X-WAVE
PSLV silver ETVNot much else to say except
a buy zone near 3200 and .382 chosen from %
Target for $PSLV is 31$ ....
Sprott etv's are heavily weighted to the price of silver, which for decades has been accumulating in extremely complex impulses and wxyxz corrections.
The book that I learned wave principle from contained a late 1970's prediction based on the massive abcdefgh...... triangle that had been forming
a failure to break the green 200ma would be my indication that it's actually time for silver.
None of this has to do with anything you think you heard anywhere else about silver. You don't need to know any of it to understand that any chart can be traded 100% on technical analysis on any time frame... The price of silver has hardly ever spent time over 15$ in its lifespan, and expect it to stay at this price level for an extremely long time in order for these patterns to complete
Bitcoin could be at the end of the correction cycleThe current correction looks very similar to an Expanded Flat Correction originating from Elliot Waves theory. A marginal higher high (69k) followed by a leg down that breaks the previous low (30K). EW theory expects the last wave in the Expanded Flat Correction to be a motive wave (5 waves) structure. Completion is typically at the 100% and 123.6% extension of wave A projected from the end of wave B.
The 100% target lies at 33k which caused the initial bounce to 48k, but lacked follow-through and ended up with a bear flag-like structure.
The bear flag broke down and is now heading towards the 123.6% extension. Price bounced just before it. This could be a very bullish signal, but I think this is just the 4th wave bounce. This 4th wave has room to go up to around 33k. After that, I expect to see one last wave (5 of 5) that will barely make a new low and touch the 123.6% target at 25.0275. In very bullish cases, it could fail to make a new low.
Conclusion: according to this perspective buying between 25k to 30k looks like a great entry for the next wave up
Happy trading!
Sources:
1. Expanded Flat Correction (EW). elliottwave-forecast.com
WAVE Up or Down on this Weekly Support? WAVE revisited an important weekly support formed. Where this can be supporting for another major bull trend with a nice reversal or if the sell off remains stronger then we will see a clean breakout on this support formed which can drag the prices for WAVE further downside.
Pick up that COIN when it hits da floorWhen a coin drops it is merely instinctual to pick it right up, thats money we're talking about, can't leave it on the floor...
Using a term I coined, harmonic wolfekraft, I have obtained the following scenario for COIN.
Summary
- Look for a bounce around 135 this week (4/18-4/20 range most likely). The bounce zone is 130-140. If it drops below that we might have a bigger problem on our hands and it could drop as low as 92. More likely to bounce in zone though.
- Initial target of 166 by around 4/25 (before the Apr 29 expiry)
- Intermediate target of 227 -240 by mid-June (the 227 is actually possible by 6/2 )
- Max Target by 6/24 is 350s - this is theoretically possible, but not statistically plausible... the time-series adj. target by 6/24 is 288.
Explaination :
- The bigger picture is that COIN is working toward completing a larger bearish harmonic, with the X at its ATH right after its IPO, the C is TBD but I used logic from the nested smaller harmonics within, levels from wolfe waves, proprietary control charts, and MMM by how options are currently priced to determine a bounce zone/bottom likely in the 130-140 range (worth watching closely this week).
- Within the AB of the larger developing harmonic, COIN completed a nested bearish Crab within a bearish deep crab back on 5/12/'21 - 11/9/'21. From there it started downside to the larger C.
- There is a new nested bearish harmonic development that aligns with a bottoming around 135. A bounce from around 135 would setup for a potential completion of a nested Bearish A Butterfly within a slightly larger Bearish A Butterfly, and interestingly, their D would form right at the intermediate targets I am getting using wolfe-wave EPA-ETA off the 1-4 resistance. These same levels are also showing up as critical levels in a stability monitoring algo I created using control charts and robust rando cut forest. Essentially, below 135 in a weeks time would make COINs level a statistical outlier with over 90% probability of explosive bounce.
- looking at the MMM for Apr 22 the range is 135 -160 which aligns with bounce zone and point bounce level. The MMM for Apr 29 is priced for 130-165 - the initial target/time to target I am getting from using the minor wolfe wave (blue) in chart is 166. I do love this setup. Note the relatively huge wolfe wave buy signal that just occured (bottom panel (wws)); at smaller time frames (5-15 min), there are trace buy signals starting to show up which indicates bounce is near.
- finally, the intermediate targets using the major wolfe wave 1-4 projection (grey in chart) are, indeed, statistically plausible: fitting a time series model to COIN, an optimal selection is ARIMA(2,1,2) w/ p = 0.42. The upper 80-95% Prediction Interval on 6/2 (223-263) spans the intermediate target range of 227-240. The adjusted target by 6/24 of 288 is the 95% PI.. although such a move would be kinda crazy, it could occur in a scenario where BTC explodes and COIN follows and runs to meet its 1-4 projection prior to ETA (not impossible, but not expected TBH).
I am expecting a bounce to initial target and then a continuation on that momentum to the intermediate target range and am considering the following play (FOR THE CURIOUS, OBVIOUSLY NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE):
COIN May 13 160 calls IF it bounces at or before 135 this week
COIN June 17 185 calls IF it bounces at or before 135 this week
Bless you all,
The Alpinist
WAVESUSDT H4Chart shows you everything's
👤SecondChanceCrypto
📅27.april .22
⚠️(DYOR)
Thanks for your Likes and Comments
Iron Mountain (IRM) ..... A Short Term Peak ??Iron Mountain (IRM) has had a 35% run in 35 days.
I have indicated a Wolfe Wave formation which projects a $48 target in early May.
Overlay this with a Harmonic Crab Pattern which is the basis of forming.
(For purists this developing Crab pattern may not meet their more exacting criteria.)
Additionally the indicator in the bottom panel suggests a forming top and needs to roll over.
Nevertheless I would suggest that around the $59 area if archived, may be a good place to extinguish existing positions or even short.
If this doesn't happen then drive on to another situation ,,, never chase.
That's what I will be watching for to take action on.
I will update this as warranted.
Not investment advice, do your own diligence and respect broad markets and World events.
Good Luck
S.
Re-Integration By Parts (near-term FB)This type of scenario/projection requires you to use your imagination a bit - align that with some solid math and some extrapolation and what we have is a very possible near-term scenario:
- Imagine FB never gapped last earnings, what would the price action look like. Is it possible it was forming the final part of its distribution phase that would have decreased in volatility s.t. it took the shape of a triangle pattern, and instead the earnings report accelerated the mark down? What we can do is extrapolate by cloning the current trendlines across the highs and lows post-gap down (blue lines) and populating where the range left off pre-gap. To properly complete the distribution phase might require a retest of the bottom range, and rejection before really tanking it/discounting it (by that I mean it will likely end up sub 170 (shaded red rectangle area) mid-term -- that would be a proper discounting before the next long-term bullish impulse wave can begin.
- Now, introduce some conventional techniques to see if there is a plausible path to test for rejection... recent (minor) bullish wolfe-wave 1-4 EPA @ ETA says yes, indeed, and by May 21st - nearly exactly when that pre-gap support line intersects the 1-4 EPA @ ETA!!
- Finally, is there a setup that would make such a near-term run actually bearish s.t. it would get rejected and complete markdown going into the summer? Indeed, Bearish Deep Crab Harmonic.
In summary:
~ Near-Term long to 258
~ Mid-term short back to 170ish IF rejected after near-term pop
~ Long-term Bullish but will have to re-analyze and update along the way.
There are more details to how/why I drew the path projection the way that I did, it is not random - pop pre-earning (i.e. before next week), small gap down post earnings next week, explosive bounce from that smaller gap to fill said gap and that momentum will take it to near-term target. If you're interested in how I determined this and you are familiar with stochastic analysis/Ito Calculus then we should talk. Otherwise just trust my word the math is gucci.
This would be kinda crazy if it all plays out lmao, but worth bringing up as a perspective on "meta" or whatever; not financial advice or whatnot.
Bless your souls,
The Alpinist
Wave USDT PERP ReviewWave managed to catch the short at $ 60 and take it all the way to $ 19.50 where I was massively shut down.
4H TF 24.500 To 21.00 Resistance Zone
1w TF 18.900 to 18.00 Supporting Zone
Profits! Now I'm telling everyone about the massive reversal of this coin because I've been flipping it for so long.
$ 18 and I am moving my trade towards the targets stated in the chart which is 10% open with expectations.
It breaks its own ATH of 60! Thanks I know this will help everyone to have a better day / night.
Ignore the Noise... Recognize a Buying OpportunityAt the end of the day as long as this stays above 233.68 its a Buy.
- Bigger picture is NFLX can complete a Running Flat C wave if it stays above 233.68 (i.e. does not retrace more than 100% of wave B
- The 5 count of wave C has formed a wolfe wave with the equilibrium point slightly above where it looks like it will open today (i.e. supply = demand near 272)
- look for a bounce at open to test the equilibrium level:
If it breaks above it expect a run further to try and re-enter the wolfe channel [ Initial target 307 by May 2nd ]
If initial target is reached expect that momentum to carry it higher to test upper channel [ Intermediate Target 335 by May 24 ]
A breakout from wolfe channel will give it the setup to run Target = 475 by July 22nd . If this materializes I do not expect it to complete gap fill to 500s without undergoing a minor correction or a least consolidation first.
*** If NFLX has a sustained break below 233.68 it opens up a short opportunity - will re-eval. based on how it behaves in the 234-272 range. But subscribers, I assure you, have nothing to do with this. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Have a blessed day,
The Alpinist