Us100
Nasdaq Thoughts 25-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
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NASDAQ rally until the end of the year supported by the 1dayMA50Nasdaq has held the 1day MA50 after the Fed cut last week and is extending the rally.
The long term pattern has been upward since the 2022 bottom supported by the 1day MA200, which is the best buy entry long term when touched.
The 1week MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross, which is formed after every bottom these past two years.
The main rallies during that time have been more than +30%.
Our target for the end of the year, as long as the 1day MA50 supports of course, is 22500.
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Nasdaq Thoughts 24-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ gave the best longterm bullish signal. Is 25300 possible?Nasdaq (NDX) confirmed the bounce on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as argued on our previous analysis (September 09) and the rebound made the ultimate bullish break-out last week, as it crossed above the Lower Highs trend-line of the July 11 All Time High (ATH), giving us the most consistent long-term buy signal on a 2-year basis.
As you can see on this chart that goes as back as October 2022 and the bottom of the Inflation Crisis Bear Cycle, the two times that Nasdaq broke above such Lower Highs trend-line, while being above the 1D MA200, it gave the best buy signal possible, with both rallies peaking after a +49% and +48% rise respectively.
The Sine Waves have also confirmed early this month that the index bottomed and now we have the ultimate bullish break-out confirmation. The longer the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds the better, but even if it breaks (April 2024), we still expect that we are on a similar Bullish Leg that should top in roughly the same way (+47% i.e. one percent less than the previous).
This gives us a long-term Target of 25300 for March - April 2025. We have plotted the Bullish Legs of 2023 and 2024 and as you can see, even though they diverge at times, they always converge again, forming a rough Channel Up, which can be a representation of our estimate course.
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Nazdaq - Stock market after the FEDThe index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the index rises towards the supply zone, which is also at the intersection with the weekly pivot and the midline of the channel, you can look for sell positions in the Nasdaq index
The failure of the drawn trend line and the loss of the specified support range will provide the downward path of the index to the bottom of the ascending channel
NASDAQ: Clear path to 21,150. Checked all bullish signals.Nasdaq is on very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 60.054, MACD = 172.430, ADX = 25.087) as not only it crossed and closed over the LH trendline of the previous Top but kept the 4H MA50 as support and formed a 4H Golden Cross. The driving pattern seems to be yet again a Channel Up and this is its second bullish wave structure. Keeping the 4H MA50 intact should technically push the price to a HH. The previous wave topped a +15.55%, which is the basis for our target (TP = 21,150).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NASDAQ near the buyers' zone. H4 04.09.2024NASDAQ near the buyers' zone
The NASDAQ stock index is forming a correction and is approaching the strong zone of buyers 18293-18579 from which I expect its rebound upwards. So far the move down is within the correction and now the price is trading in the margin zone. But as for me, there is not enough downward manipulation and then we will look at the buyback volumes. If they appear, we will act.
Nasdaq Thoughts 20-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq Thoughts - 19-Sept-2024Good morning, traders! I'm excited to share my Nasdaq trading zones with you today, packed with potential trading opportunities. Dive in to uncover valuable insights for opening positions, but remember, these are merely guidance - not signals. Use them at your own discretion and risk. Happy trading!
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea (NASDAQ)👀 👉 Here's my take on the current NAS100 (NASDAQ) situation:
NASDAQ-100 Technical Outlook
The NASDAQ-100 index is showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart, with a notable shift in market structure. We're seeing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals bearish momentum. This could potentially drive prices down to test previous support levels.
Key Levels and Entry Strategy
I'm currently eyeing a short entry, but I'm not jumping in just yet. My strategy is to wait for a clear break of the current structure, followed by a retest of the range lows. This approach allows for a more favourable risk-reward ratio and increases the probability of a successful trade.
Broader Market Context
Seasonal Patterns
Historical data reveals an interesting seasonal trend: bears have often dominated the market from mid-September onwards over the past 5-6 years. This aligns with our current technical outlook and adds weight to the bearish thesis.
Technical Indicators
The MACD is showing a bearish signal on the daily chart, further supporting our downside bias . Additionally, the RSI at 55.95 suggests there's still room for downward movement before we hit oversold territory.
Trade Idea
Given the technical setup and seasonal tendencies, I'm looking to short the NAS100 on a break and retest of the current range lows. Key resistance levels to watch are around 17,511 (50-day moving average) and 17,480 (20-day moving average).
Remember, while this analysis provides a solid foundation, always conduct your own due diligence and adhere to strict risk management principles. The tech sector can be volatile, so position sizing is crucial. 📉✅
NAS100USD: Sell with Focus on Daily FVG!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, NAS100USD has switched to a bearish institutional structure. After retracing into a Balanced Price Range (BPR), price is respecting this zone, signaling a potential continuation toward the downside. The BPR reflects an area where price was delivered at fair value, balancing both buy and sell sides. I am closely watching for confirmation entries on lower timeframes to ride this bearish momentum toward my targets, which align with the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and H1 sell stops.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bearish Momentum📉: Price is trading within a BPR, suggesting a continuation towards the downside after retracing into this zone.
Balanced Price Range Resistance 🟥: The BPR is expected to act as a resistance level, guiding price lower.
Bearish Targets🎯:
Sell-Side Liquidity : Targeting sell stops on the H1 timeframe.
Daily FVG : Expecting a draw toward the Fair Value Gap, where inefficiencies in price delivery exist.
What's Important Now❗
Monitor price action during the New York afternoon session for volatility and look for sell confirmations on lower timeframes to align with the overall bearish bias.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
NASDAQ The index is well supported to hit 25k by mid 2025.Last week (September 09, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal on Nasdaq (NDX) right as the price was testing the 1D MA200, a strong Support on its 2-year Channel Up:
The index duly delivered and we've completed 5 straight green days already. Not only that but the 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50, practically confirmed the bullish extension into this week.
The current week however isn't just a typical one, as we anticipate the Fed Rate Decision on Wednesday and even though the expectations are fixed on at least a 0.25% cut, the volatility is expected to be high.
As a result, to filter out this short-term noise, we will resort today to the wider 1W time-frame, which helps keeping a more accurate long-term perspective. In fact it was the same chart we published 6 months ago (March 18, see chart below), which very accurately laid out the Support that you needed to calmly buy on the long-term, which as you can see, it has been a recurring signal since 2010:
Every time the price broke above a Resistance, it was the ultimate buy entry if re-tested later as a Support. That happened in mid April and that's what happened last week as well.
In fact, the index made a strong rejection on the 1.5 Channel Fibonacci level and then tested and held the 1W MA50, confirming the emergence of a Channel Up (orange) similar to June 2020 - November 2021. The 1W RSI similarities between the two fractals are also further evidence of this.
As a result, we expect Nasdaq to reach as high as 25000 by mid 2025 (a little lower than our previous 6-month estimate but still good enough to be an excellent buy opportunity even now).
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Nasdaq - The stock market is waiting for the FEDThe index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the index falls towards the demand zone, which is also at the intersection with the weekly pivot and channel bottom, you can look for the next buying positions of the Nasdaq index
Nasdaq Thoughts 16-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ: Critical breakout ahead that can send it to 22kNasdaq is almost overbought on the lower time-frames but just turned bullish on 1D (RSI = 55.402, MACD = -62.050, ADX = 25.952) and the main reason is that it closed over the 1D MA50 yesterday. This can't be considered a bullish signal on its own as the LH trendline is right over it and is being tested today. If broken, it is very likely to see the next bullish wave of the Channel Up. The previous two waves confirmed the uptrend after a candle closed over the LH.
If that happens, we will aim for a new Channel Up HH at the end of the year, almost at +31% from the bottom (TP = 22,000) like March's High.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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