USD/JPY Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected
Pivot Point: 150.45
The pivot point at 150.45 serves as a key level of support for USD/JPY. As long as the price holds above this level, bullish momentum is anticipated.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are favored as long as the price stays above the 150.45 pivot point. This sets up the potential for upward movement toward resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 151.10
This is the immediate resistance level where traders may take profits or evaluate a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Second Target: 151.60
If the first target is surpassed, the pair could extend its gains toward the 151.60 level, signaling further bullish movement.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price falls below 150.45:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 150.10
Second Target: 149.70
These levels represent potential support zones in case of a bearish reversal.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is mixed but leans bullish, suggesting the potential for further upside if momentum builds. Traders should keep an eye on this indicator for confirmation of a stronger move.
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Correction USDJPY. H4 11.10.2024 Correction USDJPY 📉
The Japanese yen has reached the local resistance level of 149.40 and after a false breakdown I expect a correction downwards. The correction may go to the 1/2 margin zone 146 or to the strong buyers zone 143-144.50 from which I will also look for a bounce upwards. I believe that the general upward movement is not finished yet and the expected decline will be corrective.
OANDA:USDJPY
USD/JPY October Market Analysis: Bearish Structure and Key Sell
USD/JPY October Market Analysis and Trading Setup
In the month of October, we are observing an open high-low-close structure on the USD/JPY, which strongly suggests the development of a potential sell setup. At this point, we are awaiting further confirmation through a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, which will signal the appropriate entry points for sell positions.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Divergence: Since August 16, 2024, there has been a clear bearish divergence, extending from that date to the current market high.
2. Daily Timeframe Structure: The open-high structure on the daily chart for October further strengthens the bearish outlook.
3. Overbought Conditions: The market appears significantly overbought, following a bullish breakout that began on October 1, 2024.
4. TDI Cross as Confirmation: A bearish cross in the TDI indicator will serve as confirmation of the presence of sellers, providing an essential signal for initiating sell positions.
Targeted Take Profit Levels:
- Take Profit 1: 147.500
- Take Profit 2: 146.500
- Take Profit 3: 145.500
- Take Profit 4: 144.500
Trading Advice:
It is crucial to wait for valid signals, such as the TDI cross, to confirm entries before taking action. Always trade with caution, and ensure risk management strategies are in place to protect your capital.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, and follow for more updates. I will gladly follow back. Wishing you success in your trades!
Usdjpy signal 149.00
USD/JPY defends 149.00, stalling its retracement from the highest level since mid-August at 149.36. The BoJ rate hikes uncertainty and a generally positive risk tone cap gains for the safe-haven Japanese Yen while traders look to the US CPI data for fresh impetus.
Confirm signal
Sell USD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 143.77, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 142.13
2nd Support – 141.26
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 144.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
USD/JPY Short Setup: 30-Minute ChartI'm looking at a potential short position on USD/JPY based on the current price action and market structure.
Entry on Retracement: 143.750 after the recent breakdown of the ascending trendline.
Stop Loss (SL): 144.000 (25 pips).
Take Profit (TP): I'm targeting multiple TPs along the way for scaling out of the position:
TP 1: 143.500 (+18.9 pips) – A conservative first target to lock in some early profits.
TP 2: 143.200 (+48.9 pips) – Close to the previous support, scaling out of a portion of the trade.
TP 3: 142.800 (+88.9 pips) – A key support level based on historical price action.
TP 4: 142.300 (+138.9 pips) – Next significant support zone.
TP 5: 141.800 (+188.9 pips) – Final target at a major psychological level.
The idea here is to capture the downward move following a potential retracement into resistance near 143.750, which aligns with previous structure. The overall bearish sentiment could drive prices lower toward the major target areas.
USDJPY Short - A Bearish Setup in the Making?As we dive into the USDJPY chart, I'm seeing several key technical signals that suggest a potential move to the downside. Let’s break it down step by step:
Weekly Timeframe: A Crucial Swing High
First, we zoom out to the weekly chart, where we can observe that USDJPY is currently within a strong swing that recently broke a prior high. This is a crucial moment, as we often see a retest of the upper range of such a swing before the market decides its next move. Will it push higher, or are we preparing for a pullback? I’m leaning towards the latter.
Daily Timeframe: Triple Failures at the High
Dropping down to the daily, the story unfolds further. We’ve seen two previous attempts to break the current daily swing high, only for the market to flush down on this third attempt. This is my first major bearish signal, as failure to maintain momentum often precedes a reversal.
4-Hour Timeframe: No Support in the Pump
On the 4-hour chart, things get even more interesting. I’m not seeing the kind of ladder formation that typically supports sustained pushes to the upside. Instead, the price action looks choppy, lacking the structure that would indicate buyers are in full control. This adds weight to the bearish case.
Weak Stop-Loss Hunt: A Lackluster Liquidity Grab
One more point to consider is the recent liquidity grab (or stop-loss hunt) on the 4-hour chart. While these wicks usually indicate a shakeout of weak hands, this one feels weak, more like a failed attempt to trap traders in the wrong direction. In my experience, when the liquidity grab doesn’t pack a punch, it often signals the market's lack of commitment to push higher.
Timing is Key: The Tuesday Top Pattern
Lastly, an interesting observation – USDJPY has a tendency to form local tops on Tuesdays, a pattern I’ve noticed over time. While this isn't a concrete rule, it’s an intriguing confirmation of the broader bearish setup we’re seeing here.
Fundamental Analysis: Why the USDJPY Could Dump
Fundamentally, USDJPY could be under pressure due to the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Japan. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains ultra-dovish, but there are growing signs of internal pressure to shift toward more normalization in policy, particularly with inflation running higher than expected. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it may pause or slow its rate hikes as US economic growth moderates. This narrowing of the policy gap could weaken the dollar against the yen, especially if we start seeing signs of a BoJ shift or weaker-than-expected US data in upcoming releases.
Furthermore, concerns over global growth and risk sentiment could lead to a stronger yen as a safe-haven asset. If the stock market falters, capital tends to flow back into the yen, exacerbating the potential for a USDJPY decline.
Conclusion: Eyeing the Lower Range
All things considered, USDJPY looks poised for a move lower. A retest of the lower range of the current daily swing seems likely before any potential attempt to push back to the upside. Understanding swing highs and lows and their respective ranges is a key tool in this analysis. Let’s see how the price action plays out in the coming sessions.
usdjpy going downtrend.my bias is short.ERRANTE:USDJPY
entry : 142.719
stop loss : 142.846
take profit : 142.18
i have adjusted my stop loss and take profit according to my spread size. this is not an advice i am just giving out a set up which i am gonna take, do your own research before you take any trade.trade set up will be invalidated if price touches tp before hitting the entry point.entry point has not been activated yet.
#USDJPY 1HUSDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen)
Timeframe: 1-Hour (1H)
Pattern: Rising Wedge
A rising wedge pattern has developed on the 1-hour chart of USDJPY. This pattern is formed by two upward-sloping trendlines that converge as the price continues to make higher highs and higher lows. While the price is trending upward, the narrowing wedge suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, typically signaling a potential reversal.
The rising wedge is considered a bearish pattern, as it often leads to a downside breakout once the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Forecast: Sell
Given the current formation, the forecast recommends a selling opportunity. The price is likely to break down from the rising wedge, leading to a potential reversal and a decline in the pair's value. A confirmed breakdown below the lower boundary of the wedge would signal further bearish momentum.
Technical Outlook:
Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge, where buying pressure could weaken.
Support Level: The lower boundary, where a breakout would trigger a selling opportunity.
Key Levels to Watch: A break below the wedge’s support line would reinforce the bearish forecast, signaling a potential downward move.
Traders should look for confirmation through bearish candlestick patterns or increased selling volume to validate their short positions.
Monitor for key economic indicators, particularly US dollar movements influenced by Federal Reserve policies or safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen, which could impact this pair’s direction.
UsdJpy moving down on retracement.Looking for Impulse Down.
UsdJpy break out TL and will start to move down soon on retracement. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you gain better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro