Q OZON to the skynothing is indicating that is gonna stop rising soon keep your long position for now
OZON trade ideas
$OZON will cost much much moreMOEX:OZON has shown a very good results during a year. But definetely it will show much more in 4 months. Where to buy - 3350. Where to sell - 4950. Profit - 48%.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$OZON will be ready for x2-x3 in some weeksMOEX:OZON I'm waiting for 1600-2000 with the perspective to reach 5000+ in a half of a year.
Some time of a patience is needed, a little bit, before we will be able to start rally.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view )
$OZON is a bit overheated and need to go in shortMOEX:OZON - I expect it will return to the range between 1200-1330 and only then it will have a power to move ahead.
MOEX:OZON ::1900->1330::October 2023
MOEX:OZON ::1200-1330->2900::Sep 2024
Does not constitute a recommendation
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OZON ❓ ARE YOU KIDDING ME ❓Today Ranks analytical crew has made a fundamental analysis of the Ozon company.
What's the matter? 🧐
Recently, OZON published the results of the 3rd quarter of 2022.
🟢 Analysts for the first time saw in the company's statements a positive free cash flow (money that the company can freely dispose of) 💰 in the amount of 864 million rubles (in the same period last year there was a loss of 14.5 billion rubles).
🟢 In addition, the company has demonstrated a colossal revenue growth of 98% in the period of 9 months 2022 to 9 months 2021, i.e. total revenue for the year will be about 2 times higher than in 2021.
🟢 Investors were also pleased with the dynamics of the number of active buyers, which increased 1.5 times in the period of 9 months 2022 to 9 months 2021.
🟢 And from the point of view of business development, the Ozon franchise entered the 🔝 3 most profitable with an investment of up to 1 million rubles.
🟢 And the latest news is that Ozon is going to open its representative office in China in order to provide wider access to Chinese goods on its marketplace.
After the report was published, dozens of different bloggers on social networks advertised Ozon shares as a great idea to buy. 🤑🤑🤑
🔴 Nevertheless, the company has not been able to get out of losses for at least 5 years, both in terms of operating activities and financial results.
🔴 The amount of loss per 1 share from 2018 to 2021 increased from -61 to -276 rubles. per share (4.5 times).
🔴 The overall Ranks score for the company is 25% out of 100%. First of all, this is due to the steady lack of profit.
🔴 Further, we cannot ignore the problems with the liquidity of assets, the current liquidity indicator is at 0.65, while the normal value of the indicator should be in the range from 1 to 2.
🔴 Moreover, the company is constantly forced to service a large debt, the amount of which is 11 times the amount of the equity.
In total, we have free funds in the 3rd quarter of 2022 in the amount of 864 million rubles.
At the same time, according to the data of 2021, the amount of accrued interest on the debt was 5.8 billion rubles (about 3.5% of revenue).
Thus, by the end of 2022, the amount of accrued interest will already amount to more than 10 billion rubles.
In such conditions, all of the above positive facts do not yet affect the fact that the company destroys the capital (wealth of shareholders) year after year.
Ranks analysts recommend investors not to succumb to emotional transactions and rely primarily on fundamentals and common sense.
Invest wisely, read Ranks on TradingView.
OZON. Update.In the last post on OZON, I wrote about the short from the current levels (₽3190) to ₽3000 (support), since the level with this round number is unlikely to be ignored by the market and it should be expected at least a local rebound from it.
After reaching the level of ₽3130, the price bounced, failing to cross the local maximum of ₽3230. The price returned to the level of the limit player, bouncing consistently with less energy. This situation provides for the continuation of the downtrend and entry into the short on the breakout of the level of the limit buyer. After the breakout, the price with long candles reached the nearest support level indicated above.
Next, I expect one of three scenarios.
1) Formation of DD with a local rebound (entry into a long in the range of ₽3000-3015). I do not believe in a trend reversal without forming a base (trading near the level).
2) Formation of an accumulation base near the level of ₽3000 with a subsequent trend reversal.
3) Breakdown of the level of ₽3000 and moving to the areas of interest ₽2700-2800 / ₽2400-2500, in which it will be necessary to monitor buyers' readiness for a trend reversal.
I consider the third option the most probable, so it's better not to rush to buy $ OZON for the medium term.
NOT IRR.
Traditional|OZON|Long and shortLong and short OZON
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
Traditional|OZON|Long and shortLong and short OZON
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
OZON HLDGS PLCOZON HLDGS PLC
Disclaimer/
On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% - up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and has little practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses. With time in the distant future, not everything is clear. Due to the fact that the shares were placed recently, we are afraid of falling below the placement price (This trend can be seen in some companies)./
In November 2020, Ozon went public on the Nasdaq exchange in an IPO, which resulted in the company being valued at $ 6.2 billion.
>9,000,000-SKUs for 24 product categories
>30 000 000 orders per year
>18,000-active sellers on the Ozon Marketplace
OZON LONG for a long time. Investing ideae-commerce Russian company with big potential. one of the biggest e-commerce company in Russia.
after IPO recieved 1billion dollars for developing business.
no a lot of technical marks, but 3800rur is the target for 6 monthes of 2021 y
