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4/21 Gold Trading StrategyGood morning, everyone! A brand new week begins—wishing us smooth trades and great success ahead. Looking back to last Thursday, our gold short strategy hit the mark perfectly. Prices dropped nearly $60 as expected, and we captured around $45 in profit from that move. Overall, we secured over $200 in profit space last week—an excellent performance. Today, gold opened higher and continues to climb. Technically, bulls still have room to push higher, with 3360 as a key resistance level. However, judging by the current momentum, we may even see a test of 3400. That said, trading is about precision, not perfection. If prices approach 3380 and the upward momentum stalls, it may be time to watch for a pullback. On the other hand, if strength continues, holding some light long positions remains a relatively low-risk strategy. Trading Strategy for Today: 📉 Sell in the 3380–3410 range 📈 Buy in the 3307–3280 range 🔁 Flexible trades between 3360–3330 / 3272–3315
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Jesus Coin (JESUS) Price Jumps Over 50% in a Week Jesus Coin (JESUS) has experienced notable price action this week, rising by 52.90% in the past seven days. At the time of writing, the token trades at $0.00000006999. Despite a -7.61% drop in the past 24 hours, the coin maintains momentum, supported by increased attention within its community. The project holds a market capitalization of approximately $7.19 million, positioning it at rank #1101 in the crypto market. Daily trading volume has declined to $110.11K, showing a 61.50% drop, signaling reduced short-term interest despite recent price movements. Jesus Coin was created as a decentralized, community-led initiative aimed at promoting generosity and faith-based values in crypto. It brands itself as an “anti-meme coin,” built to counter dishonest projects and scams that have plagued the space. Unlike typical crypto ventures, Jesus Coin launched without a team allocation and functions entirely through community efforts. Its mission focuses on inspiring generosity and cultural transformation through blockchain. From a technical perspective, Jesus Coin shows signs of renewed bullish activity after a prolonged consolidation phase. The 3-day candlestick chart highlights a recent push attempt. JESUS has also moved above the 50-day moving average (0.00000006201), suggesting short-term bullish momentum. However, it remains below the 200-day moving average, indicating that long-term sentiment has not yet flipped. The token’s trading range remains tight, with historical support near 0.0000000513 and recent highs around 0.000000071. Trading volume remains modest, implying cautious interest from market participants. With strong community involvement and recent technical signals, Jesus Coin may continue to draw attention. Watch for sustained volume and price movement above resistance for further confirmation of trend direction.
Short
by DEXWireNews
1
Altseason and a Weak Dollar — Will History Repeat in 2025?The altseason of 2017 started at the same time as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) began to fall. This likely helped bring more money into the crypto market. In 2020–2021, a similar thing happened: the falling dollar was followed by a strong rise in altcoins. But that time, altseason started closer to the end of the dollar’s decline. A weaker dollar makes risky assets like crypto more attractive. In April 2020, the total crypto market cap was around $218 billion. Today, it’s about $2.63 trillion — around 12 times bigger. However, to start a new altseason now, the market may need a lot more cheap money than in 2020. I’m not sure if the 2025 altseason can be as strong as in the past. Now it seems that the only way to repeat that success is if a big part of the capital moves from Bitcoin into altcoins. This would need a sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance. But this brings new questions. After the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, the ownership structure has changed. Many people now own Bitcoin through investment funds, not directly. These funds may not be very excited to invest in altcoins. What do you think about it? Share your opinion in the comments.
TVC:DXY
by CapitalHustle
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍 📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date. This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future. 📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event. You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EhsanZeydabadi
OVH Group – Beneficiary of EU-US Decoupling?OVH Group – Positioned to Benefit from Europe’s Digital Decoupling from the US We are seeing a clear push toward reducing Europe’s dependency on American when it comes to the Blocks National Security. US cloud firms like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are increasingly viewed as sovereignty risks, given the reach of US laws like the CLOUD Act. This shift is creating strong political and regulatory support for European alternatives. OVH Group, as the leading European-owned cloud infrastructure provider, could stand out as a key beneficiary, should this trend prevail. The company is well positioned to take on new demand from both public and private sector clients looking for a sovereign, EU-based solution that aligns with data protection and national security goals. OVHcloud is actively involved in providing cloud infrastructure services to European public sector entities, including those with stringent security requirements. While specific government security contracts are not publicly detailed, OVHcloud has positioned itself as a trusted provider for sensitive data hosting. The company emphasises its commitment to data sovereignty and compliance with strict data security and confidentiality requirements, operating exclusively within the European Union and not subject to extraterritorial laws like the U.S. CLOUD Act. ​ OVHcloud has built data centers within the EU dedicated to storing sensitive data, ensuring that services hosted in these "zones of confidence" are operated entirely within EU territory. These services comply with the highest standards and possess necessary security and data protection certifications. ​ Furthermore, OVHcloud has obtained the SecNumCloud 3.2 qualification for its highly secure cloud platform, Bare Metal Pod. This certification, awarded by the French Cybersecurity Agency (ANSSI), acknowledges the platform’s adherence to stringent security standards, supporting OVHcloud’s efforts in providing secure cloud solutions for public and private sector organisations. ​ These initiatives align with the European Union's push for digital sovereignty, positioning OVHcloud as a key player in providing secure, compliant cloud infrastructure for government and public sector clients. If European governments follow through on this digital decoupling, OVH could see a significant increase in contract wins and strategic importance—both of which could materially improve its valuation.
ELong
by jpkxyz
4/15 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday, gold experienced a mild pullback and found support near the 3200 level. As mentioned during intraday updates, as long as 3188 holds, it remains a good opportunity to consider buying. Currently, the price has rebounded above 3220. From the candlestick formation, the trend remains strong, and there is still room for further upside. The previous high near 3245 is likely to be tested again, and there’s potential for a move towards 3260. However, it’s important to pay close attention to the 3230–3240 zone, which was a key area of trapped long positions from last week. This supply zone hasn’t been fully tested since the last drop, and as prices revisit this area, those looking to break even may create significant selling pressure. If this pressure leads to a rejection, we could see a sharp pullback. Structurally, a failure to break above this resistance could signal the formation of a short-term top, presenting a tactical opportunity for the bears. Conversely, if gold manages to break and hold above 3245, short-term bullish momentum may continue, though the 3250–3270 region remains a strong resistance zone. On the downside, if prices retreat again and break below 3188, it will likely confirm a deeper correction. Key support then shifts to the 3158–3147 range, which represents a significant medium-term support zone. Today’s Trading Recommendations: Sell Zone: 3250-3270 – A strong resistance area, suitable for initiating short positions for aggressive traders. Buy Zone: 3158 - 3147 – A technical support region ideal for light long entries if price pulls back. Range Trading: 3240 -3200 and 3178 -3220 – These zones are suitable for flexible trading strategies based on real-time momentum and price behavior. Summary: Gold remains in a short-term bullish trend, but significant resistance lies ahead. Caution is advised when chasing long positions at higher levels. If holding short positions from the 3230+ area, avoid emotional stop-losses—patience could offer better exit opportunities as the market corrects. A bearish setup is brewing, and once a clear direction emerges, volatility may increase rapidly. Be prepared with a solid plan in advance.
FShort
by China_MsWang
Is $GERN a stock for "Strong Holders"?Or is it just another stock whose value will be wiped out in the next few quarters, and the company will simply lose its listing on the Nasdaq? Investors are likely to get an answer to this question today, before the market opens, when NASDAQ:GERN reports its quarterly earnings. The company has an approved drug and has already begun commercialization, with a promising start. Last quarter, the company generated $28 million in revenue, and this quarter, revenue is expected to reach $61.8 million. The company has already achieved positive gross margins, and I expect them to improve significantly from the current 27% in the last quarter. Operating expenses are close to $30 million per quarter, so we can expect a quick path to operating profitability. Invested capital is around $135 million, which means that with an operating profit of $10 million per quarter, we could see interesting returns on invested capital. The company is led by John A. Scarlett, M.D., who previously worked at NASDAQ:CTMX for six years, during which the company lost about 90% of its value. There is some positive news regarding European approval: "The Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use of the European Medicines Agency has issued a positive opinion." A decision is expected in the coming months, if not days, which should serve as a strong catalyst for the stock price. The market valuation has dropped to $1.4 billion, despite having an FDA-approved drug in the U.S. Cash reserves will be important as they indicate how much time the company has to develop without diluting its capital. In the last report, cash and short-term investments totaled $339 million, and on November 7, the company announced securing $250 million in funding, with the potential to increase it to $375 million. As a result, the company has $589 million in cash reserves minus operating cash flow. How much will remain in the coffers? The company should have enough cash for more than 12 months of successful operations, operational efficiency is improving, we are awaiting European approval, and only the quality of management raises doubts. But do these doubts really hold weight given the current trajectory? There are only a few hours left until the earnings report is released. Let's see what awaits us. Strong Holders Profiting From Strength 📉✊📈
NLong
by Strong_Holders
HERE WE GO AGAINCollected a few hundred percent on the last calls gaining $7 to $20 and a small short down. If there's any chance of a bounce its now. Cash strapped with debt is not a good place to be while costs are rising BUT they have gotten some decent contracts from their gen 3 satellites some currently used to monitor CHINA right now! The Gen-3 satellite launch and expanded government contracts drive demand, revenue, and future growth. Strong long-term contracts and LeoStella integration improve revenue visibility and cost efficiency, BOOSTING net margins and future profitability. The company’s value proposition is evidently recognized by sophisticated institutional investors, including BlackRock, which holds a 5% stake valued at approximately $12 million. In 3 years this will likely be $40 stock. A public offering is possible! Use caution, it would tank the price for sure I'll be there to long the bottom if that were to happen.
NLong
by WSMS199
2
United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms. At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s... Targets: $108.00 $120.00 $133.00
NLong
by WorthlessViews
1
$75K BIT COIN: ReboundSo, since my last forecast we've finally after a few weeks reached the $75K mark. Is the bloodshed over? No. Price is respecting areas where pivots happens based on the data thus far it is moving in a sellers market profile since it made its sharp decline on entering February 2025. At the end of February it was confirmed with the selloff that took it down to$78K and has a sharp bounce reaction as the buyers were getting squeezed the pressure was on there was profit taking also causing a selloff ripple effect. Now finally having just tapped below $75K and briefly bounced, is the nightmare over? Based on the economic outlook my take is, we're not done with down momentum. I would expect price to dabble inside the two black horizontal lines and try to balance itself in this area $70-$65K. But that doesn't mean it cannot continue to bomb dive to a psychological price level $50K which makes total sense after hitting $100K. Understand that all other coins have lost nearly or more of their value. If you were on the sidelines and cashed out at the highs consider yourself smart or lucky or both-- that was a good move. But are you considering buying at what some consider this to be a 'discount selloff' to buy the dip and HODL once more for a return to ATH? Crypto tends to do its run during Fall/Winder. Is it smart to buy now or wait more mid-summer to start loading up the boat? What are your thoughts!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by nightdrive
The Trump PatternWhen Donald Trump took office in 2017, the U.S. stock market experienced dramatic fluctuations—marked by steep declines followed by eventual rebounds. This pattern, which we'll call the "Trump Pattern," repeated itself during his presidency and is now emerging again as a point of interest for investors. While the specific causes of these market shifts varied, key factors—particularly tariffs, inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve (FED) actions—played critical roles in the market's rise and fall during Trump’s presidency. The Trump Pattern: The Market Fall and Recovery 🏁 1. The Start of the Trump Presidency (2017) When Donald Trump was elected in 2016, the market responded with a combination of excitement and uncertainty. Initially, the market surged due to tax cut expectations, deregulation, and optimism about a business-friendly administration. But as Trump's presidency fully began in January 2017, concerns over trade wars and tariff policies began to dominate investor sentiment. The market initially dipped after Trump began pursuing a protectionist trade agenda, especially with China. As concerns about tariffs escalated, stock markets reacted negatively to potential trade wars. 💶 2. The Tariff Crisis of 2018 The first major example of the "Trump Pattern" emerged in 2018 when Trump began implementing tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, and announced new tariffs on steel and aluminum. This caused major market disruptions. The S&P 500 fell dramatically during this period, dropping by as much as 8.6% from its February peak in 2019. Companies that relied heavily on international trade, like Apple, General Motors, and Ford, experienced significant stock price declines. In fact, Apple’s stock fell 9.5% on days when new tariffs were announced, as their costs for manufacturing overseas rose. The uncertainty surrounding the global economy, combined with rising tariffs, created fears of a trade war, leading to sharp market declines. 📈 3. Market Recovery: FED Rate Cuts and Tax Cuts Despite the tariff-induced volatility, the market didn’t stay down for long. After significant market falls, the Federal Reserve (FED) began implementing interest rate cuts to combat slowing economic growth. These actions helped stabilize the market and even fueled a rebound. FED rate cuts made borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, stimulating economic activity and boosting investor confidence. Additionally, tax cuts, a cornerstone of Trump’s economic policy, provided further support, particularly for corporations. As a result, after the initial market drop in 2018 and early 2019, the market rebounded, continuing to climb as investors reacted positively to these fiscal and monetary policies. 🎯 The 2024 and 2025 "Trump Pattern" Emerges Again Fast forward to 2024 and 2025, and we’re seeing echoes of the "Trump Pattern" once again. New tariffs, introduced in 2025, have reignited concerns about a trade war. These tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, have once again caused market volatility. The stock market has fallen in recent months due to concerns about these tariffs and the impact they might have on global trade. For example, when new tariffs were introduced in early 2025, the market saw a sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 falling by over 1.8% in a single day. Companies that rely on international trade, like Tesla and Ford, have seen their stock prices drop in response to concerns about increased production costs. The broader market decline, much like in 2018, was driven by fears that tariffs could slow down the global economy and hurt corporate profits. However, there is optimism that the same pattern will unfold, where the market eventually recovers after these initial drops. ⚠️ 4. FED Rate Cuts Again? As inflation concerns persist, the Federal Reserve is likely to step in once again. Like previous cycles, we expect the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. This would be aimed at reducing borrowing costs, encouraging investment, and helping businesses weather the impact of higher tariffs and global uncertainty. The FED’s actions are typically a key driver of market recovery in the "Trump Pattern." Investors have come to expect that a market downturn triggered by political or economic disruptions can be offset by the FED’s supportive monetary policies. ⚖️ Navigating the Trump Pattern: What Should Investors Do? The "Trump Pattern" highlights that during periods of heightened uncertainty, especially due to trade policies like tariffs, the market will often experience short-term declines followed by long-term recovery. Here are a few strategies investors might want to consider: Stay Diversified : During periods of volatility, having a diversified portfolio can help cushion against the risks posed by market swings. Invest in Domestic Companies : Companies that rely less on international supply chains might fare better during periods of trade policy changes and tariff uncertainty. Focus on Growth : Once the initial market decline subsides, look for sectors that stand to benefit from a recovering economy, such as tech or consumer discretionary stocks. Look for Inflation Hedges : Given the potential for inflation, consider investments that tend to perform well during these times, such as real estate or commodities like gold. 📝 Conclusion: The Trump Pattern in Action The "Trump Pattern" demonstrates how the market tends to react in cycles during the early months of each presidency. Typically, the market falls at the start due to the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies, particularly tariffs. However, after these initial drops, the market often rebounds thanks to FED rate cuts and other policies aimed at stimulating the economy. Looking ahead to 2025, we're already seeing signs of this pattern in action as tariffs are back on the table and market volatility has followed. However, history suggests that patience might pay off. Once the FED steps in and cuts rates, a market rebound is likely, following the same trend we saw in 2017-2019.
CEducation
by CandelaCharts
2
S&P500 - What's next - Tariffs , Interest Rate decision? As of March 18, 2025, the S&P 500 index has experienced significant volatility, influenced by President Donald Trump's recent tariff policies and anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Scenario 1: Upside Potential Towards All-Time Highs The S&P 500 has recently shown signs of recovery, with a 0.6% rise on Monday following a 2.1% surge on Friday, marking its best performance since Trump's re-election. This rebound suggests that, despite earlier corrections, investor sentiment may be improving. ​ If the Federal Reserve decides to maintain current interest rates in its upcoming meeting, it could signal confidence in the economy's resilience amid trade tensions. Such a stance might encourage further investment in equities, potentially propelling the S&P 500 towards its all-time highs. Additionally, some analysts believe that the market's recent correction is a healthy adjustment, and with improved earnings revisions and seasonal strength, a continued rally is plausible. ​ Scenario 2: Downside Risk Towards the 5,000 Support Level Conversely, the aggressive tariff policies introduced by President Trump have raised concerns about inflationary pressures and potential slowdowns in economic growth. UBS analysts project that if the U.S. implements a 60% import tax on Chinese goods and a 10% tariff on other imports, the S&P 500 could end next year at 5,200, an 11% decline from its recent record close. ​ Furthermore, Goldman Sachs estimates that the current tariff plans could lead to a 5% drop in the S&P 500 in the coming months, as increased costs may squeeze corporate profit margins. If the Federal Reserve responds to these inflationary concerns by maintaining or even raising interest rates, borrowing costs could rise, potentially dampening consumer spending and business investment. Such developments might exert downward pressure on the S&P 500, bringing it closer to the 5,000 support level.​ Summa Money Our conclusion. The S&P 500's trajectory in the near term is intricately linked to the outcomes of trade policies and monetary decisions. While the market has demonstrated resilience, the dual forces of tariff-induced economic adjustments and the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance will play pivotal roles in determining whether the index ascends towards new highs or retreats to key support levels. In these volatile times, it is definitely a tough time to predict how the market would move , so this is why we are looking into the different options as how things would pan-out in the upcoming months in regards to the S&P500! Positive outcome - Enter here with a target just below the ATH at 6,000 points, with your stop loss being above the bottom at 5,125 points Negative outcome - Entere here with a target around the bottom at 5,000 , with a stop loss around the resistnace 5,750 I am interested to hear out your thoughs on this analysis and overall the idea behind whats happening with the U.S. economy and what would be the reaction for the S&P500!
S
by DG55Capital
Flow Traders: A Deep Dive into a Volatility PlayFlow Traders has long been recognized as one of the leading market makers in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), holding a dominant position in Europe and steadily expanding its global footprint. The firm’s success is driven by its technological prowess—its ultra-low latency trading systems and proprietary algorithms enable it to provide liquidity across thousands of listings. When compared with major competitors such as Virtu Financial, Citadel Securities, Jane Street, and Optiver, Flow Traders stands out for its high profit margins and robust returns during volatile periods. However, its earnings can swing dramatically: record profits during periods of market turbulence contrast with more compressed margins in quieter times. Historically, Flow Traders followed a dividend policy with an intended payout ratio of at least 50% of net profits. In FY23, for example, the company paid a total dividend of €0.45 per share (an interim dividend of €0.30 per share plus a final dividend of €0.15 per share). However, in its recent 2Q24 results and AGM communications, Flow Traders announced a revised dividend policy that suspends regular dividend payments until further notice. The Board has made this decision to accelerate the expansion of its trading capital base—a move the management believes will deliver greater long-term value for shareholders through reinvestment in technology and market expansion rather than immediate income distribution. Technologically, Flow Traders continues to push the boundaries by investing in co-located servers, low-latency networks, and even exploring cloud-based systems with microsecond-level synchronization. These initiatives ensure that the firm maintains a competitive edge, even as peers like Virtu and Citadel invest heavily in their own technological infrastructure. While Flow’s niche focus—especially in European ETF market making—provides a strong competitive moat, the firm is also expanding into fixed income and digital assets. For valuation purposes, I used a blended approach incorporating a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model and industry comparables, augmented by a scenario analysis that reflects the inherent cyclicality of its earnings. In my model, three scenarios were considered over a five-year period. Under the best-case scenario, where global market volatility surges and Flow capitalizes on its technological advantages to boost market share, the five-year target price could reach around €80 per share. In a base-case scenario, reflecting a more normalized yet steadily growing trading environment, the target price might be closer to €40 per share. In the worst-case scenario—if markets remain persistently calm and competitive pressures intensify—the target could drop to about €15 per share. Given the current market environment, the probabilities are 30% for the best-case, 60% for the base-case, and 10% for the worst-case. Additionally, the discount rate in the DCF 6%, reflecting today’s economic landscape risk premium. With these assumptions, discounting the future target prices at 6% yields present values of approximately €60, €30, and €11 for the best, base, and worst scenarios respectively. Weighting these figures accordingly results in an expected intrinsic value of around €37 per share today. So, what does this mean for investors? At current trading levels in the mid-€20s, Flow Traders appears to be undervalued relative to its long-term potential. Although the firm is currently not paying dividends—opting instead to reinvest its profits to grow its trading capital—the strategic focus on reinvestment may unlock greater growth opportunities. In essence, Flow Traders represents an intriguing volatility play: it can generate outsized returns in turbulent times while offering a balanced risk/reward profile in more normalized markets. Ultimately, Flow Traders’ strategic decision to suspend dividends underscores its commitment to long-term growth. Investors are essentially buying into the firm’s reinvestment strategy, which has historically delivered strong returns on trading capital. As market volatility and technological advancements continue to drive the industry, Flow Traders is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and create shareholder value over the long run. Speculation: With Trump’s tariffs continuing to rock global markets and trigger bouts of heightened volatility reminiscent of past trade wars, there’s reason to speculate that Flow Traders could find itself in a particularly advantageous position. As tariffs fuel uncertainty and market swings—further rattling investor confidence and prompting rapid shifts in liquidity—Flow Traders’ expertise in market making, especially in ETPs, could allow it to capture significant trading opportunities. The elevated volatility may widen bid-ask spreads and boost trading volumes, directly benefiting firms like Flow that thrive on rapid, high-frequency trades. While these are merely speculative thoughts, given the unpredictable nature of tariff-driven market disruptions, Flow’s focus on liquid, exchange-traded products might well make this turbulent period a silver lining for the company.
ELong
by The_Prince