USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE (4H)First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT .
When the Dominance Tether hits the red box, we expect a reject. This area seems to cause the cryptocurrency market to take a break for the continuation of the drop
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT-P
BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification:
Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel.
Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel.
$66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move.
$64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further.
Resistance Levels:
$72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend.
$73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum.
Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion.
Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case.
Moving Averages:
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern.
Take Profit Levels:
Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains.
Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario.
Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout.
RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal.
Timeframe:
This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break trend line and fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the cart we can see how the price fell firstly to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and then at once rebounded up. After BTC rose a little, it turned around and fell to the trend line, and then started to grow, making a fake breakout of support 2. Later, BTC in a short time rose to support 1, which coincided with the support zone and even entered to this area, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line. Soon, the price broke this line and then started to grow below the trend line, until it reached support 1, after which BTC rebounded down again. After the price made a correction, it turned around and quickly rose to support 1, broke this level, and continued to grow to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it broke it and then rose a little higher, but recently turned around and fell to this line. Now, the price is growing near the trend line and I expect that BTCUSDT will rise a little and then drop to the support area, breaking the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 69300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin can reach resistance line of channel and start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered an upward channel, where at once it made little correction and then rose to a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then BTC broke this level, after which made a correction to the buyer zone, and then BTC made an impulse up to the resistance line of the upward channel. After this movement, the price turned around from this line and then started to decline to the 58900 support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. Later BTC rebounded and continued to move up inside the upward channel and some time later reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area. Price rebounded from this level and made a correction below, after which made an upward impulse to the resistance line of the channel, thereby breaking the 69500 level. But a not long time ago it started to decline, therefore I think that BTC can grow to the resistance line and then drop below a current support level, breaking it and continuing to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 67000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can bounce from support area to $73800 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price rose inside rising channel, where it broke $61100 level and then reached resistance line of channel.
Then price continued to grow near this line, after it reached $66350 points, price turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from channel, fell to support area, and started trades inside wedge.
In wedge, price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse to $69000 level, made correction, and continued to grow.
Soon, price broke $69000 level and reached resistance line of wedge, but recently fell to one more support area.
Possibly, BTC can bounce up from support area to $73800 resistance line of wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDT MOON- Do you know what happens when something push too much ? it reverses and goes down.
- Sir Fibonacci said one day :
" When u launch a coin to the sky, it takes speed, then it stops, then it goes down more fast than it went up "
- if USDT grab more Dominance on Cryptos Markets, it would mean we are rolling back in the "Old Financial system" i hope everyone understand that.
- That's not gonna happens.
- i won't comments much on this analysis, but it speaks by itself. ( everything is in the graphic )
- i won't also speak about what happened recently to UST in Luna Ecosystem because it's sad for the peoples.
- Stay in BTC and pray TheKing.
Happy Tr4ding !
USDT vs USDC The Last Rush- Everything is in the chart.
- So my own deduction ( and only my own ) is : " Actually BTC not dipped so much "
- They pushed it hard, many peoples turned their BTC and Altcoins to USDT/USDC for safety.
- BTC is still not yet considered as a reserve like Gold in case of crises, peoples still scare and back really fast to the old paper money system when panic is around.
- i will link following this post a PAXG/BTC Chart to show what happened when BTC dipped.
- just look at indicators and you will clearly understand how much stables coins pushed high and Mooned/Marsed in the red " Overbought " Zone.
- Results : TheKing is still around 20k.
- that said, we can notice that USDC is gaining much more interests than USDT, just because USDC (Circle) is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government bonds as collateral.
- after the "LUNA-UST" Crash peoples started to fear and they are right, so they turned their Stables to USDC.
- in near future, USDC will gains more dominance on USDT and the next Dip could results in an Equal Dominance ( 3.80% - 3.20% )
i hope this post help to understand the situation, be H4ppy and St4y S4fe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether The Trumpet- On this Chart i use zero indicator and just the trend.
- Some basic supports and resistances.
- What we can see and deduct ?
- Tether jumped from 0.01% to 1% dominance from 2015 to 2018.
- from 2019 to 2023 USDT.Dom growed from 1% to 10%.
- now the trend is still evolving in a steady broadening trumpet formation.
- Do you really believe Tether would reach 35% Dominance in Crypto Markets ?
- it would mean that 35% of peoples would prefer to stay in Stables Fiat and win nothing.
- Just using logic and combine FA + TA :
- This uper trend will be broken down soon or later.
- i just do believe that Tether have to crash at one point ( no matter the reason ).
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- So now a quick comprehensive explanation about Tether.Dom and how it works :
1 - When BTC down = Peoples swap their BTC to USDT (panic)
- USDT.Dom up !
- Tether stop the printing Machine and wait.
2. - When BTC up = Peoples swap their USDT to buy BTC (fomo)
- USDT.Dom Down !
- Tether have to restart the printing machine and issue more USDT to cover BTC demands.
- Yes it's simple as that..
- Tether is not really different than the FED.
- they just print more USDT from thin air when peoples want buy more BTC.
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- Remember that without BTC, Tether would worth 0$ and disappear.
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St4y Safe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether Dom- i will try to make it short.
- Like always everything is understandable in graph.
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TA :
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- Tether made a triple new ATH around 9% dominance on Crypto Markets.
- Got rejected 3X times.
- Right now it's the 4th attempt for USDT trying to break 9%.
- i kept BB in graph to show that USDT flirts again with the higher bollinger band.
- Right now the most important is to watch out for Divergences.
- Divergence or Hiden-Div will come soon or later.
- i expect Tether to back around 5% Dom around 2024 when the bullmarket will back.
- Do you remember last year when USDT and USDT were racing together ?
- USDC ( Circle ) Failed with the fall of Silicon Valley Bank.
- Now USDC is a back to 2.60% Dom.
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FA :
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- Remember USDT still have a big lack of transparency.
- if u check the news, you will notice that Tether invested heavily in Bitcoin Mining.
- They did this move to use this diversification as a parachute in case of troubles.
- if Tether fails for any reason it could quickly dip to 3.7% Dom.
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Last Point : CDBC are coming and central banks will try kickout Tether from this game.
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Conclusion : Stay Safe and Buy Bitcoin !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin can rebound up from triangle to 68400 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then broke it, after which it rose to 68K points. After this movement, the price made a downward impulse to support line and then grew. In a short time later it rose to a resistance level, but then corrected almost a support line, after which turned around and continued to grow. Later BTC reached the 68400 level, broke it and even rose higher than the seller zone, but soon fell below. Price some time traded near this level and then rose higher than the seller zone again, after which turned around and started to decline inside the triangle. In this pattern, BTC broke the support level with the resistance level and fell until to the buyer zone and even lower, to the support line of the triangle. After this, the price made impulse up to the 68400 level and then rebounded down to the support line. A not long time ago, BTC bounced from this line and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the price can make a move down, below the support line of the triangle, and then rebound up to the 68400 resistance level, which coincides with my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $72500, exiting from wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once fell to support line, breaking $57900 level.
Then price in a short time ros to this level, broke it again, and made retest, after which continued to move up.
Later BTC rose to $65900 level, turned around, and declined lower support line, thereby exiting from rising channel.
After this, price continued to move up inside wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $65900 level.
Soon, price broke this level, and rose to resistance line, after which made a correction and now continues to grow.
In my mind, BTC can bounce up from support line to $72500, exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDT depegged today but Why?About 12 hours ago, whale"0x3356" created a new address to deposit 52.52M USDC and borrowed 40M USDT on Aave and Compound then he started depositing 40M USDT into Coinbase and Kraken 6 hours ago, USDT started depegging after whale"0x3356" deposited USDT to exchanges
and whale"0x3356" withdrew 25M USDC from Coinbase 4 hours after depositing USDT.
then about 5 hours ago, 2 whales sold a total of 9.6M USDT at a similar time after USDT depegged, CZSamSun shorted USDT on AaveV2 4 hrs ago,Whale"0xd275" started to borrow USDC from Aave and Compound and buy USDT for arbitrage after CZSamSun shorted USDT
USDT started back to the peg, but due to multiple FUDs, whales keep dumping USDT
USDT further depegged..
pro traders trade coins
legends trade stable coins
HelenP. I Bitcoin will exit from pennant and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price traded below support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. Then price tried to grow more, but failed and dropped to the trend line, breaking support 2 one more time. After this movement, the price entered the pennant, where it made at once a strong impulse up, breaking support 2 again. Then price continued to move up and later reached support 1. Price some time traded near this level, then broke it and some time traded inside one more support zone. Next, BTC little grew and then dropped below 1st support level, breaking it again, but soon turned around and backed up to the support zone (68200 - 67700). After this, the price bounced down to the trend line, after which turned around and rebounded up to the resistance line of the pennant and now trying to exit from this pattern. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will exit from the pennant, make a retest, and continue to move up. That's why I set my goal at 71000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
ADA Caution!Considering cycle theories and assuming Altcoins - especially those from 2015-2017 - could be in different corrective phases than Bitcoin, investors could be in a big surprise for the next upcoming months. While Bitcoin is potentially in its last cycle (retail wave 5) before its first major correction, the older Altcoins are still in their wave 2 which results in a long exhaustive ABC phase and often corrects more than 50% of the first impulsive wave which would also coincide with the 1.618 Fib.
This would mean that alt-season - for the older big coins - is not here yet. Regarding their meteoric rises after more than 10k% the fundamentals need to catch up to overvalued prices, which takes time.
A lot of people are confused and complaining about the "blue chip coins" not going up, especially Cardano, while Market Makers play the long game and suppress Altcoin prices artificially, simply keeping them in a big trading range and in corrective mode till their first cycle ends and the next begins.
ADA e.g. shows striking resemblance to NEM (XEM) with a similar corrective structure and sits on long time life support. The more it pokes on it the more it's gonna get dangerous for the next breakdown to the 0.10-0.20$ region.
The Upcoming Collapse of USDT Theter - Thesis Binance and its CEO ‘CZ’ plead guilty to federal charges and agreed to pay $4.3B in fines.
But that`s not all!
The crypto market is facing increased scrutiny as part of an agreement between Binance's CEO, CZ, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This agreement grants the SEC unprecedented access to Binance's comprehensive records, shedding light on various transactions, fraudulent activities, and instances of price manipulation linked to tether, which significantly influenced the surge in Bitcoin's value.
Of particular interest to regulatory authorities is the revelation that CZ has agreed to provide the SEC with access to tether transactions, signaling a deeper investigation into the controversial stablecoin. Tether (USDT) has long been tethered to the value of the U.S. dollar, yet recent events have sparked concerns about its stability and transparency.
What makes this development particularly noteworthy is the emerging focus on tether by U.S. agencies, who seem to be strategically positioning themselves to potentially replace it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Unlike stablecoins such as USDT, CBDCs are issued and regulated directly by the central bank of a country, eliminating reliance on private entities or community-driven initiatives.
As the SEC gains access to the intricate details of Binance's operations and tether transactions, the crypto community is left on edge, grappling with uncertainties regarding the future of stablecoins and their role in the broader financial landscape. The evolving narrative suggests a potential paradigm shift as regulatory bodies aim to instill confidence in the market through the adoption of government-backed digital currencies over privately issued stablecoins.
The SEC's focus extends beyond Binance to specifically target USDT, with the intention of replacing it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) to assert control over all transactions. This strategic move is seen as a prerequisite for potential approval of an ETF in the future. Notably, Binance has been implicated in facilitating transactions linked to terrorist groups, including Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, al-Qaida, and ISIS, as highlighted in a statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you BTCUSDT analytics. In this part, we can see how the price entered the support zone (65600 - 66150 points) and at once turned around and dropped to support 2, breaking support 1. Then, the price some time traded near this level and then started to grow. When BTC rose to 63950 points, it turned around and dropped until the trend line, breaking support 2, after which it started to grow. In a short time, the price broke 2nd support level and then continued to move up to 1st support level. When BTC reached this level, it some time traded near and then broke it, after which continued to grow, exiting from the support zone as well. After the price rose until to 69250 points, it turned around and quickly fell to the trend line, but a not long time ago price continued to grow. Therefore I expect that BTCUSDT will decline to the trend line again and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my goal at 69500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
KASPA - IT'S ABOUT TIME TO MOVE IN UPTREND (TA + TRADE PLAN)Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Current Price: $0.133
Rising Wedge Formation:
Resistance Line: The upper green line represents the resistance level, which is slightly inclining upwards.
Support Line: The lower green line forms the support for this wedge. This support level is also inclined upward but at a slightly steeper angle than the resistance.
Pattern Interpretation: The rising wedge pattern, as observed in the chart, is typically a bearish reversal pattern. However, given the overall crypto market volatility, a breakout in either direction is possible.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the support level would confirm a bearish trend, potentially leading to lower lows.
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance, it could invalidate the wedge pattern and indicate a bullish breakout.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
This oscillator shows wave momentum, with the darker blue shading indicating downward momentum at present.
Current Signal: Mixed with a potential trend shift. A continuation of negative momentum would reinforce the bearish wedge breakdown scenario.
RSL (Relative Strength Level) Indicator:
The current RSL value is 51.83, indicating neutral territory. This suggests no strong trend is currently dominating but could indicate either upward or downward movement depending on further price action.
Stochastic Indicator:
Stochastic RSI stands at 41.60, which is in the lower-mid range, signaling the asset is neither oversold nor overbought. This neutral stance suggests a wait-and-see scenario for the breakout.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The Hull Moving Average histograms are slightly positive, showing marginal bullishness. However, the movement is not aggressive enough to signal a strong upward trend as of now.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $0.135 - $0.138
Support: Approximately $0.131 - $0.130
Psychological Support: The $0.130 zone is a critical psychological support. Breaking below this would signal a more significant sell-off.
Indicators Summary:
Momentum: Slightly negative to neutral (VMC Cipher B).
Strength: Neutral, with room for movement either way (RSL 51.83).
Stochastic RSI: Suggests no strong overbought or oversold signals (41.60).
Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Entry: If the price breaks and sustains above $0.135, it indicates a bullish breakout from the rising wedge.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.145 (first resistance level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.155 (potential swing high).
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the wedge’s lower support at $0.130 to manage risk.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Entry: If the price breaks below the support at $0.130, it signals a bearish move.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.125 (first support level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.115 (next significant support).
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above the wedge's upper resistance at $0.135.
Risk Management:
For both bullish and bearish setups, adhere to a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.
Adjust stop-loss and take-profit based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance.
The rising wedge pattern indicates caution, as it is historically a bearish reversal formation. However, confirmation of either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown will guide trading decisions. Momentum indicators and oscillators suggest neutrality, indicating that this wedge could break either way soon. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals and place stop-losses to protect against unexpected volatility.