USDJPY
USDJPY Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = USDJPY
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
USDJPY is getting a good volume. Gradually moving higher. Expecting 400 Pips + gain in this Move. USD is getting strong. That is pushing JPY Down. We can see price around 162.000 soon
Bullish Target:-
162.000
162.500
USD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month HighUSD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month High
According to the USD/JPY chart today, the US dollar has climbed to 157 yen. This movement was driven by monetary policies of both countries' central banks.
The Federal Reserve took a hawkish stance, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting the possibility of fewer rate cuts in 2025 than earlier expected.
On the other side, the Bank of Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda, as reported by Reuters, made "surprisingly dovish" remarks. He delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy following the central bank’s decision to maintain its interest rates unchanged.
He emphasised that:
→ Real interest rates remain very low.
→ New risks are emerging due to trade policies proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump.
Technical analysis of the 4-hour USD/JPY chart shows that:
→ The pair moves in an upward trend, but based on pivot points (marked in red), the slope of the ascending channel might shift.
→ The RSI is at a multi-month high, and the black trendlines highlight significant demand strength in the market throughout December.
We can suggest that the US dollar is significantly overbought relative to the yen. Could a pullback, such as to the lower black trendline, be expected? Given the importance of fundamental factors such as central bank decisions, any potential pullback might not threaten the continuation of the current uptrend through the end of the year.
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USDJPY Continues Consolidation Above Key Support!Dear Friends!
USD/JPY is trading sideways around 154.00 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair was weighed down by Japanese comments and a softer risk-on tone. However, a fresh rally in the US Dollar limited the pair's losses ahead of the US November Retail Sales report.
From a technical point of view, USDJPY remains in an uptrend with the trendline, EMAs and price channel still favoring buyers. In the short term, keep an eye on the upper limit of the channel, which could provide fresh upside momentum for USDJPY.
Wishing you happy and profitable trading.
USDJPY: Under Selling Pressure Around Recent Highs!USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure to near 0.6350 in Wednesday's Asian trading. The pair fails to benefit from fading hopes of a BoJ rate hike on Thursday as the US Dollar retreats despite a cautious risk environment. All eyes remain on the Fed outcome ahead of Thursday's BoJ decision
USDJPY Is Nearing The 153.400 Support Along With The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 153.400 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 153.400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold buyers are looking very weak towards the bottom part of this 'Flat Correction' channel. We've already seen a melt off of 950 PIPS since we got a Wave 2 rejection at $2,725.
This impulse move would count as 'Minor Wave 1' of the 'Major Wave 3' downwards trend. Any consolidation we see will be 'Minor Wave 2' correction. YOU WANT TO ENTER SELL POSITIONS on these wave 2 corrections, if you haven't already!
META 529 AFTER EARNINGS ? REASONS WHY !!
AI Integration and Advancements: Meta has been prioritizing the integration of artificial intelligence across its applications, which has played a crucial role in the company’s rally2. The market has responded positively to Meta’s efforts in developing and monetizing AI applications, leading to a boost in the stock price.
2. Digital Advertising Market Recovery: The digital advertising market has seen a rebound, which has directly benefited Meta’s core revenue stream. As one of the leaders in digital advertising, Meta’s financial performance has improved with the market’s recovery.
3. Operational Cost Reduction: Meta has implemented several rounds of layoffs, reducing its operating costs significantly. This move has improved the company’s profitability and margins, making it more attractive to investors.
4. Strategic Shifts: Meta has made strategic shifts, such as scaling back its investments in the metaverse, which were initially met with skepticism. This change in strategy has improved investor confidence and contributed to the stock’s growth.
5. Market Conditions: The overall market conditions, including interest rates and economic policies, have also played a role in Meta’s stock performance. A favorable environment for tech stocks has helped propel Meta’s stock to new heights.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could rise to the 1st support which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 153.97
1st Support: 152.71
1st Resistance: 154.47
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 18, 2024 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) is experiencing difficulty capitalising on a modest recovery against its US counterpart from the previous day, attracting fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The latest data from Japan shows an unexpected improvement in the country's trade balance in November, driven by strong export growth. However, the data also points to weak local demand, as indicated by the decline in imports. This, along with an uncertain economic outlook amid concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, confirms expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will keep interest rates unchanged later this week, which will have the effect of undermining the yen.
Meanwhile, the prospect of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, as well as expectations that Trump's policies could boost government borrowing and accelerate inflation, continue to support US Treasury yields. This is another factor weighing on the low-yielding JPY, although the softer risk tone helps to limit the potential for further losses. JPY bears may also choose to adopt a more cautious approach and refrain from making any significant bets ahead of a key central bank event. The Federal Reserve will announce its decision at the conclusion of its two-day meeting today, followed by the Bank of Japan's monetary policy update on Thursday.
Trade recommendation: We follow the level of 153.500, if it is fixed above we consider Buy positions, if it bounces back we consider Sell positions.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.23
Why we like it:
there is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 154.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 152.52
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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BOJ RATE BRINGS USDJPY TO 145 LONG TERM The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) upcoming interest rate decision could be a pivotal moment for the USD/JPY currency pair, potentially driving it down to the 145 level. Here's why:
Narrowing Interest Rate Differential: If the BoJ decides to raise interest rates or signals an intent to do so in the near future, this would narrow the interest rate differential with the U.S. The U.S. has been maintaining higher interest rates compared to Japan's negative or near-zero rates. A reduction in this gap would make holding Japanese Yen (JPY) relatively more attractive, thus strengthening the JPY against the USD.
Market Expectations and Sentiment: Markets often react to expectations before they react to actual news. If there's a growing consensus or speculation that the BoJ might tighten policy, traders might preemptively adjust their portfolios, leading to a stronger JPY. Recent posts on X have hinted at expectations of BoJ rate hikes, which could fuel this sentiment.
Technical Analysis Indicators: From a technical standpoint, if the BoJ surprises with hawkish comments or actions, this could trigger a sell-off in USD/JPY. The pair has been hovering around key resistance levels, and a policy shift might push it below significant support levels, potentially aiming for 145. Technical analyses often look for signs of a break below current supports, which could be catalyzed by a BoJ decision.
Global Economic Conditions: The global economic landscape, including U.S. economic data like employment figures, inflation rates, and Fed policy, will also play a role. If U.S. data suggests a softening economy or if the Fed signals rate cuts, this would weaken the USD against other currencies, including the JPY. Conversely, a dovish BoJ might not lead to as significant a drop, but the current market sentiment seems to be banking on at least some tightening from Japan.
Psychological Levels and Market Dynamics: The 145 mark could act as a psychological level for traders, where large volumes of trading might occur due to this round figure. If the BoJ's actions or statements align with market expectations of a policy shift, this could accelerate the move towards this level, especially if there's already momentum in that direction.
USD/JPY carry trade explainedCurrently, the USD/JPY pair is trading around 154.26, influenced by upcoming policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The US Fed's anticipated 25bps rate cut could potentially narrow the interest rate gap, affecting the carry trade's immediate appeal. However, the strong performance of the US economy, with robust job growth and rising inflation, might sustain the dollar's strength, keeping the carry trade attractive. Meanwhile, the BoJ's steady interest rate at 0.25% and potential for future hikes offer a contrasting backdrop, maintaining the yen's role as a low-interest currency. Global economic uncertainties and political changes in both the US and Japan could impact these dynamics, so traders should monitor central bank signals and economic data closely to navigate potential shifts in the carry trade's profitability.
USDJPY - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action as price rejected from bearish OB + institutional big figure 154.000. As well we have hidden divergence for sell.
Fundamental news: On Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate on USD and on Thursday on JPY, news with high impact on currencies.
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USDJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 153.70 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 152.34
Safe Stop Loss - 154.61
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
USDJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USDJPY
Entry Point - 153.61
Stop Loss - 154.52
Take Profit - 152.09
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 153.785.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 154.383 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Update levels USDJPY 11.12.24The whole scenario is going exactly according to plan, we reached the level of 152 where the price has support as another insight I have to take into account the fact that we are only at the first significant fibo level and the npoc is only at the level of 0.618 so for now I still see a lot of space here and not quite right set up confirmation.