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// © PlanTradePlanMM // 6/14/2020 // --------------------------------------------------- // Name: Short in Bollinger Band Down trend (Weekly and Daily) // --------------------------------------------------- // Key Points in this study: // 1. Short in BB Lower band, probability of price going down is more than 50% // 2. Short at the top 1/4 of Lower band (EMA - Lower line), Stop is EMA, tartget is Lower line; it matches risk:/reward=1:3 naturally // // Draw Lines: // BB Lower : is the Target (Black line) // BB EMA : is the initial Stop (Black line) // ShortLine : EMA - 1/4 of (Stop-target), which matches risk:/reward=1:3 // Prepare Zone : between EMA and ShortLine // shortPrice : Blue dot line only showing when has Short position, Which shows entry price. // StopPrice : Black dot line only showing when has Short position, Which shows updated stop price. // // Add SMA50 to filter the trend. Price <= SMA, allow to short // // What (Condition): in BB down trend band // When (Price action): Price cross below ShortLine; // How (Trading Plan): Short at ShortLine; // Initial Stop is EMA; // Initial Target is BB Lower Line; // FollowUp: if price moves down first, and EMA is below Short Price. Move stop to EMA, At least "make even" in this trade; // if Price touched Short Line again and goes down, new EMA will be the updated stop // // Exit: 1. Initial stop -- "Stop" when down first, Close above stop // 2. Target reached -- "TR" when down quickly, Target reached // 3. make even -- "ME" when small down and up, Exit at Entry Price // 4. Small Winner -- "SM" when EMA below Entry price, Exit when Close above EMA // // -------------- // Because there are too many flags in up trend study already, I created this down trend script separately. // Uptrend study is good for SPY, QQQ, and strong stocks. // Downtrend Study is good for weak ETF, stock, and (-2x, -3x) ETFs, such as FAZ, UVXY, USO, XOP, AAL, CCL // ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- // Back test Weekly and daily chart for SPY, QQQ, XOP, AAL, BA, MMM, FAZ, UVXY // The best sample is FAZ Weekly chart. // When SPY and QQQ are good in long term up trend, these (-2x, -3x) ETFs are always going down in long term. // Some of them are not allowed to short. I used option Put/Put spread for the short entry. //