Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers)

Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers)

The Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers) is an enhanced trend-following indicator designed to provide a smooth and responsive view of price movement while incorporating an additional momentum-based analysis using the Adaptive RSI.

Principle and Advantages of the Hull Moving Average:

- The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is known for its ability to track price action with minimal lag while maintaining a smooth curve.
- Unlike traditional moving averages, the HMA significantly reduces noise and responds faster to market trends, making it highly effective for detecting trend direction and changes.
- It achieves this by applying a weighted moving average calculation that emphasizes recent price movements while smoothing out fluctuations.

Why the Adaptive RSI Was Added:

- The core HMA line remains the foundation of the indicator, but an additional analysis using the Adaptive RSI has been integrated to provide more meaningful insights into momentum shifts.
- The Adaptive RSI is a modified version of the traditional Relative Strength Index that dynamically adjusts its sensitivity based on market volatility.
- By incorporating the Adaptive RSI, the HMA visually represents whether momentum is strengthening or weakening, offering a complementary layer of analysis.

How the Adaptive RSI Influences the Indicator:

- High Adaptive RSI (above 65): The market may be overbought, or bullish momentum could be fading. The HMA turns shades of red, signaling a possible exhaustion phase or potential reversals.
- Neutral Adaptive RSI (around 50): The market is in a balanced state, meaning neither buyers nor sellers are in clear control. The HMA takes on grayish tones to indicate this consolidation.
- Low Adaptive RSI (below 35): The market may be oversold, or bearish momentum could be weakening. The HMA shifts to shades of blue, highlighting potential recovery zones or trend slowdowns.

Why This Combination is Powerful:

- While the HMA excels in tracking trends and reducing lag, it does not provide information about momentum strength on its own.
- The Adaptive RSI bridges this gap by adding a clear visual layer that helps traders assess whether a trend is likely to continue, consolidate, or reverse.
- This makes the indicator particularly useful for spotting trend exhaustion and confirming momentum shifts in real-time.

Best Use Cases:

- Works effectively on timeframes from 1 hour (1H) to 1 day (1D), making it suitable for swing trading and position trading.
- Particularly useful for trading indices (SPY), stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies, where momentum shifts are frequent.
- Helps identify not just trend direction but also whether that trend is gaining or losing strength.

Recommended Complementary Indicators:

- Adaptive Trend Finder: Helps identify the dominant long-term trend.
- Williams Fractals Ultimate: Provides key reversal points to validate trend shifts.
- RVOL (Relative Volume): Confirms significant moves based on volume strength.

This enhanced HMA with Adaptive RSI provides a powerful, intuitive visual tool that makes trend analysis and momentum interpretation more effective and efficient.

This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management when trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.