TMF : BREAKOUT FROM PATTERN RESISTANCEAs markets uncertainties become more evident, risk-aversion leads to flight to safety. Longby TradingMavericks3
Treasuries: As usual, I was a little earlyI was waiting for the end of the wave to occur, but with the appearance of a descending wedge I know a buy opportunity awaits us. My apologies, I was just a little early! What worries me though is that with a rise in the treasuries perhaps the wider market will sell off?Longby DanjaZown5
TMF: Time to Buy Treasuries?There's a wiff of deflation in the air and the market has broadly, although not chaotically, sold off. It appears like a massive ascending wedge is developing in Treasuries. Shortby DanjaZown4
BONDS OVER STOCKS 2020With equities looking increasingly volatility and valuations as frothy as ever, long term bonds have been quietly outperforming recently. I expect this trend to continue for foreseeable future and for us to rise 5-13% from here conservatively. The global climate is shifting to reducing risk and buying safe haven assets. Therefore, 20 year bonds will likely continue to be a source that reaps the benefits of capital outflow from stocks and into US treasuries.Longby MWCarter6
No sleeping at the wheel. Hello All, We are watching the leveraged Bond markets. We will want to confirm the final push to new highs in the bond market. This should show any early signs of weakness. Keep the foot on the gass and heat the market orders. Wealth & health CheersLongby McllroyCharleeUpdated 0
$TMF That top candle isn't looking so good.Might be a good place to short here, epic ride up recently.by JusWes1
TLT Write calls - wedge bullish breakout plus H & S reversalSee other 2 YR treasury bullish call today - Bullish bonds - buy TLT calls - see near term reversal in TLT. Shoulda woulda listened to Raoul Pal in fall of 2018. Now I am listening in 2019 as it appears this trade may have some room to run. Basically bullish short >> long term bonds (but bullish all bonds).Longby 1Creekdoc2
$TMFDaily : Price above 200MA 240mn : Conversion Line crossing up Base Line ; price seat on cloud as rez ; lagging span above prices Longby eccenocte5
TMF (20+ Yr Treasury Bond 3X ETF)Bought TMF on this pullback to the demand zone highlighted in yellow which sits at former resistance and should be acting as support. Use the TLT chart as a reference for entry, exit and targets. Entry: 101.26 Stop Loss: 98.73 Target 1: 108.00Longby PdunuwilaUpdated 0
Year End Update : 3X ETFs Strategy , Q4 Return : 19.9 % 2014 Return : 66.1 % Volatility : 16.7 % MAX DD : - 8.11 % We are rebalancing the positions for tomorrow. Cheers by Algokid9
QUATERLY UPDATE : 3X ETF STRATEGY , Q3 UP 6.20 % This strategy finish the quarter with a positive return of 6.20 %. We are re-balancing the portfolio for the new Quarter starting tomorrow YTD return : 36.2 %. Cheers Algo by Algokid447
QUATERLY UPDATE : 3X ETF STRATEGY , 14 % for Q2, 28 % YTDThis strategy finishes the quarter with a + 14 % return , 3.8 % in April, 7.7 % in May, and 2.4% for June. For 2014 it is up 29 % . However the volatility is very high at 20.6 %. We are re-balancing the portfolio for the Q3 , 2014. Again , this system is for educational purposes only. Next update will be on 7/30/2014. Cheers Algo by Algokid2
3X ETF Strategy using UPRO and TMF : 484.5 % return DISCLOSURE : This post is purely for educational purposes ONLY ! Do not risk real capital on this strategy. Again, purely for education purpose ONLY ! Strategy : This strategy is very simple. We invest in 50 % in S&P 500 ,and 50% in 20 years treasury. Now to maximize return, we are going to invest in 3X leverage ETFs, UPRO ;Proshares UltraPro S&P500, and TMF; Direxion shares trust 20 years Treasury. We will re-balance the portfolio at the beginning of each quarter( if necessary..see rules) Rules : 1. Invest ONLY if SPY is above 200 ma 2. 50 % in UPRO/ 50 % in TMF 3. Rebalance portfolio at the beginning of each quarter IF SPY > 200 ma 4. Close all positions if SPY < 200 ma at month's end. Back testing Results : Note: These ETF were made available only as of June 2010. The markets has been in a bull market since 2009, so results are really bias. 2009 : 25.7 % vs 22.3 % for SPY 2010: 44.5 % vs 15.1% 2011: 65.7 % vs 1.90 % 2012: 30.3 % vs 16.0 % 2013: 21.7 % vs 32.3 % 2014: 22.5 % vs 3.5 % So far Q2 , 2014, the system is up 8.3% vs 1.1 % for the SPY. Volatility : 23 % vs 16.4 % , That is very high Max DD : 20.69 % vs 18.61 % CAGR : 484.5 % vs 127.7 % ( from June 2009 till yesterday close) I will update this post on a monthly basis. Again, this is PURELY for educational purposes only! , cannot stress that enough. Cheers Algo by Algokid15153