USD/JPY Recovers from Below 140.00 Area During BoJThe USD/JPY pair has staged an impressive recovery, pushing toward the 143.00 level in the European morning session, following an initial dip below 140.00. This move comes in response to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy stance, as widely expected. Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference reiterated the central bank's cautious approach toward tightening monetary conditions, which triggered a temporary pullback in the currency pair.
From a technical standpoint, this recovery aligns with our prior analysis that pointed to a potential reversal within a demand zone near the 140.00 level. This area has acted as a key support, fueling buying momentum and setting the stage for a continuation of the long position. The price action suggests that buyers are still keen to capitalize on dips in the pair, particularly as USD strength remains broadly supported by the Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook.
Further supporting the bullish outlook is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders remain bearish on the USD/JPY pair. Typically, a contrarian view of retail positioning can indicate further upside potential, as institutional investors tend to take the opposite side of the trade. With retail sentiment still leaning toward the short side, it opens the door for continued upward movement in the pair, especially if market sentiment shifts further in favor of the U.S. dollar.
As we look ahead, the USD/JPY appears poised to target higher levels, with 143.00 acting as an immediate resistance. Should the bullish momentum persist, traders may set their sights on a potential breakout, paving the way for a sustained move higher. All eyes will remain on global central banks and key economic data releases in the coming weeks, as these will likely play a crucial role in shaping the next leg of the USD/JPY’s trajectory.
Previous Analysis
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
USDJPY
USD/JPY: Japanese Yen Slips on Dovish CommentsThe Japanese Yen (JPY) struggled on Monday following dovish remarks from Japan's incoming Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba. In a statement on Sunday, Ishiba emphasized the need to maintain an accommodative monetary policy, underlining the importance of low borrowing costs to support Japan's fragile economic recovery. These comments weighed on the Yen, particularly against the US Dollar (USD), as traders interpreted the remarks as a signal that Japan's central bank is unlikely to shift toward tightening any time soon.
Ishiba's stance reflects Japan's ongoing economic challenges, where inflation remains subdued, and growth has yet to gain meaningful traction. By advocating for continued stimulus, the new Prime Minister aligns himself with the Bank of Japan’s longstanding ultra-loose monetary policy, a position that contrasts sharply with the tightening cycles of other major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve.
From a technical standpoint, the USD/JPY pair remains within a key demand area on the daily chart, suggesting a potential bullish setup. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail traders remain strongly bearish on the Yen, while institutional investors, or "smart money," have shifted to more bullish positions. This divergence between retail sentiment and institutional activity hints at a possible reversal in the Yen’s fortunes, as large players appear to be positioning for a stronger JPY in the near term.
The combination of these fundamental and technical factors sets the stage for potential bullish momentum in the Japanese Yen. Despite the immediate downside pressure caused by Ishiba's comments, market dynamics suggest that the JPY could rebound if economic conditions in Japan stabilize or if geopolitical factors shift global risk sentiment. As the market continues to digest the implications of Japan's monetary policy stance, traders will be looking for signs of a reversal or further weakness in the Yen.
In conclusion, while the Japanese Yen has softened in the wake of dovish policy signals from incoming PM Shigeru Ishiba, the technical picture suggests that a rebound could be on the horizon. The interplay between bearish retail sentiment and bullish institutional moves could trigger a bullish momentum shift in the coming sessions, making the JPY a currency to watch closely. Traders should remain cautious, keeping an eye on both policy developments in Japan and broader global economic trends.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 145.80, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 146.86, a pullback resistance close to 127.2% Fibonacci extension
The stop loss will be placed at 144.32, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Key Support Holds for USD/JPY: Will the Pair Break Past 150?On Friday, USD/JPY experienced a significant sell-off, losing around 500 pips in a sharp downward movement.
However, after reaching the key horizontal support level at 141.64, the pair managed to find some relief and began a recovery, suggesting that the recent decline may have been short-lived. Currently, USD/JPY is working to negate this steep sell-off, indicating that the recovery process could be underway.
In my view, USD/JPY is poised to continue its rebound from the 162-140 decline, with the potential to surpass the psychological barrier of 150.
If the pair successfully breaks through this level, it could head toward the important resistance zone near 152, which will be a critical point for further bullish momentum.
For shorter-term traders, there are additional levels to monitor before reaching the 150 mark. Key upside targets include 147.30 and 149.40, both of which present potential profit-taking opportunities as the pair continues its recovery.
USDJPY: Strong recovery from 143.00Ben, hello everyone! Let's dive into today's USDJPY analysis with Ben!
USDJPY is in an uptrend today, currently trading at 143.95, up 0.29% on the day.
With USDJPY continuing to trade steadily at this positive level, the resistance level of 144.50 will be set as a short-term target, before potentially reacting and testing the price level of 143.00, forming a trend line and using it as strong support for further increases in the medium and long term. The current expected price levels are at the round level of 145.00 and 146.00 respectively and even the upper trend channel limit at 147.00.
Wishing you all profitable trading!
USDJPY broke above the 1day MA50. Bullish signal.USDJPY broke above the 1day MA50 for the first time since July 17th.
That is a clear bullish signal as the last time it did this after a correction was on January 16th 2024.
We expect at least a test of Resistance A on the short-term.
Buy and target 149.500.
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.72
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 147.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 144.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY: Important Support & Resistance Levels 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
support and resistance levels to pay close attention to on USDJPY.
Resistance 1: 146.50 - 147.35 area
Resistance 2: 149.30 - 149.40 area
Support 1: 141.64 - 142.20 area
Support 2: 139.60 - 140.60 area
From a current perspective, probabilities are high that the pair
will continue growing, at least to Resistance 1.
After its test, consider that for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 02.10.2024The sell target I called out last night to $2,647 got hit, Now that we have a LQ grab, we can analyse the market for the next move;
Option 1: Gold should now carry on pushing back up, since its grabbed LQ from the $2,647 support zone. Targeting new ATH of $2,700.
Option 2: Price drops lower towards $2,600 for a deep liquidity grab before it comes back up again.
SMC - UsdJpy 15min update - levels etcReview of where we are looking and if the lows are out .. at least for now.. eyes are above and there are levels here to reach for.
Still using the previous marked 1h and weekly levels and important areas of interest for framing the Price Action
Happy Trading,
-- Doc
PS - leave a comment and let me know what you think will happen. Let me know if you see something different if you have more experience with this pair etc. What do you think of the areas of interest and how the price is moving around them etc.
Japanese yen slides as political drama continuesThe yen is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the European session, the USD/JPY is trading at 144.82 at the time of writing, up 0.89%.
In Japan, the dust is yet to settle on the political drama. On Tuesday, the new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, appointed Katsunobu Kato as finance minister. Kato is a supporter of “Abenomics” which advocates monetary easing. This could complicate the BoJ’s plans to tighten policy and the yen has responded with sharp losses today.
Ishiba is on record for supporting a tighter policy but may have chosen Kato to ease concerns that Ishiba will make a significant shift in monetary policy with a snap election on October 27. The election will be followed by the next BoJ meeting on October 31, with the BoJ expected to maintain its policy settings.
Manufacturing continues to sputter in both the US and Japan. The Japanese manufacturing PMI eased to a revised 49.7 in September, down from 49.8 in August and above the market estimate of 49.6. This was the third straight month of contraction in factory activity, with a strong decrease in export orders. Business confidence dropped to its lowest since December 2022, as manufacturers don’t see a light at the end of the tunnel for the troubled manufacturing sector.
In the US, the ISM manufacturing PMI was unchanged in September at 47.2, below the market estimate of 47.5. The contraction in manufacturing has extended for six straight months. New orders decreased in September, demand remains weak and manufacturers face uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and the upcoming US election.
USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 143.69 and 144.41. Above, there is resistance at 145.25
There is support at 142.85 and 142.13
Levels discussed 2nd October2nd October
DXY: Consolidating, could retrace to 101.10 (23.6%), looking to break above 101.40 and trade up to 101.80 (stay above 100.90 to maintain bullish)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6860 SL 20 TP 40 (forming H&S pattern)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3240 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.1045 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Could continue ranging, Buy 144.80 SL 40 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8470 SL 15 TP 55
USDCAD: Buy 1.3475 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Could trade up to 2665, could be held briefly along bearish trendline.
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh IncreaseMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Increase
USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 144.65 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above the 142.50 and 143.40 levels.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 143.45 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 141.65 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 142.80 against the Japanese Yen.
It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 143.00. The bulls pushed the pair above the 143.50 and it tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 146.49 swing high to the 141.65 low.
The current price action above the 143.20 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 144.65 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 146.49 swing high to the 141.65 low.
The first major resistance is near 145.20. If there is a close above the 145.20 level and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 146.50. The next major resistance is near 148.00, above which the pair could test 150.00 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near a connecting bullish trend line with support at 143.45 and the 50-hour simple moving average, below which the bears could gain strength.
The next major support is visible near the 141.65 level. If there is a close below 141.65, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 140.00 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 138.00 region.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY - Tape Reading (2nd Oct 2024)In this video I read the tape and frame a trade using ICT Concepts.
The trade is based off of a +BB 7h. First target is the ERL, second target is a discretionary Premium Array high. I believe I could target a decent amount higher than this, but I prefer the very high-probability targets based on my setups.
Thanks for watching. You may have to skip some parts where I am away from the keyboard whilst price prints.
- R2F
Sell USD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 143.77, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 142.13
2nd Support – 141.26
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 144.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 30.09.2024What an amazing last day to the month! Gold dropped as predicted down to our $2,640 target which I have now closed out in profit. This here is what I am looking at tomorrow;
Option 1: Gold now slowly and steadily climbs back up towards TP1 of $2,660.
Option 2: Price drops even lower, doing a deep liquidity grab around our grey $2,590 zone.
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)On the bigger TF Gold has now completed its 5 wave bullish cycle.
But as you know on the smaller TF we can still POSSIBLY see another ATH (Wave V). It is a new month so the monthly candle needs some form of liquidity grab from the upside, so it has another momentum to turn bearish. So far I am not holding any buy's, but if I do get into positions I will let you all know.
USD/JPY Short Setup: 30-Minute ChartI'm looking at a potential short position on USD/JPY based on the current price action and market structure.
Entry on Retracement: 143.750 after the recent breakdown of the ascending trendline.
Stop Loss (SL): 144.000 (25 pips).
Take Profit (TP): I'm targeting multiple TPs along the way for scaling out of the position:
TP 1: 143.500 (+18.9 pips) – A conservative first target to lock in some early profits.
TP 2: 143.200 (+48.9 pips) – Close to the previous support, scaling out of a portion of the trade.
TP 3: 142.800 (+88.9 pips) – A key support level based on historical price action.
TP 4: 142.300 (+138.9 pips) – Next significant support zone.
TP 5: 141.800 (+188.9 pips) – Final target at a major psychological level.
The idea here is to capture the downward move following a potential retracement into resistance near 143.750, which aligns with previous structure. The overall bearish sentiment could drive prices lower toward the major target areas.
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 144.800 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 144.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/JPY Analysis Update 01.10.2024USD/JPY Analysis Update:
The market has moved slightly higher than expected, and currently, a bearish divergence appears to be forming on the 1H chart, indicating a potential pullback soon. We expect a support/resistance flip in the highlighted area on the chart, which served as resistance and now should act as support. This zone will be the entry level, with yesterday’s low as the invalidation point. The target remains unchanged from the previous analysis.
Additionally, the diagonal trendline supporting the uptrend from yesterday’s low has been broken, which further strengthens the case for a potential pullback from the current levels. If the price holds above this level, we could see continuation; otherwise, a deeper correction might follow.
⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️
🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫