Idea is based on median line analysis, Bollingerbands are used to identify reversal signals and breakouts/breakdowns. The rationale behind this technical analysis is shown on the chart along with concrete targets and stop loss (a close above it invalidates the idea. Good luck guys. Appologies for the font size somehow it is way bigger than was shown on my screen!!!
Close to bollinger bands after strong expansion up and a 1.7 point cycle(+-) has been developing for a year, which all put together points to a possible top soon. The target is in the 19.9-20 area.
Bollinger band sell signal / lack of band expansion / lack of volume confirmation of new all time highs is troubling. If this sell pans out, expect at least a test of midpoint (20 sma) fairly soon.
Overall most of the indicators point to the fact that we are not breaking the trend. There is SOME volume, but not volume the way we saw in the bubble. If anything it's volume that supports price stability around this range, however I think selling could be imminent. The same pattern of volatility has taken place all the way down the trend line in respect to the...