GOLD → Consolidation. One step away from distribution...FX:XAUUSD is faltering a bit due to high risks before the news. In the moment a strong impulse can be formed. The price is consolidating in the local range. Earlier, the price broke the local upward support....
Traders are consolidating in anticipation of economic data. Volatility is decreasing, speculators are not ready to take risks yet, all attention is focused on PMI, Powell's speech on Thursday and NFP on Friday... A rebound in US dollar demand early Tuesday kept gold buyers on the back foot. China's ongoing economic problems and the threat of global tariffs from Trump, geopolitical tensions in eastern Europe and escalating conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
The future direction of the gold price is likely to depend on upcoming employment data and its impact on expectations of a Fed rate cut
Resistance levels: 2660, 2655
Support levels: 2634, 2618, 2605
Since there is no even direction on the market and the price is inside the channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false break of the key resistance may provoke a fall to the support of the range.
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Zigzag
AEVOUSDT → One step away from a 200-400% RALLYBINANCE:AEVOUSDT is forming a market bottom. Against the backdrop of bitcoin's declining dominance, altcoins have a great chance of realization. And AEVO has an opportunity for a 200-400% rally
Relative to the bottom, the coin is forming a consolidation of 0.269 - 0.534. Consolidation is big enough and if the realization starts, the impulse can be formed quite aggressive, especially on the background of excitement.
Technically, the emphasis is on 0.534 - 0.594. If the price breaks this resistance area and the bulls are able to keep the defense above this zone, the coin will open the way to 0.8, 1.12, 1.34, which is a 200-400% move.
Resistance levels: 0.534, 0.594
Support levels: 0.455, 0.269
A breakthrough of the first line of defense is being formed. The bulls have quite positive chances. Realization can start any minute. Medium-term target is 1.127, long-term target is 1.34
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GOLD → The bears are gaining weight. Resistance retestFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false break of the resistance of the range. The fundamental background is mixed and does not yet allow to form a clear medium and long term strategy, BUT! ...
Trump's policies create new risks. Before taking office, he has already signaled the growth of tariffs for the whole world (Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, BRICS countries). The growth of geopolitical risks also affects the price of metal. On the background of the dollar growth and expected reduction of interest rates by the Fed, gold is declining and confirms the bearish structure of the market. The markets' attention is focused on the ISM manufacturing PMI index in the US. Data from the US
Technically, the price is breaking the ascending support line as well as the 2636 zone, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming and we should pay attention to the key resistance, liquidity and imbalance zones
Resistance Levels: 2636, 0.5-0.7 Fibo, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the previously broken structure and zone of interest is forming. False breakout of 0.5-0.7 fibo (retest) can provoke active selling on the background of the newly growing dollar. But, globally, gold is still in a sideways range without a clear trend direction...
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GBPUSD → Counter-trend correction before further declineFX:GBPUSD within the correction reaches a zone of interest and resistance from which the decline may resume as the dollar returns to a northbound rut ...
Traders continue to fight for the 1.267 area, an area that is a strong enough support. Buyers don't have much of a chance as the dollar looks quite strong on the back of Trump's policies and is putting quite a lot of pressure on the forex market.
Technically, the downtrend is the priority and we will be pulling back from it. Key zones: 0.5 Fibo and the boundary of the downtrend. False breakout may provoke further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.275, 1.284
Support levels: 1.267, 1.264
False breakout of resistance will indicate the bears' domning and may provoke further selling. It is also worth emphasizing 1.267-1.264. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this zone will also confirm the bears' intention
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Bitcoin - 99% of people do not see this 2017-2024 pattern!This is a long-term ascending parallel channel that no one sees! And guess what? The price is currently at the major resistance of it. This channel is 100% valid.
Now the question is, how will Bitcoin react on the upward sloping trendline? As always, I bring you strong technical data, and now it's up to your decision. From my point of view, buying Bitcoin at 100k after a huge pump from 15k (2022) doesn't make too much sense. But that's not what moon boys want to hear.
Who still doesn't know what the plan for Bitcoin is—to make a one-world digital currency and one world government. Bitcoin is a currency that wants to replace cash, and all your transactions are monitored 24/7. There will be 1 wallet per person since your birth, and you will not be allowed to create a new personal wallet. The energy of your body will be used to mine Bitcoin, in other words, you will mine Bitcoin with your energy. In this case, you will have to eat more food to sustain this load, and you probably know that the more you eat, the faster you age and get old. The more you drive the car, the more gas you need, and the lifespan is shorter. Bitcoin was brought to planet Earth by unfriendly aliens. Bitcoin is popular only because of the profits that have been made in 2008-2024, but Bitcoin will never go exponentially again. It's too big already; see this picture. In order to make 10x or 100x, you must invest your money elsewhere.
XRP → ATH is getting close. Consolidation before the rallyBINANCE:XRPUSDT rallies to ATH. The three-year accumulation is starting to realize itself and thanks to a tailwind - Trump, the coin makes a jump of 140%
At the moment the coin is in consolidation after the rally. There are no technical prerequisites and reasons for a reversal and fall, the price is accumulating the potential for continued growth. The focus is on the resistance at 1.523 and 1.6300. Breakthrough and consolidation of the price above this zone will provoke aggressive purchases, which may lead to a new impulse. It is possible that the local correction of bitcoin may put a slight pressure on the coin, which in turn before further growth will test the area of 1.4116 (strong resistance from September 2021), or the lower boundary of consolidation - 1.2775.
Resistance levels: 1.5234, 1.6300
Support levels: 1.4116, 1.2775, 1.2133
So, since we have a bull run, an ascending channel and a strong consolidation, in this case it is logical to consider buying only, which can be done only from the support or after the resistance breakout. The target in the form of ATH 1.9669 is getting closer and closer :)
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GOLD → Interest in metal is growingFX:XAUUSD on the background of support from the dollar correction updates local maximums and aspires to the liquidity zone. Reduced liquidity due to the holiday weekend in the West also plays its role on the markets
Gold holds within the boundaries of the local ascending channel on the background of restrained dynamics of the US dollar, mainly due to the data on inflation... Dovish sentiment regarding further Fed policy actions continues to support the gold price, which is not a subject of interest.
There is growing interest in gold as a hedge asset on the back of the exalized conflict in Syria, as well as in Eastern Europe.
Technically, the emphasis is on the channel borders, as well as on the resistance of 2677 and 2690. A sharp approach of the price to these zones may provoke a pullback.
Resistance levels: 2667, 2677, 2690
Support levels: 2660, 2654
If the bears hold 2660, the gold may correct to the channel support. But at the moment the price is heading towards the resistance. Keep an eye on these levels!
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → False breakdown of a double bottom. But...FX:NZDUSD is forming a local reversal pattern on the background of the dollar correction. It is too early to talk about a change of trend, but we can get a correction with the purpose of retesting the liquidity zone
On the daily timeframe earlier a false breakdown of the double bottom was made, the price was not let down and in a few days began to buy out on the background of news on inflation from the USA. Traders took the decline in inflation relatively positively and moved to profit-taking in the dollar, which gives the forex market a chance.
For now, the focus is on the 0.59-0.5912 zone. If the bulls can keep their defenses above this zone, we may get a rise to 0.597 (towards the descending channel resistance) in the long run
Resistance levels: 0.5912, 0.5972
Support levels: 0.588, 0.58166
But, we should not deny the downtrend. From any resistance the price can continue downward movement, as there are no preconditions that the market is ready to change the trend.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Support breakdown. Attempt to change the trendFX:EURJPY seeks to renew lows. The dollar rally is negatively affecting both JPY and EUR. The Eurozone has yet to face Trump's policies, while Japan is already going through a rough patch....
The currency pair is exiting the ascending channel, hinting at a trend change. The price breaks support and consolidates in the selling zone. Ahead is the key support at 161.2, the breakdown of this zone may provoke the bears to more active actions.
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is entering the downward rally phase, so the trend change is just the beginning....
Resistance levels: 162.04, 162.5, 163.2
Support levels: 161.16, 158.4
The focus is on the channel boundaries, resistance at 162.04 and support at 161.16. From these zones an aggressive fall may be possible, as buyers do not believe in a positive outcome at the moment
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GOLD → Trading inside the channel from the range boundariesFX:XAUUSD declines to 2620 amid positive news from the Middle East, but the overall fundamental background is still difficult. Today is low liquidity due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US.
The gold price is down amid a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah on Wednesday. But on Wednesday night there were reports of an escalation of conflict in Aleppo, Syria .... Also not to forget the escalated conflict in Eastern Europe.
The dollar is still in consolidation, given that today is a holiday in the U.S., there may be low liquidity and high volatility in the market. Accordingly, an exaggerated price movement in gold cannot be ruled out.
Technically, gold is flat, so we consider trading from the range boundaries. We focus on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2618 and the global channel from D1 - 2689 (2710) - 2605.
Resistance levels: 2660, 2604, 2678, 2689
Support levels: 2618, 2605
Accordingly, in the momen, gold is heading towards the liquidity above. False breakdown of the key resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling zone may form a price decline to the lower boundary of the flat.
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GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is taking advantage of the dollar weakness and heading towards the zones of interest and liquidity 2665 - 2688. Overall, the fundamental backdrop is not stable, but at the same time weak for gold. PCE, GDP and resistance ahead....
The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel has entered into force. This has helped to reduce demand for the US dollar, which is generally reflected in the forex market. Gold is feeling support from sustained expectations for the Fed and uncertainty over the outlook for global trade during the Trump presidency, which intends to impose new tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. Ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US are PCE and GDP.
Technically, gold is in a sideways range and is looking up towards zones of interest from which a correction could form. But this reaction is partly dependent on the news as well....
Resistance levels: 2660, 2664, 2680
Support levels: 2620, 2605
The focus is on the imbalance zone, 0.7 fibo and 2680 area. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
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Technical Analysis of Bitcoin: Short-Term OutlookCurrent Market Situation
Bitcoin's technical analysis currently reveals intriguing signals that warrant investor attention. Price patterns and technical indicators suggest a potential consolidation phase following the recent bullish performance.
Key Technical Levels
Chart analysis highlights a crucial technical level for Bitcoin at approximately $66,203. This level, presently below the market price, could play a significant role in upcoming price movements, potentially serving as a support level in case of a correction.
Short-Term Projections
Advanced technical analysis tools, particularly the Zig Zag with Adaptive Projection indicator, forecast a possible 15% decline over the next three weeks. This projection is based on the identification of significant pivot points and analysis of historical trend patterns.
Market Interpretation
The current technical setup, combined with Bitcoin's elevated price levels, indicates that the market might be entering a rebalancing phase. A corrective movement or a period of consolidation appears likely in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin may undergo a period of readjustment following its recent performance. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies according to evolving indicators and market movements.
It's crucial to note that while these projections are based on sophisticated technical models, they should be considered within the broader context of the cryptocurrency market, which remains subject to various external influences.
EURUSD → Correction after false breakdown before further fallFX:EURUSD is taking a chance amid the local correction of the dollar. The currency pair can test the local highs. But! You need to be careful as there will be a lot of news today.
Fundamental background is generally negative. (Trump's victory, tariffs for European export goods, lower interest rates and so on).
This all accompanies the global and local downtrends. Accordingly, in our case, since a false support breakout is forming on the chart, we should wait for a retest of resistance and reversal patterns to further consider selling attempts with the purpose of further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.065, 1.076
Support levels: 1.0517, 1.044, 1.033
Accordingly, we follow the nearest resistance, if bears behave aggressively on the background of the news, the price will continue to fall from these areas
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GOLD → A break of 2600 will make buyers panicFX:XAUUSD is returning to the sell-off phase due to the change of fundamental background. Buyers are unwinding their positions and the price is entering the sell-off zone
The main reason for the fall is the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. The first rumors appeared early Monday morning and the market reacted accordingly. Everyone is still waiting for the actual confirmation of the rumors.
Also Trump is beginning to hint at increased tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico and China. Active actions will start in January, after the inauguration of the new US president.
But, the risks are still high due to the escalated conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Technically, gold is returning to the channel, marking a strong resistance at 2632 and 2620. (a retest of the zone is possible before a further fall).
Resistance levels: 2632, 2620
Support levels: 2605
A price consolidation below 2620 or below 2605 will strengthen the sell-off phase. The fundamental background is weak, which increases the pressure of bears. In the mid-term, I expect the decline to continue after the breakdown of 2605-2600
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GOLD → An unexpected shakeup. What's next? 2700 or 2600?FX:XAUUSD closed the session perfectly on Friday, hinting that it was preparing to move up to conquer the highs. But Monday morning's news shook up the market, eliminating buyers. What happened and what to expect?
Gold's decline in the Asian session was due to news from the Middle East, with Israel tentatively approving a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
But, on the other hand - the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Europe, where the situation has become more complicated to some critical limits over the past few weeks. This is a two-edged sword.
The market will react to any news coming from the two regions. No economic news is expected on Monday.
Technically, the focus is on the sideways range of 2731 - 2660 and internal levels, among which the price may look for support....
Resistance levels: 2673, 2689, 2731
Support levels: 2660, 2643
If the price consolidates above 2673, then we should wait for a retest of 2689 (0.5 fibo). If the bulls continue to press the market, the gold may test 2721.
But if the bears hold 0.5-0.7 fibo and retest 2660, then we should wait for a correction to the zones of interest and liquidity before a possible pullback
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Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → False breakdown of uptrend supportFX:USDJPY is forming a false breakdown of the support of the ascending price channel. On the background of the dollar rally and strong sales of the Japanese national currency, it can be a good signal for the continuation of growth
On D1 we can clearly see the upward, bullish market structure. There are no deep corrections, strong fundamental background and aggressive support from the rallying dollar. This picture may have a medium-term character and the market has a chance to test the ATH, provided that Japan does not start to take any measures to strengthen the JPY.
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating above the strong support at 153.9 and intends to go even higher. There are two strong resistances ahead.
Support levels: 153.9, 153.5, 152.2
Resistance levels: 155.36, 155.8, 156.7
Accordingly, a price fixation above trend support or above 155.4 will be a good signal that we are ready to go up
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APE → Consolidation before a possible rally. Focus on 1.200BINANCE:APEUSDT is forging a consolidation within an ascending price channel after the dump, this is a hint that the coin is getting ready to go up.
Smoothly the global trend is changing to bullish. The alt season could start any minute and everything partly depends on bitcoin's dominance in the market, which is gradually decreasing as BTC approaches the psychological level of 100K.
Technically, APE is forming a consolidation with 1.200 as resistance and 0.90 as support, but within this range, an upward channel is forming, indicating that buyers are starting to intervene in the game, gathering potential for further upside.
A break of 1.200 could trigger a bull run towards 1.44 - 1.800.
Resistance levels: 1.200
Support levels: 1.032, 0.963, 0.9
Technically, we can say that an ascending triangle is forming against 1.200. I do not exclude the fact that the price may test the support before further growth, as altcoins react extremely aggressively to any weak corrections of bitcoin. But, I would prioritize trading on a break of 1.200 resistance with the aim of further growth
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Regards R. Linda!
Gold continues rally from 2650?Dear traders, Tom here!
Spot gold hit a near two-week high in the Asian session as the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict benefited traditional safe-haven assets. The weekly uptrend appears to be unaffected by bets for a less aggressive Fed easing, continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-on environment. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $2,683 and up 0.51% on the day.
Technically, gold confirms bullishness, we are watching the resistance zone ahead after a false break of 2,686, a break would be bullish while a hold would be bearish. But in any case, the preference remains on the buyers, as interest in the metal as a hedge has returned.
Medium-term target could be 2,710-2,750
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD a local downtrend channel breakout damages sellers. The fundamental background is changing despite continued USD buying and a generally risk-off environment, which is overall positive for gold as a safe-haven asset in times of crisis.
The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities.
Despite the optimism for the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from the escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions are likely to consolidate for sellers before further strengthening.
Technically, gold has every chance to test the boundaries of the previously broken channel, but based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
Bitcoin - Last stage of the pump! (sell here and wait 50% crash)Bitcoin is in the last stage of the bull run. Buying Bitcoin at 93,000 is not worth it for the long term because you will be able to buy it cheaper in 2025/2026 at the price around 60,000-50,000. The moon boys are back and everyone is very bullish; that is usually a sign of a cycle top. Bitcoin always moves in significant cycles and is highly volatile. New people don't know it, and their finances get completely ruined with each bearish cycle.
Let's look at the technical analysis. Always start with simple trendlines. We can draw a very nice trendline starting from wave (1) -> wave (3). These 2 points are significant swing highs. This gives us a current profit target of 107,000 USD in December 2024. Next, what we want to do is look for the Fibonacci extension levels. As per Elliott Wave analysis, we are in the last wave (5), You want to draw the fibonacci extension from the start of wave (1) to the end of wave (3) and the second point will be the end of wave (4). This also gives us a profit target of 107,000 USD! This is not random; this is pure skill.
95% of retail traders don't use the Fibonacci extension tool, and among the 5% of users, 95% of them don't know how to use the tool properly. I know how to use it properly with the Elliott Wave theory, as I have been trading crypto for almost 10 years.
Enter a short position at 94,500, first profit target 92,480, second 91,062.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Why is the metal rising? A chance to upgrade ATH to 2800?FX:XAUUSD rallies and seeks to renew the local maximum. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the metal, to which aggressive buyers are running...
Gold is not reacting to the dollar rally and hawkish Fed rate statements. Markets now rate the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December at 51%, up from 84% a week ago.
The reason for the metal's rally is paramount to the escalating conflict in Eastern Europe. The US Democrats have untied the hands Ukraine, which has caused Russia to change its nuclear doctrine and lower its threshold for retaliatory decisions. The conflict, fundamentally, is taking a more serious side.
Gold, as a hedge asset in times of crisis, is soaking up investor money and feeling strong buyer support
Technically, we are getting a high probability that the metal can update ATH to 2800-2850.
Resistance levels: 2710, 2731, 2750
Support levels: 2689, 2680, 2674
There is strong resistance ahead, which may trigger a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, but we are not talking about reversals. The correction may end quickly and the price will go into the bull run phase again. Medium-term targets are 2731-2750
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go below...FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation in the “flag” format, the purpose of which, in the current situation, is to accumulate the potential for continuation of the trend... Fundamental background is still negative.
On D1 we can clearly see the consolidation below the key level of 1.0600 after a strong fall. There is no proper and logical reaction in the form of a pullback. Accordingly, based on this we can conclude that the dynamics and strength of the buyer is not enough to reverse the local situation.
The dollar is starting the recovery phase again, which may put pressure on the euro.
Technically, the emphasis on consolidation “flag”. The exit of the price from the boundaries of this channel will provoke further movement.
Resistance levels: 1.0606
Support levels: 1.0521, 1.044
It is not worth trading inside the flag. The exception is a retest of resistance. Opening an order is acceptable after a false breakout.
But, the emphasis is on 1.052. Breakout and fixing of the price below this zone can strengthen the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!