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VIVENDI has an excellent control of Net debt to EBITDAFUNDAMENTAL Very good fundamental results. Net debt to EBITDA ratio x0.99, EBITDA +35.6% increase YoY. Even though Canal+ business has Netflix and HBO as biggest competitors, Gameloft investment was a smartmove from Vivendi, as well as Lagardere. Deconsolidation of Telecom Italia damaged shareholders' attributable earnings up to -€1bn. I still need to get informed about the company's wish to sell Editis. But overall, positive on the stock. TECHNICAL After US's and Switzerland's banking crisis, Vivendi has touched the 0.5 Fibonacci Level almost 3 times. The stock is immersed in a long-term downward trend that started back in August 2021. A superation of the downward channel could mean a turnaround for the long-term trend. 9.50€ level (0.236 Fibonacci) could be one of the first levels for Vivendi to reach in the near term.
EURONEXT:VIVLong
by alexinve
NN: Biggest daily H&S ever and €250 million new share buyback.After posting a more than 14% drop in 2022 operating profit (1.74bn), missing market estimates of 1.84 bn, and even though its operating capital generation (OCG) jumped 8% to 1.71 billion euros last year mainly thanks to higher interest rates and a strong business performance of the Netherlands Life and Insurance Europe segments; the company is shaping the biggest H&S pattern I have ever witnessed in a stock. Besides, NN also announced a new share buyback programme of 250 million euros. Will they implode due to share buybacks that will materialise into negative returns in the near future? At this pace, all those companies doing share buybacks will be the most damnified of the market due to an increased own capital at the wrong time. And it is a pity because this company has really attractive fundamentals, but after the operating profit miss in 2022 and the imminent recession all media is talking about, it is currently very risky to invest in it. But I will keep it in the radar as 35.6€ is the first support while 45€ is the first resistance.
EURONEXT:NNShort
by alexinve
Alfen May Collapse SoonThis chart could be a perfect example of why you should use caution when dealing with a volatile price chart. We’ve seen this with Bitcoin recently: The price goes up in a steady line, maybe in a parabolic fashion, before the trend weakens. A slowing down of a trend is not necessarily bad. For example: the price went up almost 30% between the first and the last sell signal (the ones at the top). However, it is clear that the price is struggling making more convincing highs. However, be cautious when you see this pattern at the top. A slowing down in a trend after the price went up exponentially is bad. That means that the buyers are exhausted. So to come back to this stock. The price went up exponentially, slowed down, went volatile, and now is below the resistance area. This convinces me that the price will go lower sooner or later. With charts like these, you could be looking at a drop of at least 40% to 50% from the current price.
EURONEXT:ALFENShort
by FetchTeam
LVMH BEARS ARE WAKING UP !"Companies like LVMH have high quality businesses, they compound profits over long periods of time and deliver great returns for shareholders," said Mark Denham, head of European equities at French asset manager Carmignac. "It is true that the ratings of these companies have risen so it becomes slightly more asymmetric, but over the long term earnings compounding is the dominant factor.” Aside from all above the ticket ti get into this market is getting way higher than it's value therefore a drope is both likely and possible. My own personal trade set up is shown on the chart , please feel free to share your comments .
EURONEXT:MCShort
by Crocobot