IYR trade ideas
IYR 6/20 High Holding - Countdown to June 2021 Home PurchaseIYR 6/20 High Holding - Countdown to June 2021 Home Purchase
Close of House Sale of 6/20/2019 "Perfect Close" IYR PEAK????Close of House Sale of 6/20/2019 "Perfect Close" IYR PEAK????
Closed On Sale of House Today - Rent Nxt 2 Yrs - Buy Mid 2021Closed On Sale of House Today June 20 2019 For The Record
Real Estate IYR 3 HR at Critical Junc: 34 vs 500 HullReal Estate IYR 3 HR at Critical Junc: 34 vs 500 Hull
Housing - 4hr - 34 could reject under/at 500 HullCould reject and if does that would be peak in housing
BUY IYR Asc Tri BreakoutAMEX:IYR
Ascending Triangle Breakout & Resistance line tested as support w Consolidated candles forming a buy pinbar
BUY at 88, SL at 82
Also supported fundamentally by falling interest rates (10Y treasury)
Trouble ahead for real estate?$IYR $DRN $DRV
Posted a year ago: as my target
Real estate scares me right now (mostly because I own physical property). This looks bearish with that overhead bear divergence.
TOP IN PLACE 5 WAVES ENDING IN IYR INDEX TELL to SELL OUT IS NOW in IYR 5 wave up or a minor one more but odds are now at 96 % of I T top in this index would look fro a drop at min .382 into mid march panic
$IYR looks like we can retest the ATH Inflation becomes a tailwind for RE + Interest rates don't go much higher
TRADE IDEA: IYR APRIL/JUNE 81/92 PUT DIAGONALAlthough this trade isn't quite ripe for me yet (I'm waiting for all time highs (circled), I thought I'd stick it out there in order to price the setup out, at least preliminarily. Naturally, the strike prices and/or expiries will have to be adjusted should a short opportunity come to pass ... . As with my TLT calendar (See Post Below), this trade operates on the assumption that the underlying will get dinged somewhat in a tightening rate environment (although it seems to bounce back every time), with the next hike being talked about in June.
Metrics:
Max Loss On Setup/Buying Power Effect: $797/contract
Max Profit On Setup: $303/contract ($151 at 50% max; 18.9% Return on Capital).
Break Even: 84.03 versus 84.04 spot
Debit Paid to Spread Width Ratio: 72.5%
Delta: -45.98
Theta: .45
Something cool to swing trade the ups/downsNice range for like 4 years.. trade it. If it was going to break out of it in either direction it would have done so by now.
IYR IS RISKY-- higher lows, and resistance remains @79.20, if the triangle is valid, then short IYR.
-- not a reverse
-- keep going down after break downwards the triangle
set stop @ 79.3
IYR:(Short) FIB Retracement, Average Directional Index, MACDIYR Weekly Chart:
Showing Divergence since March 2009 among stock price and Average Directional Index.
Floor of MACD repeatedly established, previously broken.
Bear Wedge Forming along trend lines.
For Educational Purposes Only
Short IYR (U.S Real Estate)Huge weekly divergence according to my indicator, just like in 2008. THE BIG SHORT.
IYR short term sweet point - oversold
- supportive level at 38.2% of the uptrend from Feb 2018
- because it is far from the neckline $82.00, it will not probably break out and get new high
- still considered it is a rebound rather than reverse.
