BTC Wyckoff Accumulation This is my first time publishing an idea.
I've been reading on bear patterns and came across "Wyckoff Acccumulation Schematic" on google images.
I've attempted to forcast according to Wyckoffs schematic. I suggest googling it to compare it with what I've drawn.
From my understanding, accumulation patterns precede a a large bullish momentum - so I see BTC resuming a strong bullish trend after June.
Please comment on changes you would make to key points corresponding to Wyckoffs accumulation schematic
Wyckoffaccumulation
Classic BTMM weekly cycle?The classic forex-like behaviour of BTC this week seems to continue playing out.
Sunday/Monday: stop hunt rise and drop
Monday: false move week beginning, a drop lower
Late Monday to early Wednesday: continuous rise with small level test above / at Sunday stop hunt
Early Wednesday: midweek reversal, top of the pattern
Mid Thursday: second leg of the M
Thursday/Friday: completion of the M, drop into level 1
Early Friday: continuation to the downside, level 2 and level 3 to be confirmed
Should this play out, it also fits within a Wyckoff accumulation pattern on the daily, with the Secondary Test (the Monday stop hunt) being broken and a new low printed before a rise to test the high of the Automatic Reaction level at 40k-41k.
Scary stuff.
Continuation Wyckoff Distribution on Bitcoin 1H is the low soon?As we can see the Wyckoff schematic still holds correctly, after getting rejected on the .618 (the second pink circle) last night we are currently testing the support of the .618 fibonacci retracement of the first wave (may 23rd to may 24th). This in combination with the support that was created by the low on 25th of May. If the support holds we could expect an increase towards the 0.786 retracement as a fourth wave.
The current price of today is also testing the 1.272 fib trend extension. When this holds as support it will create another indication that the price is more likely to increase before we are going to see another low.
Ethereum - Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and PhasesHi guys,
just wanted to share an updated version off the Wyckoff accumulation.
We we see resistance around 3k I would say it is very likely to play out like that.
Because ETH is so bullish its possible that we won't touch support but only go to the green area.
PLTR forecastpossible spring might have formed at $17. If price rally up to $24 in the current bullish trend, support will be formed at $18. If not we will expect price will drop to ~$15
OILBRENT WYCKOFF DISCTRIBUTION ANALYSISTrade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 68.0) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
OILBRENT is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
USDOLLAR WYCKOFF DISCTRIBUTION ANALYSISTrade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 92 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short term goals.
Technical analysis: USDOLLAR Waiting for the Range Bound and the beginning of the Ascension Trend.
$ALGO Wyckoff Accumulation with Spring?WARNING: DO NOT TRADE ON THIS CHART
I heard plenty of chatter that BTC formed a Wyckoff Distribution into the dip. Similar to $BTC, I see a fairly neat Wyckoff Accumulation here with $ALGO that may indicate we have seen the bottom. If this holds, we should go "back-up" and flip the resistance into support on a retest.
However, I am new to this pattern and it is possible the "Spring" is actually "ST in Phase B". If that is the case we would drop below $.67.
I would be happy to hear from someone more experienced.
BTC Wyckoff Accumulation Phase - UPDATED!< #NotInvestmentAdvice >
I previously published a version of this that I now believe was overly-pessimistic. With a couple additional days of hourly bars closed, I believe this updated version lines up the Wyckoff events far more accurately.
In particular, I believe the Phase "A" events (PS, SC, AR, ST) line up perfectly according to their textbook descriptions, which places us solidly into Phase "B" at this time.
PLEASE NOTE: The dotted projection lines & arrows are conjecture/guesstimation ONLY - it is impossible for anyone to predict exactly where the market will move in the future.
Having said that, I believe the remainder of this accumulation phase will very likely follow the general parameters of this Wyckoff pattern. Personally, I am preparing take modest profits between $42k-$46k in preparation fro a possible plunge below $29k intended to shake out any remaining "weak hands" and transfer their BTC to the Large Interests and the Composite Man Composite Man . If that does happen, I want to be prepared to accumulate along with those interests.
Note that NOT all Wyckoff accumulations involve the "Spring", and in fact we may not even drop below $29k, that may have actually been the Bottom. But after the turbulence of the past couple weeks, I'm not betting my portfolio on that, and I'm making sure I am fully prepared for both of these contingencies, and I have a plan in place in case of further drop. I suggest *everyone* has their own plan in place appropriate to their personal investment strategy. (If you happen to be using leverage, BE CAREFUL and do not engage in wishful thinking! Plan in advance what you'll do if you need to ride BTC down to an unanticipated low!)
Again, personally I do NOT believe we are in a bear market; I believe what we are seeing is the result of blatant & obvious market manipulation by the Large Interests that want to buy our crypto at fire-sale prices (<$30K? WTF??? That's just GREEDY!) I expect these interests are going to try to hold our heads underwater until we lose our nerve, capitulate, and cash out at current prices or lower. I have no interest in doing that. I *hope* we've already bounced off the bottom & have a linear move straight up to the Moon, but I don't really believe that. Hope for the Best, but Prepare for the Worst ...
Lastly, I STRONGLY URGE you to spend 20 minutes educating yourself on the basics of Wyckoff theory by reading the overview page at: school.stockcharts.com
Technologies change, but human nature & emotions don't, which I believe is why this 100 year old theory still provides value!
Crash not finished ! Support volume down just under 20 K
There's no point selling out at this point if you haven't done it already....another 4-50% losses to come in next days to weeks....
The best policy here is to just HODL as you've already taken a 50% loss. There market in my opinion will recover but it will take months.
When there is a sign of recovery rally it will be obvious but will accumulate phase for weeks or even months. Don't buy until the lower range support
and resistance has become established BOX. Then scalp / or swing trade for only 5-15% profits with only 10% of your sidelined cash reserves.
Use the profits to buy more of your STRONGEST coins first. Once they are at breakeven, sell them. Then you'll have growing cash reserves.
Keep doing these small trades 5-15% don't be greedy ....keep buying up the next strongest coin you have ( smallest drawdown),
and knock them off like dominos until you have gained all your losses back.
This is how to BOTTOM FEED strategy and reclaim your losses over the next few months.
I suggest BUYING only ETHERIUM after you have got your FUNDS back to breakeven.
ETHERIUM ETHERIUM ETHERIUM is the gest coin to own right now....forget ALTS until you have a good profit in Etherium and the BULL market
is resuming for the NEXT 50% Phase to the TOP.....
I am not a financial advisor
ps. ONly my own way to get out of this mess, good luck !
BTC Possible Entry to Wyckoff Accumulation PatternAfter seeing some content describing the correlation between BTC's recent price activity and the Wyckoff Distribution pattern (many thanks to YouTuber "Uncomplicated"!) and seeing how perfectly they matched, I took the next logical step to project what it might look like if we transitioned directly into a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern.
This Idea presents one possibility of what that might look like. I have drawn this Idea to be intentionally pessimistic, as I am "planning for the worst & hoping for the best". Based on this work, I am preparing for the possibility that I may need to HODL my BTC down to a price point of approximately $15k ... something I would have thought impossible a few months ago, but it doesn't seem so impossible anymore. The upside of that, obviously, would be to accumulate additional crypto during this cycle.
NOTE: All price levels & timespans are guesstimated for projection purposes; if we actually do enter such a phase, it could be shallower & faster, or deeper & slower, depending on more variables than anyone can be aware of.
ALSO NOTE: I HOPE I'M WRONG ON THIS! I am long-term bullish on crypto projects in general & BTC in specific. As a career technologist, I believe deeply in the purpose & mission of crypto assets, and what they can provide in our world. I am hoping for a best case scenario where the recent plunge to $29k is the absolute lowest bottom we ever see again for BTC ... but I wouldn't bet my life on it.
For a description of Wyckoff theory, check out: school.stockcharts.com
#NotFinacialAdvice