technically, the focus is on the nearest trigger at 1.0448. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone may provide a convenient entry point to open long positions.
Regards R. Linda!
A triple top resistance breakout can push price to 2,786.828ascending triangle on the 4hr time frame
intersecting with a triple top resistance,
with an ascending price-channel in the hourly time frame
price can either decline on the support zone of the price channel
or breakout of the channel and retest the support trendline
before going up
my target for gold is a long position to 2,786.828
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance...
The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions.
Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical...
Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761
Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690
At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC Set for Bigger Shakes Over Time? Break 90K & Over 120K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has been quite volatile lately since Dec., as it's moving within a broadening triangle pattern.
This pattern is characterized by its expanding price range, meaning the price swings get larger and more dramatic over time.
Right now, Bitcoin has the potential to climb above $120K, but BTC could also drop sharply to $90,900.
That’s a massive $30K range—and it’s only expected to grow wider.
If we see one or two quick drops to the bottom of the broadening triangle, the market sentiment could turn bearish.
General investors might start panic-selling, which allows major players to collect coins at lower prices.
But here’s the key: even a sudden $30K drop within this pattern doesn’t affect Bitcoin’s long-term bullish outlook.
It’s just noise within the structure.
Are you ready to navigate this increasingly wild market?
Every coin has multiple potential scenarios. This is just one of them, and I’ll share more scripts in the future.
Follow me for updates! 😃
Gold prices look ripe for an upward moveGold prices have triggered an ascending triangle pattern with a target of $2862. The pattern will remain in play if the price trades above today's low of $2703.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold Breaks $2725 Resistance, Eyes Record HighGold is peeking above resistance at $2725, extending the bullish trend in place since late December.
If it can push above this level and preferably close there, it creates a decent bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above with a tight stop beneath for protection.
The obvious target would be the record high of $2790 set in late October.
Momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD are trending higher, providing bullish signals that improve the probability of the break sticking.
With price signals from US Treasury futures pointing to the possibility of lower yields near-term, a scenario that could also keep dollar gains capped, the macro environment looks more conducive for upside than periods in the recent past.
Good luck!
DS
ETH copying pattern? Potential drop below $3,000?CRYPTOCAP:ETH seems to be repeating an old pattern—I’ve marked it with an arrow. I first noticed this about 10 days ago, and as time goes on, it’s looking more and more like the left shoulder of a classic head-and-shoulders bottom. Interestingly, the #MACD is perfectly mirroring the same movement too.
If #ETH is indeed forming the right shoulder, we could see a pullback of around 31%, dropping it below 3000 to roughly 2800. This move makes sense, as key players often target psychological levels like 3000, where a lot of stop-loss orders are placed, potentially triggering larger price shifts.
What’s even more intriguing is that a drop to 2800 would push ETH below the lower edge of the symmetrical triangle, which could seriously dent market confidence.
What do you think? Does this match your analysis, or are you seeing it play out differently?
---
Let me know if you'd like further tweaks!
ETH. $4KWe can consider global ETH movement in the context of two patterns. At EUROTLX:4K level there are main sellers and it is a mystery to me why there are so many of them and why exactly this level... However, pattern completes its formation with almost minimal volatility relative to the top market assets. March update may serve as a trigger for growth.
GOLD → A change in fundamental background. Strong resistanceFX:XAUUSD faces strong resistance at 2721 and enters correction phase, which also coincides with the change of fundamental background and economic data
Weakening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, the US dollar and US bonds. In addition, expectations of stimulus measures from China improved market sentiment.
Despite this, the downward trend for gold may remain limited due to Trump's rather risky policies and expectations of two Fed interest rate cuts later this year. Overall, gold prices are likely to be volatile in the short term due to holiday market conditions and Trump's upcoming executive orders.
Technically, the price is inside a symmetrical triangle, which in turn is located inside an ascending channel. If the resistance is not broken, pressure will be applied to the support....
Resistance levels: 2713, 2717, 2721
Support levels: 2702, 2697, 2690
A retest of 2702 will increase the chances of support breakdown and further fall. It can happen after the resistance retest. I do not exclude a false breakdown of one of the mentioned resistance levels before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - Price can fall a little and then continue to move up nextHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price dropped from $2705 level and fell to $2536 points, breaking $2610 level and entering to triangle.
In this pattern, price at once made an upward impulse to resistance area and then made correction movement.
After correction, price some time traded near $2610 level and then exited from triangle and rose back to resistance area.
Then Gold turned around and dropped to support area, after which started to grow inside a rising channel.
In channel, price broke $2610 with $2705 levels and now trades very close to $2705 level in resistance area.
So, I think that Gold can fall a little below than support level and then continue to grow to $2750 points in rising channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
4x Triangle breakout on Golds rising tide Bullish chart
Looks like multi year triangle break out my guess is upside
It could break out and stop at a fib target so guess round number is 80 at fib =1
I am tracking about 22% increase from here to gold base metal target so this is 4x of that move which seems a lot can it do that in 2025 or will we need a bit longer. I don't know, lets wait and see its a multi year chart so muli year target
Equites look over valued generally so this may be a safe haven in any bear market because it holds many tonnes of gold as per 1929-1935 when in relative terms you had price increase with dividends over 25x in bear or 50x to '35 or 74x incld divi by holding the gold mining stock at the time, plus FDR revalued the gold price. Logic is still the same it will be a bumpy ride as gold is sold to pay margin calls but overall there is a lot of money which will need to be parked. As fund mngrs see gold as a value stock because relatively to the equity index's its not going down as much.
Gold in triangle breakout
CRB in triangle breakout (Commodities Index)
other Gold related mining stocks look very bullish too so confirmation across multiple shares and base metal index plus commodities index too
Good luck to all and wishing you a mighty fine day!
If later when you read this and its obvious by then we are in a bear and you dont know what to do this is a safe play for value fund mangers
Yes they will sell gold to meet margin payments at first then they will start to hold Gold relatively and this company has a lot of gold in the ground which should act as a store of value. So its going to be a bumpy ride
With multi year charts its hard to pinpoint breaks and get the timing right but the idea should be solid enough. A good pension play during difficult times.
You may even get over performance and it shoots up to round number 100 ? too early to tell
Also there are very long 100 yr / 40 year charts showing gold made a break out. Silver is also a play.
This is a well known name, you need to check if they have hedged the price of gold, but the chart says triangle so break out up or down, we take the upside bullish breakout.
100% to ATH & huge flag and Tri target for over performanceBullish chart 100% on the table
I am tracking about 22% increase from here to gold base metal target so this is 5x of that move which seems a lot can it do that in 2025 or will we need a bit longer. I dont know, lets wait and see its a multi year chart so muli year target
Equites look over valued generally so this may be a safe haven in any bear market because it holds many tonnes of gold as per 1929-1935 when in relative terms you had price increase with dividends over 25x in bear or 50x to '35 or 74x incld divi by holding the gold mining stock at the time, plus FDR revalued the gold price. Logic is still the same it will be a bumpy ride as gold is sold to pay margin calls but overall there is a lot of money which will need to be parked. As fund mngrs see gold as a value stock because relatively to the equity index's its not going down as much.
100% back to ATH
higher flag target
higher triangle target
Gold in triangle breakout
CRB in triangle breakout (Commodities Index)
BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
Crypto TRUMP PUMP! - XRP BTC HBAR ADA - Have the stars aligned?Well the BIG DAY is FINALLY HERE!
Are you ready for TRUMP 2.0?
Regardless ready or not the world is about to get SPICY.
LOVE HIM OR HATE HIM One thing that 🟢SeekingPips🟢 is looking forward to is VOLATILIY. Well in the markets at least Currencies, Stocks, ETF's what ever tickles your fancy BUT I'M SOOOOOO looking forward to these CRYPTO MARKETS.
Oh YEAR & this HBAR TRIANGLE BREAKOUT still looks GREAT TO ME!
LET THE MAYHEM BEGIN.
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BINANCE VALID BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEBINANCE:BNBUSDT Good Afternoon trader, my UPDATE idea for BNBUSDT. 4H on 19/01/2025.
We got a valid triangle pattern in binance price action because the price did not break through at $729,97 price area . If we observed carefully, 5 waves (W1-W5) will formed in this information, which is related to the Elliot Wave theory.
So my prediction the price will continue get the support triangle at $675,30 area price before continue bullish to break the pattern.
Please discuss about this thing, comment on below
XRP Mirrors 2017 Bull Run, with a 52% Pullback Coming?XRP's last true bull market was in 2017, and the current cycle seems quite similar. Both started with several years of triangular consolidation before breaking out.
During the previous cycle, XRP retraced to Fib 0.786 after hitting Fib 1.
This time, it’s showing a slight pullback after reaching Fib 1 as well.
Every coin has multiple potential scenarios, and one possible script for XRP is retracing to Fib 0.786 after touching Fib 1—implying a potential correction of at least 52%.
However, the real bull might ignite after this pullback, with targets possibly reaching $26 (Fib 1.618, as seen in the last cycle).
Feel free to share your perspectives—I’ll cover other potential XRP scripts in the future!