Falling towards overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5692
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5745
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD (US Dollar)
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6324
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6301
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish rebound off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8902
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8849
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8968
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4242
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4162
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4355
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD Analysis | Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH 2954GOLD Analysis | February 25, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH (2954) and 2935
Gold is exhibiting bearish momentum, having already stabilized below the all-time high (ATH) of 2954. The price is now trying to touch 2918.
📉 While below 2935 will touch 2918 and If a 4H or 1H candle closes below 2918, this could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2906 and 2895.
📌 However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 2918, the market is likely to remain volatile between 2918 and 2935 before confirming the next move. 4h candle above 2935 will be sensitive to 2945.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 2945, 2954, 2975
Pivot Point: 2935
Support Levels: 2918, 2906, 2895
✅ Bias: Bearish as long as the price trades below 2935, with confirmation needed below 2918 for further decline.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2904
2nd Support – 2880
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EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA).
Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low).
Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend.
Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support.
Fundamental Analysis:
Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD:
Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone.
Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany.
European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar.
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase.
The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend.
Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher.
A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation.
Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves.
COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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EURUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 1.0425The EURUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the breakout level, previous resistance, and now a new support zone.
The key trading level is at 1.0425, which is the previous consolidation price range and rising trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.0425 level could target the upside resistance at 1.0531 followed by the 1.0562 and 1.0617 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0425 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.0374 support level followed by 1.0350 and 1.0300.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance: Potential Drop to 94,825This BTC/USD 1-hour chart highlights a key resistance zone around 96,400, where price has tested and failed to break through. A rejection from this level suggests potential downside movement. If the price confirms rejection at resistance, a bearish move toward the target zone near 94,825 is likely. The overall setup indicates a possible short opportunity if resistance holds.
Resistance : Around 96,400 – 96,600
Target: 94,825
Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6323
1st Support: 0.6260
1st Resistance: 0.6402
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5663
1st Resistance: 0.5744
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistsance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 71.85
1st Support: 70.11
1st Resistance: 72.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 2,953.33
1st Support: 2,882.38
1st Resistance: 2,979.66
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish Breakdown Confirmed Below 92,800 – Next Targets in Play!Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – February 25, 2025
📉 Bearish Pressure Strengthens Below Key Levels
Bitcoin has failed to hold above 92,800, reinforcing a bearish breakdown scenario. The price is currently consolidating within the consolidation zone under the primary ascending channel, which has historically acted as strong resistance.
As mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin was facing strong resistance at 103,757 and has now confirmed a breakdown below 92,800. If you missed the initial analysis, check it out here .
🔎 Technical Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: A daily close below 92,800 will confirm strong downward momentum toward 79K and 71K, which are key support levels. Breaking below 71,400 could lead to further decline, testing the demand zone near 65K and 50K.
Bullish Recovery: To regain bullish momentum, BTC must retest and stabilize above 92,800, targeting 103,757 (Key Resistance). Breaking this level could open the door for a retest of 109K (ATH of Jan 2025).
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: 92,800 | 98,220 | 103,757
🔹 Pivot Zone: 92,800
🔹 Support: 85,000 | 79,579 | 71,400
📉 Directional Bias: BTC remains bearish below 92,800. If sellers push below 71,400, expect further downside.
🔥 What’s Next for BTC?
Will Bitcoin hold 92,800, or are we heading toward 79K next? Share your thoughts below! ⬇️🚀
Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Resistance
I think we may see a local bearish continuation after a test
of a key daily/intraday resistance.
A local Change of Character on an hourly clearly shows the strength of the sellers.
The index may retrace at least to 106.53
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EURUSD 25 Feb 2025 W9 -Intraday Analysis- US Consumer ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Today economic news:
US : Consumer Confidence
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With this week open, price continued Bullish as expected and created another ii-BOS after which price started PB for the ii-BOS and reached the recent Demand which we could see the next Bullish move from.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹After the 15m Bullish BOS, price initiated the Swing PB Phase.
🔹Price reached the 15m Swing EQ (50%) and turned Bullish after the INT structure changed to Bullish iBOS indicating that the Swing PB maybe over and we are currently starting the Swing Bullish continuation Phase.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish with the 15m / 4H INT & Swing are all Bullish.
🔹Price targets are 15m Weak INT High and ultimately 15m Weak Swing High.
USDJPY Downtrend USD/JPY is currently in a strong downtrend, indicating a bearish market sentiment. The pair continues to follow the descending trendline, respecting lower highs and lower lows, which confirms the ongoing downward momentum.
Bearish Scenario: Trend Continuation
First Key Support – 148.100
This level serves as a major support zone where price could find temporary consolidation or a minor pullback.
If price breaks below 148.100 with strong bearish pressure, further downside is expected.
Next Major Support – 142.000
A clean break and close below 148.100 could accelerate selling pressure.
The next critical level to watch is 142.000, a strong historical support zone and a psychological level.
If this level is reached, the bearish trend will likely extend further.
Bullish Scenario: Trendline Breakout
If USD/JPY breaks above the descending trendline, it may signal a potential trend reversal or retracement.
The key resistance to watch for a breakout is 151.300, which acts as a strong support-turned-resistance level.
NZDUSD in a sequence of higher lows and highs.NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Trend line support is located at 0.5725.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.5725 (stop at 0.5695)
Our profit targets will be 0.5800 and 0.5825
Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825
Support: 0.5725 / 0.5700 / 0.5675
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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XAGUSD Possible IdeaXAGUSD has been moving bullish as it is in a higher time frame expansion phase. As we can see, it recently broke the previous 4h and daily high with momentum. It preceded to retrace and consolidate within the 4h and daily range, forming all sorts of internal liquidity in the process. It is now approaching a very strong demand zone that it could use to shift structure internally, targeting the latest 4h and daily swing high to form a new higher high.