AAPLD trade ideas
Apple (AAPL) Weekly Update : Ascending Channel
The AAPL chart shows a clear ascending channel, indicating a long-term uptrend with oscillations between support and resistance levels.
Bullish Case
Ascending Channel:
Price is moving within a well-defined ascending channel.
The lower trendline (~$210) acted as strong support during recent pullbacks, confirming the trend's integrity.
Indicators:
RSI: At ~55.81, it suggests room for further upside without being overbought.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price remains above the cloud, signaling bullish momentum.
Upside Target:
If AAPL continues its upward trajectory within the channel, resistance near $260–$270 becomes the next target.
Missed the run last week.I don't follow AAPL much, so I didn't see the entry last week when the price crossed and closed above the Bollinger Band midline.
So, after last week's run, I am waiting for a pullback and rest before entering long with some call options.
I'll keep watching and updating as the price unfolds.
AAPL Trade PlanHere’s a potential trade setup for AAPL based on key levels:
📌 Entry Points: 229 / 219 / 208 (Scaling in)
🎯 Profit Targets: 236 / 243 / 256 (Scaling out)
💡 Strategy:
If AAPL holds above 229, consider entering with a first position.
If it drops to 219, it could be a good second entry.
A dip to 208 might be a strong buy zone.
Take profits gradually at 236, 243, and 256 to lock in gains.
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 📊✨
What do you think? 🚀
Apple - Bull vs. Bear CaseCurrent Price: $241.84
Resistance Levels: 241.91, 259.81 (High)
Support Levels: 230.48, 219.68, 207.42
Trendline: Holding for now, but if broken, price could drop significantly.
Bullish Case
Trendline Support Holding
Price is still above the rising trendline, acting as strong support.
RSI (~52.63): Neutral but recovering.
Stochastic (~64.21): Turning up, suggesting potential upside momentum.
AAPL is still above the key EMAs, which supports a bullish case.
Volume Profile Shows Strong Demand Above 230
Buyers stepping in around $230-$238, preventing deeper pullbacks.
Bullish Target Levels
Break above 241 → Re-test 259.81 (All-time high)
If 259.81 breaks → Next leg higher (~270-275 possible)
Bearish Case
Trendline Breakdown Could Trigger a Decline
A break below $230.48 will confirm a bearish breakdown.
RSI is not in strong bullish territory yet.
Bearish Targets from Volume Profile
If $230 breaks, price may move towards:
$219.68 (First strong support)
$207.42 (Next key level)
$191.27 (Major demand zone)
Bearish Target Levels
Break below 230 → Move to 219 first
Below 219 → Risk of deeper pullback to 207-200 range
Final Outlook: Leaning Bullish if price breaks above $245
As long as $230 holds, AAPL remains bullish
Break below $230. Then expect a move toward $219 and possibly lower.
Strategy
Bullish Above 245 → Target 250-259
Bearish Below 230 → Target 219,207, 195
AAPL Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* AAPL recently rejected from the upper trendline (~248.69) and is now testing the lower bound of its rising wedge pattern.
* Support: Near 245.10 (POC) and 243.51 (previous support level).
* Resistance: 247-248.69 (VAH & recent high).
* If AAPL fails to hold 245, the next downside target is 241.84.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 245.83 → Key liquidity area.
* Value Area High (VAH): 246.78 → Resistance zone.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 241.84 → Next major support below POC.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downside momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but not yet curling upward.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 250 → Highest positive NETGEX & Call Wall (strong resistance).
* 255-260 → Additional call walls (unlikely unless sentiment shifts).
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 225 & 220 → Highest Put Walls & Support (-7.3% & -11.9%).
* AAPL could see increased downside volatility below 240 if 243.50 breaks.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 31.4 | IVx Avg 40.8 → Slightly elevated, but not extreme.
* Put Positioning at Only 5.9% → Limited hedging, suggesting downside may accelerate on breakdowns.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 245 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 243.51 (next support).
🔹 Target 2: 241.84 (VAL).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 247 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 245/240 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 245P/235P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 247-248, targeting 250+.
🔹 Target 1: 250 (Highest GEX resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 255 (next gamma squeeze level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 245 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 240/235 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 247+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 243.50, strong gamma exposure can push AAPL lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
APPLE Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 245.60
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 251.37
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 235.33
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL Holding Key Support! Will Bulls Step In at $239? Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025:
1. Current Price Action:
* AAPL dropped sharply and found support near $239, now consolidating in a tight range.
* A falling wedge pattern is forming, suggesting a potential reversal.
* The Point of Control (POC) at $241.52 is a critical level to reclaim for upside continuation.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
* Support: $239 (Current low), $237.50 (Next major downside level).
* Resistance: $241.50-$245 (POC and major resistance), $250 (Critical breakout level).
* Upside Targets: $245, $250, $255.
3. Indicators Analysis:
* MACD: Bearish but flattening out, suggesting downside momentum may be weakening.
* Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold, indicating potential for a bounce.
* Volume Profile: Heavy resistance at $241-$245; a strong move above this level could trigger upside momentum.
GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Call Walls: $250, $255 → Major resistance zones.
* Put Walls: $237.50, $235 → Downside risk areas.
2. IV & Sentiment:
* IVR: 45 (Moderate)
* IVx Avg: 30.5 (Low volatility)
* Put Positioning: 14.7% bearish sentiment (Put-heavy).
* GEX Sentiment: Currently negative; if AAPL stays above $239-$241, sentiment could shift bullish.
3. Trading Suggestions:
* Bullish Setup: If AAPL reclaims $241-$245, consider long positions targeting $250-$255, with a stop at $238.
* Bearish Setup: If AAPL rejects $241.50, short setups targeting $237.50-$235, stop at $243.
* Options Play: Selling put spreads at $237 support or call spreads near $250 resistance.
📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion:
* AAPL is at a critical inflection point—holding $239-$240 could lead to a reversal toward $245-$250.
* If the stock fails to hold $239, expect a test of $237-$235.
* Low volatility makes long options attractive, especially for a directional bet.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
Apple (AAPL) Scalping Strategy🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Short-term bearish; minor bounce but lacks strength.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $244.07, $247.00
Support: $239.00, $236.00
Indicators:
EMA9 below EMA200 → Bearish, weak rebound.
MACD declining → No strong bullish momentum yet.
RSI at 52.03 → Neutral, no strong divergence.
Risk of Short Squeeze? Low—only if $244.07 is reclaimed.
Market Maker Activity: Weak accumulation, liquidity sweeps.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (If Breakout Above $244.07)
Buy near: $244.10
Target: $247.00
Stop-loss: $242.50
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2
🩸 2. Range Scalping (If Price Holds $239 - $244)
Buy near: $239.00
Sell near: $244.00
Stop-loss: $237.50
Profit Potential: ~2.5%
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping (If Below $239.00)
Short below: $239.00
Target: $236.00
Stop-loss: $241.00
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If $244.07 holds, Apple could push towards $247.00 - $250.00.
If $239.00 fails, expect a drop to $236.00.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Apple dominates 54% of the all-in-one PC market → Positive sentiment.
Stock down 2.7% today → Short-term bearish pressure.
Earnings in 57 days → No immediate catalyst for a reversal.
5️⃣ 👑 Trade Rating (1-10):
Range Scalping: 7/10 (Good but needs confirmation).
Momentum Long Above $244.07: 8/10 (Stronger confirmation needed).
Short Below $239.00: 9/10 (Best risk-reward setup).
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term Play: Best for range scalping $239 - $244.
🩸 Mid-term Play: Break above $244.07 = long; below $239.00 = short.
🩸 Ideal Play: Wait for breakout confirmation.
👑 Final Verdict: Play the range or wait for a trend shift.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"The market is a battlefield—your strategy is your weapon."
APPLE Short, Short this thingShort it...
Of course short term..
iphone 16e :)
After Steve Passed away, what can "the" Tim can do.
For long term I think Apple will loose its dominance...
They will loose all of their cash pile to AI companies.
Read my sign, I am not responsible for your trading losses.
AAPL Approaching a Major Breakout! Is $250 the Next Stop? Feb. 2Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Apple (AAPL) is consolidating near a critical resistance zone at $250, attempting to maintain momentum within a strong uptrend. The stock has formed a rising wedge, signaling potential for continuation if buyers push through the upper boundary.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: AAPL remains in a well-defined uptrend, bouncing off key support levels.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $250 (Highest positive NETGEX & CALL Resistance).
* Key Support: $245 → Breakdown here could shift momentum.
* Breakout Target: $255-$260 if $250 is cleared.
* MACD Indicator: Showing slight weakness, signaling a possible consolidation phase before the next move.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting AAPL could find buying pressure soon.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights a strong call wall at $250, suggesting a gamma squeeze could trigger if AAPL clears this level. PUT support sits around $242, which means downside risk is somewhat contained.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 41.4, with IVx avg at 29%, indicating moderate volatility.
* Put Side Bias: 9% of options flow, meaning limited downside hedging.
* Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Resistance / Gamma Wall: $250 → Breaking above opens the door to $255-$260.
* PUT Support Zone: $242 → Below this, downside could accelerate toward $240.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Breakout Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $248 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $250
* Target 2: $255-$260 (Extended target).
* Stop-loss: Below $245
📌 Bearish Reversal Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $244 with confirmation of weakness.
* Target: $242 → $240
* Stop-loss: Above $247
Final Thoughts
AAPL is at a key inflection point, with $250 acting as the next big trigger level. A breakout could send it to new highs, while failure to hold $245 could shift momentum. Options positioning favors bullish continuation, but volume confirmation is key.
📢 Risk Management: Given market conditions, adjust position sizing and use stop-loss protection.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
Apple (AAPL) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis🔥 Market Overview
Trend: Bullish 📈 (Short-term breakout)
Resistance: $250.50 → Local ceiling
Support: $247.00 → Demand zone, previous resistance
Indicators:
MACD: Bullish momentum building
RSI: 74.88 (Overbought) – risk of a pullback
VWAP: Above average, strong buying pressure
🩸 Risk: Overbought conditions + potential profit-taking
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $247.50–$248.00, targeting $250.00 (+1.0%)
Sell: Near $250.50–$251.00, targeting $248.00 (-1.2%)
Stop-loss: Below $246.50
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $251.00: Long to $255.00 (+1.6%)
Below $247.00: Short to $244.00 (-1.2%)
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bullish above $252: If momentum continues, expect $255-$258
Bearish below $247: Potential pullback to $244-$240
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 Apple’s $500B investment announcement → Positive sentiment
🩸 Strong institutional demand → Higher volume than average
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $247.50, sell at $250.50+
🩸 Mid-term: Cautious—potential profit-taking ahead
🩸 Ideal Play: Wait for a $251 breakout or $247 pullback for entry
👑 Final Verdict:
"In strong trends, weakness is an opportunity, not a signal to run." – LucanInvestor
Apple: Top and DropAs part of Apple's ongoing wave (2) correction, we assume that the subordinate turquoise wave X still needs to conclude in the short term before the price can drop into our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. There, we anticipate a bullish reversal, which should offer trading opportunities for the long side and mark the starting point for the next major upward move. Alternatively, there is a 37% chance that the low of wave alt.(2) has already been reached, which will be confirmed if the price surpasses $260.10.
AAPLAAPL price is in a correction phase. Now the price is near the resistance zone. If the price cannot break through 259, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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AAPL Price Analysis: Targeting $270 by December 2024Hello Traders,
I'm sharing my latest analysis on AAPL, currently trading at $226.5. Previously, on August 23, 2023, I predicted that AAPL would hit its first target of $220 and its second target of $250. As you can see in the attached chart, AAPL has been making significant progress.
On the weekly chart, a flag pattern has emerged in the middle of the chart. I’ve drawn a parallel channel surrounding this flag pattern and aligned the channel’s upper and lower lines with the Fibonacci levels of 38% and 61.8%. By projecting these lines to the 100% level, I’ve identified a target price of $270, a key level based on important angular calculations.
Target 🎯: $270
When? Based on the time it took for AAPL to move from the 0% level at $55 to the 50% level at $165, which was 86 weeks or 602 days, I anticipate a similar timeframe for the move from the 50% level to the 100% level (yellow circles on chart). This places the expected date to reach $270 around December 23, 2024.
NASDAQ:AAPL
