XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdupdates
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October.
Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner.
Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep.
Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while.
However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark.
On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout.
Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target.
On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible).
In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
GOLD UPDATE: First Trade Floating +520 Pips. What's Next?Great start for the week! My final target hasn't been hit yet, floating +520 pips in profit. I'm expecting a pull back to retest QP 2650 which has a 38.2 fib confluence. I will be looking for some bearish price action around this level for a possible second entry. My final Target is still major QP 2600.
What are your thoughts on GOLD? Feel free to leave a comment and share your ideas.
Key Data Signals a Challenging Week AheadThis week, it is essential to prioritize a bearish stance on the gold market, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. As analyzed yesterday, the broader environment remains unfavorable for gold. Trump’s recent election victory continues to strengthen the U.S. dollar, and given his focus on boosting the American economy, gold is likely to face sustained downward pressure.
Additionally, key economic data scheduled for release this week—including Wednesday’s October Consumer Price Index (CPI), Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims, and Friday’s retail sales data—are expected to weigh further on gold prices.
Therefore, the most prudent trading strategy this week is to focus on short positions in the gold market. For those following this analysis, this provides a clear trading direction. For a detailed, actionable trading strategy, please reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.
Bearish trend, the lower target is around 2600Gold daily line fell below a new low again. After a short rebound was blocked, it began to fall. After a short correction, it was ready to break the low again to open the falling wave, and at the same time pulled the indicator to turn downward. The short-term market is expected to repair the rise, and the trading strategy is to maintain the rebound short position.
Gold 4-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short position arrangement. The decline of gold is far from over. After gold fell below the last low of 2643, gold now 2643 has become a resistance to suppress gold's rise. Gold continues to be sold below 2643 in the Asian session. Gold rebounds near 2640 and can be sold.
First support: 2603, second support: 2592, third support: 2578
First resistance: 2633, second resistance: 2642, third resistance: 2658
Trading strategy:
BUY:2602-2604
SELL:2640-2642
XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Trade Plan- No. 1 (Technical + Fundamental)Several weeks ago I indicated that "Bear Market: 2024 United States presidential election, Nov 5, 2024"
What happened next?
Greed kills!
Gold-Trade Plan (No. (1))
Short-Term overview
Bias: Bearish
price: 2668 , 1 Ethereum = 1.18642 XAU (Nov 11, 2024)
Stop level: $ 2700
Target-1: $ 2595
Target-2: $ 2515
Fundamental:
Bearish!
Why Gold Fall Down! And What Is The Next?Hello Traders
Technically
When OANDA:XAUUSD dropped from 2790 gold become fully bearish and i also shared ideas for sell till 2682 but when 2682 could not stable and dropped from 2682 i gives you another target of 2640.
i gave you 2640 target because there was liquidity in 4H and 1D time frame Gold Has filled its liquidity gap and also completed its 4th impulsive wave in H4 and 1D time frame, Now is time to boom for 5th wave and the target is 2864.
Fundamentally
Greed increasing
fear decreased
How to layout gold under a sharp declineOn Monday, gold faced a severe downturn, plummeting by $60, setting a bearish tone for the week.
Fundamental Analysis: Following Trump's victory, the U.S. dollar strengthened as investors anticipated a shift from the Federal Reserve toward a less dovish stance. The market expects that Trump’s proposed economic policies will pave the way for high economic growth in the U.S., potentially complicating the Fed’s efforts to control inflation. This scenario may prompt the Fed to reassess its future policy easing path. All signs point to significant downward pressure on the gold market, suggesting that any rally could provide an opportunity to short.
Technical Analysis: On the hourly chart, gold prices appear to be stabilizing around the 2613 level, indicating that an initial oversold rebound may be imminent.
Current Gold Strategy: Consider long positions around 2613. If prices rebound to approximately 2625, this could serve as an entry point for short positions.
For those following this analysis, these insights should clarify the general trading direction for the week. For a detailed strategy, feel free to reach out. I will be sharing the complete weekly trading strategy with all VIP members.
XAUUSD: 1700+ Pips Sell, Gold is going to melt hard! OANDA:XAUUSD dropped after touching daily order block at $2710, price dropped to $2617 almost achieving 930+ pips. Expecting a minor correction of 300-400 pips taking price to 2650 area where we can enter another sell enter. A possible target of 1700+ pips target. Remember this is swing sell entry. Good luck.
XAUUSD: From $2720 To $2500 A Move of 2200+ Pips ! Comment DownOANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped after creating a record high at 2790$, price dropped as mainly due to US Elections and aftermath of the election. We can see price to drop further after filling up the fair value gap within the market. Please do your own research before taking any decision. Good Luck.
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support 2638
Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling.
Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2668near
SELL:2638near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold’s Pullback May Signal New Buying OpportunityGold began the week on a weak note, with its price dropping by around 200 pips from peak to trough.
However, as I mentioned in my Friday analysis, a potential bottom may be forming, giving bulls hope for a recovery.
Currently, Gold is trading precisely within a former resistance zone that now acts as support.
As long as this level holds, there is a favorable outlook for a reversal.
For now, I remain optimistic about a rebound, with potential for the price to climb back above 2700.
Continued decline, market analysis and strategy sharingGold daily line single K closed negative, the 5-day moving average system crossed the 20-day moving average, and the overall short position was arranged. The auxiliary indicator MACD also crossed downward at a high position.
Gold fell under pressure from high levels, and gold continued to short in the Asian session. The rise of gold last week was just a reaction to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. Gold finally rushed up and fell back, and waited for the rebound to continue shorting.
The 4-hour moving average of gold has now entered a short position arrangement with a dead cross downward. There is still room for gold to fall. Gold fluctuated after the second half of Friday night. Today's Asian session directly broke down, so gold still continued to choose to go down. Gold rebounded near 2690 in the Asian session and continued to short.
First support: 2660, second support: 2643, third support: 2630
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY:2661-2663
SELL:2690-2692
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,66.000 back up?My analysis this week suggests that gold may accumulate around my point of interest at 2,660.00, where a 9-hour demand zone has formed. With liquidity and imbalance left to the upside, price might look to continue in its pro-trend direction.
Alternate Scenario: If price reaches the area around 2,740.00, we might see a retracement or bearish reaction. Given recent bearish pressure that’s led to a CHoCH and BOS, this scenario could align with the current order flow.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- A clean, unmitigated demand zone below.
- DXY has shown strong upside movement and may be due for a pullback.
- Significant liquidity lies to the upside.
- The overall market trend remains bullish.
P.S. If price respects the 9-hour supply zone and continues breaking structure to the downside, it could validate a temporary bearish move. Have a great trading week!
XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.