USD INDEX DECLINE (RISING WEDGE FORMATION) LETS LEARNExpecting price to retest previous structure before a possible 50 - 100 pip decline.
If price breaks support, I will be expecting a retest before going short.
My bias is Short so i will only get in if price meets my requirements (DISCIPLINE) !!!!!!!
Usdindex
EW Analysis: The Connection Between USD and BitcoinHello traders!
Today we will talk about US Dollar and Bitcoin!
We have noticed very interesting patterns and correlation between US Dollar and Bitcoin.
In the first chart we can clearly see bearish setup on US Dollar after that sharp and impulsive decline followed by a three-wave a-b-c expanded flat correction back to ideal 61,8% Fibo. retracement. At the same time, in the sceond chart even EURUSD can be making bullish setup after that strong five-wave rally followed by a three-wave a-b-c decline with a triangle in wave "b" back to ideal 78,6% Fibo. retracement, which indicates a corrective drop!
So, based on USD correlations, seems like USD Index can see some weakness in the upcoming sessions at least towards 97.00 - 96.50 area, while EURUSD may start recovering back to 1.1250 highs or maybe even 1.1300 area!
Well, as you can see in the third chart, when EURUSD turned down into a correction, even BTCUSD made a bigger and in our opinion corrective decline down to 9500 level, ideally for wave C of a big bullish triangle pattern, which can be seen in our previous idea! So, according to correlations with EURUSD, we believe that even BTCUSD can see a bigger recovery soon, ideally back to 61,8% - 78,6% Fibo. retracement and 11200 - 11700 area for wave D!
That being said, while USD Index can be headed lower, watch out for the recovery on EURUSD and BTCUSD in the upcoming week!
Bu humble and trade smart!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
USDJPY TO REMAIN RANGE BOUND?USDJPY looks likely to remain rangebound as price looks to be forming a bearish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe.
This is largely down to the current JPY strength which could be caused by some risk off coming back into the market.
If the JPY strength continues we can look for potential range trading opportunities back into the lows.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USD STRENGTH TO CONTINUE?In this video update, we take a look at the recent USD strength after the recent FOMC interest rate decision.
The need for the Fed to cut rates has slowed and become less aggressive because of the recent good data.
Fed Chairman Powell continued his hawkish outlook in the press conference which has helped sustain the
USD rally. A close above the highs will be key to see any further upside.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDCAD TO 1.2900? USDCAD lined up with our strategy trade at the end of day close. In this video, we discuss the current reasons
for taking the trade, how we can manage the positions and what to do going forward.
If price continues the downtrend we expect to see the key demand zone of 1.2900 tested before the end of the year.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: DXY TO BREAK MONTHLY HIGHS?The USD strength continues despite the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25bps this week.
The key for any break or bounce here will be left in the hands of the fomc press conference. If the FED is aggressive with
the way they want to cut rates then we should see USD weakness. If they feel there is no need to cut rates so aggressively then
a breakout higher is likely. Despite the current strength, the technicals are suggesting a potential reversal could form here.
US JOBS DATA LIFTS USD The NFP numbers came in strong for the US which saw a spike in the price
of the USD Index. This data could be seen to have put a dampener on investors
minds in how quickly the Federal Reserve is to cut rates in the future.
If the data continues to be good for the US the need to cut rates could be pushed
back.
GBPUSD INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERNGBPUSD technically could form an inverse head and shoulders pattern if the daily timeframe
forms a bullish candle here. Typically if an inverse head and shoulders pattern forms the left
shoulder acts as a key support area.
GBP will likely remain under pressure and any long trades will need to be taken with lower risk
in mind.
EURUSD BACK AT KEY HIGHSEURUSD is back into the key highs, the Fibonacci retracement tool shows that price
is currently testing the 61.8 fib. If the 4hr timeframe finds support here and produces
bullish price action we can look for a long opportunity back into the highs with extended
targets of the 127.2 fib extension.