NAS100 - Nasdaq index path, after the inauguration!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply range will provide us with the conditions to sell it.
As markets prepare for Donald Trump’s inauguration, the dollar has weakened slightly. Early signals suggest that no significant changes in tariff policies are imminent, leading to a minor dip in the dollar’s value. Over the weekend, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a positive conversation. Following the call, Trump tweeted, “Just had an excellent conversation with Xi Jinping of China. This was very good for both China and the U.S. I expect us to solve many issues together, and we’ll start immediately.”
Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Technology Index has reached its highest level in two years. Bloomberg data shows the 30-day correlation index between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq stands at approximately 0.70, indicating closely aligned movements between the two assets.
On another front, Jared Bernstein, head of Joe Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, has warned that the incoming Trump administration’s potential interference in Federal Reserve interest rate policies could risk a resurgence in inflation. Bernstein emphasized the importance of maintaining the Fed’s independence and noted that executive actions should not influence interest rate decisions.
TD Securities predicts that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady during the first half of this year. However, it expects rate cuts to resume in the second half, with the terminal rate reaching the low 3% range. This strategy reflects the economy’s need to digest Trump’s new policies, particularly on tariffs and immigration.
This week’s economic calendar is relatively light.Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed on Monday, January 20, 2025, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
Later in the week, key economic data will be released. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly jobless claims report will be published, followed by preliminary S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and existing home sales figures on Friday.
Bank of America forecasts that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will reach 4.75% this year, with the potential to surpass 5% depending on Federal Reserve decisions. However, it sees a low probability of yields exceeding 5.25%.
The bank cites a strong macroeconomic backdrop and a hawkish Federal Reserve, suggesting that any rate hikes will depend on inflation data. Bank of America also notes that yields near 5% could represent a compelling buying opportunity, provided the Consumer Price Index remains stable or declines slightly.
Trump
Trump in my opinionMEXC:TRUMPUSDT
Not sure about trump yet! but I think this flag should be it!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Trump Coin Possibly Fibonacci Path to Hit $700First, in History, a United States Presidential Official Crypto Token. You could look at this as a possible artwork investment. A Possible 32 Fibonacci to Hit $700 if it can follow the hype of Doge from the last Bull Run. Only 40 million tokens are available in the market for the next 2+ years (not sure of the 3-year start date from Jan 2024 or Jan 2025), with the others being locked up. And if any unforeseen event occurs sadly, I am sure the value will rise even more. So you currently have 3 options: 1- Buy and sell within about two months seeing if you are able to sell at the top of the Alt Coin season. 2- Buy and sell before the remaining 80% of the token is released before the 3-year mark. 3- Buy and hold for the long term as a piece of artwork. Or a combination of all three if you get more than one. #Trump #Trumpcoin
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative.
However this indicator remains plausible.
But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment.
Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO.
Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k.
So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin.
Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
TRUMPomania - 3 variants of possibly Bulls RallyCrypto markets have been rocked by the launch of an "official" Donald Trump memecoin this weekend—with traders braced for more mayhem this coming week.
Unlock over $3,000 in NFT, web3 and crypto perks — Apply now!
The price of the "official" Trump memecoin has surged since its Friday evening launch, breaking into the crypto top 20 by market capitalization and hitting an eye-watering $14 billion.
Now, as leaks reveal Trump is readying a flurry of crypto-focused executive orders, Trump's wife Melania has launched her own rival cryptocurrency—tanking the price of Trump's coin.
Sign up now for the free CryptoCodex—A daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors and the crypto-curious that will get you up to date and keep you ahead of the bitcoin and crypto market bull run
Trump’s Inauguration Day and the Crypto BoostGood morning readers, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk about a historic event that is shaking not only U.S. politics but also financial markets and the world of cryptocurrencies: Donald Trump's Inauguration Day as the 47th President of the United States and the launch of the new memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA.
Today, January 20, 2025, marks the beginning of a new chapter for the United States and global markets. Donald Trump, after a period of political and financial stagnation, is ready to take command again with a presidency that, like his previous ones, promises to shake the economic foundations of the country and the world. As investors and analysts prepare to face the first day of his presidency, many questions arise regarding the immediate and long-term impacts this event will have on the stock market and the global economy. But it’s not just politics that is drawing attention today: a new chapter in the world of cryptocurrencies is about to unfold, with the launch of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA, which serve as an interesting indicator of how politics and new technologies are influencing the modern economy.
Trump’s First Day at the White House: Expectations and Market Impacts
As we all know, Donald Trump is a figure capable of provoking polarized reactions. His return to the White House, after winning his second term, will not only be a historic moment politically but also a critical moment for global financial markets. What can we expect on the first day of his presidency? His unique style and unpredictable attitude could bring a new phase of volatility to the stock market, with effects on everything from fiscal policies to the regulation of financial sectors.
In the first place, a strong reaction in international stock markets is expected, with investors ready to bet on Trump’s return, especially in the large tech and media companies, sectors that experienced notable growth during his first term. His deregulatory policies and business-friendly approach could stimulate growth in more volatile sectors such as energy and raw materials. However, risks will also arise: his aggressive rhetoric, particularly regarding China, global trade, and cryptocurrency regulation, could trigger periods of instability, impacting the foreign exchange market as well.
Analysts suggest that tech stocks, particularly those related to the Internet and artificial intelligence, may react positively to the new presidency, thanks to the promise of lower taxes and incentives for startups and innovative companies. Additionally, stocks linked to the military and defense sectors, which had already gained during his first term, could further strengthen.
The Economic Consequences of a Trump Presidency: What’s Ahead
Once the oath is taken, it’s likely there will be an acceleration of fiscal policies and the strengthening of protectionist measures. Trump has already announced plans to implement further corporate tax cuts, encouraging national business growth and promoting internal innovation. However, this could also raise concerns about public debt, creating a tension between economic growth and the risk of over-indebtedness.
In the short term, expectations are for an acceleration in the growth of infrastructure-related sectors, such as construction and real estate. His political agenda, already focused on economic stimuli and tax cuts, will likely have a positive impact on these areas. Experts expect a rise in benchmark indices such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, especially in the tech sector, but uncertainty regarding his foreign policy actions, particularly towards China, could cause fluctuations and increase risk.
The market could be characterized by greater volatility, with peaks of optimism and moments of retracement. Another key factor will be the market’s reaction to Trump’s first moves regarding cryptocurrency and blockchain regulation, a topic that has been frequently discussed during his campaign.
$TRUMP and $MELANIA: Integrating Politics with the World of Cryptocurrencies
Beyond the political dimension, one truly fascinating aspect of Trump’s first day is the introduction of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA. These cryptocurrencies are not just a novelty in the crypto world but a full-fledged phenomenon that blends politics with financial speculation.
In a market traditionally seen as highly volatile and speculative, memecoins are already an institution, but Trump’s move could take these coins to a whole new level. $TRUMP and $MELANIA are coins linked to the image and persona of two of America’s most influential figures. But what does this mean for the cryptocurrency market and the global economy?
Memecoins, in general, are digital assets whose growth is primarily fueled by social media fervor and speculation from younger investors who are passionate about pop culture. However, with Trump’s brand behind these cryptocurrencies, we can expect a much larger impact. The same polarization that has characterized his political career could translate into strong speculative demand for $TRUMP, driving its volatility up.
Implications for the Stock Market: The Influence of Cryptocurrencies
While Trump’s policies may stimulate growth in various sectors, the introduction of $TRUMP and $MELANIA as speculative assets could push financial markets in new directions. It is possible that the stock market, while continuing to follow the real economy, will be influenced by the growing interest in cryptocurrencies. Memecoins could also drive niche investors to refocus their resources toward these coins, further increasing liquidity in the cryptocurrency sector and diverting capital away from more traditional stock assets.
The introduction of memecoins could also lead governments to reconsider their crypto regulations, creating a new phase of regulatory uncertainty that could have direct impacts on traditional financial markets.
Conclusions: A New Era of Volatility and Opportunity
Trump’s return to the White House and the launch of his memecoins represent two crucial factors that could lead to a new era of volatility in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. While economic and political uncertainty could fuel short-term fluctuations, the adoption of memecoins could open up new speculative growth scenarios for those willing to seize the opportunity.
For investors, the key will be to maintain an informed and vigilant perspective, navigating the opportunities offered by the crypto sector alongside the instability of global financial markets. Trump’s presidency is set to deeply influence economic dynamics, but it will be interesting to observe how these influences reflect in the world of cryptocurrencies and, ultimately, the stock market.
TRUMP/USDT Gate.io - Updated Chart with trendline and patternLast night, it dropped and then made a bearish consolidation inside the base, the downward target paid off after being accompanied by BTC dropping as well.
The current price level is the downside target of the bearish consolidation.
when the drop earlier made PO3 from the falling wedge
managed to reclaim fibo 382 which means market sentiment is still good.
prediction of this base pattern Descending broadening
if calculated from the last falling wedge, the upside target is right at the 3rd Resist.
later after the 3rd resistance there is a minor/major reject first before breakout
main target to fibo 2,618
if there is still a continuity pattern it means 200$ is possible
Bitcoin - New All time high incomingAs you can see, Bitcoin is about to close a weekly candle over the previous VSA resistance. $TRUMP token has also pushed bullish narrative onto public therefore I think that this correction is over.
Next stop is around 127k and after that we should reconsider whether there will be continuation or that's it.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350!While many people are turning bearish on the Dollar right now & targeting long term downside targets, I remain bullish on the DXY in the mid term. We have 2 zones from where bullish momentum will continue👇🏻
Zone 1: Current Market Price @$109📈
Zone 2: Supply Zone @$107-106📈
Xauusd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 ) Xau usd | Weekly Prediction ( 19/January/2025 )
Hey guys hope you are doing well !
- This analysis is based on pure Educational Purposes
- Market closing was at 2702 point and we are expecting that 2698 and strong support level at 2693-92.00 which were clearly shown in our Chart .That point is also our Observing point so we will take decisions on the based of it
• Bullish Scenario : if market cant break our Support area which is at 2693-92 our targets would be 2700 - 2710 - 2720
• Bearish Scenario : if market close the candle below that region we are expecting a bearish trend until 2660 we decided to take hold at 2620 or not !
Additionally : Trump oath and Fomc Week be Ready for more updates
ELONUSDT Trade LogBought some ELON, took the leap,
A moonshot dream, in charts so deep.
To the stars, it’s set to fly,
Hold tight, let the profits rise high.
Through the dips, I’ll stand my ground,
With each new wave, more gains are found.
In the space where rockets zoom,
ELON’s the ticket, to break the gloom.
Trump Coin Price Action Outlook:Short-Term Dip,Long-Term BullishCurrent Market Analysis:
Based on recent market behavior and technical indicators, it appears that Trump Coin (TRUMP) is poised for a brief pullback before resuming a significant upward trend. Price action suggests that the coin may experience a temporary dip to the $30 - $40 range, likely driven by broader market fluctuations or profit-taking from recent highs.
Short-Term View:
The expected retracement to the $30 - $40 zone could present a potential buying opportunity for those looking to enter at a discount before the next wave of bullish momentum. The strong support in this price range is supported by both historical price levels and key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Fibonacci retracement levels, which indicate the likelihood of a reversal from these areas.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook:
Following this consolidation phase, I anticipate a sharp rebound, with Trump Coin aiming to rally towards the $100 mark. This bullish projection is based on ongoing market adoption, positive sentiment surrounding the coin’s unique narrative, and strong fundamentals that suggest a sustained upward trajectory over the next few months.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $30 - $40
Resistance Zone: $100
Conclusion:
While a short-term dip is likely in the cards for Trump Coin, the long-term outlook remains highly bullish, with potential for significant gains as the market regains confidence and buyers step in at key levels. Traders should keep an eye on the support zones for potential entries, while managing risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
TRUMP-UMP - $4.300 / $4.500 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize a potential path to ATHs between $4.250 and $4.400 price range.
Once there, we could see a sell-off of short term traders liquidating their long positions near the $4.500 psychological price level + long term holders closing a small amount of their profits to secure some cash.
That being said, keep an eye for a potential psychological barrier at the $4.000 - $4.100 price range, and a KEY PIVOT AREA range of $3.050 and $3.1800.
First major support should be just below $3.000 and above $2.800
Extended buying area would be previous ATH range between $2.800 and $2.700
Invalidation Level: $2.300
--
GOOD LUCK!
SOLANA to challenge ETH Marketcap. Can it Flip?In the previous cycle, Solana struggled to compete with Ethereum's market cap. Even if you were to subtract Solana's market cap from Ethereum's peak, you'd still find yourself with a surplus of half a billion dollars. However, the situation has changed, as Solana is now less than three times away from surpassing Ethereum, and it's gaining value at a quicker rate. Without a doubt, the quicker horse.
Examining the charts reveals two significant patterns currently at play. Notably, Solana's Cup and handle pattern has already broken through and successfully retested its breakout point, showcasing its relative strength. In contrast, Ethereum's technical pattern has yet to initiate a breakout.
If both patterns achieve their full potential, it’s possible that Solana could indeed surpass Ethereum. There’s also a scenario where Ethereum may not reach its full target and begins to lose momentum around Target 2, allowing Solana to take the lead and dominate for the remainder of the cycle.
I am receptive to all possibilities, including the idea that Ethereum might achieve its full potential not in 2025, but rather in the next cycle or perhaps during a catch-up event at the end of this current cycle. The markets can be unpredictable, particularly in the world of cryptocurrency. However, with Donald Trump's actions, it seems likely that we see a further influx of capital and significant fantastical valuations for many coins during 2025.
Missed $TRUMP Pump? Here's What You Should Do Right NowSo, you missed the MEXC:TRUMPUSDT pump.
You’re sitting there, watching the chart skyrocket, wondering, “Why didn’t I get in earlier?” Maybe you hesitated. Maybe you didn’t even see it coming. Whatever the reason, that sinking feeling of regret is all too familiar for traders.
But here’s the thing: regret won’t make you profitable. Action will.
If you’ve ever been in this situation (and let’s be honest, we all have), here’s exactly what I’d do if I were buying $TRUMP now:
1. Only invest what you’re willing to lose entirely.
This is crucial. Pumps are inherently volatile. Treat this like a lottery ticket—exciting if it hits, but you won’t lose sleep if it doesn’t.
2. Use the QuantFrame indicator to trail your stop-loss.
As the price continues to break All-Time Highs (ATH), let QuantFrame do the heavy lifting. This indicator is built to lock in gains while minimizing risk. It dynamically adjusts your stop-loss to ride the momentum safely.
Btw, It's 100% FREE
3. Exit when the price shifts from bullish to bearish.
Don’t overcomplicate it. In highly volatile markets like $TRUMP, sticking to short timeframes (1–5m) is essential for managing risk effectively.
Here’s how:
• Aggressively manage positions: Monitor the 1–5m timeframe to avoid massive drawdowns. Higher timeframes are too slow for these markets, and a pump can turn into a 90% loss in a few hours.
• Sell on structural lows (INV): Exit immediately when the price breaks below the most recent bullish structure low. This signals a bearish reversal.
• Re-enter on bullish shifts: When the price regains bullish momentum, create a fresh break (X1) and ride the next wave.
Instead of chasing or freezing, focus on disciplined execution. The next pump is always around the corner—and with the right tools and mindset, you’ll be ready for it.
Skyrexio | TRUMP Is Destroying Crypto Market: When It Will Stop?Hello, Skyrexians!
Last 2 days something crazy is happening on the crypto market. KCEX:TRUMPUSDT is absorbing all crypto market and many people warn that it can destroy even Bitcoin. This sounds scary, but we want to remind you that FOMO will destroy your deposit. Anyway TRUMP coin is tradable and our methods are applicable to it.
Let's take a look at 15 min time frame. Awesome Oscillator helps us to understand in which wave this asset now. The answer is in the wave 3. Fibonacci extension shows us that this pump is coming to end. Price is inside that target area. Now a lot of FOMO buyers incoming into this coin, we need correction. In our opinion this correction will reach $45 then we will see the wave 5 to $120-130.
After that we can face with the huge crash. We will wait for the signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , look how perfectly it worked before! The red dot at $120 is going to be final call for holders to sell.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Bitcoin Market Insights | Pre-Inauguration (January 2025)Bitcoin ( $BTC&USD ) is once again at the forefront of market discussions as traders analyze its price movement and macroeconomic factors.
As of January 19, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $104,936, reflecting an increase of approximately 1.8% from the previous close. The intraday high reached $105,505, with a low of $102,875.
Market Dynamics:
Regulatory Environment: The inauguration of President Donald Trump has introduced a more crypto-friendly regulatory landscape. Analysts anticipate that smaller cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, may experience more significant gains compared to Bitcoin under the new administration.
Price Projections: Some analysts predict that Bitcoin's value could reach up to $400,000 in 2025, driven by favorable cryptocurrency policies and the potential establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
THE AUSTRALIAN
Technical Analysis:
Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate support is identified around $100,000, with resistance near the all-time high of $108,309.
On-Chain Metrics: Data from Glassnode indicates a decline in short-term demand momentum, with "Hot Capital" decreasing by 66.7% from its December 12th peak. This suggests potential consolidation or further correction in the near term.
Conclusion:
As markets gear up for the upcoming inauguration, Bitcoin remains in the spotlight. Bitcoin's market is influenced by a combination of favorable regulatory developments and technical indicators pointing toward potential consolidation. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels closely and stay informed about policy changes that could impact market dynamics.
Outlook Ahead of Inauguration
Bitcoin is likely to remain volatile leading up to the inauguration, driven by Policy announcements related to cryptocurrency regulation & Broader macroeconomic cues, such as inflation reports and Fed commentary.
Trading Ideas
Bullish Scenario:
Long above $105,500, targeting $108,000 and $110,000, with a stop at $103,000.
Bearish Scenario:
Short below $102,500, targeting $100,000, with a stop at $104,000.