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ADOBE INC CEDEAR EAC 44 REP 1(USD)AA

ADOBE INC CEDEAR EAC 44 REP 1(USD)

8.92USDD
−0.53−5.61%
At close at Jun 13, 22:26 GMT
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ADBED trade ideas

ADBE – Tactical CALL + Strategic PUT Setup (Pre/Post Earnings PlI'm currently watching Adobe (ADBE) closely ahead of its earnings report scheduled for June 13th. The setup presents a compelling two-phase strategy that aligns with both technical signals and the macro narrative surrounding tech stocks and overinflated expectations around AI. 🔵 Phase 1: Tactical CALL – Pre-Earnings Momentum We're seeing a familiar pattern emerge — just like NVDA and AVGO, ADBE is being driven upward by heavy AI hype and anticipation. With strong bullish sentiment in social media, institutional interest still present, and a historically reliable "pre-earnings run-up", a short-term CALL trade seems favorable. CALL Entry: 2–3 days before earnings Expiration: June 13 Exit: Before earnings release Target: +20% to +40% gain from bullish anticipation Risk: Limited due to short duration; no hold through event 🔴 Phase 2: Strategic PUT – Post-Earnings Reversal Once earnings hit, I expect a sharp reversal, even if the numbers are decent. Here's why: RSI on daily and 3D charts is near historical extremes Technical exhaustion signals: divergence, volume fade, upper Bollinger touches Institutional distribution signs present The market has priced in perfection – guidance slip or any miss = correction Macro: high rates, cautious corporate spending, sticky inflation = risk-off sentiment 📊 PUT Setup: Entry: After earnings release Strike: Based on $480 breakdown confirmation Expiration: June 20–28 Target zone: $445–$460 Stop: Above $515 breakout level 🧠 Final Thoughts This is not just about earnings numbers — it's about unsustainable expectations and institutions likely rotating out after the run. ADBE has rallied on speculation, not fundamentals. My system detects 23 out of 26 bearish criteria being met. If the market reacts negatively, this could be a high-conviction short-term swing opportunity. 📌 Following the script: ✅ CALL before earnings (close before event) ✅ PUT after earnings if confirmation of breakdown Let’s see how this plays out. Thoughts? #ADBE #OptionsTrading #EarningsPlay #PutCallStrategy #SwingTrade #AIStocks #Adobe #TradingPlan
NASDAQ:ADBEShort
by perezliz37
8
ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)📈 ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11) Ticker: NASDAQ:ADBE (Adobe Inc.) Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72% Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025 🔍 Market & Options Snapshot • Price: ~$416.06 • Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up) • IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release • Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment • Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts) 🧠 AI Model Consensus ✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models): Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable ⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek): Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction) ✅ Recommended Trade Setup 🎯 Direction: CALL 📍 Strike: $420 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings) 💵 Entry Price: $12.65 🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%) 📈 Confidence: 72% ⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close 📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk) ⚠️ Key Risks IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops 💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
NLong
by quantsignals
2
Adobe’s Charts Show Mixed Signals Heading Into EarningsAdobe NASDAQ:ADBE is set to report the firm's fiscal Q2 results on Thursday. What do the software giant’s charts and fundamentals say heading into the report? Let’s take a look: Adobe’s Fundamental Analysis ADBE was one of the original "Cloud Kings" back when the cloud was going to be Big Tech’s Next Great Thing. But as the shift in what's hot for tech firms moves from the cloud to generative AI, Adobe has been trying to evolve. Wall Street is looking for ADBE to report $4.97 in adjusted earnings per share on $5.8 billion of revenue for fiscal Q2, which ran through May. Compared to the same period a year ago, results like that would amount to 10.9% of earnings growth on 9.2% of revenue gains. Coming into the quarter, the firm had guided investors and analysts toward $4.95-$5.00 of adjusted EPS on $5.77 billion-$5.82 billion of revenue. However, 19 of the 26 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover Adobe have cut their earnings estimates since the latest quarter began. (Seven revised their estimates higher.) And beyond the headline earnings and revenues, some investors will also watch closely for Adobe’s so-called “remaining-performance obligation.” That refers to revenue that the company expects to recognize within the coming 12 months. That number came in at $19.69 billion during Adobe’s fiscal Q1, of which the firm considered 67% as "current." Wall Street will be watching for whether that number rose or fell in fiscal Q2. Adobe’s Technical Analysis Now let’s look at Adobe’s charts, beginning with a 13-month one: Readers will see that ADBE reacted sharply to a “double-top” pattern of bearish reversal that stretched from June through October 2024, as marked with two red boxes at the above chart’s left. This pattern peaked in early September, and the stock bottomed out early in this past April. Adobe has rallied back since then, but appears to have run into some resistance close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the early September through early April downtrend. That’s the gray horizontal line third from the bottom in the gray box at the chart’s right. Now, let's declutter this chart a little and zoom in for a focused look at what's going more recently with the stock: Looking at this time scale, readers will see that almost all of Adobe’s price action going back to the double-top pattern’s September apex fits very neatly within what we call an “Andrews' Pitchfork” model. (Denoted by the three purple diagonal lines at right.) ADBE rebounded off of the pitchfork’s lower trendline in early April, then got a boost from what’s called a “mini golden cross” or “swing traders' golden cross” in May. That's when a stock’s 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line above) crosses above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA, denoted with a blue line). However, the stock recently hit a rough patch as it tried to break out from the pitchfork’s upper trendline. That makes the upper line Adobe’s upside pivot for now -- currently at about $408, which ADBE was trading above as of Tuesday afternoon. If Adobe can definitively find support at that level, the chart doesn’t indicate any significant resistance until the stock reaches its 200-day SMA (the red line above) at about $458. Looking at our other indicators, Adobe’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) looks healthy, but not technically overbought. That's generally a positive. That said, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) isn’t quite as cheery. The histogram of Adobe’s 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) has gone negative, which can be seen as a short-term bearish signal. Additionally, the 12-day EMA (the black line above) is wrestling with the 26-day EMA (the gold line) for MACD supremacy. If the black line wins, that's probably good for Adobe’s share price. But if the black line loses, that’s probably bad for the stock. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in ADBE at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
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by moomoo
1
ADBE: Fractal Pattern Repeating Again?ADBE has printed a surprisingly consistent technical pattern since 2023: A rejection from supply, followed by a gap-down, then a gradual but deep decline. We may now be witnessing the early stage of a fourth repeat. 📘 Historical Pattern Zone 1: ~$575 • Gap: –5.71% • Drop after gap: –12.11% • Duration: 49 days Zone 2: ~$551 • Gap: –8.85% • Drop after gap: –18.55% • Duration: 32 days Zone 3: ~$458 • Gap: –6.71% • Drop after gap: –18.21% • Duration: 25 days Zone 4: ~$425 (current) • Gap: –2.53% • Post-gap = in progress 🧠 All three prior moves began with a gap, followed by a small bounce, and then a larger sell-off. Each of them dropped between –12% and –18% from the post-gap high. 🔍 Current Structure • Price just rejected from ~$425 (1D supply) • New gap-down of –2.53% has just occurred • Currently sitting on critical DCS support zone: $382–$388 This is a high-stakes inflection area. A close below this support could trigger the next leg lower. ⚙️ Options Setup (Bearish Thesis) 💡 Trade Idea: Bear Put Spread (400 / 350, Jul 18 expiry) • Defined risk with a 2.2:1 reward/risk ratio • Breakeven ≈ $384 • Thesis becomes actionable if price breaks below the $382 DCS support • Invalidation: strong reclaim of ~$425 supply This setup targets a continuation of Adobe’s repeating structure. It limits downside exposure while offering meaningful reward if breakdown confirms. 🙌 Found this helpful? If this idea gave you value — a like 👍 or comment 💬 goes a long way! Follow me for more structured trade setups based on price action + context. Let’s grow with clarity, not noise. 📊💡
NShort
by fredcast80
ABOBE it´s still a good buy opportunity.Given the accelerating resurgence in cryptocurrency markets, now is an ideal time to initiate a position in Adobe (ADBE). As blockchain‐based assets and NFTs gain renewed momentum, demand for professional content‐creation and digital‐asset management tools is set to surge. Adobe’s Creative Cloud suite—industry‐standard for graphic design, video editing and web development—is perfectly positioned to capitalize on the influx of creators minting, marketing and trading digital collectibles. Moreover, Adobe’s recent investment in AI‐powered features and its expanding Digital Experience segment enable seamless integration of crypto‐native assets into enterprise workflows. In short, a rising tide in crypto will drive unprecedented content‐creation needs, and Adobe’s robust platform and subscription model make it the optimal way to gain exposure to that secular growth trend.
NLong
by SGsauragestion
Adobe Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025 - Adobe broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 440.00 Adobe recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 403.60 (which stopped the previous minor corrective wave iv) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active minor impulse wave (iii) of the C-wave from the middle of April. Adobe can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 440.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (iii).
NLong
by FxProGlobal
Adobe Wave Analysis – 25 April 2025 - Adobe reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 376.40 Adobe recently reversed sharply from the support area between the key support level 335.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of 2023) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. This support area was further strengthened by the lower support trendline of the weekly down channel from the start of 2024. Adobe can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 376.40 (the former support level which stopped weekly impulse wave iii at the start of March).
NLong
by FxProGlobal
$ADBE deteriorating MOAT ; Still Expensive; PT < $350- NASDAQ:ADBE is one of the blue chip company of the last decade. - However, Chicken has come to roost. - Core products of NASDAQ:ADBE like acrobat are useless. One can use ChatGPT or any AI tool to parse and get the information. Google Doc for creating a PDF - Adobe designer tool might still be used but AI tools are taking over which provides done for you. Apart from that Canva & Figma are way better and easier to use NASDAQ:ADBE - NASDAQ:ADBE products are hard to use and have huge learning curve. On top of that, NASDAQ:ADBE engages in shady subscription practices where it doesn't let user cancel subscription and ask people to go through customer support potentially delaying cancellation to bill users. - NASDAQ:ADBE despite having huge datasets of images isn't able to launch a good AI model. Firefly by Adobe is Joke and not good enough. Fundamentally, it is still trading at a premium. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 20.39 | 23.01 | 25.56 | 27.02 EPS % growth | 11.61% | 12.82% | 11.11% | 5.72% Base Case ( Lenient ): Ideally, for a blue chip company with a MOAT growing EPS at 11-15% ; Failr forward P/E should be 20. For them, who are willing to pay forward p/e of 20 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e = 20) | 407 | 460 | 500 | 540 Base Case ( conservative ): However, I believe NASDAQ:ADBE MOAT has been severely challenged and should doesn't command a premium multiple. Therefore, according to me, fair forward p/e should be 15 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=15) | 305 | 345 | 383 | 405 Extreme Bear Case : If we account for recession, We could see further compression in forward p/e ~ 10. Extreme bear case, where they miss EPS or revenue or both and guide lower. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=10) | 200 | 230 | 255 | 270 Bull Case ( F. p/e = 25 ) Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=25) | 509 | 575 | 639 | 675
NShort
by bigbull037
1
ADBE - Adobe at the decision levelIf ADBE is able to jump above the Centerline, it probably will retest it, and then take off to the upside. If ADBE is not able to crack the CL to the upside, then it's new projection is to the downside. The natural target is the L-MLH. But let's not forget the 1/4 lines! These often act as good support. Specially with a catalyst like good News around the same time, it could bounce from there. So, that's why one of my PTG is always at these 1/4 line levels.
NShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Adobe (ADBE) Shares Plunge, Holding Near 22-Month LowsAdobe (ADBE) Shares Plunge, Holding Near 22-Month Lows Last week, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) reported its quarterly financial results: → Earnings per share: Actual = $5.08, Expected = $4.97 → Gross revenue: Actual = $5.71 billion, Expected = $5.66 billion Additionally, according to CNBC, the design software giant announced plans to double its AI revenue by the end of the financial year. However, despite these positive figures, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) shares plummeted by approximately 13%, returning to price levels last seen in May 2023. This decline may reflect investor concerns over Adobe’s AI monetisation strategy and the potential loss of its competitive edge in generative AI. Technical Analysis of Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Shares Price movements have established key points (marked with circles) forming a downward channel, which has remained relevant for over a year: → The price has fallen to the lower boundary, which previously acted as support in June 2024. → It remains below the psychological level of $400 but has not dropped significantly further. → The price has not fallen below the 13 January low, recorded after the earnings report. These factors suggest that demand is preventing further declines in ADBE shares. If positive catalysts emerge, buyers may attempt to push the price back above the $400 level, potentially opening the path towards the channel’s median. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
ADBE to $465 - Chance for a BounceNASDAQ:ADBE ADBE, as well as other tech stocks, was beaten hard over the last couple of months. The earnings recently did not provide any relief for the chart either, although the figures were not particularly bad. In particular, the possible prospect of finally being able to expand and monetize Adobe's own AI “Firefly” continues to offer good opportunities. With a PE of now under 20, Adobe has become quite favorable as a company that continues to grow well in the SaaS sector. It has also reached several technical support zones. We are at the lower edge of a very large bull flag that has been in place since the beginning of 2024. Horizontal support at $385 is also supportive. We have 3 large daily gaps in the chart above us and a bullish wedge within the flag. This is a good place to start buying for a possible bounce towards $465. However, one must bear in mind that the overall market remains bearish. Purchases should therefore be closely hedged and not be too large. However, it would be wrong not to use this opportunity to enter the market. Target Zones $465.00 Support Zones $385.00 $360.00
NLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1