W-pattern
The REAL Bull-Market Has Yet To Come: Here's Proof!In this analysis I want to talk about the M2 Global Money Supply indicator. This indicator basically shows how much money there is in circulation and how much is being printed.
The indicator itself is not that usefull since it's just going up (more money is printed over time). However, the rate at which money is printed is more interesting, hence I slapped an RSI indicator on top of it.
As seen on the chart, the RSI of the Global M2 shows that Bitcoin tops around the time that the RSI tops. It's not accurate enough for day-trading, but at least useful for to detect long-term moves.
The RSI of the Global M2 has always topped around the 70-75 points. It's currently sitting at 60.3, so there's quite some room left to grow (last time it took almost a year to go from 60 >75).
Furthermore, we can see that the "real" bull-market or Hype Phase starts once the RSI is above 65 and continues to climb.
In short, the "real" bull-market has not started yet and BTC has much more room to grow over the next 1-2 years.
Happy to hear your thoughts on this analysis.
Weekend Technical Analysis Fiesta - Name Your Crypto!Has been too long since the last time that we had a crypto fiesta!
Short-term view:
As discussed in my last few analyses, BTC remains in a gray area. Bullish above the top yellow resistance and bearish below the bottom purple support. Stocks are breaking out bullish, so I'd expect BTC to follow.
Very choppy market.
🎉CRYPTO FIESTA🎉
Comment your favorite crypto below and I'll do my best to make an easy to understand technical analysis on it. Will be making these analyses all weekend!
Give this analysis a like if you enjoy the content🙏
Bullish W - pattern Between 19th and 31st of July a bearish M-pattern was created, followed by massive drop.
In the recent days we see a bullish W-pattern building and once it is finished the probability for a long entry is high, with a profit target at 72K.
Additionally BTC is building the pattern after the RSI has already broken the 14 days SMA.
An additional RSI-divergence with the double bottoms of the W-pattern would be nice though.
EURGBP BUYAs we can see we have broken the trendline from the previous trend hinting at a potential trend change. We also created a higher high after breaking the previous lower high. We got a retest of our zone and now we got confirmation. Now we are looking for a TP1 and TP2 at our 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
AVAX - TRADING AT KEY SUPPORT LEVEL#AVAX/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ AVAX is currently trading at a key support level, and holding this level is crucial for maintaining further bullish momentum.
+ A falling wedge formation is also visible, and a breakout from this pattern could drive the price higher.
+ A clear reversal from the support zone is needed to confirm the bullish trend. We can enter a long trade at the current price, with a stop-loss set below the support zone and a target at the local resistance.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 20.88
Stop Loss: 15.93
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Target 1: 28.10
Target 2: 37.44
Target 3: 48.62
Target 4: 62.34
Target 5: 87.40
Target 6: 99.28
Target 7: 133.97
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Bitcoin Reversal After Hitting Demand AreaIn my two most recent BTC analyses I talked about an ideal area for entry in case BTC reversed from the top yellow resistance of the channel it has been trading in for 6 months at this point.
As expected, the green area on the chart has functioned as a huge area of demand, right in between the supports (yellow and purple). The drop was a bit more steep than initially anticipated due to a big sell-off in the stock markets, but the reversal is here nevertheless.
At this moment it's still unclear whether BTC will find its way up all the way towards the top of the channel yet again. The daily shooting-star wick suggests that bulls took over in the short-term, however.
As mentioned in previous analyses, BTC is currently trading in a longer term grey zone. I'm bullish above the top yellow resistance and bearish below the bottom purple support. It's not the time for long-term longs or shorts, in my view.
Remember my last ETH analysis where I talked about the initial bearish shock after the spot ETF approval (we saw the same with the BTC spot ETF). If the BTC ETF is any indication, we will enter a long-term trend from here.
Bitcoin (BTC) - Comparing 2020 vs 2024#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ After the Bitcoin halving, the expected price correction began in late 2019 and continued through the first quarter of 2020.
+ In 2020, BTC was anticipated to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction. However, due to the unexpected COVID-19 black swan event, the price experienced an even further decline.
+ Currently, we are observing a similar pattern following the 2024 Bitcoin halving. The price correction began as expected, and last week, there was an additional 33% drop from the peak (compared to a 53% drop in 2020).
+ If the recovery follows a normal pattern, the price is expected to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction, which would occur in November 2024.
+ If another black swan event were to occur, the price could potentially crash further, dropping to the 37K-40K range. However, this is unlikely unless such an event happens.
+ Let’s see how this situation unfolds.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
BAKE: Breakout will push price by 200%#BAKE/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ BAKE has repeatedly retested a key support zone, demonstrating resilience as the price continues to hold strong at this level. The latest test of this support presents a potential opportunity for a bounce back.
+ Multiple Retests: The price has tested this support zone multiple times, each time holding firm, which reinforces the strength of this level.
+ Current Setup: The price has once again hit the support, and we anticipate a bounce back from this zone, offering a favorable setup for a long trade.
+ Trade Opportunity: Given the consistent strength of this support zone, entering a long position with a target based on the expected bounce could be a promising strategy.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.2918
Stop Loss: 0.1790
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Target 1: 0.3442
Target 2: 0.4085
Target 3: 0.5613
Target 4: 0.8131
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Bitcoin Dumping: Just A Little More!In my last BTC analysis I talked about the post-ETF sell-off that BTC saw, and which would likely trigger after the Ethereum ETF.
We're now a few days after the fact and crypto is selling off hard, especially the alts.
In my opinion, it's likely that BTC will keep on going down. We might see a short-term reversal in the near future due to being extremely oversold, but in the end I assume we will still revisit the green area as mentioned in this analysis:
The green area is an ideal entry for the bulls. Ideally, it's paired with a daily oversold RSI.
At the moment, my market outlook is neutral. Will switch bullish when we will break through the top yellow resistance and bearish if we fall through the bottom purple support.
Interested to read your BTC outlook in the comments.
Double Bottom w/ Break of Confirmation!! - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the Daily chart!
The Lows @ .83972 & .83827 seem to have found enough Support in this Zone since its last visit back in the summer of 2022!
After BOE decided to cut their Interest Rates to 5% on Thursday, we see the end of the week gave us quite a Bullish close above the Lower High @ .8490 CONFIRMING the Double Bottom Reversal Pattern!!
With the:
-Divergence of Price vs RSI @ Level of Support
-Break of Structure from LL to HH
-and Price on RSI Above 50
*All that's left is to wait for Price to retrace back down to the .8490 area where the Break of Confirmation of Pattern happened for some potential Buy Opportunities!!
Gold Price Explosion? Key Patterns Indicating Major Moves Ahead!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD
Overview
The chart presents the price action of Gold Spot (XAUUSD). Key technical patterns and significant support/resistance levels are highlighted to provide insights into potential price movements.
Key Patterns and Levels
Descending Channel:
The price previously moved within a descending channel, marked by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a downtrend.
The breakout from the descending channel suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Support/Resistance Levels:
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A crucial level providing a foundation for significant price movements, shown with blue lines.
LTF (Lower Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A lower time frame level within the channel, highlighting short-term price actions.
1HR Double Top: A resistance level around 2458.3 where the price is currently facing a decision point.
Bullish Patterns:
3 Touch Flag: A bullish flag pattern with three touches indicating potential continuation if the price breaks above the resistance.
Daily Bull Flag: A larger time frame bull flag pattern suggests a bullish continuation if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Liquidity Zones:
Weekly LQZ: A liquidity zone around 2484, which acts as a significant resistance level.
Daily LQZ: A zone around 2348.8 providing a major support level.
Current Market Conditions:
The price is currently testing the 1HR double top resistance. A rejection at this level could indicate a potential short position, while a clear break above could confirm a long position.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a clear rejection or break above the 1HR double top to determine the direction of their positions.
Monitor Key Levels: Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels and liquidity zones to gauge potential price movements and market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Gold is at a critical juncture with significant patterns indicating possible major moves ahead. Traders should closely monitor the 1HR double top and key support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
Ethereum ETF Launch Causing Temporary Crypto Dump!Last week was the official launch of the long anticipated Ethereum spot ETF. Sadly, the markets dumped right after trading went life.
We have seen the exact same thing happen earlier this year with the BTC spot ETF launch, where the ETF lost over 26% of its value in the first 7 trading days. The Ethereum ETF is currently trading at -12% after 7 trading days.
Historically, great crypto news has ALWAYS caused some kind of dump. See the analysis below for reference:
Although we're going down, I think it's a merely temporary dump. Like mentioned in my most recent BTC analysis, I think that the green area on the chart is the perfect area to start buying in again in the hopes of a turnaround in the ETF's trading direction.
Share your thoughts on whether this analysis makes sense or not. Happy to hear what you think!
EUR/USD Market Trends: Insights and ForecastsRecent Movement: The price has been relatively volatile in the recent period, with several ups and downs. Currently, the price is trading slightly above the key support level around 1.0825.
Support and Resistance: The horizontal lines drawn on the chart suggest potential support and resistance levels. A break above the nearest resistance level around 1.0850 could signal further upward momentum, while a break below the support level around 1.0825 could indicate potential weakness.
Trend: It is difficult to definitively identify a clear trend based on this timeframe. The price has been fluctuating between support and resistance levels, suggesting a potential sideways or ranging market.
Short-Term (Next Few Days): The price is currently near a key support level. If it holds above this level, we might see a retest of the resistance level around 1.0850. However, a break below the support could lead to further downside.
Medium-Term (Next Week): The overall trend remains unclear. A sustained move above the resistance level could signal a bullish bias, while a sustained move below the support level could indicate a bearish bias
This Simple Error Cost Me Big on XAUUSD! Learn From My Mistakes!Key Levels and Zones
Highs and Lows:
HH (Higher High) and LH (Lower High) are marked on the chart.
The chart shows a recent HH and LH indicating a bullish trend with a potential pullback.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
4HR LQZ at 2474.891: This zone might act as a significant resistance level.
4HR LQZ at 2432.126 - 2432.046: This zone was previously a resistance level that may now act as support.
4HR LQZ at 2348.453: Another support zone lower on the chart.
Daily Bull Flag:
A daily bull flag is drawn, suggesting a potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price breaks out upwards.
Trading Plan
Identify Key Zones:
Mark key support and resistance levels on your trading platform.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for confirmation signals (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering a trade.
Set Alerts:
Use trading alerts to get notified when the price reaches key levels.
Risk Management:
Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Ensure your risk-reward ratio is at least 1:2.
Review and Adjust:
Regularly review your trades and adjust your strategy based on market conditions.
Gold Breakout Imminent? Uncover the Explosive Potential of GOLD!Current Trend
Bull Flag Formation: The chart indicates a bull flag pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that usually occurs after a strong uptrend (flagpole). The consolidation within the flag is typically a pause before the next upward move.
Trendlines: The yellow trendlines outlining the flag suggest that the price is currently testing the upper boundary of this consolidation range.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
78.60%: This level is around 2431.637 (coincides with a 4HR LQZ), acting as a strong resistance zone.
61.80%: Around 2410.880, which the current price has just crossed, potentially indicating bullish momentum.
50.00%: Around 2393.940, served as a support level during the consolidation.
38.20%: Around 2372.760, another support level during the consolidation.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ)
4HR LQZ at 2431.637: A significant resistance zone that aligns with the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a critical area to watch for potential price reaction.
4HR LQZ at 2349.449: A key support zone which held during the recent consolidation phase.
Price Action
Current Price: At 2410.880, the price is approaching the critical resistance at the 4HR LQZ (2431.637).
Breakout Potential: If the price can break and hold above the 2431.637 level, it may confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, targeting higher liquidity zones.
Support Levels: The price needs to stay above the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level (2410.880) to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below could lead to further consolidation or a bearish reversal.
Daily Bull Flag
Upper Trendline: The price nearing the upper trendline of the daily bull flag indicates potential breakout if breached.
Lower Trendline: Support if the price pulls back.
Trading Strategy
Long Entry:
Upon a confirmed breakout above the 4HR LQZ at 2431.637, with a potential target of the next daily liquidity zone at 2475.281.
Use the 50.00% retracement level (2393.940) as a support for placing stop-loss to protect against downside risk.
Short Entry:
If the price fails to break above the 4HR LQZ and shows bearish reversal signs, a short trade could be considered with a target back to the lower 4HR LQZ at 2349.449.
Use the current price level (2410.880) as a resistance for stop-loss placement.
Risk Management:
Utilize appropriate position sizing and risk management to account for volatility and potential price fluctuations.
Summary
Bullish Outlook: If the price breaks above the 2431.637 level, indicating a continuation of the bull flag pattern, with targets at 2475.281 and beyond.
Bearish Outlook: If the price fails to break above 2431.637 and shows a reversal, potential downside targets include 2393.940 and 2349.449.
Monitoring the price action around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next significant move for XAUUSD.