Volumepriceanalysis
PARAGMILK Swing Trade SetupThis will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. This is for only for my learning purpose and maintaining my trading journal.
PARAGMILK is in downtrend from 2018 and Forming Descending Triangle and broke trendline resistance with good volume.
CMP is 112.30
Nearby Support is at 98.
Nearby Resistance is at 128.
Not Defining any targets or SL just posting views of stock charts which are looking good for trade setups.
Always do your analysis and trust your own analysis.
📊 Volume Profile: IndicatorsThere’s a reason why trading volume has been a standard indicator on every piece of charting software over the last 30 years… it provides a crucial edge.
Volume provides you with logical insight into the activity of market participants at varying price levels. Volume analysis helps traders to become more reactionary to price movements rather than trying to predict where price will go next, as is the case with most technical indicators.
📍Key takeaways about volume
Key takeaways about the normal volume indicator plotted on the X-axis in trading:
🔹Volume Indicator: The normal volume indicator measures the total number of shares or contracts traded during a given time period. It is commonly displayed as a histogram or line chart, with the X-axis representing time.
🔹Liquidity: Volume is a crucial metric as it provides insights into the liquidity of a security. Higher volume generally indicates greater market participation and liquidity, making it easier to buy or sell the asset without significantly impacting its price.
🔹Confirmation: Volume can confirm the validity of price movements. In an uptrend, increasing volume supports the bullish move, suggesting strength and conviction among buyers. Conversely, declining volume during an uptrend may signal weakness or lack of interest. The same principles apply to downtrends.
🔹 Breakouts and Reversals: Volume analysis is often used to identify breakouts and potential trend reversals. A significant increase in volume during a breakout suggests a higher probability of a sustained move, while decreasing volume near a support or resistance level might indicate a potential reversal.
🔹Divergence: Volume can reveal divergence between price and market sentiment. For example, if prices are rising but volume is decreasing, it could suggest that the rally is losing steam and a reversal may be imminent. Similarly, increasing volume during a price decline might indicate selling pressure and further downside potential.
🔹Confirmation of Patterns: Volume can provide confirmation or invalidation of chart patterns such as triangles, head and shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. Higher volume during pattern formations enhances their reliability, while low volume can cast doubt on the pattern's significance.
🔹Watch for Extreme Volume: Abnormal spikes in volume can indicate significant market events, such as earnings releases, news announcements, or institutional buying/selling. Unusual volume can lead to increased volatility and potentially offer trading opportunities.
🔹Relative Volume: Comparing current volume to historical average volume helps gauge the significance of the current trading activity. Higher volume relative to the average may imply increased interest, while lower volume might suggest a lack of conviction or reduced market participation.
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📊Volume Profile: Components & Concept📍What is a volume profile?
A Volume Profile is an advanced charting indicator that displays total volume traded at every price level over a user specified time period.
📍Volume Profiles Uses:
🔷 Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels for Setups
🔷 Determine Logical Take Profits and Stop Losses
🔷 Calculate Initial R Multiplier
🔷 Identify Balanced vs Imbalanced Markets
🔷 Determine Strength of Trends
📍Volume Profile Components:
🔹Point of Control (POC): Price level where the most volume traded for the session. Commonly referred to as the POC.
🔹Value Area (VA): Price range in which a user specified percentage volume was traded for a session. Volume profile traditionalist use 70% as it close to 1 standard deviation from the mean. The Point of Control is used as the mean on a volume profile.
🔹Volume Area High(VAH) : This represents the price level at which the highest volume of trades occurred during the analyzed period inside VA. It indicates a significant level of trading activity and is often considered a key resistance level.
🔹Volume Area Low(VAL): Conversely, the Volume Area Low represents the price level with the lowest volume of trades during the analyzed period inside VA. It signifies a level of low trading activity and is typically considered a support level.
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Weekly Price Projection for Brent Crude Oil W/C 17th April 2023Price Range Projection:
Weekly High: ~ $86.58
Weekly Low: ~ $82.818
In the chart above, you can see the price on the 3-hour timescale, along with a fixed range volume profile.
Weekly High Projection
The fixed range volume profile (the horizontal histogram) is an indicator that can be used to show resistance and support levels. The red horizontal line in the close-up chart above indicates the point of control, which is the price level that had the most volume. As you can see, the price stalled around this point. This is where I see the weekly high.
Weekly Low Projection
I have placed the weekly low at a previous support level, which was formed from a chart pattern that had a breakout more than a month ago. This is shown with the two blue trendlines.
📊The Effects of Volume Cheatsheet📍 In trading, volume refers to the number of shares or contracts that are traded within a specific period of time. It is a key technical indicator used by traders and investors to analyze the strength and direction of price movements in the financial markets.
The volume of a security can be used to confirm trends, indicate potential reversals, and identify areas of support and resistance. For example, a sudden increase in trading volume for a particular stock may suggest that a significant news event has occurred or that there is an increase in investor interest. On the other hand, a decrease in volume may indicate that investors are losing interest or that a trend is weakening.
Volume is important in trading because it provides information about market activity and helps traders make informed decisions. By analyzing trading volume along with other technical indicators such as moving averages and price patterns, traders can gain insights into market trends and make more accurate predictions about future price movements.
💥Key Takeaway:
When prices are rising or falling with high volume , it suggests that there is strong participation in the market and that the price movement is likely to continue in that direction . Conversely, when prices are rising or falling with low volume, it may indicate that there is not enough market participation to sustain the price movement and that a reversal could occur.
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$USDJPY Trade 1 on NY Open, BUY #forex #trading
Entering the first trade for the day, London Session.
Buying $USDJPY above the breakout zone indicated on the chart.
Targetting the next resistance zone on the 15min | 1hr timeframes.
Zigzag breakout on support and resisance levels.
New York Open.
Simplicity and Clarity.
Cheers,
G.
CAT: Range Bound Swing TradingCAT developed one of the entry signals I teach this week. The stock rebounded from testing the lows of the trading range. Hybrid indicators suggest large-lot buying is triggering in the lows of the range.
Point gain potential may be limited by the sideways trading range developing, but swing trading can be done within the range if you can catch the entry early in the upswing from the lows and plan to exit near the highs.
This trading range will need to compress near the highs to sustain a breakout to the upside.
INARI sign of bottom with upcoming short term rebound on the wayDespite earnings miss expectations, the price & volume shows that the price is supported with intention to rebound in short term from yesterday 5 mins chart.
However, the upcoming rebound may just be a short term rebound to soften the price fall. Any longer term upside needs to be monitor.
BTC/USD analysis - price actionbased on previous view, I traded the level but on a random price to check if the zone works perfectly. Seems that zones work perfect only if it is meeting certain conditions. checking levels on bigger charts gives more clear view on your investment. Fib retracement on extra candles actually worked which-means having more candle in your area makes your trades more perfect. I will also start adding videos with other indicators in coming sessions.
ROKU setting up a SHORT TRADE ROKU double topped on November 14 and December 2 and then dropped in a downtrend
until 12/28 and reversed. The mid Fib levels of the retracement a drawn onto the chart
are being approached.
I look for ROKU to bounce down off the Fib Level at 52. 2 and drop to approach the SMA 200 ( Red Line)
after first crossing under the SMA 100 ( Blue Line ) and then to the POC line of the volume profile
where buyers should take over and support price. Overall three targets ( SMA 100, SMA200, POC)
and a three tier take profit scheme for a very conservative trade.
💎 Analyzing the Various Shapes of Volume ProfilesVolume Profile is a tool that shows how much volume (i.e. the number of trades) is happening at different price levels for a given asset.
It is used by traders to analyze order flow and make inferences about market direction, support and resistance, and potential reversal areas.
The patterns in a Volume Profile may appear random at first glance, but there are certain recurring shapes that can be used to make predictions about the market.
🔵 P-Shaped Volume Profile
A P-shaped Volume Profile is a chart pattern that typically occurs when a market experiences a sharp rise followed by consolidation.
The lower part of the P-shaped profile represents low volume rejection, while the wider upper part shows an increase in trading activity at a "fair" price.
These patterns are often seen during uptrends, but can also indicate the end of a downtrend and a potential short covering rally, which is seen as a bullish signal.
🔵 b-Shaped Volume Profile
A b-shaped Volume Profile is a chart pattern that forms when a market experiences a sharp decline followed by consolidation.
It is the opposite of a P-shaped profile and is often seen during downtrends. The upper part of a b-shaped profile represents low volume and an "unfair" perception of price,
while the wider bottom part shows an increase in trading activity and a balance between buyers and sellers.
If a b-shaped profile appears during an uptrend, it could potentially indicate a reversal. These patterns are generally seen as bearish signals, as they often represent longs exiting the market.
🔵 D-Shaped Volume Profile
A D-shaped Volume Profile is a chart pattern that occurs when there is a temporary balance in a market. The Point of Control (POC), which is typically located in the center of the profile,
indicates an equal number of buyers and sellers. Some traders view a D-shaped profile as a sign of a choppy or sideways market without a clear direction,
while others see it as an opportunity to anticipate a potential breakout in either direction as institutional players build up their positions.
🔵 B-Shaped Volume Profile
A B-shaped Volume Profile is a chart pattern that occurs when two D-shaped profiles appear within a specific time period. It is characterized by a single value area and Point of Control (POC),
although some traders may divide the profile into two separate "D-areas" with their own value areas. B-shaped profiles are generally seen as a continuation of a trend,
but it is important to note which POC is more dominant, as this can indicate whether activity was highest at the top or bottom of the profile.
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No doom, gloom or pivot. Just one aliens TA.An alien trader landed on earth and was given a chart of the combined** US indices (futures). Luckily, and not coincidentally, he knew TA.
He had never heard of people like J.Powell and J.Cramer, or places like China, Ukraine and Russia.
this is what he saw:
Bullish:
- Broke out 'above' the main diagonal trend (bullish)
- Made a Higher High (bullish)
- Note that, on a VERY high TF, the Bull market rides on and up (see "Higher Range Frame" box)
Neutral
- Has arrived at the key POC (neutral) and is sandwiched between zones of lower past volume (LVN's)
- The 100MA/400MA was moving towards a "neutral cross" (the midpoint between the MA's is flat and not changing)
Bearish
In higher time/range frames the index has not made a new swing high. (see "Higher Range Frame" box)
NOTES
**There are multiple ways to merge ES, NQ and YM, as well as alternative indices like $NYA and Wilshire 5000. The *best* option depends on what it is used for (ex. a sphere is a good model of the earth for the astronomer, but not for the mountain climber). A simple average (ES + NQ + YM)/3 is ruled out because one point has a different value for each index. To address this, each index is weighted so that a 1 point change will imply the same change in $ terms (For weights see www.barchart.com
Alternative criterion for weighting include capitalization, number of stocks and beta weighting.
[i Epilogue - After watching a TA channel on You Tube for 5 min. he departed abruptly pausing only to grab a clean towel. He is believed to be following in the dolphins footsteps.
DOWJ not looking great from a TA perspective.Purely from a TA perspective I am looking to short DOWJ right now. We perfectly pinged the top order block after the positive inflation report today, given that the weekly oscillator is overbought I am l feeling bearish at the moment.On top of that, this recent rally isn't backed by any decent relative volume.