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Wyckoffdistribution

BITCOIN Bearish Wyckoff Distribution 🚨 Supply in ControlWhales have been manipulating Bitcoin in a Wyckoff Distribution schematic since 12/5/23 (before the GBTC and FTX sell off.) Currently: 🚨 Bitcoin dropped below bottom of Trading Range to create a Sign of Weakness in Phase D. 🚨 Bitcoin flipped the bottom of the Trading Range at $40,150 to resistance and created its final Last Point of Supply for shorts to enter. 🚨 With the CME Gap Fill, GBTC and FTX sell offs, Bitcoin is soon entering Phase E: Supply in Control where everyone realizes there is little chance of a bounce and everyone panic sells.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ChartCinema
Wyckoff Schematic #1: Distribution for #BTC USDBlackRock is making a big move into Bitcoin with an ETF aimed at wealthy baby boomers. They are a huge financial company with $9 trillion in assets under management. BlackRock bought 11,500 Bitcoins, diving into the market, expecting a big comeback. Despite the leviathan's moves, market's reaction to ETF approvals is erratic. The market is reacting to rumors with schizophrenia. Bitcoin's price drops below $43,000, and traders don't seem to be reacting much to the ETF rumors. This "sell-the-news" effect is not a sign of a positive This isn't a sign of a strong trend. It's the sound of uncertainty. It's like the crowd leaving the theater before the play is over. And there's more. The delay in the Ethereum ETF by American bank TD Cowen disrupts market optimism. It shows that not everything is good in the rules, and not every opportunity in crypto will be accepted. This news alone could start a bearish turn. It may lead to $40K support being seen as a trapdoor to lower lows. The market sentiment has become neutral after ETF, and it's like the calm before a storm. The dip under $42,000 is not a discount—it's a warning shot. Traders eyeing support at $40K might find themselves not at the bottom. It's a precipice with a market ready to capitulate. Now, let's turn our gaze to the two scenarios laid out before us in the tale of two charts. If we keep going down, the Wyckoff Method shows that we're in for a big surprise. This isn't a methodical distribution. It's a tactical retreat by smart money. Retail holders are left to play a game of musical chairs. The music has stopped and there are no chairs left. If we surge up, breaking resistance, the recent top at $49,000 might be just a pitstop. It could be an 'Upthrust' (UT), followed by 'Upthrust After Distribution' (UTAD). This wouldn't show a market going back, but a market getting ready to jump past $50,000 like it's easy. The market is at a turning point. Big forces are pulling in different directions. BlackRock getting into Bitcoin could have a big impact, either positive or negative. It's like a potential leader who might guide people in the wrong direction. The charts show caution. The news indicates change. The best strategy prepares for volatility with strong logic and risk control. Prepare for the worst, hope . To make the most out of it, just remember that the world of cryptocurrency is always changing. So, stay grounded and embrace the fact that change is the only constant. In the world of cryptocurrency, things always change. There's a chance of a big crash or a huge rally, and the risks are very high. The aggressive play here involves more than just looking at charts and news. It's also about understanding the situation. The smart money, the institutions—they're making their moves in broad daylight. If the market goes up again, BlackRock's buying of a lot of Bitcoin when the price was low could be a great move. It shows that the current prices might just be a phase before a big increase. This isn't just how the market works. It's like a very risky game of chess, but with digital money. If the market turns bearish, the Wyckoff structure may lead to a landslide. This would serve as a stark reminder of the law of action and reaction. The crash, if it comes, will not be gentle. When the market turns and support levels weaken, it will show how harsh markets can be. In this volatile mix, the news of ETF approvals and delays is like throwing gasoline on the fire. It's the kind of fuel that could either ignite the market to new heights or burn the hopes of many to ashes. After ETF approvals and delays, market sentiment is uncertain. It can either lead to a big change or signal a surprising move. This is not a market for the indecisive. This market is for people who are brave enough to handle a big drop or are sure enough to go along with a big increase. As news comes out, the story changes, and this makes the future of Bitcoin more mysterious. In such times, be aggressive. Don't just watch, be actively prepared for contingencies. Keep your eyes wide open, your decisions data-driven, and your investments diversified. The big crash, if it's on the horizon, will be ruthless. The big rally, if it's in the cards, will be exuberant. The winner pivots with precision. They are backed by insight and unshaken by crypto currents. Proceed with caution, but proceed nonetheless. This is the world of crypto. Here, the courageous succeed and the cautious endure. Choose your path wisely. school.stockcharts.com
Long
by osodatsismoso
1
GBPUSD December 8 2023 Sell TradeAs you can see GBP USD is in a bullish momentum, but i see a clear manipulation of highs from 4h going to 15min TF each. So i decided to take sell trade in one of the POI (point of interest) i am seeing in the charts, of course based on proof not on speculation. After seeing validity on 1H TF , I checked again the 15minutes TF (my favorite TF for pending order to maximize risk to reward ratio) only to find out that it gives me a reason to sell and aim for that level ( check the charts for details.) . Another key factor here is always checked the market structure starting from daily-4h-3h-2h-1h-30min-15min for confluences. RR: 1:6 (simple trade) wyckoff schematics trade. work smart :)
by glyrad
15
🔄 BCH: Fractals of Accumulation, Manipulation and DistributionIn the intricate dance of market dynamics, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) appears to be orchestrating a familiar tune, following the classic pattern of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. Understanding this cyclical behavior may provide valuable insights for traders navigating the BCH landscape. Chart Analysis: Unraveling the Pattern Accumulation Phase: BCH has entered a phase of accumulation, characterized by sideways movement and the formation of a trading range between $177 and $270. Accumulation suggests the gathering of positions by savvy investors, preparing for a potential upward move. Manipulation Dynamics: Historical patterns indicate that BCH often experiences manipulation after accumulating within a range. Traders should be alert to sudden and unexpected price swings as manipulation unfolds. Distribution Anticipation: Following the manipulation phase, BCH typically enters a distribution phase, where accumulated positions are released. This distribution could lead to a swift decline, potentially revisiting lower support levels. Projected Scenario: A Cautious Path Forward Range Trading: $177 to $270: Traders may anticipate range-bound movements within the $177 to $270 zone as accumulation continues. Establishing strategic positions within this range might be a prudent approach. Manipulation Swings: Be prepared for sudden and sharp price swings, indicating manipulation in progress. Active risk management is crucial during these volatile periods. Downside Potential: $160 Target: In the event of manipulation leading to distribution, a potential downside target is around $160. This level represents a historical support zone that could attract buying interest. Upside Momentum: $370 Objective: Upon completion of the distribution phase, a swift reversal and surge towards $370 may unfold. This upward momentum could signal the start of a new bullish cycle. Strategic Approach: Navigating the BCH Landscape Range Trading Tactics: Traders can capitalize on the range-bound nature of BCH by strategically entering and exiting positions within the $177 to $270 range. Risk Mitigation During Manipulation: In anticipation of manipulation, active risk management, including the use of stop-loss orders, is crucial to safeguarding capital. Long-Term Perspective: Long-term investors may view the accumulation phase as an opportunity to accumulate BCH at favorable prices, anticipating the potential for a significant upward move. Conclusion: BCH's Symphonic Movement As Bitcoin Cash (BCH) dances through its accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases, traders and investors alike have the opportunity to decipher the symphony of market dynamics. By understanding and strategically responding to these phases, participants can navigate the BCH landscape with greater confidence. 🔄 Accumulation in Progress | 📉 Anticipating Manipulation | 🔄 Distribution Patterns ❗See related ideas below❗ Share your perspectives on Bitcoin Cash's market movements, contributing to a collaborative analysis that enhances the collective understanding of this digital asset. 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
🔥 Bitcoin In Wyckoff Distribution: Top Is In?Over the last couple of week's I've been very bullish on the market. My 40.000 thesis for this year is still my personal most likely scenario, but that doesn't mean that we can't look at the market from a more bearish perspective. So, in this analysis I want to take a look at a bearish Bitcoin scenario that might be playing out at the moment. Bitcoin might be trading in a Wyckoff distribution pattern. As seen on the chart, the BC/UT/UTAD are nearly identical as on the schematic. Three higher-highs, of which the first two are sold off quickly, and the last (UTAD) took a while before it turned bearish. AR and SOW are also fairly identical to the schematic. Difference is that we had two retests of the AR-low between UT and UTAD. In the end, the schematic is just a schematic and the market will rarely follow it exactly. I'm interpreting it more as a guideline instead of an exact science. Were this pattern to play out, Bitcoin will likely retest the SOW area in the near future, and likely fall through the SOW support. This would also mean that 38.4k is the 2023 top, with a move towards 30.000$ being fairly likely. Like mentioned before, I'm still bullish on the market. However, it's important to spot bearish signs when they are there. The fact that we had three higher-highs which were all sold off is alarming at the very least. Time will tell if this pattern will play out. For now, keep your eyes open and be watchful. Share your thoughts in the comments, interested to see what the community thinks of this pattern.🙏
Short
by FieryTrading
30
November 24, 2023- USDCAD SELL TradeRR: 1:6.6 Daily Structure is Bearish because of the 1D( supply zone 1.38880) , upon checking lower timeframe i saw a clear manipulation of highs and BOS to the downside starting from London to N.Y session last nov 23, so i set a pending order in my mt5 to anticipate the sell trade. After waiting for several hours, the trade was confirmed because of validity (check charts for full detail and clear annotation). from Daily---> down to 4H----> to 1H structure then set pending order using POI of 15 min TF. A clear wyckoff distribution takes place here. another great week :)
Short
by glyrad
4
Wyckoff DistributionMy assessment of the current consolidation pattern for the S&P 500. 15 minute chart so just under the limit for publication so this will pan out fast. Buying climax occurring on higher volume and subsequent rallies on lower volume. UTAD is testing demand and looks like there was a wide range price bar with low volume which may be signaling that demand is weakening. If price reaches lower support lines then higher probability price will continue to go down. If price breaks above resistance then likely see another peak rally. Wave count looks a little off and UTAD may just be a wave 3 peak. Will know soon though with the short time frame evaluated.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HedgehogLanding
US30/USD Shorts from 34600.0 down towards 33800.0My bias for US30 currently is for a bit more upside in order to mitigate the 22hr supply zone or the 19hr, both are apart of a key weekly supply level. From this we will expect a sweep of the asian high as well as a consolidation before entering to show that price is slowing down and buys have now become exhausted. We will then wait for a wyckoff distribution and a CHOCH on the lower time frame before we execute our sell positions. As price has been very impulsively bullish I am expecting a retracement for sure hence my bias. My confluences for US30 shorts are as follows: - Price approaching key weekly supply level that caused a CHOCH to the downside. - There's magnets below our POI that need to be taken in the form a liquidity sweep. - There a lot of imbalances below as well as deeper demand levels for price to mitigate. - Price has been moving very bullish with minimal pull backs so price needs to come down. - For price to continue in bullish trend it needs to react off a stronger level of demand. - 22hr supply has also swept liquidity, good sign that the zone will hold. P.S. I am overall bullish however, as we are approaching a key supply I can see a short term sells playing out in order to fill the imbalances below and mitigate a deeper level of demand. This makes sense because us as traders, we ideally want to buy from a discounted price. As of this week we do have CPI coming on Tuesday, I would personally wait after just to see how price reacts from this major news event then make my move. Trade safe and hope you guys have a good week ahead!
OANDA:US30USDShort
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD Shorts - A grade setup blueprintThis is how I would execute my trades after I analyse on the higher time frames to give me the perfect A grade setup that I go for once price enters my POI. On Sunday I posted a GBPUSD break down of price reacting off the 6hr supply, I mentioned that sells could possibly play out on a Monday which it did, so now I'm going to show you guys how my confluences generates an edge for me to execute these trades. Firstly once price mitigates my 6hr Supply zone I would monitor price and wait for the asian high to get swept first before I validate a potential sell. Then I would wait for a clean CHOCH on the 10 or 15min to validate my UTAD (upthrust after distribution.) Once a CHOCH is formed it would typically leave a last point of supply (LPS), that will have a clean unmitigated order block that would have caused the expansion to happen. If it leaves an imbalance during this process it's usually a very good sign that price should come and retrace back to the LPS. After I have my OB marked out I would set my sell limit In which I would then wait for price to come back and tap me in. From this point I would have already have pre defined my risk, written the confluences and set a take profit target for my trade to hit (in this case we will be targeting the touch of the 4hr imbalance as that acts as a magnet for price to come towards.) In this specific scenario as you can see price didn't come back to the original 10min OB I had marked out. Price then decided to create a small BOS to the downside leaving another LPS for me to enter from which was the 6min OB. From there price came back to tap that 6min OB and literally melted towards our take profit target for a 1:15 RR with minimal drawdown. P.S. when price entered my POI I would make sure that majority of the reversal magnets are eliminated i.e. any trendline liquidity, equal highs/lows, and asian highs/lows, so that price can move swiftly in our desired direction. Hope you guys found this post insightful! as I wanted to show how I would typically execute my trading strategy using Wyckoff to catch big RR moves that enter my Higher time frame POI's.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
Understanding Bitcoin Price MovementUnderstanding Bitcoin Price Movement through Wyckoff's Theory Richard Wyckoff, a legendary figure in the world of trading, left us with invaluable insights into price action and market behavior. His principles, outlined in "Charting the Stock Market," lay the foundation for understanding how markets move. Let's delve into two pivotal rules from Wyckoff's playbook: Rule 1: The Market's Unique Behavior Wyckoff's first rule reminds us that the market is a dynamic entity. It never repeats the same price action exactly as in the past. Each moment in the market is distinct, shaped by a multitude of factors. Recognizing this uniqueness is essential. Rule 2: Comparative Analysis The second rule dovetails with the first. It emphasizes that the true analytical value lies in comparing current price action with historical behavior. By drawing parallels and contrasts, we can extract meaningful insights into market trends. These two rules serve as the cornerstone for comprehending the Wyckoff Market Cycle theory, which remains influential in modern trading practices. Wyckoff Market Cycle Theory Wyckoff introduced a groundbreaking theory based on price action, defining four distinct stages within a price cycle: 1. Accumulation Phase In this initial stage, institutional demand rises, and bulls begin to assert control. However, price action remains relatively flat, resembling a range-bound structure. Identifying higher lows within this range signals the Accumulation phase, hinting at an impending bullish move. 2. Markup Phase The second stage, Markup, sees bulls gaining enough momentum to breach the upper boundary of the range. This breakthrough signifies the emergence of a bullish trend. 3. Distribution Phase Distribution is the third stage, characterized by bears attempting to regain control. Much like the Accumulation phase, price action remains flat, but with a different twist. The sustained failure to establish higher bottoms hints at a looming selloff, depicted by lower tops. 4. Markdown Phase The final stage, Markdown, marks the onset of a downtrend following the Distribution phase. It signifies that bears have gained the upper hand, driving prices lower. Confirmation of the Markdown occurs when price action breaks below the lower boundary of the horizontal distribution channel on the chart. The beauty of Wyckoff's theory is its cyclical nature. After the Markdown phase, the entire process restarts with Accumulation, offering traders a framework to navigate the complexities of Bitcoin price movement. Understanding these principles allows us to discern patterns in Bitcoin's price action and make more informed trading decisions. By embracing the wisdom of Richard Wyckoff, we can navigate the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading. 🫶 Thanks for Your attention, sincerely yours, Kateryna. Wishing You successful trades and unforgettable adventures in the world of cryptocurrencies and the financial market!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
7
USDCAD sept 27 2023 sellAs you can see, there is a shift in market structure 1H TF. Before going further, there is also same scenario if you checked daily TF---> BOS and then going lower. I waited for the level highlighted with institutional candle due to the fact that it sponsored the price to go lower. Upon checking I also see BOS following validity structure :) After that I go to lower timeframe 15min ( where I would normally enter). RR: 1:10 wyckoff distribution with validity/evidence. You can also check the chart for more information. Happy learning!
Short
by glyrad
1
Sept 13 2023 Sell trade USDCADIF you look at daily TF---> you can see a supply being mitigated. Go down to lower Tf like 1H and you can clearly see a shift in market structure validated by HTF supply. I waited for supply to introduced in lower time frame to have an entry. 15 min is my favorite spot to have better Risk to Reward Ratio. As you can see there is bearish market structure. I wait for my IC to have a valid move and after it , enter at mitigation. RR: Aiming for 1:9 let us see if I can catch it. wyckoff distribution in action.
Short
by glyrad
3