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NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bullish Bias Amid Today !!NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bullish Bias Amid Current Market Conditions (31/10/2024) Introduction As we delve into today’s trading session, the NZDUSD pair shows signs of a slightly bullish bias due to a combination of fundamental drivers and current market conditions. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the NZDUSD's outlook on October 31, 2024, shedding light on the key factors impacting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the US Dollar (USD) in today’s trading environment. With the right blend of technical and fundamental insights, we aim to offer valuable insights for traders considering NZDUSD positions. Key Fundamental Drivers Impacting NZDUSD Today 1. China's Economic Growth and Its Influence on NZD - The New Zealand Dollar, a commodity-linked currency, closely correlates with China's economic health due to New Zealand's export reliance. Recent reports suggest a moderate recovery in China's industrial and manufacturing data, which bodes well for NZD. Increased demand for New Zealand exports, especially dairy, bolsters the Kiwi's outlook, creating an overall positive sentiment for NZDUSD. 2. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Stance - A significant driver for NZDUSD is the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, with expectations for a pause on future rate hikes. This has resulted in a softer USD as investors anticipate fewer rate hikes going forward. A dovish Fed policy tends to weaken the USD, increasing the attractiveness of the NZD and slightly tilting NZDUSD towards bullishness. 3. New Zealand's Stable Economic Indicators - New Zealand’s recent economic data reveals consistent GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and a robust labor market. This stability has created an optimistic environment for the New Zealand Dollar. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a steady rate outlook, supporting the Kiwi by keeping investors interested in NZD assets due to positive yields. 4. US Treasury Yield Fluctuations and Its Impact on USD - The ongoing fluctuations in US Treasury yields have contributed to the USD's recent mixed performance. A decline in yields typically makes the USD less attractive, as lower yields reduce the appeal for foreign investors. As a result, NZDUSD may benefit from a weaker USD, supporting a bullish bias in today’s trading. 5. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite - Recent geopolitical tensions and global market fluctuations have impacted the broader market sentiment. The Kiwi typically gains when there is a higher risk appetite among investors. As volatility stabilizes, we may see increased demand for higher-yielding currencies, which could strengthen NZDUSD’s position, albeit moderately. Technical Analysis of NZDUSD (31/10/2024) Looking at today’s technical setup for NZDUSD, the pair trades above its 50-day moving average, a potential bullish indicator. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits near the 60 mark, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. Support levels at 0.5850 and resistance near 0.5920 will be critical zones to monitor. Key Support: 0.5850 Key Resistance: 0.5920 Conclusion: NZDUSD Outlook for 31/10/2024 With today’s economic data and current sentiment, the NZDUSD pair leans towards a slightly bullish outlook. Strong economic fundamentals from New Zealand, coupled with a softer US Dollar from a dovish Federal Reserve stance, are influencing the pair's potential upward movement. However, traders should stay vigilant to potential changes in Treasury yields and any abrupt shifts in global risk sentiment. By focusing on today’s fundamental and technical drivers, NZDUSD traders can better gauge the market’s slight bullish bias. SEO Keywords: #NZDUSDAnalysis #NewZealandDollar #USDForecast #ForexTrading #FXMarket #BullishBias #CurrencyTrading #ForexFundamentals #NZDUSDOutlook
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
DXY - (very!) Long; Welcome to the "new" American Century!Globalization is dead. The fat lady has sang, the dirt is piled high next to the hole in the ground, obituaries read, notices had been long mailed to all the parties concerned. All there is left to do now is to show up at the funeral - provided you are not too busy starving or freezing to death, or otherwise engaged with similarly pressing diversions. This IS the end of the world, as far as those currently alive came to know it. How could one tell? ... By simply doing the math - while reflecting on the known laws of physics. The following is more of a brief recap, rather than short term trading advise. Nevertheless, if in doubt, this is a USD Long call, the size of Montana! 1) "Things" are 10-30 times cheaper to "float" (energy-/cost-wise) than any possible form of land transport. E.g. if you are Germany (the EU) or China, and are fully dependent on external food and energy sources, and have zero (0) effective long-range navy to protect any essential shipping lines ... Digg up your heirloom calendars from the previous century because they will come very handy, once again. (Not to mention that purchasing a new calendar will not be within your means.) That quintessential and necessarily socialist - arguably fascist - EU slant will make matters even worse, if that'd be any way possible. [France is the only likely winner in Europe, or rather in this case, the lone escapee. That nation's healthy pessimism - the deepest in the world, according to surveys - is also likely to be a notable plus, right about now.] 2) The "Green (renewable) Revolution" is a fantasy - Including the "EV Revolution" Yes, lithium is light and plenty BUT it is also one of the least energy dense metals in the periodic table of elements. (I.e. it can't move "things"! - By itself, it'd be like pissing in the wind.) One needs to mix it with "something" - like Cadmium, the ONLY source of which is literarily one of the most remote places on earth, in the Democratic Republic of ____ ___, which is neither democratic nor a republic - nor a state or a country. E.g. No on demand availability = No renewable energy. Not to mention the energy costs - like aluminium, etc. - just in the production of the necessary infrastructure. In short, no technology exists, at present, which would have a chance to make the whole idea viable, by any tangible means, measure, or foresight. 3) China - is "dead". It is already in the process of passing that proverbial water buffalo which the Chinese Dragon has swallowed a little ways back and as of this year (2023) it is in a full fledged, unmitigated demographic collapse. Ain't no fixin' that, ya'll! To make things even more inconvenient, China has the longest (food + energy) supply lines, possible on this planet. (Some of those even longer than the other side of the world .) Count on a - once again - rural China with 800 million subsistence gardeners by 2035, starting now! 4) Russia That 1/6th of dry land on this globe has got everything! Except all the good stuff is well over a 1000 miles inland - and still in the ground! -, not to mention all of it being totally land locked. (Refer to "1") E.g. Potential issues with reliance on Russian supply lines has similar connotations to the overpopulation issue on Mars. 5) Africa For real? ... Not! 6) South America They have everything , pretty much. Just as most of it is also land-locked. But since that whole chunk of the planet is squarely in the N. American zone of interests, simply chuck it up as an integral part of NAFTA. ... leaving only one, single country /block that posses ample domestic food and energy resources, combined with incomparable industrial and military strength and reach, not to mention a sufficiently large internal market, including a (still) favorable demographic - that is also optimally dispersed -, to do as it pleases, as long as it pleases, to/for whom it pleases: "Fortress America".
TVC:DXYLong
by Nemo_Confidat
13
Celebrate as Yen Per Dollar Falls to Weakest Point This YearWe have some fantastic news to share that will undoubtedly make you smile. The Yen per Dollar exchange rate has recently reached its lowest point this year, offering an exciting opportunity for those looking to make some profitable moves. So, get ready to celebrate and prepare yourself to long USD/JPY – it's time to ride this wave of success! 1. The Weakest Yen Per Dollar Exchange Rate 2. Reasons to Long USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Delving deeper into the charts reveals a compelling case for a long position on USD/JPY. Bullish trends, breakouts, and momentum indicators all point towards a positive outlook for this currency pair. Embrace this opportunity to ride the wave of success and make your trading dreams come true! Call-to-Action: 1. Analyze and Strategize: Dive into the market analysis, study the charts, and identify the best entry points for your long position on USD/JPY. Combine fundamental and technical analysis to form a robust strategy that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. 2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on economic news, market trends, and any factors that may influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Stay informed and adapt your strategy accordingly to maximize your potential gains. 3. Execute Your Trade: Once you have analyzed the market and formulated a solid strategy, executing your trade is time. Open your position, set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels, and stay disciplined. 4. Monitor and Adjust: As the market evolves, continuously monitor your trade and be prepared to make adjustments if necessary. Stay vigilant and be ready to capitalize on any potential opportunities that may arise. Conclusion: With the Yen per Dollar exchange rate hitting its weakest point this year, forex traders have a reason to celebrate! By going long on USD/JPY, you can potentially ride the wave of success and capitalize on this favorable market condition. So, put on your trading hat, analyze the market, and take action now. Embrace this opportunity with a smile and let the profits roll in!
Long
by bryandowningqln
USDX(Dollar) Must Continue To Extend LowerTechnical Analysis: - As you can see the above daily chart, USDX is still doing a ABC correction in blue - We present two possible paths - Black and Blue ( With actual data each path has 50% probability ) - The decision of both paths (Black and Blue) will be taken when USDX will arrive to the orange circle area - Short term structure is bearish - H1 Right Side is down - H4 Right Side is turning down Technical Information: - Don't buy USDX (Dollar) now in short term - We like to buy when wave C in blue and wave 4 in black are completed
ICEUS:DXYShort
by Market-Right-Side
Inflation is NOT over in 2023(Opinion) As the monetary policy of the dollar grinds forward in 2023, our last fed meeting left us with Jerome Powell promising us more rate hikes as 2023 moves forward. How realistic is this though? With things like energy, food, and just about anything cost you can think of skyrocketing in price throughout 2022 and continuing to move up in 2023, it really seems like inflation is still in full effect, regardless of the DXY. Not to even factor in the increasing amount of car, home and other asset repossessions happening in the U.S. and around the world. National salary's averages are not being properly accounted for to fight inflation and the average person with a bank account has lost money in the market since the 2008 financial crisis. Our national debt and debt per tax payer is unfathomable (see U.S. Debt Clock). Where does this all lead to? On our 1-Week chart of the DXY is showing us a massive floor on the CM_Williams_Vix_Fix_Finds Market Bottoms. We're seeing a massive floor from the 1-Day chart as well. Monetarily, the Federal Reserve might get to a point where they HAVE to cut back on raising rates or risk a full on collapse of our monetary system. This will inevitably lead to a major crash in the finance or housing markets, maybe both, that could rival the great depression and have contagion effects world wide.
TVC:DXY
by WatsonsView
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - At this point, USDJPY was fairly well BUY with the emergence of some positive comments regarding US INFLATION DATA and RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in recent days. As a result, the USD automatically rose against the JPY. The other reason is that MARKET RISK is OFF. - Right now, the MARKET is getting a bit RISK ON, that's why the USD is going down. For this reason, JPY is slightly higher against USD. Definitely, there is a very high possibility that USDJPY will move up to the 142.175 level. The reason for that is because JPY is STRONG compared to USD because MARKETS RISK is already ON. After that, the USDJPY price can fall to 131.627 LEVEL after a TREND LINE BREAK. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT.
by benny_marshall
Well this is quite the sell off!EURUSD is finding a fair bit of downside following the Fed announcing they have changed their interest rate outlook. The fed announced it's projections to change rates in 2023 instead of 2024 on Wednesday, and as a result the USD is back as king. Surprise surprise, the currency of global trade and debt is making a comeback. If you had seen our USDCHF monthly pivot signal you'd know we have been looking out for some long term USD upside. Inflationary concerns had been rising in the USA, and it was a matter of time until the Fed took action to ward off concerns. So what next? This USD rally has a fair bit of steam to blow off, so we may see a USD retracement before further continuation. Is this the end of the USD Bear market? I say NO! Whilst the revised projections are USD positive, they are still 2 years away. I anticipate this rally to fade and see some more USD downside in the later parts of 2021. HOWEVER - It is my opinion that the Fed will raise interest rates earlier than expected, and adjust the rates in Q1/2 of 2022. My outlook is for USD UPSIDE for the next week or three (remember, this is also financial institutions taking profits from the USD bear trend at the end of the financial year!). Following this I anticipate USD DOWNSIDE in mid Q3 and Q4. Then following this look for USD upside in 2022, as the fed will be itching to raise rates by then. Happy trading friends!
by ToniSignals
DXY Full Update: Bullish Again But May Correct A BitTraders, Dollar is stuck between 2 FCP (fibonacci Confluence Patterns Zones) and now even though it is looking bullish, it may fall down short term before the next rise. So what can dollar do? What is our trading plan on the USDOLLAR? Is dollar strength still dying? For all those question please watch previous analysis and then this one. That should form a good picture. Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
TVC:DXYLong
by vikinsa
1
Where is the The DOLLAR Heading- USD Analysis and ForecastIn this video, I look at the future direction of the Dollar across the forex market. Where is the dollar heading as a whole against all the other currencies? Looking at the Dollar Index chart there is a clear direction. Let's find out. If you like the video please hit the like button and also subscribe to my youtube channel for more videos. If you'd like to understand the 10 Seconds to Elliott Wave Concept then follow the link in the description.
Short
by iTradeAIMS