qweApple Inc. is an American multinational corporation and technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley. It is best known for its consumer electronics, software, and services
AAPLD trade ideas
Apple (AAPL) Gains Momentum with 5 Swing Rally, Upside LikelyApple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is showing signs of strength as it builds momentum in a classic Elliott Wave structure. Today’s chart highlights a 5-swing rally from 208.4 low that has propelled the stock higher, signaling potential for further upside in the near term. After establishing a solid base, NASDAQ:AAPL has completed a 5-swing sequence—a bullish pattern often seen in trending markets. The rally began from a key support zone of 184.6 – 209.5. The latest leg up has ended wave (1) in 5 swing, suggesting the short term trend shifts to the upside. As long as pullbacks hold above the recent swing low, the path of least resistance is upward.
The immediate support sits at the prior swing low at 208.4. A hold above this zone keeps the bullish outlook alive. A break below this critical level would negate the bullish view, potentially signaling a deeper correction. Expect pullback in wave (2) to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside. For those looking to join the trend, consider waiting for a 3 waves dip toward 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci support to optimize the risk-reward ratio. Define your entry, stop loss, and target ahead of time—tools like the Position Size Calculator can help fine-tune your approach.
Apple Inc. (NYSE:$ AAPL)Drops $300B+ in Tariff- Fueled Sell-OffApple Inc. (NYSE:$ AAPL) faced a massive sell-off on Thursday, April 4th 2025, with its stock closing at $188.38, down $14.81 (7.29%). This marked Apple’s worst trading day since March 2020. The steep drop came after former President Donald Trump announced a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading partners.
As a result, Apple’s market capitalization fell by more than $310 billion in a single day. These newly imposed tariffs, effective April 9th, include a 10% blanket duty on all imports, with higher rates applied to specific countries. China, Apple’s primary manufacturing hub, will face a combined 54% tariff—34% newly imposed, added to an existing 20% rate.
Other affected regions include the European Union (20%), Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), and India (26%). Analysts consider Apple especially vulnerable to these policies due to its heavy reliance on overseas production, especially in China, where nearly 85% of iPhones are manufactured.
According to Dan Ives of Wedbush, future exemptions to these tariffs may depend on Apple’s efforts to localize its operations within the U.S., a move hinted at by the company earlier this year. However, no details have been confirmed regarding whether Apple’s U.S. expansion plans will qualify for tariff relief. The timing of the policy combined with Apple’s exposure to international supply chains, led to a bear shift in market.
Technical Analysis: Apple Breaks Below Key $197 Support
Apple’s price action shows an impulsive breakdown below the key $197 strong support level. The price is currently trading around $188, trading towards next support at $167 as the immediate support.
A drop below $167 could push the stock lower to a long-term support around $125, which was lastly retested in Dec 2022. On the upside, any recovery would first need to reclaim the broken support at $197, which now acts as resistance. The all-time high around $260 remains far away from reach unless the overall stock market sentiment improves.
Looking ahead, the chart outlines two likely scenarios. In the bullish case, Apple may find support around $167, bounce back and attempt to break above $197, possibly re-establishing it as a support zone.
In the bearish case, failure to hold $167 could push the stock lower to test $125, and if that level breaks, the price may continue downward. The current market outlook suggests a wait-and-see approach, to what happens at key level, as both macroeconomic news and technical levels continue to drive Apple stock lower.
Apple on sale who said Wall Street has no discountsOn the NASDAQ:AAPL 1W chart, the price has dropped sharply, likely due to recent trade tensions with China, but it is now approaching a key support level that previously acted as resistance and triggered a strong rebound. The Ichimoku cloud (10, 20, 40, 10) indicates a bearish trend, although there are early signs that selling pressure may be weakening. At the same time, the Trend Strength Index (20, 10) is in oversold territory, suggesting that bearish momentum could be fading. If lower timeframes begin to show signs of reversal, this may signal the beginning of a long-term recovery. A possible entry between 200 and 175 with a stop loss below 163 could offer a favorable risk to reward opportunity for long-term investors.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
APPLE: There's Only One Relevant Level Safe chart as there's no breakdown PA at the top:
- No SFP at the highs;
- No MSB possible as there's no relevant HL structure because price never significantly pushed out of any structure. Basically: 2021-2025 PA is still one big structure;
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$124.17 is the only clean level for an SFP: it's the most outstanding out of all the PA, but still not that outstanding. Therefore: the faster price gets to it, the stronger the level will be. Increased horizontality and the degree to which it stands out will diminish (it gets lost in time as time moves on...).
AAPL Trade Plan – 2025 Outlook📊With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatility—but that’s also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.🍏📉📈
📌 Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic):
1️⃣ 194 – Light entry as weakness sets in
2️⃣ 180 – Strong support historically
3️⃣ 166 – High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates
🎯 Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns):
✅ 209 – Quick recovery zone
✅ 230 – Pre-fear valuation
✅ 260+ – Full macro recovery with bullish momentum
📈 Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
TEXTBOOK H&S REVERSAL TO 5* BREAKOUT LEVELSApple: Navigating Market Challenges and Capitalizing on Future Opportunities
---------------Breaking out after building long-term breakout-pattern, retesting it through Head & Shoulds reversal pattern at local top ~240$-----------------------
As of today, Apple Inc. is experiencing significant market volatility, driven primarily by heightened recession fears and the impact of the yen carry trade. Recent market conditions have led to a noticeable drop in Apple's stock price, reflecting broader investor concerns about the global economic outlook. However, despite these challenges, there is a silver lining, and a target price of $240 is now within reach.
Market Challenges
The current downturn in Apple's stock can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. Concerns about a potential recession have been exacerbated by central banks' tightening monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, fluctuations in the yen carry trade have added pressure on the stock, as investors reassess their risk exposure in light of changing interest rates.
A Promising Outlook
Despite these short-term setbacks, Apple is well-positioned to recover and thrive in the coming months. Many analysts believe that the worst may be behind us, as the company remains resilient with a strong balance sheet and a loyal customer base. Apple's ability to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions has been a hallmark of its success.
The anticipated continuation of the supercycle is a key factor supporting this optimistic outlook. The impending release of Apple's next-generation products, including AI-powered phones, tablets, and Macs, is expected to drive a significant upgrade cycle. This innovation cycle could reignite consumer demand and bolster Apple's revenue growth.
The Role of AI
A crucial component of Apple's future growth strategy is its foray into artificial intelligence (AI). As the "Apple Intelligence" AI story unfolds, the company is poised to leverage AI to enhance its product offerings and create new customer experiences. The integration of AI into Apple's ecosystem will likely catalyze a new wave of demand, as consumers seek cutting-edge technology that offers greater functionality and personalization.
Apple's investment in AI not only strengthens its competitive position but also opens up new revenue streams, particularly in areas such as augmented reality, machine learning, and personalized services. This strategic focus aligns with the broader industry trend of AI adoption, positioning Apple as a leader in this transformative field.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while Apple faces current market headwinds due to recession fears and the yen carry trade, the company's robust fundamentals and innovative pipeline suggest that brighter days are ahead. The anticipated upgrade cycle, coupled with the integration of AI into its product suite, presents a compelling growth opportunity. Investors with a long-term perspective may find Apple's current valuation attractive, with the potential for substantial gains as the company navigates these challenges and capitalizes on future opportunities.
AAPL- RECESSION FEARS & YEN CARRY TRADEApple: Navigating Market Challenges and Capitalizing on Future Opportunities
As of today, Apple Inc. is experiencing significant market volatility, driven primarily by heightened recession fears and the impact of the yen carry trade. Recent market conditions have led to a noticeable drop in Apple's stock price, reflecting broader investor concerns about the global economic outlook. However, despite these challenges, there is a silver lining, and a target price of $240 is now within reach.
Market Challenges
The current downturn in Apple's stock can be attributed to several macroeconomic factors. Concerns about a potential recession have been exacerbated by central banks' tightening monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, fluctuations in the yen carry trade have added pressure on the stock, as investors reassess their risk exposure in light of changing interest rates.
A Promising Outlook
Despite these short-term setbacks, Apple is well-positioned to recover and thrive in the coming months. Many analysts believe that the worst may be behind us, as the company remains resilient with a strong balance sheet and a loyal customer base. Apple's ability to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions has been a hallmark of its success.
The anticipated continuation of the supercycle is a key factor supporting this optimistic outlook. The impending release of Apple's next-generation products, including AI-powered phones, tablets, and Macs, is expected to drive a significant upgrade cycle. This innovation cycle could reignite consumer demand and bolster Apple's revenue growth.
The Role of AI
A crucial component of Apple's future growth strategy is its foray into artificial intelligence (AI). As the "Apple Intelligence" AI story unfolds, the company is poised to leverage AI to enhance its product offerings and create new customer experiences. The integration of AI into Apple's ecosystem will likely catalyze a new wave of demand, as consumers seek cutting-edge technology that offers greater functionality and personalization.
Apple's investment in AI not only strengthens its competitive position but also opens up new revenue streams, particularly in areas such as augmented reality, machine learning, and personalized services. This strategic focus aligns with the broader industry trend of AI adoption, positioning Apple as a leader in this transformative field.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while Apple faces current market headwinds due to recession fears and the yen carry trade, the company's robust fundamentals and innovative pipeline suggest that brighter days are ahead. The anticipated upgrade cycle, coupled with the integration of AI into its product suite, presents a compelling growth opportunity. Investors with a long-term perspective may find Apple's current valuation attractive, with the potential for substantial gains as the company navigates these challenges and capitalizes on future opportunities.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's TariffApple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's Tariff Announcement
Many stock indices declined after the US President announced the introduction of tariffs for multiple countries, as we reported yesterday morning. During yesterday’s trading session, the sell-off in equities intensified.
According to media reports, market participants had hoped that the tariff threats were mere rhetoric and a negotiation tactic. However, many were shocked by both the number of countries affected and the scale of the imposed tariffs. Several well-known technology companies led the market downturn.
How Do Trump's Tariffs Impact Big Tech Companies?
Significant tariffs were imposed on Chinese imports, yet Apple manufactures around 90% of its iPhones in China. Many affordable products sold on Amazon are also set to become more expensive, as they are sourced from China.
Meta Platforms' advertising business could suffer considerable losses as companies worldwide cut advertising budgets. Nvidia and Broadcom may also struggle, given that the tariffs apply to many electronic devices incorporating their chips.
As a result, shares of Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), Broadcom (AVGO), and Nvidia (NVDA) fell by approximately 9% by the close of trading yesterday.
Microsoft (MSFT) shares, however, proved more resilient, dropping just 2.3%, as software products are not easily subject to tariffs. Moreover, software developers do not rely on international supply chains.
Technical Analysis of AAPL Chart
Apple’s stock price fluctuations have formed a trend channel (shown in blue), with:
→ The upper boundary acting as resistance since last autumn, although bulls managed to push the price above it during the Christmas rally. We previously highlighted Apple’s overbought condition and the possibility of a correction on 27 December 2024.
→ New data indicates that resistance has now shifted to the median at around $225.
This puts the lower boundary of the trend channel at risk of a bearish breakout. In the coming days, AAPL’s chart may see a bearish assault on the psychological $200 level, which proved significant in August 2024.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Apple - All This Was Expected!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) perfectly plays out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Apple perfectly retested the rising channel resistance trendline and has been creating the expected bearish rejection. This could perfectly form the next all time high break and retest, which would eventually lead to another significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $190
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Apple & Tarrif'sI am looking at price action to continue to drop to the monthly key zone due to overall market rejection of the latest tariff news.
I would be looking at recovery if it approaches the daily break zone.
Overall, I would wait and see what the /ES will act throughout the day; uncertainty is still high therefore a conversative play would be ideal imo.
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) April 3, 2025On Wednesday, Trump announced he would impose a 10% base tariff on all imports into the United States and higher tariffs on dozens of other countries, including some of America's largest trading partners, deepening a trade war that has shaken global markets and rattled U.S. allies. The Trump administration also confirmed that his 25% global auto and truck tariffs will take effect as scheduled on April 3, and tariffs on imported auto parts will be imposed on May 3.
XAUUSD trading strategy around the price zone:
SELL XAUUSD around 3175-3177
Stoploss: 3182
Take Profit 1: 3168
Take Profit 2: 3162
Take Profit 3: 3157
BUY XAUUSD around 3128-3130
Stoploss: 3123
Take Profit 1: 3135
Take Profit 2: 3141
Take Profit 3: 3148
Note: Always set Stoploss in all cases to be safe
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide
(Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results)
Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset.
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Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work
Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average!
Example:
- Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators.
- Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators.
If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this.
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The Pivot Point Method for Calibration
One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step:
Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart
Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings.
How to Add ZigZag on TradingView :
1. Open your chart.
2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it.
3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters).
The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys).
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Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market
Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle.
Example :
- If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars.
- If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars.
In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots.
Formula for Indicator Settings :
- RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
- MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8
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Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators
Backtest on TradingView :
1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings.
2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve.
Look For :
- Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early).
- Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves).
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Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules)
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Half the average cycle length.
- Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto).
2. MACD
- Default : 12, 26, 9.
- Calibrated :
- Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle.
- Slow EMA = ½ of cycle.
- Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle.
- Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3.
Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts.
3. Williams %R
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle).
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How to Avoid Common Mistakes
Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past)
- Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future.
- Fix : Test on 2 types of data:
1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate).
2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works).
Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes
- Problem : What works today might not work next month.
- Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes).
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Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed)
1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts
Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested).
2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators
Try pre-built adaptive indicators like:
- Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility.
- Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
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Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System
Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method :
1. Add ZigZag to your chart.
2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings.
3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD.
Example :
- Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12.
- Calibrated RSI = 6 days.
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Why This Works (Without the Math)
Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings.
The Science Behind It
When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm:
- Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time
- Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster
- Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately
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A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration
For even better results, calibrate across timeframes:
1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading
2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading
3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation
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Final Tips for Beginners
1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first.
2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations.
3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets.
4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it.
Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
Apple May Have PeakedApple has tried to bounce recently, but some traders may think the tech giant has peaked.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February low of $225.70. AAPL broke under the level on March 11 and has stayed there since. That may suggest old support is new resistance.
The stock has also remained below a 50 percent retracement of last month’s slide, which may confirm downward price action.
Third, the bounce in the last 2-3 weeks may be viewed as a potential bearish flag. Would a move under the line represent a breakdown?
Next, stochastics are nearing an overbought condition. A dip from here may suggest the recent strength is fading.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 897,000 contracts in the last month ranks third in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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